BTCUSDT.PS trade ideas
12/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $104,972.46
Last weeks low: $93,385.49
Midpoint: $99,178.97
Bitcoin climbs over 12% from weekly low to weekly high, an incredible achievement despite a mixed performance in Tradfi. A pattern we've seen since the $74,500 double bottom following Liberation day goes; A strong rally for a week, consolidation in a tight trading range for a week, then repeat. Should this pattern continue we should see consolidation between weekly high and $102,075 (0.75 line).
CPI & PPI take place this week on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, inflation is still a big talking point but baring a crazy print I would be surprised if these events move BTC. In the last few hours at time of writing The US has reduced tariffs on China to 30% for 90 days, China has reduced tariffs on the US down to 10%. To me this signifies the worst of the trade war narrative is behind us.
This week I will be tracking altcoins with strong fundamentals as BTC.D rolls over from its highest point since January '21, ETH has already had a strong breakout from the downtrend and with BTC at ATH levels with strong resistance this should be the time to see altcoin strength and play catch-up.
Good luck this week!
#BTCUSDT SELL CHART The chart you've shared is a 45-minute candlestick chart for BTC/USDT on Binance, with a technical analysis overlay suggesting a potential bearish move. Here's a quick breakdown:
Highlighted Zone (Top, around 104,348 USDT): This appears to be a resistance or supply zone where the price has reversed previously.
Highlighted Zone (Bottom, around 102,853 USDT): This is marked as a potential support or target zone.
Blue Arrows and Patterns: These indicate a projected bearish move, likely based on a harmonic or price action pattern such as a double top or head and shoulders.
Red and Green Box: This shows a risk-reward setup — red is the stop-loss zone (above resistance), green is the take-profit zone (near support).
This chart suggests the analyst is expecting a short-term decline toward the 102,800 range.
Would you like help analyzing this setup further or converting it into a trading plan?
BTC on the edge of two way📊 Bitcoin Macro Scenarios — What’s Next?
We’re at a critical junction for BTC. The chart outlines two high-probability paths:
🔴 Scenario 1 (Red): Bullish breakout toward $175K with an initial target near $146K, marking the final impulse wave of this cycle before a potential major correction.
🔵 Scenario 2 (Blue): Mid-term pullback to retest the IDM zone around FWB:65K , before resuming the larger uptrend into 2026.
Key Levels:
• First Target: $146,800
• End Point: $175,500
• IDM Reclaim Zone: ~$65,000
Below the chart, our custom Long Short Dom (VI+) indicator confirms increasing bullish pressure — but divergence zones are also forming ⚠️
This is a make-or-break region. Patience and positioning will be key.
📅 Eyes on Q2–Q3 2025 for confirmation.
🧠 What’s your take — do we rocket or retest?
BITCOIN READY FOR 108K AND 113K.BTC HAS STARTED ITS UPWARD MOVE AND HIGHER CHANCES OF HITTING 108K AND 113K.
THIS can be a good chance to buy Btc.
1- Use stop.
2-Break even at 1 ratio 1 or half stoploss least.
3-Dont give market all profit nor book all profit put some at breakeven and let trade move.
4-If h4 fvg didnt work then wait for whole fvg to be filled and long again when filled.
Good luck guys.
Scenario #BTCUSDT long📉 LONG BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $104,353.0
🛡 Stop loss: $103,572.0
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Market overview:
➡️ The price confidently broke above $103,729 and held, confirming the uptrend.
➡️ The next target zone is $104,720–$105,090 — nearest movement objectives.
➡️ Volume increased during the impulse, indicating strong buyer presence.
➡️ A local support level formed around $103,729 — on a pullback, this zone may hold the price.
➡️ POC at $94,479 remains far below — the market has left the balance zone and is trading in an impulsive phase.
🎯 TP Targets BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P :
💎 TP1: $104,720.0
💎 TP2: $105,090.0
💎 TP3: $105,275.0
⚠️ Important: current structure BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P suggests possible correction (wedge breakdown), requiring caution or exit on key level loss.
⚠️ Despite the initial long from $104,353, a breakdown below $103,572 (stop loss) invalidates the long setup.
📢 If H1 closes below $103,572 — better to exit, scenario invalid.
🚀 Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P valid while holding above $103,729 — below that, correction likely toward lower targets!
BTC Bias BTC is currently showing a rejection at a short-term bearish order block around $103,034.0. Price has moved into a potential Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone ($102,851 - $102,280) and is now testing immediate support at the OB 30m level of $101,553.9.
A strong break and sustained trading above the bearish order block around $103,034.0 would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Shark infested waters, Bitcoin in the 60k rangeAs the world prepares for a 200k btc run. Bitcoin is headed to Shark infested waters, where the deep money sharks are waiting to load up. All of this after a rejection the 100k range.
Trump news, india news, china news... doesnt matter.
The pump you saw from 77k to 100k was merely a lunch meeting for the rich.
The matrix has blinded you.
SHARE THE IDEA ABOUT BTCUSD BEARISH PATTERNCurrent Market Overview:
Price Action: Bitcoin has rallied approximately 40% from its April lows, reaching a high near $105,525 today.
Support Levels: Key support is identified around $100,000, with additional support near $92,000.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is observed around $107,000, with a potential upside target near $120,000 if bullish momentum continues.
Bearish Pattern Analysis:
While the broader trend remains bullish, certain patterns indicate possible short-term bearish movements:
Head and Shoulders Formation: Some analysts have noted a potential head and shoulders pattern forming, which could signal a reversal if confirmed.
Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 70, suggesting overbought conditions that might precede a pullback.
BTCUSDT - Potential Long Setup Developing from FVG and Fib levelOverview:
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 1H timeframe is currently exhibiting a controlled retracement following a local top. This structure presents a potential opportunity for a long setup based on confluence between an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and key Fibonacci retracement levels. The chart highlights a likely scenario where price may continue to correct lower into a defined area of interest before resuming bullish momentum.
Market Context:
After a strong impulsive move upward, BTC appears to be in a corrective phase. The recent price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a short-term downtrend within a broader uptrend context. This kind of pullback behavior is often necessary for healthy continuation to the upside and can offer high-probability entries for trend continuation traders.
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A notable fair value gap has been identified in the 94,250–94,700 zone. This zone represents an inefficiency in the market where price rapidly moved without significant opposition, leaving behind a gap between wicks of adjacent candles. Price often returns to such areas to rebalance order flow before making its next decisive move.
Fibonacci Confluence:
The chart includes key Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high.
* The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level lies just above the FVG, providing strong technical confluence.
* The 0.65 level is marked as the ideal entry zone and sits within the FVG, further validating it as a high-probability support region.
* The 0.786 level is also marked, and although deeper, it represents the final line of defense for this bullish scenario.
Anticipated Price Action:
A bullish projection is illustrated on the chart where price is expected to:
1. Continue declining toward the 0.65–0.618 Fibonacci confluence zone.
2. Wick into the FVG and reject from that level.
3. Form a short-term higher low structure and push back to reclaim prior structure highs.
4. Confirm bullish structure continuation with an impulsive breakout from the descending channel.
Market Structure and Liquidity Outlook:
The broader structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. The retracement into the FVG would serve the dual purpose of:
* Grabbing liquidity below recent lows.
* Mitigating unfilled buy-side inefficiency.
Such a development would suggest that institutional participants are filling long orders in the discounted price region, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Key Technical Zones:
* FVG Zone: 94,250 – 94,700
* Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618–0.65 retracement levels
* Liquidity Pool: Below current swing lows leading into the FVG
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is approaching a critical decision zone. A move into the FVG combined with Fibonacci retracement confluence presents an attractive area for potential long entries. Confirmation of bullish reversal structure within this zone could offer a strong trade opportunity in alignment with the broader trend. Patience and precision will be key in waiting for the price to tap into this area and show intent to reverse.
Bitcoin 2nd Entry? Is It Possible? Can I Do 20X Now?Can I still do Bitcoin with leverage? Absolutely but...
Where were you when the prices were low?
Where were you when Bitcoin traded below 80K, 90K?
Leveraged is for experts only so I would say no and yes.
No you cannot use leverage if you want to use leverage now that prices are going up. It means you have no plan and regardless if the action keeps going for long that no plan strategy will result in a big loss later down the road.
If you do decide to use leverage after the bottom is far away ($75,000 remember?), in that case you should use a maximum of 2-3X.
Yes you can use leverage if you can I don't need to tell you so. If I have to tell you so then it means that you are better off buying some Altcoins spot. Why? Because you can get the same growth potential but without the risk, anxiety and stress.
Why would you like to use leverage now?
You are thinking of making money, lots of it and fast. You are using greed to decide.
If that's the case, no! Go back to scratch and start from zero.
It is better to earn 100% very slow than lose everything thinking of making money fast.
Imagine you have a $5,000 capital and you want to open some positions using lev. You are thinking low risk, the market is already up and several days green. Tomorrow there is some political event and shakeouts can happen out of the blue. You might think you did it good, entered with low risk but as soon as there is advance you decide to buy more and your leverage increase. As prices rise you buy more and so your risk continues to increase. Then just a strong sudden shakeout and your whole stack is gone.
The intentions were nice, you wanted to make money now that Bitcoin is going up but you didn't plan and you ignored the market 100% when prices were low. Accept the loss and move on.
Now, instead of a leveraged position use $5,000 to do some spot trades. The market is bullish, the Altcoins are bullish and ready to grow next. It should be easy to pick 3-5 top pairs and double-up in a couple months.
Say it takes three months for a 200% profits, quite do-able with the Altcoins with current market conditions; now you have a capital of $15,000. Now you can use $5,000 to try leverage as much as you want but only after a correction hits and support is in, that's the time to go LONG.
And then you have $10,000 left. $5,000 is your initial layout and $5,000 is profits to enjoy with wife, your husband, your friends, your siblings or all by yourself, all alone. Whatever you do is up to you.
It is better to earn 200% slow, than to risk losing everything because greed is eating away at your soul.
Just let it go. It is never worth it to lose your hard earned cash for a dream that never turns up. Just let it go, you are better off reading and studying, you are better off saving that money rather than giving it up.
Either way, you will learn. If you engage the market long-term, accept your mistakes, eventually, you will be on the right side. Read, study, practice and meditate.
Money is easy when you develop the right mindset.
It is all in your mind.
Namaste.
BTC Pulls Back Below POC — Short-Term Trend Still in ControlAfter rejecting from dynamic resistance, BTC is back under the point of control (POC). The short-term trend remains bearish, and bulls need to reclaim key levels to shift the tone.
Overview:
Bitcoin has slid back into the local range after failing to hold above a key resistance area. This rejection lined up with a bearish harmonic pattern and a swing failure at recent highs, leading to a clean pullback.
We’re now seeing price consolidate around the point of control (POC) from the move that started April 23rd — a level that’s been pivotal for both buyers and sellers.
Key Technical Insights:
Dynamic Resistance Holding Strong: Lower highs continue to form under this key trendline — bulls have yet to break structure.
POC Acting as Resistance: BTC is currently holding below the volume node — further rejection here increases the chance of range continuation.
Short-Term Trend Dominates: Lower highs and lower lows have formed a clean downtrend on lower timeframes. Without a shift, this could start spilling into higher timeframe momentum.
Market Context:
The lower-timeframe structure has held steady for over a week, and the failure to form a higher low is keeping downside pressure intact. Volume is concentrated at the POC, suggesting the market is at a decision point — resolve above it, or rotate toward the lower range.
Right now, the structure leans bearish until price breaks above the dynamic resistance or prints a higher low.
What to Watch Next:
If BTC continues to reject from the POC and dynamic resistance, expect further pressure to the downside and possible tests of range support. Reclaiming the POC would be the first signal of potential recovery — but until then, the short-term trend favors caution.
SHORT ALERT BITCOINI’ve opened a massive short on #Bitcoin at $104,279.21, aiming for a take‑profit at $93,400.21.
Here’s the kicker: retail traders are sitting on over $2 BILLION in highly‑leveraged long positions. When the squeeze hits, that stacked leverage could unravel fast—and that’s exactly the wave I’m riding.
Entry: $104,279.21
Target: $93,400.21
Thesis: Retail longs ≈ $2 B in leverage → potential cascade of liquidations
#Risky? Absolutely. But fortune favors the bold. Let’s see how deep this retrace goes. Stay sharp.
#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000.
We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move.
We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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