BTCUSDT.PS trade ideas
BTC/USD.tKeep an eye out for this move. Good news is that we have broken daily resistance at the red line... Now for the mitigation zone at the 0.618 level.... We should see volume there at the demand zone.
BULLISH ON BTCBTC will continue on the uptrend. Analysing technically it's a strong bullish. Take note of risk management.
Can BTC reach new high?Notable news about BTC:
A sudden sell-off in cryptocurrency markets late Monday wiped out earlier gains, with over $500 million in long positions liquidated as Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from weekend highs. The downturn followed easing U.S.-China trade tensions, which appeared to shift investor sentiment away from risk assets.
According to Coinglass, more than $530 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin-related futures accounted for nearly $200 million of that total, while Ether (ETH) products saw around $170 million in liquidations.
Liquidations occur when an exchange forcefully closes a trader’s leveraged position due to a drop in collateral value, typically triggered by sharp market moves. This mechanism kicks in when traders can no longer meet the required margin to sustain their open positions.
Technical analysis angle
As analyzed earlier after the price of BTC breaking the 96k landmark has returned to the period over 100k
Currently, the BTC price is still passing in the 105k resistance stage and the important trend of the trend of increasing at 98k
About 98k continues to consume the trend of this currency
With the current news and price lines, it will still be supporting the increase in the trend
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Bitcoin to $134,000As bitcoin still bullish and staying above 20MA on weekly, Im expecting more upside movement for that, to reach the important resistance line we have at $134,000
Bitcoin (BTC): Aiming For ATH | Waiting Patiently Before EntryBitcoin had a small sign of weakness yesterday, where on smaller timeframes we formed a nice MSB and now we are retesting the broken zone. This would be an ideal shorting position BUT we are seeing the optimism on markets and we still aim for that ATH zone to be tested before seeing any kind of proper downward movement.
So we wait!
Swallow Academy
BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest | (May 5, 202BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Watching Value Area Retest + Macro Confluence | (May 5, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Bitcoin has been consolidating after sweeping liquidity around the $69K level. I'm currently not in a position, but closely monitoring for confirmation of direction as we approach key zones.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Neutral (waiting for confirmation)
Entry: Watching for a retest of the value area low
Stop Loss: Will be set once structure confirms
TP1/TP2: Will define after confirmation
Partial Exits: Based on price reaction at value area and confluence zones
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Lots of spot selling pressure currently—if it continues, lower prices are likely
✅ Still watching for potential bullish reversal structure for long-term upside (targeting $214K in long horizon)
✅ Correlation with S&P 500 is important here—SPX may push higher in coming weeks, especially as “sell in May” often applies to retail, while institutional flow tends to shift in June
✅ Watching the 7500 level on SPX as a possible reaction zone
❌ No confirmation yet—entering early could be risky
✅ Waiting for a clear market structure shift around value area support
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I'll continue monitoring this setup and will post updates once we get a confirmation of direction or a structural break worth acting on.
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$100K Bitcoin Within Days » Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S5)Bitcoin is now bullish confirmed with a break above $97,000. Today Bitcoin trades at the highest price since late February 2025, and it is set to continue growing and growing aiming next at a break and challenge of 100K.
As soon as 100K is conquered, the Altcoins will go wild.
Which pair is your favorite Altcoin right now?
Let's start Session 5 of Your Top Altcoin Choice.
» Leave a comment with your preferred Altcoin trading pair and I will reply to your comment with a full analysis.
» We will do one pair per user/commentator.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Bitcoin is bullish now and set to grow long-term. The next All-Time High can happen around $160,000 just as it can be $180,000 or $250,000. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin may rebound from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In the past, the price had been consolidating within a broad range, repeatedly rejecting support and resistance zones. The buyer zone between 79100 - 80300 provided a strong base, and from there, BTC began to grow, forming a bullish structure that led into an upward wedge. This growth accelerated once the price broke through the support area and continued upward until it approached the resistance level at 95500, which also overlaps with the seller zone. As the price moved inside the wedge, the bullish impulses weakened. Buyers lost strength near the resistance line of the wedge, and recent price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at the top. We’ve now seen multiple failed attempts to break higher, and the price is consolidating under resistance, forming pressure to the downside. This entire consolidation near the wedge resistance, especially inside a confirmed seller zone, indicates a likely reversal. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion, and if the support line of the wedge breaks, that would trigger a significant correction. Given this context, I expect BTC can make a bearish move toward TP1 at 91500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC | WHY Bitcoin is BULLISH | 2021 Fractal5 reasons why I say BTC is on it's way to a new ATH (All Time High) :
✅1️⃣ Support zone reclaimed
BTC has successfully reclaimed the support zone ABOVE the neckline resistance, a topic that I've been discussing over the past two weeks. If you'll recall, I pointed out either 70k or 90k. We have our answer:
✅2️⃣ Trendlines
Trendlines are BULLISH as BTC continues to make highger lows, a key indication of bullish sentiment even when a pullback is present:
✅3️⃣ Moving Averages
BTC has reclaimed ALL moving averages in the daily, a bullish indication:
✅4️⃣ Trend Based Indicators
A bullish flash in the weekly is a strong sign:
✅5️⃣ Fractal
It's possible that BTC plays out similarly to the previous ATH fractal from 2021:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis – Bearish Correction Toward DemandHello Guys!
Let's analyze btc!
Rising Trendline Break: The bullish structure has broken down as the price failed to hold above the key support region around $96,000–$96,200.
Targeted Demand Zone: The highlighted purple box between $94,200 and $94,700 represents a demand zone that has previously shown strong buyer interest. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may revisit this zone for a potential bounce.
Bearish Momentum: A large arrow indicates the directional bias toward the downside, aligning with the correction and market sentiment.
Fake RSI Divergence: The RSI panel indicates a “Fake Divergence” pattern, which may have misled early bulls. RSI has since dropped and currently hovers in the neutral zone, with no strong bullish signals yet.
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Conclusion:
Unless a strong bounce occurs around current levels, Bitcoin looks poised to correct further toward the $94,200–$94,700 demand zone. Traders should watch for reactionary price action and bullish reversal patterns before considering long entries.
the big short is inevitablefrom the look of thinks I don't know what will Mae the crypto market crash but the crash seems to be inevitable.we can see BTC DROPPING TO as low as 75k and the further drop will be expecting however everything depends on the future events
Bitcoin Intra-day Long Setup
We’re seeing a potential long setup form on the lower time frame. Price action recently faced a clean rejection at the channel resistance and is now making its way down toward a critical support zone.
Price is approaching the value area low, which lines up perfectly with the point of control (POC) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — a strong confluence zone.
If this area holds and shows a bullish reaction, we could see a reversal play out, potentially pushing price back toward the range highs and filling the recent liquidity gap.
However, if the POC is lost, it increases the chances of a full rotation down toward the value area low of the range, so risk management is essential.
BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum.
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Price target ascending triangle
This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test.
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Golden Pocket + POC
BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation.
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Stochastic RSI
Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon.
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Conclusion
Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move.
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BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rose to $102K pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price declined to $81600 level, after which it bounced and rose to $88500 points and then started to fall.
Also price entered to wedge pattern, where it fell to support line, breaking support level, but soon turned around and bounced up.
Price broke $81600 level again and continued to grow next, but later it corrected to support line.
Then, BTC rose from this line to $93000 level, broke it, and reached resistance line of wedge, after which corrected.
After correction, BTC fell to $93000 level and then rose back to resistance line of wedge, where it trades close.
In my mind, price can correct to support line and then bounce up to $102000 points, exiting from a wedge.
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Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout with Volume Confirmation | BTC/USD
A symmetrical triangle formed on the 15-min chart followed by a strong breakout with volume support. Entry was taken after breakout confirmation, with risk well-managed below structure support. Target zones and stop clearly defined. This setup is based on clean chart structure and pattern analysis. Educational purpose only.
BTCUSDBTC strategy is following fed style,we need to see direction and swing into direction.am seeing a retest into broken supply roof 99k-100 as demand . or will price keep buying high to test 107 ?? and break could seeing more buying into 117k and 116k will be watched based on structure and character
#BTCUSDT: Will Bitcoin Make Any Correction To $90,000?Hey Everyone,
Happy Sunday
Currently, Bitcoin’s price is consolidating within a shorter timeframe, which has heightened the likelihood of it reaching the $90,000 ‘FVG’ region. However, this could be attributed to the hectic week we experienced, with numerous significant market announcements that have heightened uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market. At present, there are two opportunities for Bitcoin: one is riskier, while the other is considerably safer. You can utilise this analysis as a secondary bias.
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Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings
Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas
Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold."
1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate
Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply.
This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold.
Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart
As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply.
As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years.
In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%.
Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025)
In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests.
At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation.
ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings
Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge.
Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles
The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases.
Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588)
1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events,
Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example:
●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior
●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior
This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal.
2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving,
Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin:
●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year
●2016: 286.29% increase
●2020: 475.64% increase
●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k)
Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026.
3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference
After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving.
4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving
Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving:
●2012: 9,237.15% increase
●2016: 2,825.84% increase
●2020: 700.28% increase
In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving.
Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency.
The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential.
Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart
III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value
The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design.
1. Scarcity
As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective.
Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold".
2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism
Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack.
3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation
As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money.
4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design
Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies:
●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures.
●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability.
●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block.
●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries.
These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching.
5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition
The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities.
6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea)
Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization.
Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation
●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization)
●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles
●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent.
4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends
Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn:
Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset.
Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital.
Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”.
Disclaimer on Perspectives:
Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability.
Risk Warning:
This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
