BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTC Next target 70kwaiting for one bad news that will accelerate the fall of BTC into this zone, the Printing press has not yet been launched, the data is stable but everything is on the verge of collapse, in order to start the movement of lowering the rate and the printing press, the market needs to collapse again
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
BITCOIN short setup ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
$BTC, Bitcoin update: what is going on?🚨 Bitcoin Update: We've just seen a decent correction on CRYPTOCAP:BTC followed by a strong pump.
I’ve warned about this already — this pump is not organic. It's largely driven by institutions and Michael Saylor, using leverage.
📉 A healthy price movement should look like a staircase: move up, consolidate, reset the daily MACD, then push higher again.
Each rally should be followed by a slight pullback — that’s how sustainable trends are built.
❌ But this natural cycle is being disrupted.
Saylor and ETFs keep buying the top to prevent corrections. Some laugh and call it incompetence, but I believe it’s strategic.
These players don’t care about making money on trades.
Their goal is to inflate the value of their companies (or stock value), which are now heavily tied to Bitcoin’s price.
That’s why they don’t want BTC to consolidate.
Every time there's weakness, they step in to buy, preventing any pullback and forcing the price through resistances and fair value gaps.
🤖 The problem? Bots — which represent +80%+ of the trading volume — are not wired this way.
They sell when BTC is overbought and buy when it's oversold.
But with institutions disrupting this cycle, exchanges end up selling BTC, and whales scoop it up — leading to lower supply on exchanges.
Exchanges then have to buy BTC back at higher prices, sometimes even at a loss — often by printing billions in Tether (USDT) to compensate.
🎈 This entire mechanism is inflating Bitcoin’s price, exactly what Bitcoin maximalists want.
But it also kills the chance for an altseason, which usually comes after Bitcoin tops out.
📊 So what’s next?
Ideally, we get a consolidation to around $91K to avoid a major bearish divergence.
If BTC breaks below $90K, we could see GETTEX:82K — but given current conditions, that’s unlikely.
On the chart, RSI is high on daioly, Williams indicator is turning bearish and MACD too. These are all signs of a most needed consolidation. But as I explained, this is cancelled at the moment.
💰 Can institutions push BTC to a new all-time high?
Yes — they basically have unlimited capital and the money printer will turn back on by September.
But once again, altseason is postponed.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #MichaelSaylor #ETF #BTCAnalysis #Altseason #CryptoPump #MarketManipulation #BTCUpdate #Tether #CryptoWhales #DailyMACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInsights #Web3
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – Will the Rally Continue or Is a CorrectBitcoin is currently trading at $94,500 💰, but statistical studies and mathematical models indicate a potential downward movement 📉 that could push the price toward $93,800, with a strong likelihood of testing the $89,900 zone.
🛡️ Critical Support at $89,000
To maintain the long-term bullish trend, it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above the $89,000 support level. If the price closes below this level for an entire week, it would be a clear negative signal ❌ and could suggest a trend reversal to the downside for a longer period before any renewed upward movement.
✅ When Does the Correction End?
According to statistical studies and mathematical models, the clearest signal that the current correction has ended would be a break above $97,650 followed by three consecutive daily closes above this level 📈.
If this scenario plays out, we could see a strong and rapid surge toward the following targets:
🎯 Target 1: $104,900
🎯 Target 2: $112,900
💡 Investor Advice
If the breakout occurs, it is advisable to take profits 💸 at the mentioned targets and avoid entering new positions until further notice. The market could experience dramatic and swift movements ⚡, so caution is essential.
📢 The analysis will be updated upon reaching these levels to provide a clearer outlook based on price behavior at that time.
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BTCUSDT... 1H CHAT PATTERNIt looks like you're sharing a *trade setup* for BTC/USDT. Here's a breakdown of the trade details:
* *Entry Price:* 9638
* *1st Target (Take Profit 1):* 9789
* *Final Target (Take Profit 2):* 9900
* *Stop Loss:* 9500
### Risk/Reward Analysis:
* *Risk (Stop Loss Distance):* 9638 - 9500 = *138 points*
* *Reward (1st Target):* 9789 - 9638 = *151 points* → R/R = *1.09*
* *Reward (Final Target):* 9900 - 9638 = *262 points* → R/R = *1.90*
This setup offers a *decent risk-to-reward ratio*, especially if you're targeting the final level. However, make sure to:
* Adjust *position size* based on your account risk tolerance.
* Monitor *market volatility* and *news events* that may impact BTC prices.
* Consider setting a *trailing stop* if price nears the first target.
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation:
📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive.
⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation.
🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat.
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🔥 CME Gap Update:
4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560
This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled.
Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism.
However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
• Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431
• Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550
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🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap
Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100
Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
BTCUSDT – Potential Rejection Near $106K Before Deeper PullbackPrice is approaching a key resistance zone around $106,300, aligned with the upper boundary of a rising channel. I’m watching for a possible rejection at this level, which could trigger a pullback toward the FWB:88K –$90K support area, as shown in the red box. If that fails, we may revisit lower demand zones around $73K. However, a confirmed breakout above $106K would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest further bullish continuation.
Let’s see how price reacts near resistance.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above $98K with strong vol📋 Trade Plan
Long bias remains valid above $93.5K.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above GETTEX:98K with strong volume targets the $102.5K level.
Pullback Buy Zone: $93.5K–$94.5K if price respects support.
Caution: Overbought oscillators combined with resistance suggest a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
🟢 Long bias intact above $93.5K
🔴 Avoid fresh longs here. Wait for either breakout above GETTEX:98K or dip to support
🎯 Target: $102.5K on breakout
🛑 Invalidation: Close below $93.5K
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern).
Pattern Insights
• The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic.
• This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance.
• While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead.
Key Levels
• Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern.
• Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone.
• Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k.
• Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs.
Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.
BTC Update higher and lower timeframe narratives. While the 1-hour chart exhibited a strong bullish reaction from a key liquidity zone, the failure of a supporting imbalance on the 15-minute chart introduces the possibility of a retracement or a deeper corrective move before any sustained upward trajectory.
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on the 15-minute timeframe presents a contrasting perspective. A bullish imbalance (Fair Value Gap) that was anticipated to provide support has failed to hold. This development suggests a potential weakening of immediate bullish momentum.
Bitcoin Heading for a Healthy Retracement in May 2025The GREEN fractal is the only cycle operating at present that went up in the past two days. Even this most bullish cycle heads down for a retracement.
Bitcoin has not tested any lows since the bottom on 7 May. Time to deliver a HL to stabilise the structure.
We saw yesterday 2 May that the pump was forced with no volume and it is a weekend now. Time for a re-visit of the lows.
BTC doing a 1.618 means altcoin season is on🔥 Why 1.618 on BTC = Altcoin Season Coming
The 1.618 Fib extension is a common target for wave 3 or wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Once BTC hits it:
Many traders start taking profit on BTC.
That capital usually flows into ETH and major alts, then mid/small caps.
BTC dominance often peaks or stalls after hitting 1.618, which historically signals:
ETH/BTC starts rising
Altcoins gain strength against BTC and USDT
Retail and sidelined liquidity get attracted by BTC gains, but then chase faster % returns in alts.
🧠 Example Playbook
BTC breaks out → Runs hard → Hits 1.618 (e.g., from last correction low to current high)
ETH/BTC bottoms → ETH/USDT starts to run
Majors like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, DOT follow
Mid/small caps explode last (aka “altseason” proper)
BTC/USDT Analysis – Uncertainty is Growing
Hi everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our ~$94,300 zone (abnormal cluster) and almost immediately showed a buying reaction on the 1H timeframe, but the local high wasn’t retested.
Today, Bitcoin dropped more than 2% following the release of the U.S. GDP report, briefly piercing through the mentioned zone before quickly recovering the losses.
At this point, we estimate the chances of breaking out of the current range at 50/50 — uncertainty is growing, and a stronger correction toward the $91,000 area is becoming increasingly likely, either from current levels or after another test of the recent high.
Sell zones:
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
What do you think will come first — a breakout above the high or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’ll be interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion.
Why Is This Important?
Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.
This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts.
Security and Storage
The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation.
Federal Context and Reactions
While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy.
Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida.
Potential Benefits
Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors.
The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state.
Criticism and Concerns
As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms.
There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible.
Conclusion
By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.