BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyToday,we have successfully achieved a target of 120 points. resulted in profits! Check it!👉👉
As of today, Bitcoin has stabilized above $100,000. Institutional funds have been continuously flowing in, and the market sentiment is strongly bullish. Technically, the RSI is approximately 58.7, the MACD is 624.2, indicating strong bullish momentum. However, the Williams %R is -1.2, entering the overbought zone, suggesting a possible short-term adjustment. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to wait for the price to stabilize within the range of $101,000 - $102,000 before considering entering the market. The target price range is set at $105,000 - $110,000, and the stop-loss is set below $99,000.
Trading Strategy:
buy@110000-102000
TP:105000-106000
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BTCUST trade ideas
Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings
Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas
Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold."
1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate
Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply.
This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold.
Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart
As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply.
As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years.
In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%.
Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025)
In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests.
At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation.
ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings
Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge.
Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles
The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases.
Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588)
1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events,
Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example:
●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior
●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior
This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal.
2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving,
Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin:
●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year
●2016: 286.29% increase
●2020: 475.64% increase
●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k)
Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026.
3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference
After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving.
4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving
Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving:
●2012: 9,237.15% increase
●2016: 2,825.84% increase
●2020: 700.28% increase
In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving.
Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency.
The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential.
Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart
III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value
The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design.
1. Scarcity
As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective.
Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold".
2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism
Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack.
3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation
As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money.
4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design
Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies:
●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures.
●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability.
●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block.
●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries.
These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching.
5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition
The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities.
6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea)
Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization.
Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation
●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization)
●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles
●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent.
4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends
Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn:
Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset.
Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital.
Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”.
Disclaimer on Perspectives:
Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability.
Risk Warning:
This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above $98K with strong vol📋 Trade Plan
Long bias remains valid above $93.5K.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above GETTEX:98K with strong volume targets the $102.5K level.
Pullback Buy Zone: $93.5K–$94.5K if price respects support.
Caution: Overbought oscillators combined with resistance suggest a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
🟢 Long bias intact above $93.5K
🔴 Avoid fresh longs here. Wait for either breakout above GETTEX:98K or dip to support
🎯 Target: $102.5K on breakout
🛑 Invalidation: Close below $93.5K
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
As you can see byc is moving up and down in the green tunnel
My last target (yellow rectangle) is touched and byc couldn't break the upper side of tunnel
Now, my target is 120.000 $ ( red rectangle)
If this time , btc can break the green uptrend line as resistance line , my next target is 145.000$,
👉👉Important notice 👈👈
Here is not suitable Time for entry the long or short position because btc is in the middle of the tunnel
Will BTC finish completing the Charlie wave?The chart is self explanatory and Bitcoin should complete the ABC retracement but in case it denies following the Elliott Wave it will resume the upwards move to 106k+. Remember Bitcoin is unpredictable as driven by MMs could move either way any time. Be cautious!
BTC Range Bound | Breakout Imminent ?👀 Welcome to my Trading View Analysis and Trading Channel Here , we share the latest market analysis, trading signals, and key insights together .
Ready for smarter trades ? ⭐️
⚡️Today , we're going to analyze the BTC( BitCoin) coin together on the daily timeframe and find triggers for our positions .
📊✨ Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis & Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025
🔸 BTC is currently trading within a consolidation range between $97,325 and $93,780, indicating a potential accumulation zone before the next major move. 🌀
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
📈 Resistance: Break above $97,325 could trigger a long entry, suggesting bullish continuation. 🚀
📉 Support: Drop below $93,780 may activate a short setup, signaling bearish pressure. ⚠️
📐 Indicators Breakdown:
🔹 EMA 100 & 200: Positioned below price, supporting the bullish bias. 🟢
🔹 EMA 50: Currently sitting above the 4H candle, posing short-term resistance. 🔴
📉 Volume: Noticeable decline, showing market indecision – a common pre-breakout signal. 📊
📌 Key Pivot: A candle close above $94,021 would validate it as strong support. 🧱
📰 Positive Market Developments:
🏦 Morgan Stanley plans to offer spot BTC trading via E*Trade – institutional adoption accelerating. 📈
🏢 Strategy (MicroStrategy) signals further Bitcoin accumulation – corporate trust remains strong. 💼
💰 Over $1.8B flowed into U.S. BTC ETFs last week – investor appetite is growing rapidly. 🧲
📈 Analysts forecast BTC reaching $120K–$200K by end of 2025 – fueled by macro trends & halving cycle. 🌕
💡 Final Takeaway:
🔐 Bitcoin continues to prove itself as a valuable long-term asset, backed by rising institutional interest, robust on-chain fundamentals, and strong technical signals. 🌟
📊 Triggers for both long and short positions are clearly marked on the chart – stay sharp and manage risk! 🎯
I love you all so much . 👀
don't forget about capital management and risk management .
Be careful with your positions . 🥇
BTCUSDT | Short Bias | Smart Money Exit | (May 12, 2025)BTCUSDT | Short Bias | Retail Long Trap & Smart Money Exit | (May 12, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Bitcoin is showing signs of a classic retail trap—while spot buying is visible, smart money appears to be exiting. Momentum looks exhausted as retail traders pile in long, setting the stage for a potential downside move.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry: Around $102,700
Stop Loss: Above local high / invalidation zone
TP1: $102,200–$101,391
TP2: $99,296
Final TP: $96,353
Partial Exits: Recommended at each target zone for risk management
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Order flow shows someone actively buying spot BTC at key levels—interesting but likely bait for retail.
❌ Interest in longs is rising while overall interest rates drop—suggesting retail is overexposed.
✅ Money has already started flowing out on the 30-minute chart, which confirms weakening structure.
❌ This setup reflects a typical scenario where professionals exit while late longs get trapped. Supply-demand logic still rules here.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
Already locked in profits from earlier longs. Now eyeing short opportunities if price hits the ideal zone and confirms reversal behavior.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
BTCUSDTSecond trade of the day is on BTCUSDT — and I’ve already entered the position.
I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1 this time, as I entered with a higher lot size than usual.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 98,835.27
✔️ Take Profit: 99,320.67
✔️ Stop Loss: 98,347.72
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Summary (as of May 6, 2025)
Trend: Bullish, inside a rising parallel channel.
Price: ~$93,767, facing resistance near $95K–$100K.
Support Zones: FWB:88K , $80K, $73K.
Breakout: Confirmed from descending wedge; above major EMAs.
RSI: Neutral-bullish (~57), room for upside.
ADX/DMI: Positive trend, but flattening—watch for momentum shift.
Volume: Declining—needs breakout confirmation with strong volume.
Key Level to Watch: Close above $95K may target $110K–$120K; drop below FWB:88K risks retracement.
Let me know if you'd like trade ideas or projections.
BTCUSDTHello everyone. Wishing you all a great weekend!
Just because the FX market is closed today doesn't mean we should stay away from trading in the crypto markets.
That’s why I’ve activated a Buy trade on BTCUSDT and wanted to share it with you as well:
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 103974.98
✔️ Take Profit: 104442.64
✔️ Stop Loss: 103662.77
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Later, Bitcoin!Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend, but it currently appears significantly overvalued relative to gold. The recent breakout, followed by a re-test of the upsloping wedge formation, suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. This could indicate that capital is beginning to rotate out of Bitcoin. As a result, it may be more prudent to revisit the market in one to two years ahead. This shift may also mark the beginning of a potential altcoin season.
Financial Markets: Outlook and Risks – May 2025As May 2025 begins, global financial markets are entering the month with cautious optimism, shaped by anticipation surrounding decisions from key regulatory bodies. At the center of this uncertainty lies the U.S. Federal Reserve, whose policies continue to exert a significant influence over global asset dynamics.
After a series of interest rate hikes throughout 2023 and 2024, the Federal Reserve has adopted a more neutral stance, closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators. Despite a moderate decline in inflation and stable employment figures, Fed officials remain hesitant to declare an end to the tightening cycle. In his latest address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for "vigilance amid geopolitical volatility and structural changes in the global economy."
The U.S. stock market entered May with moderate volatility. The S&P 500 index is hovering near local highs, while investors are reacting cautiously to corporate earnings reports and Fed commentary. Tech stocks are largely on the rise, driven by expectations of expanded AI integration, while companies in the industrial and energy sectors face pressure from rising input costs and supply chain instability.
Europe is facing a more complex situation, with inflationary pressures persisting, especially in the energy sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) is walking a fine line between tightening monetary policy and supporting sluggish economic growth. Major indices like the UK’s FTSE and Germany’s DAX are showing mixed signals, reflecting domestic challenges and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
On currency markets, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong, though it occasionally dips as expectations grow for a more dovish stance from the Fed. The euro and the Japanese yen are showing periodic strengthening, backed by active central bank measures. Emerging markets such as Brazil and India are seeing increased interest in gold and government bonds as a hedge against external risks.
Beyond monetary policy, one of the main concerns for investors is the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China. Tariff hikes and export restrictions on strategic goods are raising alarms about supply chain reconfigurations and capital reallocation on a global scale.
Investors around the world are searching for a balance between risk and return. Current strategies emphasize diversification, safe-haven assets, digital technologies, and ESG-focused sectors. Analysts advise a measured approach, urging investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data before making major portfolio decisions.
In summary, May 2025 marks a period of watchfulness and recalibration. Financial markets are looking to the Federal Reserve, trade negotiations, and key economic reports for signals that will likely define the tone for the months ahead.
BTC - SHORT TERM DIRECTIONSelling wick on the 12-hour candle confirms strong resistance around the $96K– GETTEX:97K zone.
We may see a short-term dip towards $95K–$94K, but it’s really nothing to worry about.
While BTC searches for support, altcoins are likely to take advantage of this consolidation phase and rally. I don’t expect BTC’s short-term movement to significantly impact altcoin performance. It would only become a major influence if Bitcoin were showing signs of a long-term bearish trend — which it’s not.
No concern here — just keeping you all informed on BTC’s price action, as always.
Some Analysis For Distraction.Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of an ascending channel. The key resistance level lies around 104,463, and a breakout above this level could signal further bullish continuation toward the channel top (green path).
However, if the price fails to break and hold above this resistance, a pullback scenario becomes likely (red path), potentially targeting the midline of the channel or even the lower trendline (WP area).
Let’s see how price reacts at this critical level.
BTC - long squeezeI'll be truthful I don't think the expression "long squeeze" is a real thing - but it should be!
Daily TF
Next level down i think is 98K should the local support @ 102K break.
0.5 fib puts us at 89K / a touch on a macro uptrend / touching a key price point where BTC has oscillated for several months. This move would accomplish a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap. If this happens it could be a fantastic long opportunity.
If prices sees continuation to the downside the 618 would be the next natural retracement level but would result in a break below said macro uptrend and thus could create a macro bearish move - 67K would be my guess.
+$30K Unrealized | Still Long, Is ATH Next?Even after the strong rally that pushed Bitcoin past the 100K level, the price continues to hold critical support zones without breaking recent lows. We're seeing a steady, stair-step climb ("grinding higher")—absorbing previous supply through sideways consolidation while still making higher highs.
After forming a local high near 105,000, we’ve seen some pullback—but so far, there’s been no breakdown of major support, especially on lower timeframes. The structure still favors continuation to the upside, and the broader uptrend from the 74K–83K zone remains intact.
That said, we haven’t seen any major correction yet. With the market now testing the final supply zone before all-time highs, failure to break out could trigger a wave of profit-taking. This could lead to short-term selling from traders who bought lower, anticipating new highs.
We're now in a zone where volatility can spike in both directions, making it a tough area for clean entries. Long positions may feel risky due to the high level, and shorting too early might get squeezed out by another high. But this environment also presents great short-term opportunities—as long as you're quick and manage risk tightly.
If the current bounce fails to break above 105K, it may signal a larger corrective move. The first support zone to watch is 103K, followed by 99K. Even if price pulls back to these levels, the overall trend may still be valid—these are key zones where the uptrend could resume.
At this point, we must observe whether this bounce leads to further continuation or becomes a “trap” before a larger move down. If price holds the previous supply zones as support, we could see another leg up. If not, a deeper retracement may unfold.
This is also a zone where many traders may FOMO in, expecting an immediate breakout, only to get caught in a fakeout or shakeout. Personally, I think the market is more likely to test this final supply zone with increased volatility and a deeper correction before making a real move to new all-time highs. Risk management is crucial here.
We’ve had a strong rally with no significant retracements, and while the uptrend may continue, failure to break out soon—or if profit-taking kicks in—could lead to meaningful corrections. Be prepared.
To summarize, we are in a very important decision zone:
Will price continue holding the lows and grind higher to new ATHs,
or will it reject from supply and trigger a larger retracement?
Whatever happens next, don't rush into a position out of fear of missing out.
Wait for structure, wait for confirmation, and remember: entering one step later at a better level is far better than entering too soon and getting stopped out.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Resumption of a Full Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke the previous high. There was no false breakout or seller defense on higher timeframes, so the uptrend continues.
The next target is $105,000.
A local support zone has formed at $98,000–$97,200 after the breakout. So far, there are no signs of seller presence, but low volume remains a concern. Any strong surge in seller activity could trigger a significant correction.
Resistance zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Support zones:
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.