XU100 trade ideas
Correlation between USDTRY and BIST indexAs we can see, there is a correlation between USDTRY and BIST index. The increase in the stock market index has been influenced by the increase in the price of the USD in Turkey.
But be wary of this rapid increase. A similar experience happened in Iran in the last two years. After the rapid rise of the dollar price in 2019, the stock market index grew rapidly and reached about two million one hundred thousand units. During this increase, many people joined the stock market, and a lot of money flowed into the stock market. But a large part of this index increase was a bubble. In mid-2020, the Iranian stock market began to fall sharply and fell to about one million and one hundred thousand units. In the meantime, many people lost their money. And after that, the Iranian stock market plunged into a period of recession that continues to this day.
XU100 İÇİN KENDİME NOTYTD kendime not amaçlı karalamamdır. iki çanaktan birini tamamlamasını bekliyorum. buradan düşüş olursa küçük çanak tamamlanmış kulpa başlamış olacak, kulp düşüşü gelecek. ya da doğrudan turuncu büyük çanağı tamamlamaya yönelerek direkt hızlı yükseliş gelecek diye bireysel beklentim var. yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
XU100 DO or DIEWelcome to my XU100 analysis.
1) Neutral First of all when we draw a regression trend from the Corona crisis (March 2020) to the Triple Top of 1580 level, apparently we are still in a bull run. However, the price level dropped below the regression trend on 21st of April but it went back into the regression trend. Currently the support of the trend is at 1432 level, and today's close price is clearly below that level. This is an extremely bad sign. However, The price could jump back into the channel just like it happened before. So according to this analysis, the price should immediately get inside to the channel.
2) Bullish From the bullish perspective, Orange trendline is clearly the support of the current bull run. Above the orange line, we still expect further growth of the price. Support level of the Orange Trend line is 1386. Bulls should defend 1386 with all their power, otherwise the scenario turns about to be bearish.
3) Bearish From the bearish perspective, regression trend is now broken, and if orange line doesn't hold, or bulls couldn't defend, then initial price target is around 1284 where I draw with green line. Green line worked 2 times as resistance and 1 time as a support.
If bulls can defend the 1432-1386 zone, then we may see another jump to the red resistance line, which is around 1480. If able to break above, then investors should directly aim for 1900.
Overall, between 1432 and 1386, it is a "now or never" time for XU100. Below this level, it is extremely bearish, above it it is a sign of the continuation of the bull run.
This is not a financial advice.