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BTC/USD) Resistance level pullback Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), highlighting key levels and potential price movements based on trend channels, support/resistance, and RSI. Here's the breakdown: --- Key Elements in the Analysis: 1. Trend Channel: BTC is trading within an ascending channel, indicating an ongoing bullish trend. The recent price action hit the upper boundary (resistance) of the channel, suggesting potential for a pullback. 2. Resistance Zone: 105,586.06 is marked as a resistance level, where price faced rejection. Strong reaction here suggests sellers are defending this area. 3. Support Zone: A new support level is established around 98,000. This zone aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and previous breakout structure. 4. Target Point (Bearish Projection): The chart projects a potential drop to the 97,367.51 level, representing a ~7.4% correction. This move mirrors the prior leg up, applying a measured move concept. 5. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 66–71, indicating overbought conditions. A bearish divergence or trendline break on RSI suggests weakening momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of Trading Idea: Bias: Short-term Bearish (correction within an overall bullish trend) Expected Move: Potential dip toward 97,367.51 support Confirmation: Rejection at resistance, RSI divergence, and trendline break Invalidation: A strong breakout above 105,586.06 would nullify the correction setup and favor continued bullish movement pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥 The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals. Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻. 🔧 Understanding the Mechanics At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading. 📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out: 1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023 In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration. 2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023 Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength. 3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025 In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts. 📌 What This Can Tells Us The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention. Key takeaways: Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move. Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence. Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling. 🧠 Final Thought MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
Education
by WhiteBIT
6
BTC/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical(BTC/USDT) analysis outlines a bullish outlook with key technical levels and scenarios. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Observations: 1. Trend Break and CHoCH (Change of Character): The chart shows a clear break of the downtrend, confirmed by the CHoCH label — a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) signal indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. Key Zones Highlighted: EVC-Buying Zone: Around 86,000 – 88,000 (aligned with EMA 200), marked as a strong accumulation area. New Support Level: Around 92,000 – 93,000, potentially forming a bullish support after the recent rally. Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones near: 99,600 (intermediate resistance and target) 106,400 (final target) 3. RSI Indicator: RSI is near 64, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought — a potential sign of further upside. 4. Two Bullish Scenarios: Scenario 1 (Aggressive Bullish): BTC continues upward from the current level and breaks above resistance toward the 106,447 target. Scenario 2 (Retracement Bullish): BTC dips to the new support or even into the buying zone (86–88k), then rebounds to reach the same targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests bullish continuation, with potential pullbacks into strong demand zones. It supports both breakout and retracement entries, with targets at 99,632 and 106,447. If price holds above EMA 200 and RSI remains supportive, the upside thesis remains valid. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
by SMC-Trading-Point
28
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance. Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k. Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588. Trade Setups Short – SFP Breakdown Trigger: 4H close below $103 345 Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest SL: $105 500 (above swing high) TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586  RR ≈ 0.7 TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613  RR ≈ 2.6 Long – Fib Rebound Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613 SL: $99 300 (below FVG) TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145  RR ≈ 2.7 TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588  RR ≈ 6.8
Long
by mikavehns
4
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential PATHWAY to New All-Time HIGHBINANCE:BTCUSDT is testing the upper boundary of its breakout structure after reclaiming the $100,000 level and pushing above the blue upward trendline. The broader uptrend remains intact as price forms a higher low within the ascending channel and sets sights on fresh highs. Price action remains bullish with room for upside continuation if BTC holds above the breakout zone. 📌 Key Levels Support zone: $98,000 - $100,000 (prior breakout and trendline retest) Breakout target: $118,760 (resistance area top) Invalidation level: Below $98,000 (break of structure + channel midline) ⚠️ Risks Strong resistance lies just above ATH; could lead to rejection Consolidation under resistance may delay breakout Weekly close below $100,000 could shift momentum short-term Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
5
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After bouncing from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and reacting strongly from the support zone near 92000, the price continues to respect the bullish structure. This level, which also aligns with the dynamic trend line, has acted as a powerful area of interest for buyers. Every touch to the trend line has resulted in a reversal to the upside, and this time may be no different. Previously, we saw a clear upward impulse that formed the base of the current trend channel. Then the market entered a consolidation with smaller pullbacks and held the 93000 zone with confidence. The recent retracement toward the trend line and support area is forming a higher low, which confirms buyer strength and sets the stage for another bullish leg. Given the strong support zone, the presence of an upward channel, and the steady bullish structure, I expect BTC to resume its upward move. My current goal is 99000 points. All elements signal bullish continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
17
BTCUSDT Technical Analysis📊 BTCUSDT Technical Analysis – May 11, 2025 Hello traders! 👋 Here’s a fresh technical analysis on the BTC/USDT pair using the 1D timeframe. The chart highlights key supply and demand zones, harmonic structure, and two potential price scenarios for the coming weeks. 📌 Key Levels: Support Zone: 86,191 – 88,909 USDT Mid-Resistance: 91,978 USDT Major Resistance Area: 105,371 – 108,458 USDT 🔍 Technical Overview: After forming a strong bottom around 76,560, BTC reversed and surged upwards, filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) created earlier. Price is now testing a critical supply zone. A rejection from here may lead to a pullback, possibly toward the 86k–89k range. If the support zone holds, it may act as a springboard for a new bullish wave targeting 105k and beyond. 🧭 Possible Scenarios: Rejection at Resistance: Consolidation or pullback from the 105k–108k zone followed by downward movement. Support Bounce: Rebound from 86k–89k support area leading to renewed bullish momentum. Sideways Action: Short-term consolidation in the current price range before direction is confirmed. 💬 What’s your outlook for BTC at this stage? Are you expecting a breakout or a pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🔔 Stay tuned for more updates and trade safely!
by nevfell38
6
my idea about btc in secound half of 2025Dear followers, I’ve analyzed BTC’s recent price movements and on-chain indicators, and I’d like to share my outlook for the second half of 2025. Based on my technical and macroeconomic assessment, I anticipate a significant correction before a strong rebound later in the year. Key Highlights: Sell Zone: I expect BTC to reach around $108,000 during a bullish run, where I recommend taking profits and initiating a short position. Correction Phase: Following the peak, I foresee a correction bringing BTC down to approximately $69,000. This presents a deep buy opportunity for those looking to accumulate at lower levels. Target for Rebound: Post-correction, I project a strong rally towards $140,000, driven by renewed institutional interest and market fundamentals. Trading Strategy: Consider selling or reducing holdings near the $108K level. Be prepared to accumulate during the dip around $69K. Aim for the $140K target on the rebound, aligned with overall bullish momentum. Please note that all trading involves risk, and it's essential to manage your positions carefully. Stay tuned for updates, and always do your own research before making trading decisions. Let me know your thoughts or if you'd like a deeper analysis!
Short
by farzadzeraatkar
6
Bitcoin can bounce from support line of channel to 98500 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price of Bitcoin has been in recent price action. The asset had been confidently moving inside an upward channel, building structure through higher highs and higher lows. Each upward impulse was supported by pullbacks to the support line, showing continued buyer pressure. The latest breakout above the support area confirmed a bullish continuation, and the price entered the seller zone, where it faced resistance. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the price repeatedly turned around, forming a tight triangle pattern within the upper boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken down from the triangle, but it still holds above the channel's lower line. Given that the channel remains intact and there's no strong breakdown of the structure, I expect the price to rebound from the lower boundary and continue climbing toward my TP 1 at 98500, which aligns with the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
18
BTC: Potential Dip into FVGs Before New ATHBitcoin has rocketed from ~$94 000 to ~$103 250 in just days and is now consolidating between $102 364–$104 145. A Swing Failure Pattern at the top suggests a corrective pullback into one of three Fair Value Gaps aligned with key Fibonacci retracements, before the next leg up toward a fresh all-time high. This setup uses structure, inefficiency zones, and Fib levels to pinpoint high-probability entries. 📊 Chart Breakdown 1. Current Picture: Consolidation & Warning ⚠️ - Range: $102 364 – $104 145 - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): Price briefly wicks above $104 145 to grab liquidity, then reverses. This classic liquidity hunt often precedes a deeper retrace as late bulls are stopped out. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – Untested Support Zones 🌊 FVGs are rapid imbalance areas where price left gaps in the order book. These zones act like magnets, drawing price back to “fill” inefficiencies. FVG 1 (Nearest): $101 700 – $102 364 FVG 2 (Mid-Zone): $99 900 – $100 600 FVG 3 (Deepest): $97 400 – $98 700 3. Fibonacci Confluences (from $93 377 → $104 145) 📏 Fibonacci retracement levels often align with FVGs to form confluence support—ideal for swing entries. 0.786 Fib @ $101 840.65: Sits squarely in FVG 1, a high-probability bounce zone. 0.618 Fib @ $100 031.62: Golden Ratio within FVG 2, offering strong support. 0.5 Fib @ $98 761 & 0.382 Fib @ $97 490.38: Cover top and mid-lower FVG 3 for a deep corrective entry. 📈📉 Navigating the Next Moves: Key Trade Scenarios 🧭 Given the current structure, with the SFP indicating a potential short-term top and strong FVG/Fibonacci confluences below, here are two primary scenarios we can watch for: Scenario 1: The Short-Term Pullback Play (Short Position 📉🐻) Concept: Capitalizing on the SFP at the consolidation high (~$104,145) to trade the anticipated dip towards the FVG/Fibonacci support clusters. Aggressive Entry: Look for entries around $103,500 – $103,900 if price retests the upper part of the consolidation after the SFP, showing weakness. Conservative Entry: A break below the consolidation low (~$102,364) could offer a confirmation entry, potentially on a retest of this broken level as resistance. Stop-Loss 🛑: Place above the SFP high, e.g., $104,450 – $104,650, to protect against a false breakdown. Profit Targets (FVG Zones) 🎯 TP1: The top of FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area (~$102,300 – $101,840). This zone is critical. TP2: The FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area (~$100,600 – $100,030) if TP1 is breached with momentum. Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/1H rejection wicks, bearish engulfing) near the SFP high. Profit Taking: Consider taking partial profits at TP1. The reaction here is crucial. Reversal/Close Short: If price enters TP1 and shows strong bullish rejection (large wicks, engulfing bull candles, volume spike), close the short and prepare to flip to the long scenario. Holding for TP2: If price slices through TP1 with sustained bearish pressure, trail your stop above TP1 once it’s clearly broken. Invalidation: If price reclaims and holds above $104,650, the short thesis is invalidated. Scenario 2: The FVG Rebound & Rally (Long Position 📈🐂) Concept: Entering on the expectation that one of the FVG/Fibonacci confluence zones will hold as support, leading to a rebound and continuation of the larger uptrend. Potential Entry Zones 📍: Zone A (Primary): FVG 1 / 0.786 Fib area ($101,700 – $102,364, sweet spot ~$101,840). Zone B (Secondary): FVG 2 / 0.618 Fib area ($99,900 – $100,600, sweet spot ~$100,030). Stop-Loss 🛑: If entering in Zone A: Place below FVG 1, e.g., $101,350 – $101,150. If entering in Zone B: Place below FVG 2, e.g., $99,600 – $99,400. Profit Targets 🎯: TP1: Back to the consolidation high / SFP area (~$104,145). TP2: The key resistance zone ($104,675 – $106,500). TP3 (Ultimate): The All-Time High ($109,588). Trade Management & Considerations 🤔: Entry Confirmation: Do not blindly enter. Wait for price to enter your chosen FVG zone AND then show clear bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H/4H bullish engulfing, hammer, RSI divergence). Zone Prioritization: Zone A is the first test. If it fails and breaks down, Zone B becomes the next area of interest. Profit Taking & Scaling Out: Take partial profits at TP1 and again at TP2 to secure gains. Risk Reduction: After TP1 is hit, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit. Invalidation: A decisive break below $99,400 invalidates the bounce thesis and suggests a deeper correction. 🎯 Execution Notes - Patience & Confirmation: Avoid “blind” entries. Seek volume confirmation and clear reversal candle patterns on 1H/4H charts. - Risk Management: Define stops before entry and size positions to risk no more than 1–2% per trade. - Additional Signals: Watch for bullish RSI/RSI-MFI divergences or a turn in on-balance volume at support zones. Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and not financial advice. Crypto trading carries high risk—always DYOR and consult a qualified advisor. What’s your take? Which FVG/Fib level will hold? Share your insights below!
Long
by mikavehns
5
Bitcoin at PRZ! Is This the Calm Before a Drop?As I expected in yesterday's idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from near the Support line and hit the Target . Bitcoin is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the ascending channel(minor) , and the Resistance line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has successfully completed the microwave B of the main wave 4 in the ascending channel(minor). A break of the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) could be a sign of the completion of this wave. The corrective structure of the main wave 4 so far could be a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,923 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) and breaking the Support line, the next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel(major) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,525-$104,500 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,763-$99,774 Note: If Bitcoin goes above $105,300, we can expect more pumps. Note: If Bitcoin touches $99,400, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
7
BTC - New Short-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #BTC retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
Bitcoin (BTC): We Reached Liquidity Line | Important Zone!Once again, Trump is at his finest, tweeting about another economic news (major trade deals), which pushed decent volatility into the markets, which led Bitcoin to an important liquidity zone near the $100K area. We are going to monitor this zone now and once we see any clear signs of proper breakout or rejection, we will be looking for direction based on reaction, but as of now we are stuck at that area so as long as we have not broken it fully, we are looking for rejection from here. Let's see. Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
2
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
BTC/USD: The Bull Run Isn’t Over yet! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price has finally started rising as expected and has hit all our targets, breaking above $100,000. Bitcoin is currently trading around $103,000, and now we must wait to see if it gets rejected from this level. If there's no rejection and price breaks and holds above $110,000, we could expect higher targets around $130,000 and even $163,000 in the coming weeks. So far, this analysis has delivered over 39% return! The Previous Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
by ArmanShabanTrading
3