Bitcoin Dominance - the two scenarios!Bitcoin dominance continues to rise after breaking out of a rising wedge pattern on the weekly chart. It has now also broken through the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Next stop is Rectangle 1, where Bitcoin dominance is expected to reach 68% — and most likely, this will mark the top of dominance before it starts to drop, triggering a historic altcoin season.
Scenario 2:
Dominance keeps pushing higher toward Rectangle 2, potentially surpassing 70%. At that point, many altcoins may form new lows, and weak projects could get wiped out.
Fear in the market will hit extreme levels —
but that could signal the beginning of an altseason and the collapse of BTC dominance.
Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC.D is about to die , long live Alts !Hello Traders 🐺
Oh I told you, my friend!
I predicted this dump a few months ago...
Now I can only say one thing to my audience:
👉 This is where patience finally pays off!
So my friends, this is the beginning of the end for BTC.D, because as you know — nothing can go up forever!
And yes... the Altcoin Season officially started yesterday 🔥🚀
📊 Let’s look at the data:
We’ve got a huge blow-off top on the BTC.D chart and a strong pump on both ETH.D and ETH itself 👇
📉 ETH Dominance:
📈 ETH Price Action:
💥 My ETH trade setup before the breakout:
Okay my friend, I’ve already shown you the path on the weekly chart, and in my opinion, this is one of those life-changing opportunities to load up on Alts — especially ETH and large caps — because we’ve officially entered Phase 2! 😎📈
If you're still not sure what I mean by Phase 2, check out this idea I posted earlier:
🔗
📉 Let’s zoom into the 4H for a better entry:
As shown above, the price may retest the 64.11% level before another leg down, so make sure to act accordingly!
And as always, remember our golden rule 💎:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Btc Dominance unstoppable? But wait-
BTC Dominance Nearing 0.786 Fibonacci Level – Altseason on the Horizon?
Bitcoin dominance, which measures BTC’s market cap relative to the total cryptocurrency market, is currently approaching a critical technical level — the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, precisely around 66.20%. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance zone, often signaling a potential reversal in BTC dominance.
If BTC dominance starts to reverse from this level, it could mark the end of Bitcoin’s solo run and the beginning of an Altseason — a period where altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of percentage gains.
Why does this matter?
As BTC dominance reverses, capital tends to flow from Bitcoin into altcoins, especially mid-cap and low-cap gems. This redistribution often leads to explosive moves in altcoins — with historical data showing potential 30x to even 50x returns in select projects during strong Altseasons.
This scenario aligns well with Fibonacci-based market psychology, where the 0.786 level is seen as a last point of resistance before a trend shifts. In this case, a rejection at 66.20% could be the technical confirmation that the broader market is ready to rotate out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.
Key Takeaways:
BTC dominance is nearing the 0.786 Fib level at 66.20%.
A rejection here could trigger a sharp dominance reversal.
Capital rotation may favor altcoins, setting the stage for massive gains.
Prepare for potential 30x–50x opportunities during the upcoming Altseason.
If you’re into trading or investing in the altcoin market, this could be a critical time to start researching and building positions before the breakout momentum begins.
Follow me for more premium updates.
🚀 💎 🚀
No Altseason Until BTC.D Hits 70%?Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently climbing and approaching a major resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. This area has proven to be a strong turning point in the past, acting as a top back in December 2017, September 2019, and again in 2021. These repeated rejections suggest that this zone is likely to remain a key resistance.
Right now, BTC.D is sitting around 64.66% and still has room to push higher. However, if it enters the resistance zone again, there’s a strong chance it may face selling pressure and start reversing. The white arrow on the chart shows the possible move into resistance, while the red projection outlines the expected rejection and potential decline back toward the 54.63% level—another important support zone from the past.
In simple terms, BTC dominance might be nearing its peak, and once it reaches the upper zone, we could start seeing altcoins gain more strength as dominance falls. This chart helps anticipate when the market might shift from BTC-led rallies to altcoin outperformance.
Bitcoin Dominance: Don't Be So OptimisticHello, Skyrexians!
My previous CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D forecast now is playing out well. I bet for the reaching 65.35% before drop, we have seen 65.5% which is almost the same. Now dominance is dumping, but I warned you it's not the end. Now I will give you small update.
I will not cover higher degree waves, you can check previous articles, let's cover only this Elliott waves cycle. The wave 3 now is finished slightly above the 1.61 Fibonacci level and now is printing wave 4, to make sure that wave 4 is finished we want to see the Awesome Oscillator zero line cross and reaching the target area next to 63.5%. After that I expect wave 5, it's not going to be extended because wave 3 is extended, so, the target is 65.5% again to retest. After that we can wait for bigger correction to 61%.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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The Most Important Bitcoin Dominance Analysis!Hello, Skyrexians!
This CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis can be a little bit complicated, but this is very important update on our previous analysis. Dominance is next to the top, but now the period of unexpected moves has been started.
Today we have 12h time frame to look at the internal wave structure. Tonight dominance hit the higher degree wave 3 target at 65.3% like I told you in previous article, but the subwave inside the wave 5 inside wave 3 is not finished. Let's count the waves for yellow cycle and we can see that there were no the wave 4 because Awesome Oscillator is still above zero. When it will cross it the yellow waves 5 will finish wave 5 inside wave 3. Now I expect the move to 63-63.5% then retest of recent high again then more significant correction and then another one wave to the upside - final big shakeout.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins.
We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on...
Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments!
❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it!
It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028....
But first... we have to live to see it!)
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BTC Dominance at Crucial Support– Altseason Incoming OR Ending? 📊🚀 Bitcoin Dominance at Crucial Support – Altseason Incoming? 🌈💰
If you’re wondering why I’ve been focused on BTC more than altcoins recently, this is exactly why! Dominance plays a critical role in understanding market cycles and timing those explosive alt moves.
📚 Quick Recap:
BTC dominance reflects Bitcoin’s market share versus altcoins.
Historically, altcoin bull runs often begin when BTC dominance tops out and reverses.
The last big altseasons kicked off from the 73% dominance zone—but remember, history doesn’t always repeat, it often rhymes!
🔎 Current Chart Observations:
BTC dominance is currently testing support at 63.41% within an ascending channel.
Resistance sits at 64.25%.
The dominance is flirting with re-entering the channel, but hasn’t confirmed yet.
📈 Probability Outlook:
✅ 62% chance BTC dominance breaks down—bullish for altcoins!
❌ 38% chance dominance holds and moves higher—bearish for altcoins.
If BTC dominance breaks down from this level, it won’t just be a red candle—it’ll be a flashing green light for altcoins! 🚦📈
Mastering these cycles is crucial if you want to position yourself properly ahead of the next big alt moves.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITCOIN DOMINANCE TOPPED FINALLY? Bitcoin Dominance Peaked Finally 🚀 🚀
You can see in the image that Bitcoin Dominance is now Breaking its Bullish Structure, and clearly indicating that it's topped and Altseason is ready 40x to 50x gains are coming for you if you are still here surviving all the pain and Blood in past years and months.
Congratulations to you. People will call you lucky but they don't know how much you have suffered.
Let's go back and talk about Btc Dominance
BTC dominance is breaking the bullish structure we just need some candles close below these levels which i have marked.
And on weekly timeframe 3rd tap of RSI Bearish divergence also done.
So many things are coming together.
Let's hope for the best and Good Luck
Bitcoin Dominance TA, Bearish SignalsRecently I spotted a very strong, long-term bearish signal on this index. A triple-bearish signal as it is present with three indicators. I am talking about a bearish divergence.
Volume has been dropping significantly as the index moves higher.
The weekly RSI peaked October 2023 and has been producing lower highs. The MACD peaked July 2023.
These are long-term, but let's have a closer look and consider the daily chart.
Here we have some interesting signals as well, let's start with the candles:
—Here we have a rising wedge ending in a rounded top and long-term double-top. The uptrend is also in risk of failing. A breakdown of this uptrend, which can happen anytime, would result in a strong crash of this index.
Next is the daily RSI:
—The peak happened November 2024. There is also a short-term lower high as the peak this month happened on the 7th of April, the index peaked on the 22nd.
—The daily RSI is already trending lower.
Clearly the most interesting and revealing of all three indicators is the daily MACD. Let me show you the chart first and then I'll describe the signals:
—Here the lower high is so strong that reveals what is coming to this index. The MACD peaked in February and produced a lower high this month, April. Notice the bearish cross, it happened yesterday.
The daily MACD and RSI trending down with short-term, mid-term, long-term and long long-term bearish divergence all point towards a lower reading on these oscillators.
The last major drop for this index happened in November 2024 with the bottom hitting a month later, December 2024. At this time Bitcoin produced a very strong advance as well as the entire Altcoins market, it was awesome.
It is surely interesting to notice that the index recovers and moves higher while Bitcoin continued to grow. But at that time the Altcoins were starting their correction. Most of the Altcoins peaked late November 2024 and some in early December 2024. So this index is more related to how the Altcoins behave rather than Bitcoin.
When it drops, it does not mean that Bitcoin will drop but that the Altcoins will grow. When it grows, it does not necessarily means that Bitcoin is moving up but that the Altcoins are moving down.
We know the Altcoins are set to produce their strongest growth period since 2021. This Bitcoin Dominance index works as confirmation. It leaves no room for doubt.
» Doubt can remain open as to whether the start of this rise will happen tomorrow or within a few weeks. Short-term, anything goes; the market can become erratic and produce some strong shakeouts, specially preceding a major wave of growth. But after 2-3 weeks, it is 1,000% certain that the entire Cryptocurrency market will be bullish and up. Regardless of what this index does or anything else for that matter. When the time is ripe, the market grows.
The time is ripe right now... You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
Welcome to ALT SEASON (Real) | BTC.D & ETH/BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rejecting off 2021 POI and deviating this cycle's high having just closed the weekly under 64%. Coupled with CRYPTOCAP:ETH strength showing signs of a trend reversal after downtrending for 4-year against $BTC. Likely see CRYPTOCAP:ETH trade upwards of US$5000 this year as ETH outperforms BTC.
Bitcoin Dominance Important UpdateHello, Skyrexians!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D showed rapid decrease and as a result we have some changes in the analysis. Hope you remember the yellow Elliott waves cycle which according to my previous analysis was not finished. But now looking at the Awesome Oscillator I changed my mind and now we in the higher degree wave 4.
We will switch from 12h time frame to the daily and can see that wave 4 is already in progress. This wave is going to be ABC shaped and in my opinion reach 0.5 Fibonacci level at 61% or even lower to 60%. Then the final wave 5 will reach 67%. Wait for the update I will tell you when wave 4 is finished.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Crypto Phases Explained: From Bitcoin Season to Full-On FOMO !Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you're doing well. In this idea, I want to dive into the different phases of the crypto market, because I feel like many new traders — and even some semi-pros — still don’t fully grasp this fundamental concept. So make sure to read this until the end and feel free to ask your questions in the comments below!
🔹 PHASE 1 – Bitcoin Season
This is where it all begins.
You can guess from the name: BTC starts outperforming almost every altcoin, especially ETH. In this phase, Bitcoin’s price often grows rapidly while most alts lag behind. As BTC's market cap rises, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) also increases — and this is clearly visible on the chart.
In the current market, BTC.D is rising toward a key resistance level, suggesting we are still in late Phase 1, but possibly approaching a shift.
🔹 PHASE 2 – Ethereum Season
Why ETH and not the rest of the altcoins?
Because when smart money rotates out of BTC, the first stop is usually Ethereum, the second-largest asset by market cap. ETH is also the backbone of many other projects, so it makes sense that it leads the altcoin wave.
When ETH starts to outperform BTC, that’s your sign: Phase 2 has begun.
🔹 PHASES 3 & 4 – Altcoin Season
This is the fun part. 🤑
In Phase 3, we typically see larger cap altcoins (top 100 projects) begin to surge and hit new all-time highs. Then comes Phase 4, the final leg of the bull cycle — full-on FOMO. Even low-cap coins start doing 20x or more, and yes, many small investors suddenly feel rich.
🔎 So… how do we know what phase we’re in?
Excellent question. But a tricky one.
As mentioned, BTC.D is showing signs of weakness near a long-term resistance trendline. That could mean BTC is topping short-term, and ETH might soon start to take the lead. To confirm that, just watch the ETH/BTC chart closely.
For deeper confirmation, add these charts to your watchlist:
OTHERS/BTC
TOTAL2
TOTAL3
They help you see when capital starts flowing into mid and low-cap alts — and help you track the sunrise… and the sunset. 🌅
Final Note:
If you’re still confused during market volatility, don’t worry. Trading is a long and tough journey — and patience is key. Learn from your mistakes, stay disciplined, and always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
Stay sharp,
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Alts: Dead or Ready to Explode ?!Hello Traders 🐺
Still doubting the possibility of an Altcoin Season?
Probably yes — and that’s fair. We’ve been through a major correction over the past 4 years, especially in the altcoin sector. But the big question is:
Are alts dead... or is this just the calm before the actual storm? 🤔
As you may already know, market movements depend on a mix of factors — and altcoins, in particular, need real FOMO in the market to shine, whether that’s to the upside or downside.
Let’s break it down based on the crypto bull cycle, because understanding this cycle helps you track smart money and ride along with it.
🚨 Here’s what typically happens:
Before any real BTC season, we get the halving event (every 4 years).
Right after that, whales and big players begin accumulating BTC quietly.
They maintain pressure on the market to load up at cheap prices 😁🤯
But of course, they can't keep this up forever...
As time passes, others start to catch on. On-chain data becomes more visible, and retail traders begin spotting these moves — which is key, because you can track the whales and use that data to make smarter decisions.
This BTC season usually lasts 1–2 years, during which:
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) climbs steadily 📈
Money flows out of alts, and many ALTS/BTC charts crash
Some altcoins hit new all-time lows vs BTC 😒🤦♂️
But here’s the plot twist...
Nothing goes up forever — and BTC Dominance is no exception.
Right now, it’s sitting at a monthly resistance level, and we’re starting to see bearish signs building up:
Bearish divergence on the daily RSI
A clear rising wedge on the daily chart
RSI shows weakness, even while price continues climbing
This setup looks very similar to what we usually see in a distribution phase 👀
And you already know what tends to come next... 🔥🐺
Hope you found this idea helpful.
If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to drop them in the comments below — I’m always around.
And as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
ALT COIN SEASON IS JUST WEEKS AWAY, HOPE YOU HAVE YOUR BAGS FULLHey Traders,
We’ve been watching this Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart closely — and it’s heating up again!
For those unfamiliar, BTC Dominance tracks the percentage of total crypto market cap that belongs to Bitcoin. When BTC.D rises, it typically means altcoins are underperforming compared to BTC — either due to their market caps falling, or BTC’s increasing. When it drops, altcoins are gaining ground.
While this chart won’t tell you whether markets go up or down, it’s critical for spotting where to diversify and when. It’s a must-have tool in your crypto trading utility belt.
⸻
Why This Chart Matters Now:
We’re nearing the top resistance trendline of a long-term triangle formation that dates all the way back to 2017. This line has rejected BTC.D multiple times in the past — and we’re back to test it again, hovering between 63% and 66% dominance.
Each of these rejections previously led to a drop in BTC Dominance — which triggered powerful altcoin seasons.
⸻
Key Bearish Signals:
• Bearish Divergence on the MACD
• MAJOR Bearish Divergence on the RSI
(Just like before previous alt seasons!)
• TOTAL2 (the white line representing all altcoins) looks poised to spike if history repeats.
Altseason Clue: When BTC.D forms bearish divergences on these indicators, it’s often followed by a surge in altcoin market cap — a key early signal we may be close to another one.
⸻
BUT… This Isn’t 2021 Anymore:
Let’s be real — the market has changed. Solana-based launchpads like Pump.fun and Jupiter DEX have revolutionized how easily tokens are created and traded. That’s new capital flow and speculative behavior we didn’t see last cycle.
Plus, the geopolitical landscape is shifting fast. With President Donald J. Trump calling for crypto regulation frameworks within 180 days, we may soon see an influx of institutional money — but it could come with strings attached.
⸻
Final Thoughts:
A breakdown in BTC.D could mean a major rotation into alts — but don’t bet the farm.
Markets could still dump. We may even skip altseason altogether this cycle.
However, this chart gives you a crucial edge — so use it wisely. Know your tools. Zoom out. Plan ahead.
As always — stay sharp, stay safe, and stay profitable out there.
— Savvy
Bitcoin Dominance Update (4H)It appears that Bitcoin Dominance is preparing for one final upward move.
I believe this could be the last dominance rally before a major bullish breakout across the broader market.
For a more detailed perspective, please refer to my previous analyses on Bitcoin Dominance and the "Others" market cap.
— Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin Dominance - BTC.D - AltcoinsYears of struggle to be inside for a subseason that lasts a few weeks.
For some it's financial freedom, for others it's the cornerstone of a reset story.
We're talking about Bitcoin Dominance.
Few know just how powerful it has become.
The only thing that is real is bitcoin. By the time everyone realizes this, 99.99% of investors will have lost all their assets.
And we will all regret buying altcoins instead of bitcoin at the end of the day.
I think the most extreme peak for bitcoin dominance in the short term is 73%.
Dominance is going to have a rough ride before it crosses this target.
We will see an altcoin season that will give small investors a breather.
Then we'll break 73% with a disruptive bitcoin dominance.
Bitcoin will show everyone again who is the real boss.
BTC Dominance at a Decision Zone – Altcoin Outlook Hinges on Thi 🔍 BTC Dominance – 4H Chart Update
BTC.D is still respecting the ascending channel despite a brief dip below support—it quickly recovered, showing strong resilience and is now hovering near 64.76%.
📊 Scenarios Ahead:
🚀 Bullish Case: A bounce here could send dominance toward the top of the channel near 65.5%, signaling capital rotation into BTC. This may pressure ETH/BTC pairs and small caps.
📉 Bearish Case: A breakdown below the channel and key trendline would shift momentum—fueling a move into altcoins.
⚡ BTC.D holding = altcoin bleed
🌱 BTC.D breakdown = altseason potential
🔎 Next 1–2 candles are key—watch for rejection near mid-channel or a decisive support break! 👀
BTC Dominance: Approaching Major Resistance!!BTC.D is nearing a major 66%-68% resistance zone within a long-term ascending channel (since 2018). Historically, this area has triggered BTC.D pullbacks, often leading to altcoin rallies. The chart itself anticipates a rejection from this level.
If BTC.D rejects, a move towards the 53-54% lower channel support is likely, potentially bullish for alts. Watch for bearish weekly candle closes and increased selling volume as confirmation. Altcoin price action should also be monitored for signs of strength. This key resistance zone presents a significant point for the broader crypto market. Exercise caution and await.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
BTC Dominance Reversal ZoneHello everyone, I've identified a possible reversal zone for BTC Dominance, there is a confluence of technical levels; Fibonacci retracement, extension and projection, along with a parallel channel, trendline and RSI bearish divergence. This looks like a solid level for BTC Dominance to top out.
Let me know what you think, this could be the start of the Alt Season that we have all been waiting for.
#BTC Dominance Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) is trading inside a beautifully defined rising channel on the 4H chart.
📈 What’s unfolding?
✔ Strong support holds at the lower channel line (marked by green arrows)
✔ Bounce potential toward the upper channel resistance (~65%)
✔ Expect possible rejection there, followed by another retest of support
💥 Why this matters:
✅ BTC dominance drives altcoin sentiment
✅ Rising dominance → pressure on altcoins
✅ Watch for a breakdown below support → potential altcoin relief rally
⚙ Key Takeaway:
Monitor this channel carefully. If dominance breaks below support, alts could gain momentum. If it bounces, BTC will continue to lead.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — are you betting on BTC or alts next? 🚀👇
Bad News From Bitcoin Dominance: Pain AheadHello, Skyrexians!
I got sick for these 5 days that's why has not shared updates, but market was very boring so we didn't miss any significant move. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D concerns me now because to end this trend we need to see any significant correction, but we didn't. On the 12h Awesome oscillator was not able to cross zero line and reversed to the upside, so our main change is that daily time frame measures the wave 3 inside the major impulse.
If we count waves inside this impulse price is approaching 1.61 Fibonacci level at 65.3% and trust me it's much better to see it's reaching before the drop. When this wave will be finished, wave 4 will happen. It can bounce significantly to 61%. This is strong target area and I am sure we will be there soon. Wave 5 can be extended, can be not. The max target is 71%! Sounds awful. The likely target at 66-67%, to make it more precise let's wait for wave 4 finish.
I plan to close in profit those part of trades which has been opened after Feb 3 dump on this potential bounce to have money to add on the last huge shakeout. People believe in altcoins too much, very unlikely to have altseason now. Ready for hate!
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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