#BITCOIN: Another drop and then Swing Bounce $125,000The current market sentiment is bearish, indicating a potential further decline towards the 65k price point. However, we anticipate a rebound towards the 125k region. As we approach the 65k threshold, we expect a substantial price increase.
To make informed investment decisions, it is crucial to observe a strong bullish trend before considering any bullish entries.
For more insights and market analysis, please like and comment.🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Bitcoin going upHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated and went up on Wednesday. This could be wave 4 (grey) and price is now in wave 5.
Price came into a Daily bullish FVG so now we could see more upside again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Bitcoin - Major Daily Imbalance and Possible Move to $105k?Bitcoin already broke out of the bearish structure a while back, and honestly, that was the first major shift everyone should have been paying attention to. Ever since that breakout, we have been building bullish structure on the higher timeframes, higher highs, higher lows, and overall strong momentum to the upside. This gave the bulls a clear advantage, and so far, nothing has really changed that bigger picture.
Consolidation Structure
Now, looking at the current price action, something important stands out. During the last big push up, Bitcoin left behind a massive daily imbalance zone. It is way too big to just leave open like that. Markets hate inefficiencies, especially ones of that size, and more often than not, these kinds of imbalance zones get filled at some point.
Because of that, I am fully expecting price to come down, revisit this imbalance area, and fill it properly before making any serious move higher. It is a natural thing for the market to do, clean up inefficiencies, grab liquidity, and then continue the main trend if the structure holds.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The most important thing to watch here is how Bitcoin reacts once it gets into the imbalance zone. If we dip into it and then start seeing bullish reactions, I will be looking for confirmation that the bullish structure is still intact. Specifically, if we can avoid a daily candle close below the bottom of that imbalance, the bullish case remains valid.
However, if we get a full daily close below the imbalance, that would be a strong warning sign. That would tell me that the bulls lost control and we could be looking at deeper downside or a shift back into bearish conditions.
But as long as that does not happen, I am still looking for the market to respect the structure. A dip into the imbalance, hold, and then continuation higher, that is the ideal scenario.
Price Target and Expectations
If we get the reaction I am looking for after filling the imbalance, I think Bitcoin has a real shot at rallying towards $105,000. That level lines up perfectly with a strong resistance area on the chart, and it would make sense for price to reach for it if the momentum stays bullish.
Now, reaching $105,000 will not be easy. That is going to be a major test for the market. There will likely be heavy selling pressure around there. But if the trend stays strong and we keep putting in bullish structures even as we approach that resistance, it is definitely possible to break through eventually.
Current Stance
Right now, I am being patient. I am not chasing the current move higher. I am waiting for price to come back down into the imbalance zone. If we get a proper retest and hold, that is where I will be looking for my entries, targeting the move towards $105,000.
No daily close below the imbalance zone = bullish continuation plan still in play,
Daily close below = reassess everything and possibly step aside.
Conclusion
To sum it up, Bitcoin already shifted bullish a while ago with the structure break. Now it is just about cleaning up the inefficiencies it left behind during the move up. If the market does what it usually does, fill the imbalance and maintain bullish structure, then the setup towards $105,000 is very much alive.
Patience is key here. Let the market come to us. No need to force anything.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
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Bitcoin vs. Saylor: The Power and Danger of fanatical promotionToday I want to talk about Michael Saylor and his influence on many crypto minds and, to some extent, the movement of Bitcoin’s price.
It’s very important to understand who we’re listening to, who we’re following, and whether this person has hidden motives we don’t see due to lack of information or unwillingness to get it — due to our stubborn desire to see only what confirms our own fantasies and thoughts and serves our expectations.
Let’s turn on our reason and objectivity and face the facts.
Michael Saylor is a well-known figure in the crypto world. He promotes the idea of eternal Bitcoin growth and actively buys it to support his words. When the price drops, he even suggests his readers sell their organs, which, to me, is too much.
Let’s move to the facts — everything is Googleable, and promptable.
Facts:
📈 Hype of 2000
In 2000, he rode the dot-com hype with his company MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy was promoted as a pioneer in business analytics and data management software, and he saw himself solely as a visionary of the new economy.
The boom was sky-high — just read about the dot-com era. Stocks of new tech companies were soaring, and it was enough to say “software” and “I see the future.”
In 1998, MicroStrategy successfully held an IPO. In 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom, the company’s stock reached an incredible $333 per share in March.
He skillfully used the hype, and here was his 2000 narrative:
Digital transformation: Saylor claimed the world was entering a new era where data would become the main asset of companies, and MicroStrategy — the key tool for processing and analyzing it.
Unlimited growth: In the dot-com era, Saylor pushed the idea that tech companies like MicroStrategy would grow exponentially, ignoring traditional financial constraints.
The future is now: Saylor created the feeling that MicroStrategy wasn’t just following trends but shaping them, offering solutions that would define the future of business.
At the same time, he was building a cult around himself, cultivating the image of a genius entrepreneur.
⚠️ Financial reporting scandal
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) launched an investigation into MicroStrategy. The company overstated revenues, which led to a stock crash (from $333 to $86 in one day) and a loss of investor trust. The stock kept falling and dropped to $0.4 (–100%!).
The SEC filed charges against Michael Saylor personally (CEO), as well as CFO Mark Lynch and the chief accountant. They were accused of intentionally misrepresenting financials to keep stock prices high.
SEC investigation results:
In December 2000, the SEC concluded the investigation, and MicroStrategy agreed to settle without admitting guilt:
* The company paid a $10M fine.
* Saylor, Lynch, and other executives paid personal fines.
* Saylor agreed to pay $8.28M in “disgorgement” (unjust enrichment) and a $350K fine — a total of about $8.63M.
* MicroStrategy committed to revising its reporting and implementing stricter internal controls.
In addition to the SEC settlement ($11M from leadership, including $8.63M from Saylor), MicroStrategy faced shareholder class-action lawsuits, which were settled for $10M.
No executives were criminally charged, but the company’s and Saylor’s reputations suffered greatly.
In other words, Michael didn’t have any moral hesitation about faking company profits during losses. But investors and journalists started asking questions — and the SEC came knocking.
Let’s call it what it is: Saylor committed fraud, using hype, promising endless growth, and creating a cult around himself as a “financial genius and visionary.”
Michael went quiet, and the media tone shifted quickly — from super-visionary to one of the biggest losers and scammers.
To give him credit, he managed to keep the company alive and kept a low profile until 2020, like a mouse. 20 years — a generation change and a new hype cycle.
And what does a tech visionary do? Of course — jump into the new wave. A chance to restore his image — probably more important to him than money.
🟠 Bitcoin Era, 2020
Before 2020, Saylor was a Bitcoin skeptic. In 2013, he even tweeted that “Bitcoin’s days are numbered” and compared it to gambling.
But in 2020, he changed his position after deeply studying crypto. His mission: to protect capital and restore his image as a prophet — and he decided to buy Bitcoin.
But his own money seemed insufficient, so he turned to borrowing.
Here’s how the scheme works:
1.MicroStrategy issues stocks and bonds
📈 They sell new MSTR shares → get cash.
💵 They issue bonds (debt papers) → investors give them money at interest.
2. They use that money to buy Bitcoin
🟧 All the raised funds go into BTC purchases.
They don’t sell. Just hold. Never lock in profit.
3. If BTC rises → MSTR stock price rises
MSTR becomes a kind of "BTC ETF."
📊 BTC growth = MicroStrategy’s market cap growth.
🔁 Then they repeat the cycle.
Stock price up → issue more shares/bonds → buy more BTC → repeat.
📌 The catch:
They use other people’s money (debt) to buy BTC.
They sell almost nothing.
They bet BTC will grow faster than interest on the debt.
So as long as the price goes up — everything is fine.
Let’s admit: his fanaticism, aggressive marketing, and bold statements have helped Bitcoin.
But the main question: will the inevitable market correction wipe out this belief in endless growth?
🔍 His personality
It’s crucial for us as traders and investors to understand who really runs the company or project. The personal traits of leaders are useful information that gives us insight and a behavioral map.
We need to research not only products and financials, but also the psychological types of those making the decisions.
Saylor’s aggressive marketing and loud statements are part of his personality.
He fed off the hype around his persona more than any growing bank balance.
And there’s nothing wrong with that — until you start deceiving people to keep attention on yourself.
For example, in the 2000s, *Forbes* noted that Saylor “sold the dream” of a new economy where traditional profit metrics didn’t matter.
It attracted investors — but didn’t reflect reality. Forbes hinted that his desire to maintain the genius image may have led to accounting manipulation.
Saylor created an "expectations bubble" that burst.
His desire to prove he’s a genius led to a disconnection from reality.
He often talks about himself as a genius and visionary (sounds like a grandiose ego).
He positions himself as the savior of capital through BTC (messiah complex).
He publicly mocks “weak hands” and traditional investors (shows superiority).
He never admits mistakes, even after losing billions (denial and overconfidence).
He repeats his ideas again and again (manic fixation on being right).
His speech is like a manifesto, not a dialogue. He doesn’t converse — he proclaims.
I don’t sense greed in him. I sense emptiness that demands a cult.
He doesn’t live for money — he is obsessed with the idea.
And that’s the problem — there’s no objectivity here. It feels more like revenge after the humiliation and downfall of 20 years ago.
He’s smart — no doubt. But it’s not just intelligence. It’s cold messianism.
Obsession, not passion.
Psychotype: Grand strategist with a humiliation trauma
Trait Behavior
Narcissistic core “I’m special, my vision is above all.”
Obsession with greatness “I must be the truth, not just be right.”
Hyper-rationality “I survive through logic, not feelings.”
Psychological armor “I won’t show weakness. If I break, I disappear.”
Fanatical visionary “My idea is supreme. I don’t need to be humble.”
💸 More facts:
In 2024, Michael paid a FWB:40M fine for tax evasion.
The accusation:
He didn’t pay income tax in D.C., while actively living there — yachts, property, planes, frequent visits.
His tax returns didn’t reflect reality, and the investigation used GPS, Instagram, flight data, banking, and other digital traces.
Saylor didn’t admit guilt but agreed to settle for around $40M.
His personal wealth is mostly in MicroStrategy shares (9.9% or ~$8.74B by end of 2024).
Theoretically, he can sell them — but he must file a report within two days.
Current status:
MicroStrategy owns 555,450 BTC
Average purchase price: ~$68,550
Total purchase cost: ~$38.08B
Unrealized profit: ~$14.7B
And remember — Saylor’s slogan: Forever HODL.
📉 But the key point:
The company’s current debt is $7.24B.
All is good — as long as the price rises.
Analysts estimate BTC would have to fall to ~$20K before MSTR is forced to liquidate.
But if BTC nears the break-even zone, fear might hit shareholders first — triggering stock sell-offs.
If MSTR shares fall — which is likely during a BTC crash — bondholders, especially those with convertible bonds (which make up most of the debt), might demand repayment.
That could force Saylor to sell BTC.
Because in a crypto winter, buyers for MSTR stock or bonds may disappear.
So BTC could fall — not because of actual sales, but from fear of those sales.
This is my main concern with Saylor’s oversized influence on the market.
🐍 A bit of “reptilian” theory
What if BlackRock *planned* to use Saylor’s hands to push Bitcoin and concentrate large amounts in one basket — then take it from him?
Among the main bondholders are big institutions:
* Allianz Global Investors
* Voya Investment Management
* Calamos Investments
* State Street
These bonds are usually unsecured and non-convertible, making them attractive to investors who want Bitcoin exposure without direct ownership.
In case of default, bondholders have priority over the company’s assets — including BTC reserves.
🏛 State Street Corporation
Public company traded on NYSE.
Its biggest shareholders: Vanguard Group and BlackRock .
If so — they could end up holding as much BTC as Satoshi.
BlackRock’s IBIT holds ~500K BTC.
MicroStrategy holds ~500K BTC.
🤔 Questions to reflect on:
* Is industry leader fanaticism good for the development of crypto?
* What is Michael Saylor really doing? Avenging the past? Or truly in love with the technology?
* What risks does a whale with media influence and fanaticism and pockets full of Bitcoin and debt pose to the market?
Waiting for your thoughts in the comments, dear traders! Hugs! 🤗
Bitcoin's Blueprint: Channel Breakout Sets Stage for $104K Push
Looking at the Bitcoin/TetherUS 1D chart from May 6, 2025, we're witnessing a critical technical setup that suggests significant upside potential.
The price is currently at $94,758 , having established a solid foundation after the April recovery. This technical analysis reveals a powerful bullish scenario developing:
Master Pattern: Ascending Channel Continuation
Bitcoin has formed a textbook ascending channel (yellow boundaries) since the February-April bottoming pattern. After testing the lower boundary in April at approximately $74,508, price has rebounded sharply and is now consolidating in a rectangular accumulation zone (purple box).
Key Technical Elements:
- Diagonal Support Break : Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline (gray) that had capped gains since early 2025
- Channel Position : Currently trading in the lower half of the ascending channel, suggesting significant upside room
- Volume Confirmation : The 10.61K volume with positive price action (+0.03%) indicates healthy accumulation
Projected Movement Pattern
The blue arrows map out the anticipated price movement:
1. Current consolidation within the purple box (accumulation phase)
2. Initial thrust to upper channel boundary (~$100K)
3. Minor pullback to establish higher support
4. Final push toward the target of $104k
Strategic Insight: "The Channel Magnet Effect"
Bitcoin's price action demonstrates the magnetic pull of the upper channel boundary after confirmed breaks of diagonal resistance. The purple consolidation zone serves as the launchpad for this measured move.
This pattern is particularly significant as it mirrors Bitcoin's historical tendency to build momentum through rectangular consolidations before channel expansions.
Traders should watch for a convincing break above $98,000 as confirmation of this bullish scenario, with potential for acceleration once psychological resistance at $100,000 is breached.
For risk management, the lower boundary of the purple box provides a clear invalidation point for this bullish thesis.
OLD BUT GOLD! Warning BTC next recession!In the previous article [ BTC may slightly decrease before the next move ] we pointed out the risk volatility of BTC in the ~96k range. So far, the BTC price analysis is going quite well as expected (not 100% accurate):
- The price increased to touch 109k5 and formed a resistance zone.
- Then the price dropped sharply and locked the 96k zone and headed to key level the 70k zone but stop at 74k7.
- Next, price is recovering very well to the 97k zone
- Please note that the analysis is for reference only, the BTC price movement is similar to the image, but not 100% correct, the price move up and down through the zone while moving. This analysis is based on personal technical analysis, not investment advice! => please consider your skills before making a decision!
The main content of this article will be the current price movement after recovering to the 97k area. The price tends to increase, but the upward force is much weaker , currently the price has created a form of resistance at the 97k area. In my personal opinion, this weakness can reverse at any time => ending the recovery phase into a downtrend phase. If this analysis is correct, we will look at the price of the nearest important support zone at 83k (move 1), if this price cannot be maintained, the price may continue to decrease further to the 70k area (move 2).
Everyone wants the price to rise and make good profits, but from a technical analysis perspective, we need to be objective to avoid buying or increasing positions in risky areas or maybe buying more in cheaper areas. I am not a fortune teller, this analysis will be wrong when the price breaks the 97k resistance and increases further. Trade safe!
The key support and resistance levels in this article are used from the BBND script.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, crude oil prices have consecutively closed with bearish candles and declined. On the 4-hour chart, there are four consecutive bearish candles exerting pressure. On Saturday, the OPEC+ convened a meeting ahead of schedule and confirmed the decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which further intensifies the market's concerns about oversupply. It is recommended that for crude oil trading next Monday, short positions should be mainly taken at the resistance level during rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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BTC Short Setup IdeaFollowing the recent impulsive move, we’ve seen a significant number of short liquidations. There’s a high probability of a correction toward the accumulated liquidity near the lows. Additionally, keep an eye on the CME gap between $91,920 and $93,440 — a potential magnet for price.
The impulse itself shows signs of weakness, and there's a noticeable bearish divergence on the RSI, suggesting downward momentum. Price is currently testing a strong resistance area, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the entire correction since the ATH. Moreover, the RSI has entered overbought territory.
I recommend starting to look for short entries from this zone, supported by these technical signals. As always, proper risk management is essential.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts and feedback on this idea!
multiple positive factorsDriven by multiple positive factors, including institutional funds inflow, the halving cycle, and the development of the Middle East market, as well as a breakthrough in the technical aspects, Bitcoin has a relatively high probability of surging towards the $100,000 mark in May.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
#BTCUSDT SELL NOW The chart you provided shows a short-term bearish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 45-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box at Top): Around $103,800–$104,000, showing where price previously got rejected.
Support Zone (Yellow Box at Bottom): Around $101,900, marked as a potential target.
Bearish Momentum: The blue arrow and recent red candles suggest a bearish move is expected.
Entry/Stop/Target Zones:
Entry: Around current level ($103,138).
Stop Loss: Near $103,821 (just above resistance).
Target: Around $101,900.
This indicates a short (sell) setup with a risk-to-reward ratio favoring the downside.
Do you want help identifying a potential entry signal or confirmation before taking action?
$BTC Finally $100K Surprised and Take Profit Done✨ CRYPTOCAP:BTC Surprise Finally Touch $100K Milestone again, All Take Profit and bonus Done.
💫 From Breaking News:
• Arizona Bitcoin Bill: Crucial SB 1373 Advances for State Bitcoin Reserve
• New Hampshire Becomes First to Approve Bitcoin Reserve—Will Other States Follow?
First introduced in January, HB 302, gives officials the ability to allocate state funds to both precious metals, and specific digital assets with a market capitalization of over $500 billion. That means Bitcoin, which, as of this writing, has a market cap of roughly $1.9 trillion per TradingView, is a prime candidate.
The newly enacted law states that any digital assets obtained must be kept using high security custody protocols. This can be done directly in a state managed multisignature wallet, via a qualified financial institution custody, or by investment in U.S. regulated exchange traded products (ETPs). Dennis Porter, CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action, said:
“Satoshi Action drafted the model, New Hampshire engraved it into law, and now every treasurer nationwide can follow that roadmap. HB 302 proves you can protect taxpayer money, diversify reserves, and future-proof state treasuries all while embracing the most secure monetary network on Earth. New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement.”
#Write2Earn #BTC #BinanceSquareFamily #MarketRebound #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested.
#BTC how will it develop next?📊#BTC how will it develop next❓
🧠From a structural point of view, we are currently moving near the weekly resistance zone. We can only judge that we have successfully broken through the resistance zone when the closing price of the weekly candlestick chart is higher than the blue resistance zone, so we still need to remain vigilant before this condition is met.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing, but the breakthrough is near the gray resistance zone, so wait patiently for the opportunity of a pullback before considering participating in long trades.
➡️I am not considering participating in short trades at present, because short trades are still counter-trend trades. I will only look for short trade opportunities after breaking the inflection point 93340 to establish a short structure or the price rises to the red target zone.
⚠️The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced today, and we will wait patiently for the signal of market structure to appear.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bullish Crypto: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 4)You are back!
Are you back are you?
I am getting many new Altcoins requests so let's do a new Top Altcoins Choice session, Your Pick.
Look at this weekly Bitcoin chart, what do you see?
Today is Friday and the session is full green. The action is happening at the top of the candle.
» Can Bitcoin hit $100,000 by next week?
It is possible. Bitcoin can easily grow less than $6,000 in two days.
» Can Bitcoin hit $120,000 before the month ends?
It is possible but not likely, let's be honest.
» Can Bitcoin hit $150,000 in May 2025.
Absolutely, why not, it is actually not that high.
» Can Bitcoin hit $200,000 in this 2025 bull market cycle top?
Bitcoin can hit $180,000, $200,000 or even go beyond.
Look at this weekly chart and tell me in the comments section what do you see?
I see a market that is very strong.
I see bullish action, bears are weak.
Where are the signals that would give strength to a bear in this type of chart? Where is the downside? Where are the negative aspects, it looks green, it is green and ready to grow up and blow.
It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin moves above $100,000 for the second time in its history. The first time of course in December 2024. Then the All-Time High peak, the correction and now we are moving back up.
Are you aware.... Did you know that Bitcoin will never trade back below 80K? I told you buying below 90,000 was a great opportunity, the last chance now to buy below 100,000 before the 2025 bull market bullish wave.
When Bitcoin moves above $100,000 the Altcoins will blow up. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, to recover now but not yet, May 2025 is the month of the Altcoins market maximum growth. Everything will grow, but the Altcoins will grow many times more than Bitcoin because the Alts are smaller, because the correction was stronger on those.
Knowing that the Altcoins market is bullish, recovering a major bottom, set to grow and going green, which one is your Top Altcoin Choice, Your Pick?
Leave a comment with your Choice of Altcoin and I will do an analysis for you, 100% FREE. Choose one pair only and if the chart looks good, I will publish.
Any specific questions leave in the comment, for example: Short-term reversal potential, mid-term targets, All-Time High potential, many signals, chart structure, fundamentals, etc.
Why are you here?
Why are you trading?
How long have you been trading for?
Share some of you; your heart, your mind your soul, share some information about you so that the analysis can be personalized...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Let's do a new session of Your Top Altcoins Choice.
Session 4.
Namaste.