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BTC in a bear marketBTC Price Outlook: Potential Decline Toward 85K Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of potential weakness, with technical indicators suggesting a possible retracement toward the 85,000 level. This zone may act as a key support area if bearish momentum continues. Several factors contribute to this outlook: - 📉 Momentum Shift: Recent price action indicates slowing bullish momentum, with lower highs forming on shorter timeframes. - 📊 Volume Analysis: Declining volume during upward moves suggests a lack of strong buying interest, increasing the probability of a pullback. - 🧠 Market Psychology: Traders could be locking in profits after the recent rally, leading to increased selling pressure. If BTC approaches the 85K level, it will be crucial to monitor how price reacts—whether it finds support and consolidates, or breaks lower toward deeper retracement zones. Risk management and confirmation signals remain essential in navigating this setup.
Short
by MohammadMola
1
BTCUSDT DAILY VOLUME ANALYSISLet’s get straight to discussing BTCUSDT, which is once again being talked about a lot — where is BTCUSDT heading? My assumption: it’s still BULLISH. Why? It’s still above the green trendline I drew, and buyers are still dominating. Also, I’ve drawn many green and red circles — Green = Bullish Volume, Red = Bearish Volume. Take a look! That’s all for my explanation. Right now, BTCUSDT seems to be getting ready to reach a new ATH (All-Time High). By the way, only 2 months left in 2025!! Keep up the spirit! Remember: crypto — do your own research and money management first
Long
by RCT8
BTCUSDT DAILY ANALYSIS📌 1. Main Condition of BTCUSD Daily From the chart, it is clear that: ➤ BTC is currently in a strong corrective phase (strong downtrend). The daily resistance trendline (red) is very dominant. The weekly support trendline (purple) has already broken → a clear signal of structural weakness. Price is now sitting right inside the Demand OB + High Volume Support zone (green area). This is a logical zone for a buy reaction or relief bounce. 📌 2. Current Price Action ➤ Yesterday’s volume was extremely high. High volume occurring as price hits a demand zone typically indicates one of two possibilities: Seller absorption by large buyers → potential reversal/bounce. Capitulation → final sell-off before sideways or reversal. Based on the candlestick: Yesterday’s candle shows a long lower wick, indicating buyers reacted strongly to demand. But the candle closed red → buyers are not fully in control yet. So, there is a reaction — but not yet a valid signal for a mid-term reversal. 📌 3. Should You Wait for a Bullish Engulfing? I recommend: ✅ Yes — wait for a Bullish Engulfing or Strong Reversal Candle. Because: Market structure is still bearish (lower low – lower high). A bullish engulfing inside a demand zone confirms buyers have taken over. Volume is present → we only need a confirmation candle. Bullish engulfing inside demand + strong volume = high-probability entry. 📌 4. Will BTC Consolidate? After such a sharp decline, BTC often: ➤ Consolidates inside the demand zone before deciding the next direction. This is supported by: Long lower wick Extreme volume spike Price already far from the resistance trendline Price sitting in major demand OB Most likely scenario: BTC will enter a ranging / sideways phase for a few days before breaking up or down. 📌 5. Key Levels Major Support $82,000 – $78,000 = demand + high-volume node If this breaks → next target $73,500, or even $68,000 (long green trendline below). Closest Resistance $90,000 – $92,000 = supply retest + broken structure If price breaks above → potential move toward $96,000.
Long
by RCT8
Bitcoin Analysis – November 22 | Ready to Build Structure ?Bitcoin Analysis – November 22 | Ready to Build Structure? 🧩📉 Hello to all traders out there! Hope you’re having a great day wherever you are. As you can see, price refused to drop below the $82K level and is currently in a resting phase. Also worth noting: 📉 Fear & Greed Index is at 11 — extreme fear. Now let’s break down the possible scenarios for today: 🟦 Scenario A – Likely Range & Structure Building One of the most probable scenarios today is a range, something we usually see on Saturdays. Here’s why: Price already gave a solid reaction to the $82K level But volume keeps dropping — naturally, because it’s Saturday Many traders are waiting for the market to build structure so they can take proper triggers A ranging market today makes sense, and it can actually be a great time to: Review your trade journal Scan for strong potential coins for the upcoming week ⏰ Tip: I recommend checking the chart every 4 hours — especially before the 4H candle closes and during the US session. 🟥 Scenario B – Breakdown & Short Opportunity Another strong scenario: a drop below $82,200. This level is a valid short trigger only if broken, but ideally, I want to see one more retest first. Why? The market reacted too aggressively to this level earlier — meaning it might not be a “clean” level yet. A second reaction would confirm it more reliably. If $82.2K gets retested on the 1H timeframe, I’ll likely take a short with a tight stop. 🟩 Scenario C – Pump Above $86K? Still Not Longing If price pushes above $86K, I’m still not opening longs. I want to see buyer strength first. If buyers lose momentum after the move up, then the first lower high / lower low, or even equal structure on the 1H timeframe, gives me a clean short setup. In a bearish environment, every new high is a shorting opportunity. 🔚 Final Thoughts These are today’s scenarios. And remember: 💡 Risk management, position sizing, and reward-to-risk matter far more than any chart you see online. Your goal is simple: stay alive long enough to become profitable. Wishing you all a profitable day! If you have any thoughts, feel free to share them in the comments. 📩
by MohammadAmin41148
BTC Weekly – Wave 4 Correction Into Demand ZoneBitcoin is currently completing a Wave 4 correction on the weekly timeframe after forming a strong Wave 3 top. The decline is aligning perfectly with major Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5 – 0.618 – 0.786) along with a well-defined weekly demand zone, suggesting that downside may be limited and a long-term bullish continuation is likely. 🔍 Elliott Wave Structure Wave (1) formed in mid-2021 Wave (2) bottomed in 2022 Wave (3) extended strongly into 2024/2025 Price is currently moving through Wave (4), a corrective phase The projected next move is Wave (5) targeting a new ATH zone in the coming years Wave 4 typically retraces into the 0.382 – 0.618 Fibonacci region, and Bitcoin is already approaching the golden pocket, matching historical BTC behavior in previous cycles. 🟩 Key Demand Zone The chart shows a high-volume demand area between: 0.618 Fib (~$60,000 zone) 0.786 Fib (~$45,000 zone) This entire region has: Historical accumulation Heavy buying response in past corrections Confluence with long-term trend structure This makes it a high-probability reversal zone for the start of Wave 5. 📈 Expected Move (Projection) If BTC respects this demand zone: Consolidation / accumulation inside the zone Breakout above $85k resistance Next leg into Wave 5, with upside targets around: $110k $130k $140k+ (potential new ATH) This matches both Elliott Wave theory and long-term cycle momentum. Bitcoin is in a healthy macro correction, approaching a powerful confluence zone that historically triggers strong trend resumption. The structure favors a major Wave 5 rally over the coming months/years, offering long-term investors a potential high-reward setup. Disclaimer: The information presented here reflects my personal market analysis and opinions. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Please evaluate your own risk tolerance and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by mohsinsait3
Why Retailers lose 90%? Smart Money doesn't allow to follow!Hello. If you’re curious about trading or you’ve tried to beat the markets ? Think what smart money has been doing again and again. Disclaimer: This post is dedicated solely to educational content and community-driven insights. All information shared here—including strategies, trade setups, and opinions—are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial, investment, or trading advice. Viewers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and the channel will not be held responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of actions taken based on the content presented. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. In this post you will learn: 1. How to read price action, not just indicators. 2. How to follow the smart money, not the crowd. 3. Real statistics, live examples, and honest warnings. The discipline needed to turn a trading account into long-lasting wealth. 4. If you’re ready to stop searching for shortcuts and finally learn what works from first principles, understand this post. Let’s begin at the root: What is trading? It is the act of buying and selling financial instruments, like stocks, currencies, commodities, or derivatives, with the sole aim of making a profit which has the ability to impact the economy of a country is now accessible to anyone with a mobile phone. You might wonder, how does trading influence an entire economy? Trading adds massive liquidity to financial markets, allows companies to raise capital for expansion, and lets investors participate in a country’s growth story. However, wild or speculative trading can sometimes trigger volatility, even a crisis, impacting jobs and industries across the economy. So when it is available to everyone, why do Most Fail? Why It’s Not for Everyone? Here’s the catch — trading isn’t everyone’s cup of tea. Statistics are brutal: Nearly 90% of retail traders lose money over time. Only about 10% manage to survive, and an even smaller fraction thrives long-term. So, if you’re looking for an easy way out or quick money, trading might not be for you. Honestly, if you want guaranteed results and dislike uncertainty, it’s better to focus your energy elsewhere — that’s the hard truth. At the same time, Who Thrives in Trading? It is one of the toughest jobs in the world — tougher than rocket science or open-heart surgery, because here, the enemy is your own psychology. Those who succeed have discipline, patience, and adaptability. If that excites you, then let’s continue. Moving forward, Why Most Retail Traders Lose? Let’s talk about indicators and patterns. Have you ever wondered why there’s a flood of free tools online, each claiming to unlock profits? If these tools worked, wouldn’t everyone be rich? The harsh reality is Big institutions and banks have the resource to track all algorithms and setups of every petty retailer. Indicators are often designed to manipulate the masses, helping big players—smart money—feed off smaller, retail traders. Most of these strategies look good on paper, but fail miserably upto 50% in real trades. Let me explain further with A Live Example: How Smart Money Profits from Retailers: Whenever retail traders enter a popular selling zone, their collective stop losses are clustered just above that zone. The smart money—hedge funds and institutional players—can see these clusters. Smart money already has the expertise and resources to track down the cluster of stop losses. They push the price up briefly, either by buying pressure or hedging, triggering retail stop losses and buying those positions at a discount. The losing retail traders exit in panic, while the smart money enjoys the rebound. So, the common man’s entry price often becomes the rich man’s exit, and the provider of liquidity is the one who loses. Thus, The Statistics emphasise on Rich Get Richer, Poor Get Poorer. Statistics don’t lie. The top 1% of traders control over 80% of the wealth because they understand market psychology, price action, and institutional flow. Most retail traders keep chasing easy profits, only to end up as “fuel” for the professionals. The famous saying, “In trading, money flows from the impatient to the patient,” is very real. In all these circumstances, Can Retail Traders Ever Win? Is there any hope for retailers to win consistently? Yes, but only with the right approach! Forget about magic indicators, secret patterns, or the latest news flash—institutions can manipulate all that. But there’s one thing nobody can manipulate: price itself. Stop chasing the crowd, imagine them as a school of fish. Instead, hug the belly of the big sharks—blend in with institutional flow and study pure price action. Why Price Action is King? Why trust price action? Because price is the total of every force—news, sentiment, manipulation, and truly valuable information. If you can read the footprints left by smart money, you’ll stop getting tricked by the bread crumbs distributed to unsuspecting retailers. Stop losses of retailers are literally profits for institutions. A retailer’s entry, without proper analysis, often becomes a signal for big players to do the opposite. Follow price—not noise. Drop a comment sharing your own trading journey, mistakes, or burning questions.
Education
by MarketDialogue
2
BTC Outlook: 90K Zone Retest PossibleBTC Outlook: 90K Zone Retest Possible BTC has entered a strong reaction zone around 82–85K, which historically acts as a demand block. The initial bounce from this area suggests buyers are stepping in again. Key Reasons a Move Back to 90K Is Possible: 1. Strong Demand Zone (82–85K) BTC is showing clear absorption of selling pressure. This is typically the first step before a reversal toward higher resistance levels. 2. Market Structure Reversal Pattern Your chart indicates a potential W-bottom / reclamation setup. Once BTC holds above 85.6K, momentum usually shifts bullish. 3. Liquidity Above (88–90K) There’s a large cluster of untapped liquidity at 88–90K where previous breakdowns occurred. Market makers are incentivized to push price back up to that zone. 4. 90.3K = First Major Resistance Target The yellow line at 90,370 aligns with: HTF resistance Former support flip Liquidity target Perfect location for a retest. Scenario Path (Matches Your Green Projection): Bounce from 82–85K Break above 85.6K reclaim First target → 87K Pullback / consolidation Final push → 89.5K–90.3K
Long
by SatochiTrader
BTC Weekly — Break Below the 50W MA: Expect Choppy Range Before ⚠️ Not Financial Advice Bitcoin has broken below the 50-week moving average (50W MA), a key long-term trend indicator. Historically, losing this level often leads to a choppy consolidation phase before a new direction is chosen. 🔍 Outlook 🔸 Sideways chop near 80K is likely in the short term. 🔹 Potential bounce toward 90K to retest the 50W MA / MA ribbon from below. 🔻 If rejection occurs, BTC may continue lower toward the 60K support zone. 📌 Summary Break of 50W MA → range around 80K → possible retest at 90K → failed retest could target 60K. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just my personal analysis.
by simmocode
BTCSince my first forecast regarding the BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P decline 2 months ago, the asset has dropped by 27%. As of today, my global outlook on the market remains bearish. The first significant target is 78,200.2. Once reached, it will be necessary to assess the character of the price movement there. While we move toward this target, the entire market will also likely head down. This creates excellent opportunities to profit, as the market is moving rather than standing still. Subscribe to not miss updates.
Short
by The_Traders_House
Bitcoin’s Macro H&S Structure Building Up!Bitcoin is developing a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe, a classic bearish reversal structure. The price has repeatedly rejected the major resistance zone marked in red, indicating strong selling pressure. As of now, the left shoulder and head are already formed, and based on the current structure, the right shoulder could form within the next 1–3 months if BTC continues to face resistance near this zone $100k- $107k Price is currently hovering near the long-term ascending trendline (neckline), which will play a key role in determining whether this pattern completes and confirms. The yellow candles represent a forecast, illustrating a possible scenario if the right shoulder forms and the neckline breaks. Key Highlights - Left shoulder and head are already formed; right shoulder may form in the next 1–3 months. - Strong rejection from major resistance, similar to classic H&S structures. - Ascending neckline acting as final support. - Yellow candles are only a forecast, not actual price data. - Pattern confirmation requires a decisive break below the neckline. This is an early-stage macro pattern, and traders should watch how BTC reacts around the resistance zone and the neckline in the coming weeks. Cheers Hexa
Short
by HexaTrades
1
2021 vs 2025: Bitcoin Showing a Similar Macro StructureBitcoin is showing a price structure very similar to the 2021 macro top, where BTC formed a dead-cat bounce from the 100 EMA before beginning a major correction. On the current cycle, BTC is once again testing the 100 EMA, and the price reaction looks very similar to the 2021 pattern: a brief bounce followed by continued downside pressure. Key Points: - 2021 Pattern: BTC bounced from the 100 EMA before the macro crash. - 2025 Price Action: Showing a similar bounce and reject structure at the same weekly EMA. - Major Weekly Resistance: Market showing exhaustion and lower-high structure, just like previous cycle tops. - Potential Dead-Cat Bounce: We could see a bounce toward the $100K–$107K zone before the downtrend continues. - Possible Repeat Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the 100 EMA, history suggests a deeper correction may follow. Cheers Hexa
Short
by HexaTrades
5
BTCUSDT 4H, aggressively sold off!We’re looking at BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe. After a strong bullish leg, BTC has been aggressively sold off from the upper supply zones and is now sitting inside the first major demand area. 🔑 Key zones on the chart (approx.): 4H FVG (supply): 95,000 – 97,500 Current demand zone / upper OB: 82,500 – 85,500 Major lower demand zone: 72,000 – 77,000 Price is at a decision point, and I’m mainly watching three scenarios: Scenario 1 – Relief long into the 4H FVG If price holds inside 82.5K–85.5K and on the lower timeframes (15m / 1H) we get a clear bullish CHoCH + clean long OB, BTC can easily print a relief rally toward the 95K–97.5K 4H FVG. This would be a decent short-term long opportunity, but as long as the 4H structure remains heavy and impulsively bearish, I still treat it as a counter-trend move, not the start of a fresh macro bull leg. Scenario 2 – Pullback to FVG and continuation down My main working scenario: BTC bounces from the current demand zone, Fills the 4H FVG around 95K–97.5K, Shows strong rejection + wicks + reversal candle + bearish CHoCH on LTF, Then starts the next leg down toward the 72K–77K major demand zone. For me, any serious swing/position longs make more sense down there, not in the middle of this aggressive repricing move. Scenario 3 – No strong bounce, straight flush to 72K–77K If the current demand around 82.5K–85.5K completely fails and we don’t see any meaningful bullish structure on lower timeframes, BTC can simply bleed directly into 72K–77K without a big relief move. In that case, trying to long every little dip in the middle of the dump is basically fighting the flow. I’d rather wait patiently until: Either we get a proper relief rally into the 4H FVG (Scenarios 1–2), Or price flushes into 72K–77K and gives a high-quality long setup from there. 🧠 Overall view (our style): We’re in a distribution / repricing phase, not a clean trending leg. Big, conviction longs for me belong closer to 72K–77K, not here. Any long from current levels is tactical, short-term and LTF-based, with tight risk and clear invalidation – not a “close your eyes and hold” type of trade.
by ProfitaminFX