BTCUST trade ideas
BTC doing a 1.618 means altcoin season is on🔥 Why 1.618 on BTC = Altcoin Season Coming
The 1.618 Fib extension is a common target for wave 3 or wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Once BTC hits it:
Many traders start taking profit on BTC.
That capital usually flows into ETH and major alts, then mid/small caps.
BTC dominance often peaks or stalls after hitting 1.618, which historically signals:
ETH/BTC starts rising
Altcoins gain strength against BTC and USDT
Retail and sidelined liquidity get attracted by BTC gains, but then chase faster % returns in alts.
🧠 Example Playbook
BTC breaks out → Runs hard → Hits 1.618 (e.g., from last correction low to current high)
ETH/BTC bottoms → ETH/USDT starts to run
Majors like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, DOT follow
Mid/small caps explode last (aka “altseason” proper)
BTC Cup & Handle Play? Calendar Outlook BTCUSDT Calendar Outlook (May–August 2025)
May 1–4
Current Zone: $94K–$95K (testing cup rim resistance).
Likely consolidation; possible final squeeze before pullback.
May 5–12 – Reversal / Handle Formation
High probability of short-term pullback into:
$86,000–$79,000 (ideal handle zone).
RSI cools down on daily, low-volume decline expected.
Watch for bullish reversal candles, especially hammer or engulfing.
May 13–20 – Breakout Window
If BTC holds the handle support and reclaims $94K:
Breakout confirmed above $95K with volume.
Target 1 activates: $102,000
A daily close above $96K with strong volume = signal to re-enter or add.
May 25–31 – Target 1 Zone
BTC could reach $102,000, testing first measured resistance.
Expect minor rejection or consolidation.
RSI likely to re-enter overbought territory.
June 10–20 – Target 2 Zone
BTC pushes toward $110,000 if trend holds.
Momentum from ETF inflows, miner accumulation, or macro risk-on can help.
Partial profit-taking advised here based on risk.
July – Consolidation or Extension
If BTC holds above $100K, sideways action likely.
Handle breakout confirms strong cup pattern.
Watch for breakout of new short-term bull flag.
August 1–20 – Target 3 Zone
Full measured move of cup completes: $125,000–$130,000
Strong macro confirmation needed (e.g., Fed dovish, ETF flow continuation).
Expect heavy resistance and possible macro topping structure.
Bearish Scenarios to Watch
May–June: Close below $79K = risk of deeper retrace.
Hard Invalidation: Weekly close below $72,000 = cup and handle invalid.
If $61,000 is revisited = long-term base rebuilding likely until Q4.
What are your thoughts on "Sell in May - Walk away"?
Cheers
Mr Pine 🍍
BTCUSDT.P ~ M15 SETUP BTC LONG TRADE
SETUP :
E : 93832.8
TP : 95793.5
SL : 93171.5
TRADE BREAKDOWN :
- Extreme Aoi (area of interest tagged) sweaping all the significant liquidity at the lows,
- Entry based on ifvg while targetting untapped internal range liqudiity (irl)
- Stops below candle wick lows.
BTC ~ 1D CHART BREAKDOWNEXPLINATION :
DIRECTIONAL BIAS
Htf : Bullish
Ltf : Bullish
Eyeing on the Daily chart keeping a narrative of the past Price Action (PA ) we have a nice Sweap of the linear liqudiity buildup while a decent accpetance at the daily Volume Gap that satisfied the Net Auction bids sitting at market price before we saw a move to the Upside,
Talking about the Current Price - Daily Reimbalance reclaimed labelled as ff+ (Imbalance Fulfilled) ,
Price is likely to have a momentum push to the upside with 2 key levels acting as Zone of interests :
1) 97293.7
2 ) 102634
BTC-----Sell around 94000, target 92700 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, and the price was still at a high level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross operation. Although the volume was shrinking, the price retracement could not be seen to continue at present, and the strength was relatively small. The price did not break the previous low point, so at present, the general trend remained bullish; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European and US prices continued to consolidate at a high level yesterday. The price began to fall under pressure in the early morning and continued in the morning. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was in a dead cross operation. Therefore, there is a high probability that there is still a demand for decline during the day. Pay attention to the low support position near the 92700 area below.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 94000 area, stop loss at the 94500 area, and target the 92700 area;
The Most Watched Flag in The WorldCRYPTO:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT has formed an incredibly tight flag with some receding volume since it's crept over the 200 day moving average. I really love this setup as it gives a fantastic place to both manage risk and also gives incredible upside.
With US stocks under pressure, gold under pressure (extended) and other industries under water I really am considering this trade with incredible size.
Some possibilities:
It could break down and do a small shakeout
It could also just tank :)
But interestingly, the fear and greed index for crypto right now is pretty neutral which makes me think its a perfect storm at least from a risk perseptive.
Lets see how it works out.
Would BTC ever touch 100k?This is 12H and based on pure pattern, Normally this pattern is made bullish where it would touch up, but while the market is moving, its shaking both the shorts and up-s liquidity, which means BTC would try to defy the pattern by rolling it dowm, remember when this type is made on big coins, it takes and falls down, however its based pure on PA
BTCUSDT Bitcoin (BTC) is the world’s first and most prominent cryptocurrency, introduced in 2009 by the pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized, peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which ensures transparency, security, and the absence of a central authority. Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21 million coins, making it a deflationary digital asset
How Bitcoin Works
Blockchain: Bitcoin transactions are validated and recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, maintained by a global network of nodes.
Mining: New transactions are confirmed through a process called mining, which involves solving complex cryptographic puzzles. Successful miners are rewarded with new BTC, though this reward halves roughly every four years in an event known as the "halving".
Decentralization: Unlike traditional banking systems, no single entity controls Bitcoin. Anyone can participate in the network by running a node or mining.
Security: Bitcoin’s security relies on cryptography and the distributed nature of its ledger. Hardware wallets are recommended for safe storage.
Key Features
Limited Supply: Only 21 million BTC will ever exist, contributing to its scarcity and store-of-value characteristics.
Global and Borderless: Bitcoin can be sent anywhere in the world without intermediaries.
Transparency: All transactions are publicly recorded and verifiable on the blockchain.
Volatility: Bitcoin’s price is highly volatile, influenced by market sentiment, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory developments.
Historical Context
Genesis Block: The first Bitcoin block was mined in January 2009.
First Transaction: In 2010, 10,000 BTC were exchanged for two pizzas, marking the first real-world Bitcoin transaction ("Bitcoin Pizza Day").
Growth: Bitcoin’s price has experienced dramatic increases and corrections, with notable all-time highs in late 2024 and early 2025.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization and adoption. Its decentralized nature, capped supply, and robust security model have established it as both a digital currency and a store of value. The current price hovers around $95,000, with ongoing volatility reflecting global economic trends and evolving investor sentiment.
Range Bound or Ready to Break? Analyzing the Compression Zone in
Timeframe: 1H
Tool: Target Trend , AlgoAlpha Order Flow
Price at Analysis: $94,216.41
🔍 Key Observations:
We’re currently witnessing a tight range-bound movement on the 1H chart, with price oscillating between two key levels:
Support Zone: ~$94,244
Resistance Zone: ~$95,449
This range has held for several candles now, with multiple rejection wicks near the top (indicated by red arrows) and consistent buying pressure at the bottom (blue arrows), indicating accumulation at support and distribution at resistance.
🔼 Net Buy Pressure is rising, as seen by the clustering of blue arrows at higher lows — a classic sign of bullish compression.
🔽 However, the red arrows at the top suggest whales or institutions are unloading positions at resistance, which could stall a breakout.
📌 Trade Ideas:
1. Breakout Play (Bullish Bias):
Wait for a confirmed breakout above $95,449–$95,666
Target: $96,247 – $97,000
Stop-loss: Below $95,200
2. Range Scalping:
Buy near support ($94,250), sell near resistance ($95,400)
Keep tight stop-losses as this range is maturing.
3. Breakdown Risk:
If price fails to hold above $94,244, we could see a swift move to $93,361 or lower, where next demand lies.
🔮 Final Thoughts:
We are in a classic compression phase, with buyers stepping in aggressively but sellers still defending resistance. A breakout is imminent — the question is: which side will blink first?
Until then, this is a range trader’s paradise — just keep an eye on volume spikes and momentum divergence.
🧠 Tip: Use alerts around $95,666 and $94,244 to avoid missing the move.
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Retailer Purchasing ZoneThe highlighted red zone remains unfilled. Technically, even if the price moves upward now, it's likely to return back down shortly after. There's currently no real catalyst for a sustained upward move. Right now, retail investors are being lured into buying. After that, we may see a quick upward spike that allows whales to enter the market. That’s when a strong catalyst for real growth could emerge.
Bitcoin needs additional buying momentumBitcoin Technical Update
Bitcoin has broken above the descending trendline, entering a bullish phase 📈.
Currently, BTC is approaching a major supply zone between $95,600 and $96,800 🟥.
In order to fuel a powerful move above $100,000, Bitcoin needs additional buying momentum, which could come from the demand zone located between $67,700 and $69,300 🟩.
Thus, a gradual, step-by-step pullback toward the $88,000 level — and potentially lower prices — should not be ruled out before any strong bullish continuation