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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys! Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario. The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: – Support area around $83,000 – $82,500 – A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal. Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
Short
by melikatrader94
8
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer. --- 1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) . - A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level. - Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders. - This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence. This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern. --- 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill. - These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance. - The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier. - FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value. This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab. --- 3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries. - The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear. - This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups. This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal. --- 4. Market Structure Context From a structural point of view: - Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep. - The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow. Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside. --- 5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative: - Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing. - The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery. - Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic. The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below. --- Conclusion: This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery: - Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions. This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Short
by Louigi_24
31
BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further. There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions. In this guide, we will break down: - The difference between BOS and MSS - When and why they occur - How to identify them on your charts - How to trade based on these structures - Real chart examples for visual clarity --- Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend . Key Characteristics: - Happens with the trend - Confirms continuation - Can be used to trail stops or add to positions Example: In an uptrend: - Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form - Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside --- Market Structure Shift (MSS) Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs). Key Characteristics: - Happens against the trend] - Signals possible trend reversal - Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt - Optional: is created by a displacement candle Example: In an uptrend: - Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab) - Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside --- How to Identify BOS and MSS For BOS: 1. Determine the current trend. 2. Identify swing highs/lows. 3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend . For MSS: 1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows. 2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure . 3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend). --- Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy With BOS: - Use it to confirm trend continuation - Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG - Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH With MSS: - Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal) - Use it to spot early reversal entries - Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m) - If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing BOS with MSS - Ignoring higher timeframe context - Trading MSS too early without confirmation - Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups. --- Final Thoughts Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
45
BTCUSDTIf a strong bullish candle closes above the marked level, I will consider entering a long position on BTC/USDT. Additionally, there is a clear bullish divergence, and the price has retraced from the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which supports the potential for a continuation of the uptrend. If the price break out of the current consolidation zone with a strong bullish impulse, it would confirm a bullish flag pattern, indicating the possibility for BTC to rally towards the 130,000 level
Long
by addimasud1
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners. Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting? 2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k. 4hr already flipped back bearish. Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data. For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates. On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart. I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation. I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect. Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
Short
by Filnft
1
Bitcoin Correction Offers Opportunity Before Potential RallyBitcoin is currently trading around $87,151, in the middle of a healthy weekly retracement after reaching local highs. Price remains within the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at $89,519 and Span B at $79,240), indicating a neutral to slightly bullish phase, depending on whether buyers reclaim key levels in the coming weeks. A break and sustained close above $89,000 would serve as confirmation of bullish momentum resuming. That level aligns with the top of the cloud and recent consolidation, making it a key pivot zone to watch. Should price fail to reclaim that zone in the short term, the ideal long entry zone lies between $74,000 and $70,000, where: A previous breakout level aligns with demand The Ichimoku cloud thickens for dynamic support A potential oversold signal could develop on the TSI The Trend Strength Index (TSI) values support a pullback-to-buy thesis: TSI(10): -0.47 TSI(20): -0.80 While both are in negative territory, they’re not deeply oversold yet, giving room for one more leg down before a strong reversal signal potentially emerges. The ultimate bullish target remains at $109,000, which is the next significant swing extension zone. Trade Setup Summary: Breakout Confirmation: Close above $89,000 with follow-through Buy Zone: $74,000 – $70,000 (demand zone + cloud + structure support) Target: $109,000 Invalidation: Close below $69,000 Bias: Bullish continuation while holding $70,000 Bitcoin’s current consolidation follows the post-halving adjustment, where mining rewards have been reduced and market volatility tends to increase. Institutional interest remains high, with ETF inflows stabilizing and macroeconomic uncertainty supporting long-term crypto positioning. As long as real yields remain in check and risk appetite persists, BTC is fundamentally supported, aligning with the bullish continuation setup seen on the chart. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
1
not so much hope is leftBitcoin has found support around the $80,000 level and is currently trading with relatively low volatility. Investors remain cautious due to uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs on the global economy and whether a deal can be reached. The market hasn’t dropped to $60,000 yet, largely because there’s still hope that Trump might either secure a deal or abandon the tariff plan altogether. Additionally, many investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7, which is expected to be either bearish or neutral. Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with limited bullish scenarios likely to play out. The probability of a continued downtrend appears high.
by NIJARIO_fundmanager
BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing BTCUSDT – Liquidity Clustered, Volume Lying, and a Trap Brewing (April 21, 2025) by Pôncio Pacífico – Institutional flow, obscene leverage, zero mercy 📍 Market Context Bitcoin is trapped in a low-volatility chop range between $84.2K and $85.8K. Open Interest is rising while price stays flat = someone is building a position… and someone else is about to be slaughtered. The Asian market is open. So is the manipulation season. 🔎 Key Zones Visible POC: $85.5K – the battlefield of confused traders. Key Resistance: $86.3K – liquidation zone for overconfident shorters. Key Support: $83.8K – emotional refuge of poorly placed longs. 🧠 Institutional Tools (no MACD tourist traps): Delta: Positive, but not supported by real volume = spoofing or passive absorption. Open Interest: Rising during consolidation = trap loading. Bookmap: Hidden sell blocks above = fake breakout incoming. 📉 Trading Plan (2 Scenarios) Scenario A – Squeeze & Dump (most likely) → Quick push to $86.2K–$86.4K to wipe out shorts → Hard reversal targeting $84.7K and $83.8K → Entry: Short @ $86.200 → SL: $86.600 → TP1: $84.700 / TP2: $83.800 Scenario B – Bear Trap with V-Recovery → Fake breakdown to $83.800 to liquidate longs → Snapback reversal into $85.5K+ → Entry: Long @ $83.800 → SL: $83.400 → TP1: $85.500 / TP2: $86.200 🧾 Conclusion BTC is about to explode. Delta and OI scream manipulation. If you’re trading without heatmaps or order flow, you’re funding a market maker’s new yacht. This is not a battle between bulls and bears. It’s between those who read the market... and those who guess it.
by NunoSid
Next Volatility Period: Around April 25-29 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can receive support near the OBV Line indicator (84349.94) on the 1M chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - (1D chart) (Movement in a wide range) If you look at the lines drawn with multiple lines, you can see that it is currently moving sideways within the section that the fingers are pointing to. It may seem a bit complicated, but the key is in which direction the finger points out. (Narrow range movement) After the volatility period of around April 14-17, there is a possibility that the short-term trend will change. The next volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and show a downward trend, or rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and show an upward trend. In other words, you need to look at whether it will rise along the trend line (2) or fall along the trend line (4). - As I said before, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a selling point. The reason is that even if it rises, the upward trend is likely to be limited. If the trading volume increases explosively when it shows support at a certain support and resistance point or section, it is possible that it will lead to a large increase, but it is a rare case, so it is better to refrain from expecting it. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Topped in January? Here’s Why That’s Not Crazy.The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength. But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025? If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure: 🔹 Wave 3 — extended to 1.618 🔹 Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd) 🔹 Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit 🔹 Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype 🔹 Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top 📌 Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet 2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close 3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment) 📊 Watch the 200-dayMA: Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles. That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction. 📈 A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH. Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
by shakatrade1_618