BTCUST trade ideas
Rare Signal Confirms Bitcoin "As Bullish As It Gets" Michael SayThis is a rare signal. Bitcoin hardly ever closes four consecutive weeks green. When this event happens, it means the market is as bullish as it gets.
How are some people still bearish when the market is closing green four weeks straight?
How is that even possible? Continued growth for so long... It is obvious is what I say.
» Bitcoin will soon be trading above 100K.
Bitcoin is moving above $120,000 in May and will hit around $130,000 or can be higher; do you agree?
The bulls are in—the bullish bias is confirmed Bitcoin has been growing for an entire month. The best part is that it is still early, let me explain. Notice the trading volume, it is still so very low. This means that nothing has happened yet, there will be a major advance... So strong, it will break all resistance in a matter of days.
» Bitcoin is bullish now. The Altcoins are bullish now.
You can be certain that we are going to see growth daily, weekly, monthly long-term.
Bullish is good.
Adapt to the market. If it is bullish, don't fight it just join the wave.
Bitcoin is bullish now. 1,000,000%.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The 96k–97k zone is an important area. It is expected that with a touch or hunt of this zone, which we have shown on the chart with an orange circle, Bitcoin will give a correction and altcoins that are ready for correction will also correct.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
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Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated.
I'll see you next time.
Namaste.
Choosing the Right TimeframeHey traders and investors!
Selecting the right timeframe can reveal a clear picture of price movement. But don’t forget — the higher timeframe always has priority.
🔹 On the 12H, Bitcoin is in a sideways range.
The move from 78,500 to 95,000 could’ve been anticipated — a buyer Decision candle (IKC) formed at the lower boundary of the range gave a strong signal.
The boundaries of the range are marked with black lines on the chart.
What about now?
🔸 No signs of strong selling.
🔸 The last Decision candle (IKC) at the top of the range belongs to the buyer.
🔸 The buyer has already taken out its high.
📉 For shorts — we need seller strength, ideally with price moving below 91,660.
📈 Longs can be considered on lower timeframes, aiming for their local targets.
Not every timeframe gives clear context.
What timeframes do you use to analyze and find trade setups?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Bitcoin Analysis (4H)Bitcoin has lost its trendline and appears to have accumulated significant sell orders near the top.
The zone between $96K and $100K could act as the main supply area, potentially pushing the price down to at least $88K.
Targets are clearly marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum.
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Price target ascending triangle
This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test.
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Golden Pocket + POC
BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation.
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Stochastic RSI
Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon.
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Conclusion
Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move.
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BTC’s Resistance Rejection and Pullback PotentialBitcoin’s recent upswing encountered strong supply at a major confluence zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Below is a purely technical breakdown of the reversal signals and key levels to watch:
1. Confluent Resistance Barrier
Trend Channel Upper Boundary: BTC respected the descending channel ceiling drawn since November 2024, stalling gains at this dynamic resistance.
Volume Profile Node: The Point of Control for the November–April range coincides exactly with this ceiling, creating a heavy supply node where aggressive selling pressure has materialized.
2. Bearish Shark Harmonic Activation
Harmonic Geometry: The completed Shark pattern (0XA–AB–BC–CD) landed precisely at the resistance confluence, triggering a shift from impulsive to corrective price behavior.
Fibonacci Alignment: The D-leg retracement aligns with the 0.886 extension of the XA leg, reinforcing the pattern’s invalidation zone and confirming the reversal trigger.
3. Critical Downside Pivot
Key Swing Low – $91,648: A close beneath this level on elevated volume would validate the bearish scenario, initiating a cascading stop-run that could drive BTC toward the $86,000 structural support.
Stop-Hunt Risk: Traders who entered near recent highs likely have stops clustered just below the swing low; their liquidation would accelerate downside velocity.
Risk and Trade Management
Entry Zone: Aggressive short entries may be considered on a failure to retake the channel top, with initial targets near the POC support level.
Invalidation Point: A sustained reclaim of the channel resistance and POC region would negate the bearish thesis, shifting bias back to neutral or bullish.
Summary: Bitcoin’s clear rejection at overlapping resistance and the activation of the bearish Shark harmonic signal a high-probability pullback. Confirmation hinges on the swing-low break; otherwise, watch for a potential re-test of the confluence zone.
BTC H1 Bullish Scenario after MSSBitcoin is in a support area on the 1-hour time frame and has completed its correction in terms of price and time. There is also a positive hidden divergence in the MACD. With the change in structure at the end of the correction and the engulfing of a bullish candle, an upward move can be expected.
BTC daily time frame bearish divergence BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC bullrun looks like exhausted and slowing down. Today bearish divergence signal appeared on my really accurate indicator what suggest BTC chart slowly will be moving down for correction make higher low. I'm expecting that whales makes one more pushup to around 100k for capitalise their profits and execute short positions with grab liquidity from supply zone there. Of course that only my thoughts and it could goes different but pay attention on it
Analysis of the Price Trend of BitcoinAnalysis of the Bitcoin Price Trend: The upward trend is derived from the Weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. When the yellow and white lines of the MACD return to the zero axis and simultaneously touch the 52-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA52) line, there is a high probability that there will be no problem for the price to reach 100,000 (currency unit).
The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin📉 Potential Dip to $70,000 in 2026
Some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience a correction to around $70,000 in 2026. This potential downturn may be influenced by:
Market Cycles: Bitcoin's price has historically followed cyclical patterns, with periods of rapid growth followed by corrections.
Regulatory Changes: Shifts in global regulatory stances toward cryptocurrencies could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.
Macroeconomic Factors: Economic events, such as changes in interest rates or geopolitical tensions, could influence risk appetite among investors.
It's important to note that while a dip to $70,000 is within the realm of possibility, other forecasts for 2026 are more optimistic. For instance, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin trading between $94,836 and $160,074 in 2026, with an average price of $119,743 .
🚀 Surge to Over $130,000 in 2027
Looking ahead to 2027, several factors could contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price:
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors could drive demand.
Technological Advancements: Improvements in blockchain technology and scalability solutions may enhance Bitcoin's utility.
Global Economic Conditions: In times of economic uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation.
Analysts have provided various projections for 2027:
Binance forecasts a price range between $140,491 and $216,738, with an average of $170,100 .
Bittime estimates an average price of $138,000, with potential highs up to $150,000
BTCUSDT | Be Ready for VolatilityBTCUSDT | A Crossroad Between Macro Shadows and Hidden Pumps – Be Ready for Volatility
Bitcoin is dancing in a dangerously narrow range, and the market is getting tense. At first glance, it seems calm — but under the surface, things are far more complicated.
🔹 Macro Data Paints a Mixed Picture
In recent weeks, BTC has been propped up by positive macroeconomic data, especially signals that a recession in the U.S. is increasingly unlikely. However, despite this “good news,” Bitcoin hasn't produced the kind of powerful rally one would expect. This tells us something: the market is cautious.
Add to that the recent geopolitical twist — when China denied meeting with Trump — and we noticed something important: the market didn’t give back the gains it made on that rumor. This reaction suggests there’s latent bullish sentiment, but confidence is fragile.
🔴 My View Leans Negative, Cautiously
Even though we’ve had optimistic data, the broader environment is still laced with pressure points — tariff tension, long-term contraction fears, and an economy navigating political uncertainty. The combination creates an atmosphere where “fear” is used as fuel — a classic environment for fakeouts and sudden pumps.
That’s why I remain macro bearish, but I don’t trust markets that look too weak in the face of so much fear. Historically, these setups are often the breeding ground for aggressive reversals. Be prepared to change bias fast.
🔹 Key Levels and Strategy
We're at a major resistance, and there's talk of liquidity sweeps up to the 98k zone. On the other hand, the blue boxes mark our support zones, and any clear breakdown followed by a weak retest in those areas could be great short opportunities.
Meanwhile, the range BTC is trading in is exceptionally tight — uncharacteristically so. This kind of structure often precedes an explosive move. If you're in the market now, it's a time to be disciplined, not brave.
🧠 What to Remember:
Markets don’t need a reason to explode. They need fuel. And right now, BTC has both the fear and the liquidity setup. Stay calm. Follow the structure. And only trust breakouts with confirmation on the lower time frames.
The bigger your patience now, the bigger your edge when the storm hits.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Here we have my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE on our beautiful Bitcoin — if you’re not quite sure what I mean or am doing drop me a follow here and check out a few post! Or come find me on X —
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately.
All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed.
So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame.
Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible.
So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me.
That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.