Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Today's xauusd trend shows obvious signals!!!Since this week, the gold market has fluctuated upward on Monday, unilaterally rose on Tuesday, and may adjust on Wednesday. With the accumulation of market sentiment, it is expected to break through the previous highs on Thursday and Friday and continue to explore the 2980-3000 area.
Gold technical analysis:
From the technical analysis point of view, the gold four-hour K-line chart clearly shows a triple top pattern. The 2940 line is like an insurmountable natural gap. Every time the K-line touches this point, it will be ruthlessly blocked. At present, the deviation between the K-line and the moving average is large. According to market rules, the K-line will most likely move closer to the moving average in the short term. After careful analysis, the moving average is near 2910, which has become our expected target price. At present, we will still focus on the highs of 2940-2950. This is the third time that the point 0 has been touched. If there are repeated fluctuations here and no historical highs are broken, I still think that gold will continue to fall and continue to maintain box-shaped fluctuations. This is the current market trend!
Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is mainly to short on rebound and long on pullback. In the short term, pay attention to the upper pressure 2940-2942 line resistance, and pay attention to the lower support 2916-2905. Now we will wait patiently for a suitable trading plan.
Mr. Baker OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Long xauusd again made a big profitAfter the last transaction, the order successfully reached tp. The trader who followed made a good profit on the last transaction because the increase was more than 30 p.
The current position of gold price is around 2930, facing the upper pressure level. Combining technical indicators and trend lines to judge that the short-term gold price will be blocked and then sharply corrected and fell.
The upper pressure level that needs to be paid attention to is around 2940.
If you are concerned about when the gold price will fall and have seen this article, then you can consider following the trading plan to short.
Xauusd: Sell, 2930. Sl2945. Tp2900.
Gold–A Bullish Revival or Just a Correction After Friday's Drop?Yesterday was a very quiet day for TRADENATION:XAUUSD traders.
After a normal rebound from the 2880 support, the price hovered around 2900 in a low-volatility environment.
Overnight, bulls found some strength and pushed the price to a high of 2916. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 2910.
In my view, this is merely a correction following Friday’s sharp drop, not a resumption of the bullish trend. As I mentioned yesterday, I am looking to sell rallies.
My idea would be invalidated by a daily close above Friday’s high.
As for the target, in the medium term, we could see the price drop to 2850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty
Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold
Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement.
Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure
In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory.
Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938
Support levels: 2905 and 2893
The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward.
A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over.
Conclusion
Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
XAU/USD 18 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
H15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Teeters on the Edge: 2942 Retest Before the Big Leap!XAU/USD: Gold Eyes New Highs as Market Dynamics Align for Further Upside
Gold (XAU/USD) is once again testing its all-time high (ATH), a critical technical level that historically increases the probability of continued upward momentum. With the psychological 3000 level gradually coming into focus, the market remains on edge, closely monitoring key economic data and geopolitical developments that could fuel the next leg higher.
Current Market Conditions & Fundamental Drivers
Gold’s latest consolidation phase follows an impressive rally, maintaining its long-term uptrend while digesting recent gains. The metal remains well-supported by a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors that continue to favor bullish sentiment:
Trump’s Tariff Plans: Former U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his stance on imposing tariffs if re-elected, a policy move that historically strengthens gold as investors hedge against trade uncertainty and inflationary pressures.
Federal Reserve’s Dovish Shift: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to initiate rate cuts remain elevated. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at the necessity of monetary easing, he has refrained from providing a specific timeline. This uncertainty has kept the dollar under pressure, indirectly benefiting gold.
Weakening Dollar & Falling Bond Yields: Recent Producer Price Index (PPI) data reinforced a dovish sentiment, signaling softening inflationary pressures. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields have reacted accordingly, weakening in response and creating a more favorable environment for non-yielding assets like gold.
Markets have also digested the delay in tariff implementations and mixed messages from policymakers. While the rhetoric from Powell and Trump suggests a growing consensus on the need for lower interest rates, the lack of concrete action leaves room for speculation-driven volatility.
Technical Landscape: Key Levels & Price Structure
Gold is currently consolidating just below its ATH, with a delicate balance between profit-taking and renewed buying pressure. The key technical levels to watch include:
Resistance Levels:
$2942.6 – The immediate barrier gold needs to clear to confirm a breakout.
$2950 – A psychological and technical level that, if breached, could accelerate bullish momentum toward the much-anticipated 3000 mark.
Support Levels:
$2929 – A critical short-term support zone that has previously acted as a springboard for renewed buying interest.
$2922 – A deeper support level where buyers may step in to defend the uptrend.
$2908 – A major pivot point; a break below this level could signal a temporary shift in momentum.
Potential Scenarios & Market Outlook
Direct ATH Retest & Breakout
If gold manages to sustain its momentum and push past $2942-$2950, a test of ATH will be imminent. A decisive breakout above this level could open the doors for a rapid move toward $2975 and beyond, with $3000 becoming a realistic short-term target.
Support Retest Before Further Upside
Should gold fail to break above immediate resistance, a pullback toward $2929-$2922 remains a plausible scenario. This retracement would likely serve as a healthy correction, providing stronger support for the next leg higher.
Deeper Correction Toward $2908
While less likely in the absence of a major catalyst, a sharper decline could see gold testing $2908. Such a move would challenge the uptrend in the short term but might present an attractive buying opportunity for long-term bulls.
Market Catalysts Ahead: U.S. Retail Sales Data
The upcoming U.S. retail sales report is poised to be a key market-moving event. Strong consumer spending data could momentarily boost the dollar, exerting short-term pressure on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected retail numbers would reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, adding fuel to gold’s bullish narrative.
Final Thoughts: Bullish Momentum Intact, Eyes on ATH
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with macroeconomic factors and technical signals aligning in favor of further gains. While a support retest is possible before another rally, the overall trajectory remains bullish, with the 3000 milestone inching closer. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on resistance levels and upcoming economic data, as they could dictate the next major move in gold’s journey toward new highs.
Gold at Key Resistance – Waiting for a Short SetupGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, but I believe a selling opportunity may emerge soon.
• Price is trading near the top of a rising channel, approaching a key resistance zone.
• Overextension and possible exhaustion could signal a reversal or deeper pullback.
• My approach is to wait for confirmation—signs of weakening momentum, bearish price action, or fundamental shifts before entering a short position.
Technical Outlook:
• Resistance: $2,900 - $3,000 (potential rejection area)
• Support: $2,600 - $2,500 (targets if a sell-off occurs)
• Indicators: Watching RSI for overbought conditions and candlestick patterns for reversal signs
Fundamental Factors:
• U.S. economic outlook – A strong labor market or inflation surprises could pressure gold.
• Central bank demand – If demand slows, gold may correct.
• Geopolitical risks – Uncertainty could delay a reversal, but a shift in sentiment may trigger selling.
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold dipped below $2,900 on Friday but is set to close the week with over 0.80% gains as traders book profits. In this video, we break down the latest market moves: sharply plunging US Retail Sales, a weakening US Dollar, and improving US Industrial Production. Central banks continue ramping up their gold purchases, with the World Gold Council reporting over 1,000 tons bought in 2024. With Fed funds rate futures pricing in 38.5 basis points of easing for 2025, what does this mean for gold's future? Join me as I analyze these trends and prepare to capture the next move in the gold market this week.
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Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 17 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD BuyXAUUSD Buy now Target 2926
Or 2909
XAUUSD today strong buy.
As of February 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trajectory, recently surpassing the $2,900 per ounce mark. This surge is primarily driven by escalating global trade tensions and economic uncertainties, notably following President Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Such geopolitical developments have heightened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts project that if current conditions persist, gold prices could approach or even exceed the $3,000 per ounce threshold in the near future. For instance, J.P. Morgan has forecasted an average gold price of $2,950 for 2025, with potential peaks reaching $3,000, citing gold's effectiveness as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
XAU/USD 17-21 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD heading for another ATH? I anticipate that gold will continue rising from the current price level around 2,880, targeting the relative equal highs above. Once price sweeps this liquidity, it will establish a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if price starts to accumulate and slow down, we could see a deeper mitigation, possibly into the 7-hour demand zone or even the 6-hour demand zone below. This would set the stage for a larger move to the upside.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
- Price has broken structure to the upside and remains in a strong bullish trend.
- Relative equal highs above provide a liquidity target for price.
- Price is currently sitting in a 4-hour demand zone, with additional key demand areas nearby.
- Gold continues to rally, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions.
P.S. If price reaches the 6-hour supply zone and starts forming a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames, we may see a potential downside move from that point of interest (POI).
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
Profitable trading methodsDear Traders,
Since yesterday, I have maintained my short strategy on gold, entering small positions at 2919, 2927, and 2939, with a TP set at 2916. Gold faced resistance near the 2940 zone and has since retraced, hitting the TP of 2916 as expected. All of our short positions were closed with a profit when the TP was reached.
Based on the current structure, the 2940 region remains a significant resistance zone for gold in the short term. If gold fails to break this resistance, it could potentially form a double top pattern, which would favor further downside movement. We should first focus on the support at 2915-2910, and then monitor the 2900-2895 region for additional support. If gold manages to hold above 2900 during the pullback, we should avoid aggressively chasing short positions, as a potential liquidity increase could attract more buying interest.
For the upcoming trades, there are two possible scenarios:
1. If gold rebounds above 2930, we can consider shorting again.
2. If gold maintains support above 2910-2900 or fails to break below this range, we could look to take long positions.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold and made a profit? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 14 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD "GOLD" POTENTIALLY BULLISHWe have seen OANDA:XAUUSD continue in the strong bullish rush creating higher highs and higher lows along the line. In the most recent time, price broke out on the most recent high (2,883.097) and not only found it as a support zone but also gave a price action candle showing some rejection of same zone.
My take, if this current H4 candle closes as a bullish candle in the next few hours, I will be going long with my first targets at 2,935 and then ride the move with a "breath-able" trailing stop
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, trading instruments like gold is high risk