Natural Gas - A Strong Move Boosts Our ETF IdeaSo far this year, we have published two ideas on Natural Gas. One on the long side (via the UNG ETF) and one on the short side directly via the commodity.
UNG ETF on 14 May: This idea has appreciated via 35% and 44% from confirmation and publication respectively, with the full target of $14.60 being reached last week Thursday. The original idea via my research report has been inserted on the chart.
NG: A counter-trend short/sell on 12 August at $4.00. We traded lower, down to to 3.73 (a 'short' move of -6.75%). As noted via my research, a trailing stop was applicable.
So far the NatGas has continue to advance, with the medium term setup prevailing vs the short term setup.
What to know what's next for the commodity or which other ETF is setting up as a buy? Get in touch today.
UNG trade ideas
Natural Gas Made a Strong Bounce Today (UNG)Exactly what I was hoping for if you referred to my previous post. We've had a strong bounce off of support after our smaller retracement and I expect this to go up to about $15.64 (ish) and from there I can only guess a strong retracement (based on storage volumes etc, but we'll see).
I've been waiting for this pullback!!UNG has been on a bit of a tear. I think the recent run in Natural Gas has had less to do with inflationary pressures and more to do with increased US output and decreased reserves. We've broken a major resistance level and we are currently in pullback mode but I am expecting one more push to the blue line (which I think corresponds to $4 on the exchange). After that I expect a big pullback so switching to shorts I think would be prudent given natural gases normal "tendencies."
UNG - That will do pig, that will do.
This little piggy is heading out for slaughter soon - its been a great run for Natural Gas.
Right now it looks like its nothing but gas is holding it up - revision to the mean is due at about $12.80
Having traded UNG in the past there is negative drag on this product (its always going down) because its rolling futures contracts.
/NG is in backwardation - its cheaper in the future.
UNG - natural gas fund - start of a huge uptrend?Last wave down was in 5 waves, I assume this to be the terminal wave and we are observing a long-term reversal.
To the nearest simple fibo pullback 38% is more than 300% growth potential... I would call it a minimum target.
This is also a part of a clean energy megatrend, natural gas is used to be a part of @green energy@
DYOR in any case
Booya!! Inflation saves the dayInreased costs (driven by a lot of factors) continues to inflate commodity prices. Natural Gas has been a real garbage dump recently but this morning made a very bullish move. I have now completed what I expect the channel to look like but going forward a pull back should be waited for before buying in.
Natural Gas Set for a Small Fall (UNG)Sorry guys I haven't written in a while (Royal College specialist exams and whatnot) but natural gas is putting in a beautiful ascending wedge. To take full advantage I would short now with a stop at the upper overhead resistance. With regards to the bigger picture this is a higher low so I actually expect the trend to continue up shortly thereafter, but in a weighted ETF or something I figure its worth 5 or 6%.
Bottom FishingHow low can she go?? LOL
UNG hit an all time low of 8.58 a few days ago..
When price is this low, I am like "Why not" But I guess it can go even lower..only time will tell..
This got my attention on Chartmill as they have a page that shows large player activity using the effective volume indicator.
I do recall this one can be volatile
Not a recommendation
UNGPossible scenario for UNG. I have no position. I bot an option based on what someone told me it would do earlier this month and I lost my $25 (🤣🤣🤣 That never happens!!) Anyway, I'm thinking about revenge trading it so I started looking at it closer. Not really positive this is a broadening wedge.
Collapse in Natural Gase (UNG), Further Declines AheadOur bullish declining wedge broke today foreshadowing further loses and declines in UNG. I advised all prospective and speculative day traders to wait until their was a clear sign up and no to pre-empt the trend because the collapse through support could mean further loses to eight and some change (I've drawn in the new lower support level). Let's keep an eye on it but the large declining wedge from 2016 I don't think has finished playing out. An ETF to play with further declines is symbol KOLD.
Will the bullish declining wedge hold for Natural Gas (UNG)?I've been doing well watching this bounce back and forth in this triangle, but now the moment of reckoning has arrived. About 30% of the time these wedges don't follow their pattern and breakdown and this might too. We have to watch very closely but if it moves up it could be good for all of us!!
Tari CondorHi guys,
this is the best of the week!
2weeks, 8% strikes, implied volatilty is very high, IV rank>75, so this is a perfect scenario to trade this iron condor, because our odds match high IV. This means I feel confy highering a bit the size of the opration, usually my risk is 2-3%, this time I can risk a little bit more.
Enjoy your wallet!
Tari.
New Upleg for Natty Gas?We had our first green candle in a while after I called an intermediate top after the breakout a couple of weeks ago. We are still in a strong uptrend and the turn yesterday (despite opening down over 2% at the open) is a bullish sign. Today I am looking for a confirmation signal or one in the coming days.