Short gold, gold may continue to fall to 3245-3235Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
The rebound momentum of gold has gradually weakened, and gold has failed to effectively break through the 3320-3330 resistance zone many times recently, and has built multiple short-term top structures in this area, which has limited the height of gold rebound and further strengthened the bearish sentiment in the market, which is conducive to further decline of gold. In addition, gold has tested the area near 3260 many times, which has weakened the support strength of this area to a certain extent. Gold may fall below this area at any time and continue to the 3245-235 zone.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold again with the 3315-3325 zone as resistance, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and continue to the 3245-3235 zone.
Xauusdsignals
Short gold after the rebound!Fundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although gold once rebounded from around 3267 under the circumstances of the ADP data being significantly positive, reversing the downward trend in the short term. However, the recent rebound high of gold only stopped at around 3330, and multiple top turning points were built in the 3320-3330 area, which greatly limited the height of gold’s rebound and further the bearish sentiment in the market. Therefore, I think the area around 3260 is not the low point of this round of decline. I think gold is very likely to continue to fall and continue to the 3240-3230 area, or even lower.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and completely open up the downward space!
XAUUSD: Gold Once Again Back To $3270 Region, What Next ? Gold has once again backed to the 3270 region and rejected it, currently trading at 3280$. The main question is whether gold will hold on to this level. If not, we could see a strong sell-off taking the price to 3130. This is because the sellers’ presence has increased, and the price has been volatile due to mixed news and economic data, further strengthening the bears’ position in the market.
Despite this, we remain optimistic that gold will continue its bullish move upwards. There’s a strong reason for this: we may see all-out war happening in Asia, although this is purely speculative. For now, you may decide to continue monitoring the price or even take a swing buy, which could be risky.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
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#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. It’s now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Let’s continue to be long on gold and keep winning!Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve;
Technical aspects:
At present, gold has failed to fall below the key area of 3300 many times during the retracement process, further strengthening the short-term structural support and strengthening the market's recognition of the effectiveness of its structural support. Moreover, gold may still maintain a volatile market before the NFP market. Due to the cautious attitude of the market, it is difficult for a unilateral trend to appear before the NFP market.
Short term trading strategies:
As in the two recently updated trading views, the trading strategy of long gold in the 3310-3300 area is still effective! Looking forward to gold rebounding to 3325 or even higher!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Market Outlook & Short Update
Regarding Gold.
I received multiple requests to provide the update after
the price bounced to a target level, as I predicted earlier on Sunday.
At the moment, we see a perfect example of a consolidation.
The price is trading within a horizontal parallel channel - range.
As always, the market will most likely continue staying within that till the release
of important high impact news.
The closest ones we can find in the economic calendar.
Tomorrow we are expecting US GDP and Personal Spending Data.
For now, probabilities will be high that a consolidation will continue.
Consider looking for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the range.
After a news release, a breakout of the range will provide a strong confirmation
and accurately indicate the future direction of the market.
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Don’t be afraid of pullbacks, we can still go long on goldFundamentals:
1. First, pay attention to the dynamics of Trump and the Federal Reserve;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran.
Technical aspects:
Compared with yesterday, although the bullish momentum is weak, it has not fallen below the support of the 3005-2995 area, and even failed to fall below 3000. In addition, as gold fluctuates and falls, there is a large amount of buying funds entering the market in the short term. In the recent short-term structure, gold has built a very obvious turning point near the 3300 area. Therefore, gold may still rebound to above 3330 before NFP.
Short-term trading strategy:
You can still consider continuing to go long on gold in the 3310-3300 area, TP: 3325-3335
GOLD / XAUUSD: Analysis Daily!🔷 BUY XAUUSD: 3298/3300 (swing)
- Stoploss: 3293
- Target: 3310 / 3320 / 3330 / 3350
*Signals are for reference only, not recommended to be followed!*
Analysis: XAU/USD has a neutral-to-bullish near-term outlook. On the 4-hour chart, it's struggling with a flat 20 SMA, while the 100 and 200 SMAs are risin. Indicators are improving but still weak and in negative territory.
Support levels: 3314 - 3301
Resistance levels: 3344 - 3358
Buy gold, gold is expected to rebound to the 3330-3335 zoneFundamentals:
1. First, pay attention to the dynamics of Trump and the Federal Reserve;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran.
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded and tested the area near 3353, then encountered resistance and fell back. During the decline, it stopped falling near 3305, and in the short-term structure, a triple bottom structure and an arc bottom pattern were constructed around the price of "3308-3305-3308", proving that in the 3310-3305 area, there is a large amount of buying funds entering the market in the short term; in addition, before the NFP market, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral trend, and overall gold is still in a state of shock.
Short-term trading strategy:
It is possible to consider buying gold in batches in the 3315-3305 zone; TP: 3330-33340
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Be bold and short goldFundamentals:
1. Still need to pay attention to Trump's attitude towards tariffs;
2. Pay attention to whether the situation between India and Pakistan escalates;
3. At the same time, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, US-Iran negotiations, etc.
Trading situation:
Our last short position near 3297 happened to hit TP: 3287 during the decline of gold, and easily made a profit of 100pips in short-term trading;
After gold fell below 3287, it rose sharply in the short term to around 3335. Although gold rose sharply in the short term, it still did not break away from the wide range of fluctuations. There are still many resistances above. First, it faces the short-term resistance area of 3340-3345, and secondly, it faces the resistance area of 3355-3365. Therefore, it is difficult for bulls to perform well before conquering this resistance area. There is still a possibility of testing the 3305-3295 zone again;
Trading strategy:
Short-term trading can still short gold in batches again in the 3325-3335 zone; TP: 3310-3300
#XAUUSD:From Our Last Analysis 534+ Pips What Next?We published our analysis on gold on April 24th, highlighting the bullish market presence. The price indeed reversed from our zone, enabling us to make a significant move of over 234 pips. We anticipate a continuous price increase from our entry zone, potentially reaching 3500$. There are several reasons behind this belief. Firstly, the escalating war-like tension between India and Pakistan could lead to a surge in gold prices, potentially surpassing the previous high. Secondly, the heightened tensions among global investors are expected to result in an extreme bullish movement in gold prices.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
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Gold is expected to rise in the US market
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Bullish sentiment in the market cools down
📊Comment analysis
After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution!
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs.
Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
XAUUSD correcting to its 4H MA200.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the start of the year. Last week's rejection on its top (Higher Highs trend-line) has resulted into a break below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This has technically been the signal that started the previous 2 Bearish Legs, which both bottomed upon touching the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and once the 4H RSI got oversold below 30.00.
As a result, we expect more downside, targeting 3160.
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GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionAfter testing a fresh record high around the $3,500 zone, gold made a sharp U-turn, erasing much of its gains and dropping toward the $3,260 support zone.
This reversal came as the US Dollar found fresh strength, following US President Trump’s major backtracking on tariffs against China and the dismissal of Fed Chair Powell.
Markets have since stayed volatile, swinging between "risk-on" and "risk-off" sentiment.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and it is unclear whether buyers or sellers will take control.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrice #TradingPlan #GoldVsDollar #WeekendMarketAnalysis
> "Gold (XAU/USD) - Demand Zone Bounce Targeting 3500 "Current Price: $3,319.59
Indicator: 70 EMA at $3,324.95 ➡️ 📈 (still slightly above price = bearish pressure)
---
Main Observations:
🔵 Demand Zone (📦 Buyers' Area):
Between $3,253 - $3,280
Every time price dips here ➡️ buyers react!
✏️ Descending Trendline:
⬇️ Short-term trend is bearish
Price is trying to break above it now (watch closely!)
🎯 Target Point:
$3,500 🏹 (Big upside if breakout succeeds!)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
$3,253 🔥 (just below the demand zone = good protection)
Trade Idea:
✅ Buy near demand zone 🔵 after breakout confirmation 📈
✅ Target: $3,500 🎯
✅ Stop-Loss: $3,253 🛡️
Quick Dots Summary:
🔵 Demand zone is strong (buyers defending)
🔻 Still under 70 EMA (bearish until breakout)
✏️ Watching for breakout of trendline = key signal
🎯 Massive Risk:Reward ratio if it works
⚡ If no breakout and price falls, stop-loss saves capital.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Very Bullish Setup
Gold closed on Friday in a strong bullish mood.
The price started to rise after a test of the underlined blue
support cluster.
A breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on an hourly
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a rise at least to 3439
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#XAUUSD: We are up 1040+ pips from our previous setup! Gold has risen from 3268 to 3364, helping us make substantial positive gains. However, after reaching the $3364 region, the price dropped around 3310 and has since been fluctuating between 3310 and 3340, making it challenging to trade. There’s a possibility that the price might touch 3400 once again before it drops.
Good luck and trade safely.
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Gold ended it cycle or not from elliote wave prspective?Hello traders
Alot of Elliote advisor see the curent move of gold as 5 wave and ending of big cycle
While other specially the neowave one donot agree with them and they pointing 4700 as target!
My oponion is close to old school elliotisian who see the market should rest for while before its next movement.
What do you think about it?
Gold’s ATH Rally Slowing Down – Needs Correction!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been on a strong uptrend in recent weeks , creating a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day. Will a new ATH be created after $3,500 in the coming days? What do you think?
Gold is moving between the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has started to form Corrective Waves after recording the latest ATH . Gold is completing a Zigzag Correction wave (ABC/5-3-5) ( most likely ).
I expect Gold to start declining again after approaching the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and attack the Support lines and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) . It seems like Gold needs a correction , do you agree with me!? In the worst-case scenario for my analysis, Gold starts falling from the resistance zone($3,431-$3,406) .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,440, we can expect more pumps and maybe make na ew All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Short gold directlyGold's 1-hour moving average is still in the form of a dead cross, and gold fell back again after rising high, so gold is now beginning to fluctuate. Although gold broke through the 3367 line, gold did not stand firm after the breakthrough. For the time being, gold is still fluctuating in a wide range.
Gold Analysis – New Leg of Correction Incoming?It’s been a “special” week for Gold, with wild swings that kept me mostly on the sidelines – except for Monday’s take profit. Now, however, the market is starting to show more clarity.
❓ Has the Market Topped Out?
After a dip to 3260, the price reversed sharply, gaining over 1,000 pips to reach 3367. Yet, both recent attempts to push higher were rejected.
Now, with the spike from 3360 to 3500 looking like a blow-off top, the stage seems set for a new leg of correction.
🔍 Key Technical Signs:
• Heavy selling pressure near recent highs.
• Price action suggests buyers are exhausted.
• 3370 becomes a key resistance – as long as it holds, bearish setups are favored.
📉 Trading Plan:
My approach is simple:
👉 Sell rallies
🎯 Target: a 1,000+ pip drop if 3370 remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds.
The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked
The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying.
Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains.
Quaid's analysis:
Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm.
The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark.
Market operation strategies:
Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380
Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330