BTC.D ChartBTC.D broken down its ascending channel and is currently having a pullback to the previous support acting as a resistance now. 2Days and 13hrs remaining till we get the candle closed and if it stays like this I think it will continue the path shown in the chart in the following weeks and months which will lead to a huge alt season. So pack your bags and load your alt coins if we get any correction from BTC and the market. It can be out very last chances on buying low before we fly high with this mega cycle. Buy the dips and thank me later.
DYOR
Goodluck
BTC.D trade ideas
Is It Really Alt Season? We have many alts currently seeing brief weekly consolidation and trying to set higher lows that would qualify as bull flags looking for continuation. Bulls need to see BTC.D confirm the weekly down trend to solidify the shift into the alt space.
The more alts like CRYPTOCAP:LINK that see continuation to higher highs, the higher probability others will follow.
Of course the direction BTCUSD breaks its tightening daily range is going to have some implications, but as of right now the weekly consolidation in most major alts is still very healthy bigger picture, considering the size of the run up.
Bitcoin Dominance Broken Down: Time to shift to holding alts..The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell).
The BTC.D weekly chart had finally broken down below the red long-term support trendline, suggesting capital shifting into altcoins. Need another ~3 days for the current weekly candle to close below to confirm.
The Fusiongap {50/15} had also registered "bearish" on the BTC.D chart, which further supports this thesis.
Hence this suggest that it is safe to continue to DCA into mid-cap altcoins such as KASPA (KAS) with many higher mcap OG coins having already pumped close to their previous cycle ATH. Will start DCAing out of the market once the micro-caps and a kinds of memecoins start pumping, probably approx. in a year time.
Bitcoin dominace updateThey say history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.
Just like in the previous update on Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), it rejected the 0.702 level as anticipated. This rejection sparked notable activity in the altcoin market, aligning with historical patterns.
Here’s the current setup:
• The weekly chart RSI has broken down from its uptrend.
• Bitcoin dominance was rejected at 0.702, mirroring the previous cycle.
• BTC.D has broken down from its uptrend channel and is now experiencing a bearish retest of that channel.
Key levels to monitor:
• 59% dominance: As long as BTC.D remains below this level, altcoins should continue to perform well.
• 53% dominance: A break below this level would likely mark the onset of a mega alt season.
Why this is positive for the market:
This consolidation phase provides the market with time to rebuild momentum, reset sentiment, and adjust funding levels, setting the stage for a potential upward trajectory.
During this period, #Ethereum is expected to follow a similar path, consolidating just below the critical EUROTLX:4K level.
Directional Bias:
The overall outlook remains bullish.
This pullback could represent the final opportunity to secure strong entry points and optimize rotations before transitioning into a full-blown #altseason.
While you’re no longer early to the market, significant opportunities still exist. However, once #Ethereum successfully retest $3580, these opportunities may vanish for the remainder of this cycle.
ETHUSDt chart:
ETHBTC chart:
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
Can we consider this a retest?In my last post on bitcoin dominance I noted that for the first time in a year and a half we had broken our wedge to the downside. This was hugely bullish for altcoins and indeed, we saw some massive pumps occurring in the space. But I also cautioned that we could reverse and head back up to retest the underside of our wedge. This is a classic technical move. I call it "Kiss Mamma Good-bye" as price always seems to like to come back one more sentimental time to an area of supreme significance before moving on. This retest would then cause alts to drop significantly, liquidating many. And we saw this occur this past week. So, can we consider this our retest? I know we didn't touch the underside of our wedge completely but bulls are in a hurry here. They want one last good pump before Christmas. And if my chart is correct, I think we'll get that.
✌️ Stew
BTC Dominance on the Brink: Is the Altseason Storm Brewing?
The CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart is painting an intriguing picture. We've just completed a fully formed 12-day motive wave (impulse). Such impulses rarely stand alone — they're typically part of a larger structure. This one seems to be shaping up into a zigzag pattern.
The probability of a further decline in BTC dominance is very high. We're likely to see another comparable or even more extended impulse down into the 51-48% range.
In an optimistic scenario, this decline represents the third wave, followed by a consolidation and another downward push in a potential fifth wave. If this plays out, we could be looking at an epic and prolonged altseason ahead.
But for now, these are just projections. The key level to watch is 50% BTC.D. Once we hit that, we'll have clearer signals for the market's next moves.
Stay vigilant — the altseason narrative might be just around the corner!
Shaka
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Prediction - Time 1W (Update)Trend Prediction - BTC.D Forecasting -
Resistance and Support Lines
When the Bitcoin Dominance Chart (BTC.D) decreases, money exits Bitcoin and may move into USDT or other coins !
We should keep an eye on Bitcoin's price, as it should either consolidate or not drop significantly!
**** Yousef Sharafi ****
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The fall of Bitcoin dominance and the dawn of AltcoinsAltseason is about to begin! Hope you're on the last type finished accumulating your altcoins. According to blockchain data, the market maker has distributed its Bitcoin and finished accumulating altcoins. The chart shows an Adam and Eve top and a double bottom at the bottom. In my last forecast I was a bit wrong with the scale, but the point was correct and the target was reached! Dominance <53% is on the way!
When should we say goodbye to the market?Personally, I will not indulge in daydreaming or get caught up in the marketing hype. Considering the circumstances and Trump taking the presidential seat, even if a strong bull run occurs, I will exit the entire cryptocurrency market by July 2025 at the latest.
The trigger will be in my hands from late January, and I’ll give it a maximum of six months after that.
Best regards.
BTC dominanceI still believe that Bitcoin dominance needs to return above 60%, but dominance above 70% isn’t very favorable for altcoins.
However, Bitcoin will likely push itself above 60%, and the range between 65% to 68% is very significant. At that point, a detailed analysis will be necessary. This is expected to happen within the next six months.
INCOMING MEGA ALTS SEASON?!A Mega Altseason refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative coins (altcoins) outperform Bitcoin (BTC) significantly, often delivering exponential gains. Below are key insights:
Characteristics of a Mega Altseason:
Significant dominance drop in Bitcoin (BTC Dominance).
Explosive price movements in mid-cap and low-cap altcoins.
Increased retail and institutional interest in speculative altcoins.
Market Conditions Favoring Altseason:
BTC consolidates or moves sideways after a strong rally.
High liquidity and bullish sentiment across the crypto market.
Breakout of established altcoin market indices.
Strategies During Mega Altseason:
Diversify: Focus on strong fundamental altcoins alongside speculative picks.
Monitor trends: Follow narratives (e.g., AI, gaming, DeFi, Layer-2).
Set targets: Lock in profits at pre-defined levels to mitigate risk.
Cautions:
Extreme volatility: Gains can reverse quickly.
Beware of scams and low-liquidity tokens.
Keep track of Bitcoin's price action as it can impact altcoin momentum.
BTC.D Update (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Based on the previous analysis, we anticipated an upward movement in Bitcoin dominance.
Now, considering recent candlestick patterns, the movement path can be identified more clearly.
Soon, there may be a slight recovery in altcoins, but Bitcoin dominance could rise again to the 59 level before the expected altcoin season begins.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You