BTC.D trade ideas
Bitcoin Dominance TA, Bearish SignalsRecently I spotted a very strong, long-term bearish signal on this index. A triple-bearish signal as it is present with three indicators. I am talking about a bearish divergence.
Volume has been dropping significantly as the index moves higher.
The weekly RSI peaked October 2023 and has been producing lower highs. The MACD peaked July 2023.
These are long-term, but let's have a closer look and consider the daily chart.
Here we have some interesting signals as well, let's start with the candles:
—Here we have a rising wedge ending in a rounded top and long-term double-top. The uptrend is also in risk of failing. A breakdown of this uptrend, which can happen anytime, would result in a strong crash of this index.
Next is the daily RSI:
—The peak happened November 2024. There is also a short-term lower high as the peak this month happened on the 7th of April, the index peaked on the 22nd.
—The daily RSI is already trending lower.
Clearly the most interesting and revealing of all three indicators is the daily MACD. Let me show you the chart first and then I'll describe the signals:
—Here the lower high is so strong that reveals what is coming to this index. The MACD peaked in February and produced a lower high this month, April. Notice the bearish cross, it happened yesterday.
The daily MACD and RSI trending down with short-term, mid-term, long-term and long long-term bearish divergence all point towards a lower reading on these oscillators.
The last major drop for this index happened in November 2024 with the bottom hitting a month later, December 2024. At this time Bitcoin produced a very strong advance as well as the entire Altcoins market, it was awesome.
It is surely interesting to notice that the index recovers and moves higher while Bitcoin continued to grow. But at that time the Altcoins were starting their correction. Most of the Altcoins peaked late November 2024 and some in early December 2024. So this index is more related to how the Altcoins behave rather than Bitcoin.
When it drops, it does not mean that Bitcoin will drop but that the Altcoins will grow. When it grows, it does not necessarily means that Bitcoin is moving up but that the Altcoins are moving down.
We know the Altcoins are set to produce their strongest growth period since 2021. This Bitcoin Dominance index works as confirmation. It leaves no room for doubt.
» Doubt can remain open as to whether the start of this rise will happen tomorrow or within a few weeks. Short-term, anything goes; the market can become erratic and produce some strong shakeouts, specially preceding a major wave of growth. But after 2-3 weeks, it is 1,000% certain that the entire Cryptocurrency market will be bullish and up. Regardless of what this index does or anything else for that matter. When the time is ripe, the market grows.
The time is ripe right now... You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
When will altseaon start?#Altseaon2025
• BTC dominance: 64.86%, Strong Bitcoin focus.
• Altcoin market cap: $820.93B
• Altseason will start once BTC dominance clearly reverses below 60% and altcoins break out above $900B resistance.
As long as BTC dominance is above 60%, prefer investing in Bitcoin.
Btc.d targetting lows.This is the short term target.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
End of Ifs and Buts, The End game for BTC dominance The Final Level of Bitcoin Dominance: Where the Altcoin Season Begins
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has long been a critical indicator in the crypto market — a gauge of how capital is distributed between Bitcoin and the rest of the altcoin market. Over the past months and years, we’ve watched Bitcoin's dominance fluctuate, often controlling the direction and momentum of the entire crypto ecosystem. Now, we are approaching a crucial zone — the final frontier for Bitcoin Dominance, ranging between 70% to 73%.
This 70%-73% range is considered the maximum potential level Bitcoin Dominance can realistically reach in the current macro and market structure. Historically, whenever BTC.D has approached this threshold, it has struggled to maintain upward momentum, signaling the exhaustion of Bitcoin’s solo rally. Once this resistance zone is tapped or slightly pierced, we anticipate a strong and swift reversal.
Why is this level so important?
Because it's not just resistance — it's the trigger zone. As Bitcoin Dominance begins to fall from this region, capital starts rotating aggressively into altcoins. The drop is not gradual — it’s often sharp and aggressive, as confidence and attention shift rapidly from Bitcoin to the broader altcoin market. What follows is nothing short of explosive: altcoins across the board start rallying — some gradually, others in parabolic moves.
This is the moment the crypto community has been waiting for:
The beginning of the true altseason.
A period where projects that have been undervalued for months — or even years — suddenly come alive. Gains that take months in traditional markets can happen in days. The charts begin to light up green, portfolios expand, and traders realize that the wait was worth it.
In conclusion, 71% to 73% BTC Dominance is the final boss — the last gatekeeper before the altcoin revolution takes center stage. Once this level gets rejected and the downward trend starts, the market will shift dramatically. Be ready, stay sharp, and prepare your altcoin strategies — because the altseason we’ve all been waiting for is just around the corner.
BTC Dominance will rise above 70-72%BTC.D.% W has established range, I would expect it to get to 70-72%. I dont think we will see altcoin season soon. World is discovering bitcoin on the level of countries, banks, billionaires, investment funds. Ask a question, if you were the bank, or government would you hold 65% in BTC and the rest in alts? What would be your counties portfolio, would you be a president? I bet, you would say at least 95% in BTC. I think 70-72% of dominance can be broken up to 80% easy, when another $10T get into crypto.
IMO for the next couple of years this trend will steady go up only.
WELCOME TO THE BEGINNING OF ALT COIN SEASON!Traders, Hodlr's and Soon to be Liquidity (late retail buyers),
This is likely the moment we have been waiting for. Last week in our weekly VIP market update we discussed just a few things that would really show us if we just saw the bottom of the alts and if it was now time to start seeing some new local HH's and then HL's showing us a shift in trend. I had posted a few trades pointing this out. We have now at this point accomplished what we were looking for to see if we would be starting Alt coins season.
We have been watching a few things. The first being Bitcoin Dominance or CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D as this is a great chart to watch and look for reversals prior to looking at the chart of the specific alt coin against BTC to see if it also is showing it could have a rally or a pullback based on your bias on this BTC.D chart. For instance if I were to want to see maybe when XRP would likely start breaking out say that this BTC.D chart is in fact correct and the triangle trend line will end up being the top for btc dominance at around 64.4% of the total market I would go to BITSTAMP:XRPBTC to give myself some insight on confluence of market movements.
Being that we are now here at the point that I believe we will start to see money flow into alts based on this chart and others such as CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI and the specific BTC pairings that I am holding by looking up the ticker of my alt coin/BTC and studying that chart I will honestly say that I am in the 90%/10% bullish on alts to bearish.
I hope this information helped you in your journey to get more information and come up with your own analysis to base your investment decisions and you become prosperous for doing soo!
Stay Profitable Folks,
Savvy!
BTC Dominance New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We had a bullish diametric for Bitcoin, and it seems that the price has reached the highest point of this diametric. Wave E of this diametric, which is a bullish wave, is nearing its end.
We refer to this as the highest point because Wave G might not reach the peak of Wave E.
We expect a rejection from the red box, and this rejection could be very strong. Smaller altcoins could experience a significant pump.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Dominance weakness of uptrend Bitcoin's dominance has failed to establish a new high, suggesting a significant weakening and a lack of upward momentum. This failure strongly indicates that Bitcoin's dominance is poised for a reversal from this point, potentially initiating a new downtrend. Furthermore, a compelling bearish divergence is forming on Bitcoin's dominance on the weekly timeframe's Relative Strength Index (RSI). This bearish divergence is a robust indicator of a potential trend reversal. Considering these factors, there is a high probability of witnessing a decline in Bitcoin's dominance in the near future.
Bitcoin Dominance: Neutral — But Bears Are LurkingBTC.D holds the 50 EMA... but barely.
Momentum flattening. Volume drying.
No breakout = Structural risk increases.
Failure here could trigger altcoin rotations.
Neutral isn't safety.
Neutral is a loaded spring.
Stay tactical.
#Crypto #BitcoinDominance #AltseasonWatch #QuantMindset
BTC Dominance: What a Rise Could Mean for the MarketTechnical view:
Rejecten from EMA 20 & 50 as support and the upward move has been confirmed by a breakout above the 63.47% level.
The next target for BTC.D is around 64.34% – 64.49%.
This scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 63.17% level.
Understanding BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Its Market Impact
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) measures the percentage of total crypto market cap that belongs to Bitcoin. When BTC.D goes up, it usually signals that money is flowing into Bitcoin and out of altcoins. This often happens during risk-off sentiment, uncertainty, or when BTC is making a strong move.
➡️ A rising BTC.D can mean:
Altcoins may underperform or correct
Bitcoin is leading the market trend
It's safer to focus on BTC-related trades
On the other hand, when BTC.D goes down, altcoins often shine—especially mid and low-cap ones—marking what traders call an altseason.
⚠️ So if BTC.D breaks resistance and trends upward, it might be a good idea to reduce exposure to altcoins and monitor BTC closely for momentum trades.
Crucial Level to Watch on BTC.DWe can see that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is still in a bullish trend and is currently testing a crucial level, which will determine whether it continues to make a higher high or starts weakening towards its previous low.
The influence of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the crypto market is simple: if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves higher, it means more money is flowing into Bitcoin. For example, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is at 64%, it means 64% of the total crypto market capitalization is in Bitcoin, and the remaining 36% is spread across altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , etc.
Conversely, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves lower, it means more money is shifting into altcoins.
Strategy when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rising:
You can allocate more into Bitcoin rather than altcoins. Alternatively, you can find altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin.
How to find altcoins that outperform Bitcoin?
Look for altcoin/BTC pairs, for example: BINANCE:WIFBTC , BINANCE:NEARBTC , or $BINANCE:TAOBTC.
If the price of BINANCE:WIFBTC is going up, it means SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF is gaining more value compared to $BTC. If it's going down, it means Bitcoin is performing better than $WIF.
Back to CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D :
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is testing the 64.19% – 64.10% zone.
This area will determine whether CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D continues upward or starts to weaken.
To get early confirmation, you can zoom into the 1-hour chart and look for signs of bullish divergence.
If bullish divergence appears on the 1-hour chart, it often leads to a bounce on the 4-hour chart and a potential continuation of the bullish trend, possibly breaking the previous high.
However, if there's no bullish divergence confirmation, or if there's a strong rejection at the support level, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is likely to weaken and move towards its previous low.