BTC.D trade ideas
BTC DOMINANCE:- Alts are nearly set to rally! 🚀 Alts are almost ready for a rally! 🚀
We’re approaching the resistance zone on the BTC dominance chart, which has historically led to strong rejections and market-wide rallies since May 2017. The index has already reached a 64.34% high. We could see another push to this level, potentially forming a double top on the lower timeframes, followed by a slight correction in altcoins. During this phase, many alts will likely form double or triple bottoms.
Despite the low volume in the market, on-chain analysis shows accumulation in altcoins like FET and TAO.
Be prepared for what's coming next!
Drop your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to hit that like button for support!
Thank you
#PEACE
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king.
Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE.
At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon.
For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy.
Right now:
- Stock indices are at all-time highs
- The economy remains resilient
But cracks could form later this year
Possible triggers for QE:
- A stock market correction
- A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis)
- A sudden economic downturn
Why QE Matters for Crypto
- QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets.
- QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity.
Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing.
In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases.
Bottom Line:
For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high.
What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages:
▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed.
▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason.
For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3:
▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline.
What’s different this time?
BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday.
After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection.
Now, it's all about watching the next moves.
If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon.
And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready.
🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
UNIVERS OF SIGNAL | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #2⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
If you entered a position yesterday on the price pullback to the 97218 zone, you're now in profit. If your position has a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or higher, I recommend securing some profits. Otherwise, if you want to keep your position open, watch the 98903–99946 range, and if the price gets rejected from this area, secure your profits.
🔍 We also have new trade setups for today, with two triggers for long and two for short, either of which could activate. For a long position, a breakout of 98903 or 99946 is suitable. The 98903 breakout is riskier since we’d be entering a long position within a resistance zone, while the 99946 breakout may be difficult to enter as it might not provide a strong confirmation candle but is a safer long entry.
🔼 The key resistance above these two triggers is 101819, which can be used as a target. A breakout above 64.74 in the RSI would also serve as a momentum confirmation.
📉 For short positions, the first trigger is a breakdown of 97218, which has acted as a strong minor support. If we see a reaction here, this level will be confirmed, and on a second test, we can enter a short position. A breakdown of the 50 level in the RSI would confirm this setup. However, this is a risky trade, so it should be taken with minimal exposure.
✔️ The next key level is 95797, which has seen multiple price reactions. If the price forms a lower high below 101819, the chances of breaking this level increase. The target for this short setup is 92700.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday, I mentioned that if Bitcoin dominance stabilized below 61.34, long positions on altcoins would be more logical, which played out as altcoins outperformed Bitcoin.
✨ Today, if BTC.D remains below 61.06, it could indicate a trend shift in higher timeframes. Conversely, if it reclaims 61.34, Bitcoin could once again be the better choice for long positions in a bullish market.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Total2 triggered its setup alongside Bitcoin and is now testing the 1.24 zone. The only long trigger at the moment is a breakout of 1.24. However, keep in mind that the primary trigger was at 1.22, and the next major trigger is at 1.28, making any long entry now quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t take this trade.
💫 For short positions, wait for the price to drop back below 1.22, then use Dow Theory and a break of the newly formed low as a short entry trigger.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT.D. This index began its decline after breaking 4.51 and retesting it. The next trigger is at 4.41, and if it breaks, we can expect a further drop to 4.22.
🧩 On the other hand, if it reclaims 4.51 and moves toward 4.64, it could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin’s 97218 short trigger being activated. If USDT dominance rises, the target will be 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own analysis before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTC Dominance is bearish (4H)Bitcoin dominance has hit a very strong supply zone, and we should not forget this.
From this point or after touching the supply, it may move toward the specified TP levels.
Since a large number of sell orders have been accumulated, we expect a deeper drop.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Beginning of the altseason or the last shakeout?Hello Traders 🐺,
In my last idea about BTC.D, I mentioned that this huge wick to the upside indicates that the BTC season is nearing its end , and we are now on the verge of entering the Altcoin season . But what makes me so confident about this?
As you can see in the chart above , we’re currently facing a strong weekly resistance at the 64% level, which has been a key point in the past. After the market’s most recent capitulation, we saw a massive dump in Altcoins , while BTC only corrected by 10% —a normal and expected move. But here’s the critical takeaway:
🔑 This means that Altcoins are now being traded at extremely undervalued levels.
So, why am I saying this with such confidence? Keep reading to find out why these levels present a major opportunity for the upcoming Altcoin season!
The Final Phase of BTC Season? The Big Altcoin Opportunity!
Currently, the chart is shaping something very similar to an ascending triangle—a pattern that’s typically bullish, especially when the overall trend for BTC.D is strong. But here’s the catch: a trend is our friend… until it ends!
🔥 And the key part? " Until it ends !" Yes, we are very close to that moment!
Why? The answer lies within the ALTCOIN/BTC charts . Right now, almost every single altcoin you can think of is down by a massive 90% from its all-time high against BTC ! This is not just a number—it’s a huge signal that there’s barely any room left for altcoins to go lower compared to BTC.
All the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place, and they’re spelling out one clear message:
💡 BTC dominance is nearing its peak, and we are extremely close to the bottom for altcoins—if we’re not already there!
The real question is: Are you ready for what’s coming next? Stay sharp, stay informed, and make sure you don’t miss what could be the biggest opportunity of the cycle!
BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
Wen Alt Szn?BTC.D has just tested the .618 of its December 2020 long term high, December 2020 marked the beginning of the 2021 alt season. Its December 2020 long term high is the .618 from December 2016, December 2016 marked the beginning of the 2017 alt season.
BTC.D's weekly RSI has entered overbought levels while forming bearish divergence similarly to the December 2020 long term high.
BTC.D update#BTC.D made a small triangle in hourly time frame and before this triangle is a down spike so the next step will be another down but i saw this many times that the next way after a triangle become opposite of the first move so its possible that the market go up and then go down to the demand zone
BTC.D - Doomsday or Expected?Evening fellas,
Remember back then when we would say "only the top 1% will actually make it"
Yeah, what about that? People seem to forget this market is extremely fake, full of shitcoins that will not go anywhere.
Trust me, the bottom for alts is not in. Minimum we go here is 75%.
Once the bitcoin maximalists have acquired enough btc by trading alt/btc pair they will dump everything they got back into only BTC.
Gonna leave this here.
Trade thirsty, my friends.
$BTC.D is at key Fib Retracement level. More upside-expectedThe most important story of this Crypto cycle has been the relentless strength of CRYPTOCAP:BTC against other crypto. The index CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which measures the dominance of BTC in the total Crypto market in terms of Market Cap hit its low in Dec 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D hit a multi-year low of 39%. That means only 39% of the Total Market Crypto can be attributed to $BTC. But since then, the Fed quantitative tightening began and most of the cryptos faced a meltdown. Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC faced a bear market in CRYPTOCAP:USDT terms but still it fell less than the average Crypto. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart has made a bullish double bottom and then made new higher lows and higher highs. If we plot the Fib retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart we saw recently that the Dominance chart stalled around 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. Since then, the Dominance chart has been making new highs and broken past the 0.618 . The next key level is 0.786 which will take the dominance to 66.12% percent. Watch out for my blog when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D reaches the key level for more insights.
BTC.D update Hello everyone. Today for BTC.D we have here it showing a lot of Bullish momentum a lot of buyside LQ has been taken on higher TF as shown here, but also just 4hr sellside getting taken out being used as support showing a lot of Bullish power to just use 4hr and keep scalling upward is what its showing..but all I can say is buying should be the objective here. wait and spot those 4hr sellside LQ pockets use them for help. but anyways not until a DTS shows would I consider a change of trend other than than that im really waiting for a daily reaction thats when things will get good. but until then enjoy the set up do the work. have enjoy and trade safely. I am not a financial advisor this is all based off speculation and non credible calculations and probably biased information in general. trade at. your own risk this is not a signal nor am I responsible for losses or potential gains. thank you. Stay Blessed.
Bitcoin Dominance and DXY pattern correlation!Is the bitcoin dominance correlated to the DXY?
So far... I think so. Chart pattern wise anyway.
So, according to the DXY, if the Dominance follows this pattern we should be in the biggest altseason to date. But it could be the last one for a while as there could be a 90% to 95% flush out of alts coming.
This would crush all altcoin belief and get rid of all the shit coins. Lets be honest at this point it's needed to flush out all this garbage, it's too much.
Then knew cycle would start over and follow with a massive altseason bigger than anything ever. Don't get excited just yet, it not happen until 2033 or later.
Also according to this chart, dominace can go a bit higher to 72% before it starts to fall. lets see
That's all I have here, I just wanted to put it out here. If you want more analysis on this I have put out a comprehensive video on my tictik and youtube page.
Remember, this is not financial advice.
Kind regards,
Demetrios
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
What does the BTC's dominance say to us?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
👨🏫 Analyst Alex Kelly: Bitcoin dominance looks very promising to change the trend and create a long-awaited Altseason.
✍️ Crossing the intersection of the trend line and the middle zone, along with the ascending corner pattern, confirms this move.
🚀 It's time to buy altcoins.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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