AUDCHF: Breaks Below ATLPrice is breaking below the ascending trendline (ATL), which is a signal that the counter-trend move is coming to an end.
The H1 timeframe also demonstrates confluence across price's crossover below the ATL and price's acceleration away from the EMAs.
This is further supported by the fact that price is holding below the horizontal trendline (HTL) on the daily timeframe. We can overall maintain a bearish bias for the time being.
Given that this trade signal is close to the 5 PM rollover, it may result in a closure and then re-entry to avoid a spread spike.
Trade ideas
AUDCHF SHORT FROM SUPPLY ZONE|
✅AUDCHF is showing rejection from a major supply zone, suggesting that smart money is preparing for a bearish continuation toward the lower liquidity pool. The setup remains valid while below the supply range. Time Frame 3H.
SHORT🔥
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?AUD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.51680
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.52129
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.50986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUDCHF – 15M Reversal WinPatience paid off. On the 15-minute chart, AUDCHF gave us exactly what we were waiting for:
✅ Strong resistance zone
✅ Engulfing candle confirmation
✅ Volume spike at 81
✅ Momentum already high and aligned with divergence
Once all the triggers lined up, the market dropped almost straight down — hitting profit quickly. 🚀
This is the power of waiting for alignment. No guessing, no chasing… just letting the VMS Strategy do its job.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
#Forex #AUDCHF #VMSStrategy #AlignedExecution #TradingView
AUDCHF – Testing Strong Resistance (15M Chart)On the 15-minute timeframe, AUDCHF is pressing into a solid resistance zone. Momentum is already high, suggesting the potential for a down move.
But remember: the 15M chart can be much more volatile than higher timeframes. For a confirmed VMS setup, we still need:
✅ A clean engulfing candle to the downside
✅ Volume spike (75+) to show strong intent
Until those triggers align, this one stays on watch. Patience first — the signals will tell us when to act.
#Forex #AUDCHF #VMSStrategy #TradingView
AUD CHF - H1AUD CHF has been in a bearish trend making Lower Lows and Lower highs.
Price is currently pulling back up to the Fib golden zone of 0.5-0.618 levels. Price has also formed a hidden divergence potentially signalling a downward movement from here.
Confluences for the trade:
- Lower Lows, Lower highs being formed, showing a downtrend.
- Price Pulling back to the 0.5-0.618 Fib Levels.
- Price in a Descending Channel.
- Hidden divergence being formed indicating downward movement
- Price touching the 200 EMA which acts as dynamic support/resistance
BULLS SHOWING STRENGTH Hello traders! We are taking a look at this market for potential buy opportunities. This market made its all time low in April this year which was just below 0.50000 (around 0.49992 from Forex.com). Price dropped to 0.50777 to end the week nearly testing this low and quickly rallied back up to 0.51530. This move leaves us to safely assume the bulls are regaining control as we close above Thursday’s close (0.51427). If this bias is correct, this market could potentially breakout of this downtrend channel to revisit 0.52000 next week. We will continue to looking for other confirmations to support this idea.
AUDCHF: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
AUDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy AUDCHF
Entry Level - 0.5184
Sl - 0.5177
Tp - 0.5200
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDCHFFor a farmer or investor seeking year-round agricultural export income, a mix of perennial crops (tea, coffee, macadamia, avocado) and annual/hydroponic crops (herbs, vegetables, garlic) offers the most resilient business model. Each complements the other to cover seasonal gaps, ensuring steady revenue and reduced risk of market dependency.
Bullish reversal off multi swing low support?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot, which is a multi swing low support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.51709
1st Support: 0.51352
1st Resistance: 0.52228
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AUDCHF SELLWith AUD/CHF having broken below 0.5200 to approximately 0.5190, this confirms continuation of the bearish momentum indicated earlier.
Implications:
Breaking 0.5200 support reinforces downside potential toward the next major support at around 0.5160 and potentially further down closer to 0.5100.After breaking the 0.5100 then downward to 0.5000.
Selling pressure is likely to increase with this decisive break, favoring short positions on any rallies up to previous support turned resistance near 0.5200.
A key stop-loss area would be above 0.5250–0.5286 to manage risk if a short-term reversal arises.
Fundamental Picture
AUD Headwinds: Australian dollar remains weak due to soft commodity prices and risk-off sentiment globally. RBA is on hold, providing no fresh support.
CHF Strength: Swiss franc continues to benefit from safe-haven flows amid global uncertainty and stable economic data in Switzerland.
Risk-off flows: Favors CHF over AUD, especially in environments where traders seek safety.
Suggested Trade Approach:
Sell on pullbacks near 0.5200 with targets near 0.5160 and 0.5100 then lastly 0.5000.
AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.518
Target Level: 0.524
Stop Loss: 0.514
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅AUDCHF retraced perfectly from the supply zone, confirming bearish order flow alignment. Price is now likely to target the next liquidity pool around 0.5210 for continuation.
—————————
Entry: 0.5238
Stop Loss: 0.5249
Take Profit: 0.5210
Time Frame: 2H.
—————————
SHORT🔥
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AUDCHF
The SNB’s key policy interest rate is currently 0.00%
This rate is the lowest among major central banks and reflects SNB’s cautious stance amid a fragile global economic context and trade tensions.
Head of SNB
The Chairman of the Governing Board (equivalent to head of SNB) is Martin Schlegel, who assumed office on October 1, 2024.
Schlegel has a strong background in economics and central banking, previously serving as Vice-Chairman and a close ally to his predecessor Thomas Jordan.
His leadership is expected to continue monetary policy continuity while addressing financial stability issues, especially after the 2023 Credit Suisse crisis.
Economic Outlook
The SNB notes inflation pressures have practically remained unchanged recently at about 1.1%, within its price stability goals.
The Swiss economy faces uncertainty due in part to increased tariffs from the U.S. (up to 39%), impacting exports and trade.
SNB emphasizes maintaining price stability while fostering steady economic growth.
Inflation is currently low but monitored carefully amid global risks such as U.S. trade policies and economic developments.
Financial stability concerns also remain a focus post-Credit Suisse and UBS merger.
SNB RATE =0.00%
CH10Y=0.245%
The current cash rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as of October 2025 is 3.60%. The RBA has held this rate steady at recent meetings amid a cautious outlook on inflation and economic growth.
The Governor of the RBA is Michele Bullock, who commenced her role on September 18, 2023. She previously served as Deputy Governor and held various senior positions within the RBA. Michele Bullock is known for her focus on price stability and full employment and is actively engaged in monetary policy formulation and financial regulation.
RBA =3.60%
AU10Y=4.319%
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL = 4.319%-0.245%=4.074%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL = 3.60%-0.0%=3.6%
THE YIELD AND INTEREST RATE IN FAVOUR OF AUD BUT THE PAIR REMAINS BEARISH.
Why is AUDCHF Bearish Despite Favorable Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential for AUD?
Despite Australia having higher bond yields and interest rates relative to Switzerland, AUDCHF is bearish due to several key factors:
1. Safe Haven Demand for CHF
The Swiss Franc (CHF) is traditionally a safe haven currency. In times of global geopolitical uncertainty, market volatility, or risk aversion, investors flock to CHF, strengthening it even when Australian fundamentals appear stronger.
Recent tensions and global uncertainty have intensified demand for CHF, offsetting AUD’s yield advantage.
2. Swiss Economic Stability
Switzerland shows relatively stable inflation and retail sales growth, supporting confidence in CHF holdings.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a cautious approach but secure economic fundamentals bolster CHF against riskier currencies.
3. Commodity Price Headwinds
Australia’s currency is heavily tied to commodity exports like iron ore and coal.
Moderation or declines in commodity prices weigh on AUD, undermining the yield advantage.
The AUD suffers when commodity markets are weak or show signs of slowing demand.
4. RBA Rate Pause and Housing Market Slowdown
The Reserve Bank of Australia has paused or signaled caution in rate hikes after several moves, limiting further interest rate support for AUD.
The Australian housing market growth is slowing, suggesting domestic economic momentum may be weakening.
5. Technical and Market Sentiment
Technical analysis shows AUDCHF is in a bearish trend with supply zones holding strong and resistance keeping the pair contained below certain levels.
Market sentiment remains cautious on AUDCHF due to the above macro risks and safe haven flows into CHF.
The bearish AUDCHF despite favorable interest rate differentials reflects a mix of safe haven CHF flows, stable Swiss economy, commodity price pressure on AUD, and market technical factors. The yield advantage alone is insufficient to overcome these headwinds currently.
#AUDCHF #AU10Y #CH10Y






















