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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance Context • April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %) • 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 % • Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated Flows • US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn • BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD • MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC Technical focus (2‑hour chart) • Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May • Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply) • First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000 • Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000 • Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500 Base case 60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance 30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k 10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+ Takeaways • Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k • Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k • Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
Short
by manelfx
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview 🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory. 🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed. 🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone. 🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH). 📊 Technical Details 🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000. 🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure. 🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud. 🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone. 🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000. 📈 RSI and Volume 🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up. 🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure. 🎯 Personal Prediction 🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate: → Short-term goal: $100,000 → Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
Long
by Lupinut
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion. Why Is This Important? Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility. This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts. Security and Storage The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation. Federal Context and Reactions While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy. Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida. Potential Benefits Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors. The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state. Criticism and Concerns As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms. There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible. Conclusion By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
Long
by HCN-News12
BTCUSDT – Potential Rejection Near $106K Before Deeper PullbackPrice is approaching a key resistance zone around $106,300, aligned with the upper boundary of a rising channel. I’m watching for a possible rejection at this level, which could trigger a pullback toward the FWB:88K –$90K support area, as shown in the red box. If that fails, we may revisit lower demand zones around $73K. However, a confirmed breakout above $106K would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest further bullish continuation. Let’s see how price reacts near resistance.
Long
by Setmax
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – Will the Rally Continue or Is a CorrectBitcoin is currently trading at $94,500 💰, but statistical studies and mathematical models indicate a potential downward movement 📉 that could push the price toward $93,800, with a strong likelihood of testing the $89,900 zone. 🛡️ Critical Support at $89,000 To maintain the long-term bullish trend, it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above the $89,000 support level. If the price closes below this level for an entire week, it would be a clear negative signal ❌ and could suggest a trend reversal to the downside for a longer period before any renewed upward movement. ✅ When Does the Correction End? According to statistical studies and mathematical models, the clearest signal that the current correction has ended would be a break above $97,650 followed by three consecutive daily closes above this level 📈. If this scenario plays out, we could see a strong and rapid surge toward the following targets: 🎯 Target 1: $104,900 🎯 Target 2: $112,900 💡 Investor Advice If the breakout occurs, it is advisable to take profits 💸 at the mentioned targets and avoid entering new positions until further notice. The market could experience dramatic and swift movements ⚡, so caution is essential. 📢 The analysis will be updated upon reaching these levels to provide a clearer outlook based on price behavior at that time. Would you like this version formatted for social media, blog post, or perhaps exported as a PDF or presentation slide?
by MMTRADING-BNB
BTC Testing Critical Reclaim Zone on the 3D Chart 🚀 BTC 3D Timeframe Insight 📈 Bitcoin is pushing back into the upper region of its parallel channel, showing renewed strength after recent sideways action. 🛡️ Key Support Zone: Holding above the 99,500 – 100,500 area is vital for bulls to keep momentum alive. ⚠️ A solid close above this range could unlock the next leg up—continuation depends on this level holding firm. 👀 Price action around this zone will decide the next move—stay alert!
by coin_mastermind
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends, I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating. I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher. I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years. IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum. "IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Short
by armindehghani
1
BTC Update higher and lower timeframe narratives. While the 1-hour chart exhibited a strong bullish reaction from a key liquidity zone, the failure of a supporting imbalance on the 15-minute chart introduces the possibility of a retracement or a deeper corrective move before any sustained upward trajectory. . on the 15-minute timeframe presents a contrasting perspective. A bullish imbalance (Fair Value Gap) that was anticipated to provide support has failed to hold. This development suggests a potential weakening of immediate bullish momentum.
by Senku010
“BTC 4H Chart: Eye on $91,247 Support After Local Resistance”The BTCUSDT 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, but price is now facing resistance. If the trendline breaks, the $91,000 support zone becomes a key level to watch. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger correction? 🔍 Key Levels: Resistance: $97,000 Support Zones: $95,000 & $91,000 Trendline Decision: Watch the 4H candle close for confirmation. 🧠 Strategy: Wait for a pullback or go long on a confirmed bounce — both setups are possible. Follow price action closely and trade smart.
Short
by Forexcryptowithjohn
BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF? Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price. These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off. Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely. Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively. I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas: Possibility 1 - 30% Probability 96,700 to 34,500 34,500 retrace to 68,500 68,500 to 7,000 Possibility 2 - 70% Probability 96,700 to 43,000 43,000 retrace to 60,000 60,000 to 7,000 Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense. Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.
Short
by DickDandy
More upside for BitcoinHi traders, Last week the price Bitcoin came a little bit lower then expected (updated wavecount). But after the finish of the correction it went up again for (grey) wave 5. Now we could see a little more upside to finish this wave and after that we could see a bigger correction. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
BTC 104k, what can we expect next?Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis 1. Trend Structure: Current trend: Strong bullish impulse from ~$84,000. Price broke previous highs (~$100,000) and is holding above. All EMAs (50/100/200) are sloping upward — confirming the uptrend. No reversal signs yet in the current structure. 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is near 80, but is it overbought? No clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart. RSI might cool off via sideway consolidation movement, not necessarily a sharp drop. 3. Key Levels: Current Price: ~$103,800 Immediate Resistance: $104,400–$105,000 Major Resistance: $106,800–$108,000 Immediate Support: $102,000 → $100,500 Key Support Zone: $98,000–$99,000 4. Scenarios: Scenario A – Final push to ~$105k, then pullback Price breaks $104.4k, reaches ~$105k, then retraces to ~$101.5k–$102k. Probability: 60% Scenario B – Strong breakout to $106k–$108k without pullback Price continues impulsively despite RSI being overheated. Probability: 30% Scenario C – Reversal from current level (~$103.8k) Price fails to break $104.4k, forms a double top or fakeout. Probability: 10% Conclusion: Current trend is bullish, but momentum is stretched in consolidation. Most likely: price will test $104.4k–105k and pull back slightly before deciding the next move up. If price moves above $106k cleanly, we’re likely entering a new breakout phase and on the way for the new ATH!
by Expate
BTC Breaks 95K — What's Next?Bitcoin has finally broken above the tough resistance level at $95,000 , a level we’ve struggled to conquer for the past 15 days. It's now trading around $96,800 , and the bullish momentum appears to be building. I believe this momentum could carry the price beyond GETTEX:97K – GETTEX:98K , potentially leading us to the next major resistance zone at $100,000. However, $100K won't be easy to break. Expect significant profit-taking around that level, as we’ve seen in the past. Our previous failure to break above it led to a bloody market throughout 2024. While this time could be different, remember: $100K is a massive resistance wall. Altcoins, meanwhile, have lost a bit of momentum, as capital has been flowing steadily into BTC. As Bitcoin gains strength and dominance, altcoins are temporarily being pushed to the sidelines. But don’t lose hope— incredible altcoin opportunities are coming soon. Stay tuned.
Long
by Asma7assan