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AUDUSD.1.MINI trade ideas

AUDUSDAUD/USD Trade Directional Bias and Central Bank Impact Current AUD/USD Overview (April 2025) AUD/USD is will face 0.65362 a critical resistance zone which is also a break of demand floor ,after the weekly candle breaks 0.63675 that has capped gains throughout 2025. The pair faces mixed signals from central bank policies, technical levels, and geopolitical risks. Below is a breakdown of key drivers: Central Bank Leaders and Policy Outlook RBA Michele Bullock Cautiously dovish: Held rates at 4.10% in April but signaled openness to cuts if inflation eases. Prioritizes data dependency amid U.S. tariff uncertainty, RBA next meeting will be 7 May 2025 ) Rate cuts (expected in May/July) could weaken AUD. Fed Jerome Powell Under political pressure: Trump criticizes Powell for "keeping rates too high." Markets price in 2025 rate cuts if U.S. inflation cool.the next fed meeting will be 14–15 May 2025 (Next FOMC) ,if feds remains Dovish ,Fed shifts would weaken USD, boosting AUD/USD. Key Economic Calendar Events RBA Meetings (7 May, 18 June, 6 August) A 25 bps cut is 80% priced for May and fully priced for July. Bullock’s cautious tone suggests cuts depend on inflation and tariff impacts. U.S. Inflation Data (10 May, 12 June) Softer CPI/PPI could accelerate Fed rate cuts, weakening USD. U.S.-China Trade Developments Escalating tariffs (e.g., Trump’s 10% levy on Australian imports) risk AUD downside, but de-escalation could boost risk sentiment. Conclusion AUD/USD’s bias leans cautiously bullish if Fed dovishness outweighs RBA easing, but bearish risks persist from tariff tensions and RBA cuts. Key levels to watch: Monitor speeches by Bullock (RBA) and Powell (Fed), along with U.S. inflation data and RBA meeting outcomes, for directional cues.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation. Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support Upside Targets: 0.6470 – initial resistance 0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum. However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195. Conclusion AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6387 Support and resistance levels: 0.6454 0.6429 0.6413 0.6361 0.6344 0.6319 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6413, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6429 If the price breaks through 0.6387, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6361
by Toml1314
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST 5' ORDER BLOCK Q2 W17 D25 Y25 AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅5' order block point of interest ✅Previous daily candle bearish close 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
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by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅Daily highs rejection ✅Previous daily candle bearish close 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bearish pattern setup on the AUD/USD 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what the chart indicates: Pattern Type: It looks like a bearish double or triple top pattern with clear swing highs (marked with orange circles) and lows. Entry Point: The price appears to be rejecting a resistance zone around 0.6447, which is where the short position is initiated (marked by the red arrow). Stop Loss: Set just above the resistance zone, around 0.6450. **Take
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by money_magnet2
AUDUSD Trade Setup – Bearish Continuation in Play?Been monitoring AUDUSD closely since yesterday’s drop following the US news. Price action has shown a solid bearish impulse, and I'm now anticipating a continuation to the downside. I'm particularly eyeing the 0.63877 USD zone for a bearish retest. 🔍 Plan: Waiting for a confirmation candle around the 0.63877 area. Watching the 9AM (UK time) candle close for signs of rejection. Potential short setup after 10AM, aligning with the fresh H4 candle opening. Patience is key — looking to trade only with confirmation. 📌 These are my personal views — not financial advice.
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by HU5TL3R
AUDUSD Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.638. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.622 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
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by SignalProvider
1
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is reportedly considering lowering the general tariff rate on Chinese imports from 145% to 50–60%, while also applying differentiated tariffs of 35% and over 100% based on national security concerns. - U.S. President Trump stated that he plans to exempt certain auto parts from tariffs. - In peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine held in the U.K., the U.S. reportedly proposed terms that included freezing current territorial lines, recognizing Russia’s annexation of Crimea, and banning Ukraine from joining NATO. Ukraine strongly opposed these proposals. Key Economic Event This Week + April 24: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims AUDUSD Chart Analysis After rising to the upper boundary of an overlapping resistance zone, the pair is now showing downward movement again. If it breaks below the 0.63000 level in this decline, a bearish trend would be confirmed, and the next target low would be around the 0.60000 level. However, if the pair fails to break through the 0.63000 level, the likelihood of a rebound increases, in which case a new strategy will be formulated.
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by shawntime_academy