My Thoughts #005My thoughts are that the pair will sell...
The daily trend is very much bullish and with trend once it have made a new High(HH)
We need to see it printing a new Low(HL)
Confirmation?
I see a Consolidation/Accumulation and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the manipulation what would come next would be distribution...
The pair might just continue buying
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
AUDUSD.1.MINI trade ideas
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.6418
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6394
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6466
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD Looks Set for a PullbackThe V-bottom on AUD/USD certainly delivered for bulls, considering its low was printed amid a flurry of panicked headlines with the Aussie was on the brink of falling below 59c. But we're yet to see a pullback, even though it has been teasing one for a few weeks.
But given AUD/USD formed its most bearish day since April 4 on Wednesday, with a bearish engulfing candle which saw a false break of 65c before closing beneath its 200-day SMA, perhaps a pullback is imminent.
Also note the bearish divergence on the RSI (2).
Bears could seek to fade into moves towards the 200-day SMA, and retain a bearish bias while prices remain beneath Wednesday's high. A retest of the April VPOC at 0.6371 seems feasible, and a break beneath the 0.6344 low assumes a much larger correction is underway.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUD_USD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 0.6450
And the breakout
Is confirmed so as the pair keeps
Growing we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD | Rising Channel Rejection at Resistance Zone (4H AnalysiAUDUSD has been respecting a rising channel since February, but price is now stalling near the top of the structure, just below a strong resistance zone.
• Bearish Rejection: Price has tested this blue resistance box multiple times with wicks showing rejection.
• Key Levels:
• Resistance Zone: 0.64000 - 0.64100
• Support Line: Lower boundary of the rising channel
• If price breaks below the channel, we could see a correction toward 0.63580 and potentially lower.
This setup is ideal for watching bearish confirmation or breakout retest entries. Bullish momentum would need to break and close above the resistance zone for continuation.
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUDUSD potential bullrunI am expecting from the weekly timeframe to form the wick that means the retracement from 2h timeframe and in the zone of AOI daily to have a shift of structure then continue to the upside, We'll see!
DISCLAIMER! The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by me.
The VWAP Blueprint: Your Gateway to Smart Money MovesVWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price
What is VWAP?
VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. It’s a trading benchmark that gives the
average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. This makes it
more accurate than a simple moving average, especially for intraday analysis.
Unlike regular moving averages that treat every price equally, VWAP emphasizes price levels
where heavier trading occurred, providing a realistic snapshot of the true average market price institutions and algorithms are interacting with.
The VWAP Bounce + Rejection Entry Strategy helps you enter trades at optimal zones of value
using the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP). This dynamic line acts as a magnet for
price and often becomes a bounce zone when volume aligns.
Instead of guessing support or resistance levels, this strategy lets you use VWAP as a real-
time value guide, waiting for price to pull into it, show rejection, and bounce away with
momentum.
How VWAP Works
The VWAP is calculated cumulatively from the market open:
VWAP = (Cumulative Price × Volume) / Cumulative Volume
With each tick or candle:
Multiply the price by volume.
Add it to the previous cumulative total.
Divide by the total volume so far.
This means VWAP resets daily and builds throughout the session, offering real-time insight
Into what traders are willing to pay based on volume-weighted interest.
Why VWAP Matters
When price pulls back into VWAP and bounces with rejection, it signals that traders are
defending value. Smart money often uses VWAP as a tool for entries or exits. When you align
with that behavior and combine it with a clean rejection candle, you get a high-probability
trade setup that’s based on logic and flow, not emotion.
1. Institutional Benchmark
Institutions and smart money often aim to buy below VWAP (to secure a better-than-average
price) and sell above VWAP. So the line often acts as a magnet or barrier where decisions
cluster.
2. Intraday Bias Gauge
Price above VWAP: Buyers dominate; bullish bias.
Price below VWAP: Sellers control; bearish bias.
3. Support/Resistance & Mean Reversion
VWAP behaves like a dynamic equilibrium level. Price frequently:
Pulls back to VWAP during trends
Here's a clear down trend 50 and 200 ma cross over. Await a pull back to trend or ma for continuation.
Reverts to VWAP in consolidations
Finds support/resistance at or around VWAP
How to Use VWAP in Trading
1. Trend Confirmation
Use VWAP as a bias filter: if price is cleanly above, favor longs if below, favor shorts.
Combine it with higher highs/lows (or lower highs/lows) to validate trend strength.
2. Entry Opportunities
In an uptrend: look for pullbacks to VWAP as a buy zone
In a downtrend: look for retests of VWAP as a short opportunity.
3. Mean Reversion Strategy
If price is far extended from VWAP, and volume shows divergence or exhaustion, consider
fading the move with a target toward VWAP (especially in range-bound sessions).
4. Anchored VWAP
You can anchor VWAP to specific candles, like a major high, low, or news release, to gauge
value zones within a custom context.
Best Timeframes for VWAP
Intraday trading (1min to 15min): Ideal for scalpers and day traders.
VWAP resets daily it’s not designed for swing trading unless you're using anchored VWAP.
Pro Tips
Don’t use VWAP in isolation pair it with:
Market structure (HH/LL, BOS/CHoCH)
Volume spikes or divergence
Liquidity zones (order blocks, FVGs, imbalance)
Session opens (London/NY open confluence)
Use VWAP for confluence with other tools, not as a single trigger.
VWAP is more than just a line it's a window into the heartbeat of the market. It shows where
real money is positioned and whether you’re trading with or against that flow.
Used with structure and context, VWAP becomes a weapon for precision entries, smart risk, and clean execution.
Vwap entry types
1. VWAP Bounce (Mean Reversion Entry)
Best for: Range-bound or early in the session.
Entry: Price pulls back to VWAP and shows signs of rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle).
Confirmation: Look for confluence with support/resistance, order blocks, or volume spikes.
Stop: Below the recent swing low (if long).
Target: Prior high or key level.
2. VWAP Break and Retest (Trend Continuation)
Best for: Trending markets.
Entry: Price breaks above VWAP with momentum and retests it from the other side.
Confirmation: Lower time frame bullish structure, bullish candle on retest.
Stop: Below VWAP or structure low.
Target: pivot levels or structure high, fib levels.
3. VWAP Reclaim (Reversal Entry)
Best for: Capturing a shift in momentum.
Entry: Price moves below VWAP, then reclaims it (closes back above with strength).
Confirmation: Break of market structure + volume surge
Stop: Below reclaim candle.
Target: Range high or key fib levels.
4. VWAP Confluence with Other Indicators
Combine with:
Moving Averages: e.g., 9, 50 and 200 SMA OR EMA
Fibonacci retracement levels
Order blocks / Liquidity zones
Pivot points
Use VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance level and enter when multiple signals align.
Vwap examples
AUDUSD – Buy Limit Setup (Intraday Idea)Expires: 08/05/2025 06:00
Trade Summary
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 0.6450
Target: 0.6510
Stop Loss: 0.6435
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~4:1
Duration: Intraday
Technical View
Medium-term bias remains bullish, suggesting the overall trend supports higher prices.
We anticipate a temporary dip, offering an opportunity to enter at more favourable levels.
Bespoke support at 0.6450 aligns with the Buy Limit entry, providing a strong technical foundation.
Despite some bearish divergence, short-term corrections are expected to be limited.
A move above 0.6500 may reaffirm the bullish momentum.
Upcoming US Events to Watch
07/05 15:30: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report
07/05 19:00: U.S. Interest Rate Decision
Key Technical Levels
Support: 0.6450 / 0.6430 / 0.6405
Resistance: 0.6500 / 0.6530 / 0.6550
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
MarketBreakdown | AUDUSD, EURAUD, US100, CHFJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The pair has completed a bullish accumulation and violated
a resistance line of a horizontal range on a daily.
A new higher high higher close confirms a strong bullish sentiment
and a highly probably continuation of an uptrend.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The price has recently violated a significant daily support cluster.
After a breakout, the price dropped but did not manage
to reach any important demand zone so far.
The closest one is based on 1.742 level.
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
3️⃣ #US100 daily time frame
The market is currently retesting a recently broken
massive daily demand cluster.
I believe that the growth will resume soon
and the price will reach 20300.
4️⃣ #CHFJPY daily time frame 🇨🇭🇯🇵
The pair is currently testing a critical contracting demand
zone based on a rising trend line and a horizontal support.
I will expect a strong bullish reaction to that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD USDAUD/USD – Re-entry Setup in Play
Price has offered a re-entry opportunity at 0.64653, aligning with previous structure. This setup remains valid for those who were stopped out or took partial profits earlier.
Entry: 0.64653
Stop Loss: 0.65144
Target: 0.62680
We're watching for a continuation lower as long as price remains below 0.65144. Maintain risk management.
#AUDUSD #forex #priceaction #technicalanalysis
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Aussie H4 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6451 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6524 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6336 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Fri 9th May 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
My Thoughts #003 I can see that the pair pushed higher. Invalidating my last post.
But I still see sells and here is how?
As you can see the pair made a high and you can see it took out the most recent low that made that high signalling that the pair has choch and I am enter based on this confluence.
1: A choch and Breakout of the trendline.
2: the market went to the most recent supply zone and cleared the equal highs.
The market can invalidate the set up so use proper risk management
Let's do the most.