STEEL LONGSteel has been contracting and is ripe for a huge move. This is a long term trade 3 months to a Year.
Look for steel stocks like NASDAQ:STLD NYSE:CLF NYSE:NUE
This is from studying other minerals which have broken out for Huge moves. 80% plus on average. If you leverage your position. You can squeeze a 120% return from a 80% move.
Coal led by NYSE:AMR NYSE:HCC
Uranium led by NYSE:NXE AMEX:UEC NYSE:CCJ
SLX trade ideas
SLX Steel ETF Monthly view. Be aware of strong seasonalitySteel has been on a rip. New 52 week highs in:
STLD steel 999 sctr rating
SLX steel 996 sctr rating
ZEUS steel 974 sctr rating
(see stockcharts.com for definition of sctr rating).
Barchart has a strong buy on the ETF, with acknowledgement that reopening China is good for business. But before I would jump on the FOMO bandwagon, I would take note of the very strong seasonal downtrend that has occurred around every May. Ride it a little longer maybe but be ready to hop off the train.
ABC BullishPossible Bull flag that has not broken upper trendline. Flags are neutral until a trendline is broken.
Commodities are volatile and long entry price can be very important. There is a small gap under price. My mental stop is below that gap.
This is an ETF but represents a commodity. SLX - VanEck Vectors Steel ETF
No recommendation.
A person may not like someone's religion, but they will accept his gold (o:
Steel long-term fate1 candle = 1 month. Which shows us a 10 year down-trend which is about to be tested.
If we break R1, R2 is the next potential move. Since early november we haven't broken the 10sma, which can be used to exit half your position.
Fundamentally speaking, it appears the market is expecting the stimulus bill which might come in the next months, and will most likely help the Infrastructure play.
RSI is 62 on a monthly basis, on a daily basis it is 80.
I would keep it on a watchlist until we break this downtrend, if you haven't been able to participate so far.
Check out my last analysis on Steel since late october down below.
Undervalued Steel BreakoutTechnical Analysis
We have a breakout on strong intraday volume (200% above 10-day average).
RSI @67 - still not overbought.
OBV has been supportive.
Because we are in a longer down-trend, we will see multiple resistance; which will very helpful to set your limits.
Risk reward ratio is great, using $32.3 as stop-limit loss, and $39 as a sell-exit.
Be careful of a fake break-out, as this is only the 1st day.
Fundamental Analysis
One of the infrastructure plays with expected fiscal stimulus, could be steel.
As price is king, it tells a more accurate story of what market makers think of the upcoming events.
SLX I do not like this negative divergence in the steel sectorWe closed the week back testing the range break. I initiated a short in X Friday. I am careful chasing after crowded trades these days and the Tariff sectors are very crowded. I also want to mention news out that GM cutting production of their Cruze. Low demand. That is an initial red flag auto sales in general might be sluggish.
Steel is looking AMAZING right now!!!!!Hey Guys,
Gonna make this very quick.
Steel is looking ridiculous right now. It broke out of its logarithmic resistance (extremely hard thing to do, took around 8 years), is at a daily resistance right now of around 51.60, and has fantastic potential to jump up to 57.00-58.00 MINIMUM, 76.00 being Aggressive. That doesn't even include the new tariff Trump put in place!
I don't prefer to invest in ETF's, so I've found some very specific steel or steel-related value stocks who have grown with the same correlation as the ETF but at a faster Rate of Change. I posted about one recently, VALE, so feel free to check that one out. There are still a couple of gems I've found that I haven't posted about, so see if you can go find them on your own!!
Always try to diversify portfolio's anyway but not in some random, bullshit way. Try to find sectors or stocks with high growth potential and diversify among a couple of them! Steel is a great diversification from Technology so if you have a Nasdaq heavy portfolio, feel free to add some steel to it!
I wouldn't invest yet though, if we break 52 with good volume though, 57 should be achievable in no time and the 5-Day MA should begin to slope upward.
Remember though, do not, and I mean ever, for anybody, follow their advice blindly. I'm not licensed in any way shape or form, just interested to share my ideas with y'all and start a discussion, so make sure to do your own DD!
Any questions, leave them down below!