Gold has rebounded in place, go high today firstAfter the gap at 3438 in the early trading, the market crashed and plunged. So far, the long target of 3440 has been achieved! China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Spot gold plunged more than 60 US dollars from 3438 US dollars in the early trading, and it should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the early high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise once it breaks through 3500, it will definitely break, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. At present, while paying attention to the Sino-US tariff talks, the global geopolitical situation should also be focused on: the focus is on the India-Pakistan conflict, the population of the two countries is close to 1.7 billion, and it will be terrible if the situation gets out of control; then the Russia-Ukraine stalemate, the US-Iran crisis, etc. are positive for spot gold, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision tomorrow morning also needs to be paid attention to. Today, China announced the spot gold reserve data. Long and short news hit the market in turn, and it is expected that there is a high probability of continued large sweeps within the day, and the overall trend is short within the day! The market fluctuates greatly and the rhythm is fast. There are opportunities for both long and short positions, and strict loss-taking operations! The first resistance above is the 3405 area, then the 3415-20 area and the early high of 3438 area, which can be used to short spot gold; the support below is 3350-55, then 3320-25
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD1. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
(May 7) The Fed will announce the May FOMC interest rate decision and press conference. The market generally expects the interest rate to remain unchanged, but Powell's speech will be the key. The April non-farm payroll data was stronger than expected (an increase of 177,000 people), coupled with the Fed's concerns about inflation, Powell may continue his hawkish stance and emphasize "anti-inflation priority". If he releases a signal of "delayed interest rate cuts", it may suppress gold bullish sentiment; on the contrary, if it implies concerns about economic slowdown, gold may be supported. In addition, several Fed officials will go to Iceland to participate in an economic meeting on Friday, and we need to pay attention to their statements on monetary policy.
2. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
Sino-US trade frictions continue to escalate, with the US imposing tariffs on China as high as 245% and hitting China's re-export trade. However, the US has recently released a signal of easing, with companies such as Walmart resuming orders from China and bearing tariff costs, showing that US companies have limited tolerance for high tariffs. China requires the US to cancel unilateral tariffs as a prerequisite for negotiations, and the prospects for negotiations remain unclear. In addition, the situation between India and Pakistan is tense again, and the rising geopolitical risks may boost demand for gold as a safe haven.
3. Market sentiment and capital flows
Domestic gold ETF holdings surged by 23.47 tons in the first quarter, indicating that institutional investors are optimistic about gold in the long term. However, Nomura Securities warned that gold may face a technical correction due to abnormal capital flows (GLD funds in and out) and overheated technical indicators (gold prices deviated from the 200-day moving average by 25%). In addition, COMEX gold speculative net long positions hit a 14-month low, and market sentiment was cautious.
Gold has rebounded in place, go high today firstAfter the gap at 3438 in the early trading, the market crashed and plunged. So far, the long target of 3440 has been achieved! China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Spot gold plunged more than 60 US dollars from 3438 US dollars in the early trading, and it should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the early high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise once it breaks through 3500, it will definitely break, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. At present, while paying attention to the Sino-US tariff talks, the global geopolitical situation should also be focused on: the focus is on the India-Pakistan conflict, the population of the two countries is close to 1.7 billion, and it will be terrible if the situation gets out of control; then the Russia-Ukraine stalemate, the US-Iran crisis, etc. are positive for spot gold, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision tomorrow morning also needs to be paid attention to. Today, China announced the spot gold reserve data. Long and short news hit the market in turn, and it is expected that there is a high probability of continued large sweeps within the day, and the overall trend is short within the day! The market fluctuates greatly and the rhythm is fast. There are opportunities for both long and short positions, and strict loss-taking operations! The first resistance above is the 3405 area, then the 3415-20 area and the early high of 3438 area, which can be used to short spot gold; the support below is 3350-55, then 3320-25
Federal Reserve decision becomes the highlightTechnically, the sharp fluctuations in gold in the morning are consistent with the recent characteristics of the wash, but we need to be alert to the sharp decline after the continuous slow rise, which may be a signal of the exhaustion of bullish momentum. If the 3404 watershed cannot be effectively broken through during the day, the probability of a short-term peak will further increase. On the operational level, investors are advised to avoid blindly chasing highs and focus on the impact of the Fed's decision on the actual interest rate and the US dollar. If the decision is dovish, gold may continue to rebound, and if it is hawkish, we need to be alert to the risk of a correction. The current upper resistance is 3397-3407. The lower support is 3360-3350. In terms of operation, it is recommended to do more on the correction and supplement it with high-altitude rebound.
Gold fluctuates before Fed decisionFrom a technical perspective, the international gold price encountered strong resistance at the 3500 integer psychological barrier on a daily basis and then started a technical correction. However, the first two trading days of this week were closed with long positive candlesticks, forming a strong rebound pattern, basically recovering the previous retracement space, indicating that bullish momentum continued to accumulate. It is worth noting that the moving average system presents a bullish arrangement: the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are bonded together to form a golden cross pattern, the upward slope of the medium-term moving average group is steeper, and the resonance of technical indicators shows that the upward momentum is repaired.
Technically, gold showed a violent shock trend during the Asian session, which is in line with the technical characteristics of the recent overnight consolidation, but we need to be alert to the possibility of a deep retracement after a continuous mild upward trend. This pattern may indicate that the bullish buying power is weakening. If the key pressure level of 3404 is not effectively broken during the day, the probability of a short-term top will increase significantly. At the strategic level, it is recommended that you avoid chasing highs and focus on the transmission effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the real interest rate curve and the US dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may continue to rebound technically; if the statement is hawkish, it is necessary to guard against the risk of a correction. The current upper pressure range focuses on the 3397-3407 area, and the lower support band is in the 3360-3350 range. It is recommended to take the buying on dips strategy as the main strategy, and cooperate with the rebound high point short selling operation as a risk hedge.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3366-3361 area for gold, with a stop loss at 3356 and a target of 3381-3411.
2. For gold, it is recommended to short in the 3415-3420 area, with a stop loss at 3427 and a target of 3355-3385.
The volatile decline in gold is in line with expectations!Technical analysis of gold: After rising and falling, gold has a large downward space, from 3438 to the current 3360, up and down close to 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there is a high probability of a wave of adjustment space, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small, and it is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and goes directly below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it does not break, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3397-3400, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, and look at the 3300 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3300-3305, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks;
XAUUSD Market NewsThe international geopolitical situation has suddenly escalated, fueling market risk aversion and pushing up gold prices. But today's Fed interest rate decision and Powell's speech will be crucial in the bull-bear battle. Technically, gold saw violent fluctuations in the Asian session. Be cautious of a deep pullback after a sustained moderate rise, which may signal weakening bullish buying power. If the key resistance level of 3400 isn't broken today, the likelihood of a short-term top will rise significantly.
In terms of strategy, avoid chasing prices at highs. Focus on the Fed's interest rate meeting's impact on the real interest rate curve and the dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may keep rebounding technically; if hawkish, watch out for a pullback. The current upper pressure range is 3397-3407, and the lower support is 3360-3350. Operationally, opt for buying on dips, and use short selling at rebound highs for risk hedging.
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Gold's safe-haven stimulus led to a strong rise!In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3328-3330 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3260-3252 support line.
Latest gold operation analysisFrom the daily level, the current price resistance is in the 3310 area, which is the key watershed of the band trend. If the price is below this position, the subsequent band will be shorted. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price resistance, it is in the 3253 range. The gains and losses of this position determine the key to the short-term trend. The price will consolidate up and down at this position in the short term. Pay attention to the support of this position and further test the daily resistance area before looking at the pressure.
Crazy trading opportunity. XAUUSD/goldSupplement the deficiencies in the previous article.
News from the New York market once again stimulated the rise of XAUUSD/gold, which is a sustained rise. Data news once again ignited the XAUUSD market, and the swing trading target is 3440. The current price is 3410, and there is still about 30 US dollars/ounce of fluctuation space for trading.
For details, please pay attention to the real-time trading opportunities announced by the swing trading center later.
New York market XAUUSD trading opportunities.The 3400 position has been broken. Short-term bulls are still strong. The swing buying we executed all day today has made continuous profits. Such one-sided market conditions in trading have good profits. But the premise needs to be executed. This requires execution and courage.
Teacher Ludvig pointed out that the probability of reaching the target 3440 before tomorrow's London market is more than 90.36%. So this is a good buying opportunity for traders who don't know how to trade now.
The precise trading points are released in the Swing Trading Center. If you don't know what to trade now. Then you can refer to it.
Control trading risks according to the capital situation when trading.
Gold price fell after a high? Trend reversal?Analysis of Asian morning session:
The recent high point of gold price reached 3437 US dollars, and it fell sharply after the Asian morning session opened. The gold market opened after the Asian holiday, and the bulls rose strongly; the Asian morning session was volatile, and the current lowest reached around 3360, a drop of 77 US dollars.
Then it adjusted back and reached a high of around 3404; this position can be used as an important resistance level at the opening time of the Asian session. Between the sharp rise in the morning of the past two days, and the upward continuity of the European and American sessions, coupled with the recent continuous rise and fall, the rapid fall in the Asian morning session.
Quaid believes that in this continuous upward pattern, once there is a sharp fall, it is also likely to be a signal of insufficient bullish power in the short term; then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure position is at 3395 US dollars, and the lower support level is at 3360 US dollars, which is equivalent to the previous top and bottom conversion.
Operation strategy:
Short when the price returns to 3390, take profit at 3370-3360, stop loss at 3400.
Good luck to everyone.
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
4. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
Gold is rising strongly. When can the bull market stop?🗞News side:
1. Trump announces renegotiation of USMCA
2. Pay attention to the Fed interest rate
📈Technical aspects:
Looking at the daily chart, gold prices are breaking through important resistance levels and forming a strong upward trend. The price is currently trading around 3410, with strong suppression at 3420-3430 above the short-term. If the gold price encounters resistance and pressure, gold may once again experience a correction. Therefore, when the gold price touches the 325-3435 line, you can try to place a short position. In terms of operation, after two consecutive positive days on the technical front, the bulls will continue further. The current short-term support has moved up to the 3386 line. 3386 is the early resistance that turned into support after breaking through. This will be an important support level. At the same time, the 3270-3260 line support below is still strong. Continue to look at the 3430-3450 line. Therefore, in terms of operation, we mainly do long positions on callbacks and supplementary short positions on rebounds.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Wed 7th May 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAU/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Note: This isn’t a great setup as price is already at the previous high and the MACD is just below the zero level. But I had to take it because I am committed to my MSH (multi sequence hedging) strategy. So if you are a traditional type trader, then standing aside on this trade would probably be the smart thing to do.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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The most important golden strategy📌Fundamentals:
Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision
📊Technological aspects:
From the golden hour chart, the Asian market is in line with a wave of continued gains and the subsequent adjustment to the 10 moving average of 3350 has stabilized. The European market has slowly moved higher and is approaching the Asian market high. This pattern is still very strong, and there is a high probability of a second rise tonight; The 10 EMA is above 3370 as the primary support and continues to be bullish. As each line closes, the moving support will slowly move up. As long as it does not effectively break, the short squeeze will continue. A breakthrough of 3410 will also happen at any time. If it breaks through, it will be easy to continue to storm above 3420. If it rushes higher and falls back in the evening and falls below the 10 EMA, then If it adjusts to the middle track for the first time, there will still be good support, just continue to be bullish; comprehensively speaking, today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplementary.
🎯 Practical Strategy:
Short strategy: short gold when it rebounds around 3425-3430, target around 3400-3380.
Long strategy: long gold when it pulls back around 3365-3370, target around 3400-3420.
Gold is back on strong footing, follow me and make moneyFrom the daily chart, the gold price is breaking through the important resistance level and forming a strong upward trend. The price is currently trading around $3,400 and has successfully broken through the key resistance area of $3,330. The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the middle track is at 3231.01, the upper track is at 3485.06, and the lower track is at 2976.97, indicating that the current price is near the upper track of the Bollinger Band, showing strong upward momentum.
The RSI indicator shows that the current value is 64.07, which is in the neutral to strong area. It has not yet reached the overbought level and still has room to rise.
The gold price has maintained a steady upward channel since 2025, and has recently formed a short-term rising flag consolidation, which is usually regarded as a bullish continuation pattern. The key support is at $3,300 and $3,230 (corresponding to the rising trend line), while the resistance is at the psychological level of $3,400 and $3,500. If it can stand firm at $3,400 in the short term, it is expected to hit the historical high of $3,499.83, and once it breaks through, it will open up the possibility of higher prices.
To sum up, gold is still mainly based on falling back and going long
Bullish Gold: Ride the Wave with Pullback BuysOn the daily gold chart, there was a sharp upward surge on Monday, and the price rebounded above the $3300 mark. Normally, the upward movement on the daily chart could potentially drive the price towards the high point near the upper Bollinger Band at around $3500. This also means that the monthly chart recovers the upper shadow and forms a second upward thrust. So, there is ample upside potential. We should focus on the sustainability of this upward momentum.
On the 4 - hour chart, another wave of strength is needed. A significant rally is required to widen the upper Bollinger Band and establish an absolute one - sided bullish trend. Therefore, although the bullish outlook is clear for now, there is still a possibility of some adjustments. Currently, the support below is around the $3340 - $3350 range, with the dividing line being near the early - morning low of $3330. If there is an opportunity for the price to pull back to the support area, one can go long and bet on the upward trend. Today, keep an eye on the resistance levels at $3385 - $3395 - $3400.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3355-3360
tp:3370-3380-3400
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