CADAUD trade ideas
AUD/CAD: Short-term Bearish Trend Remains IntactAUD/CAD: Short-term Bearish Trend Remains Intact
In our previous analysis, AUD/CAD showed a transformation and tested the resistance zone near the top again. Today, the price has confirmed another larger pattern, indicating a further price decline.
From a fundamental perspective, AUD/CAD was also supported by the fact that President Trump extended the Canada and Mexico tariff deadline to April 2. Tariffs were initially supposed to be applied on March 4. This extension provided short-term strength to the CAD.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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AUD/CAD - Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment📉 Bearish Bias
✅ Broken Trendline & Support - Downtrend confirmed with multiple support breaks. (+2)
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) Resistance at 0.89998 - Price may struggle to break through. (+2)
✅ Potential Lower High (LH) Formation - If price rejects FVG, further downside likely. (+1)
✅ Possible 4HR Trendline Breakdown - Could accelerate selling momentum. (+1)
🔻 Total Bearish Score: 6
📰 Sources:
Trendline Break & Bearish Market Outlook - XTB
FVG & Resistance Levels - IFC Markets
📈 Bullish Bias
✅ 4HR Trendline Support Holding - If respected, a reversal could form. (+2)
✅ Fib Retracement Zone (0.382 - 0.618) at 0.90028 - 0.90345 - Price may recover to these levels. (+2)
✅ Trade Set-Up 2 Suggests a Higher Low Formation - Could indicate early bullish momentum. (+1)
🔹 Total Bullish Score: 5
📰 Sources:
Fibonacci & Trendline Strength - RoboForex
Bullish Market Reversal Possibilities - Bloomberg
📊 Sentiment & Market Factors
📉 Weak AUD Due to RBA Policy Uncertainty (- Bearish) - RBA rate outlook remains dovish. Source
📈 CAD Supported by Rising Oil Prices (+ Bullish) - Strengthening CAD fundamentals. Source
📉 Bearish Momentum & Market Structure (- Bearish) - Lower highs still dominant. Source
📌 Final Bias: Slightly Bearish (Score: 6 vs 5)
AUDCAD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current AUDCAD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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AUD/CAD - Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment📉 Bearish Bias
✅ Break of 1HR Trendline - Price has broken key trendline support, confirming a bearish move. (+2)
✅ Break of 1HR & 4HR Support - Key levels have failed, indicating sellers in control. (+2)
✅ FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance - Price may retest FVG before further decline. (+1)
✅ Lower Highs Forming - Market structure suggests continuation to the downside. (+1)
🔻 Total Bearish Score: 6
📰 Sources:
Trendline & Price Action - XTB
Market Structure & Momentum - IFC Markets
📈 Bullish Bias
✅ 4HR Support Zone Holding - Price is testing a key demand area (0.89324 - 0.89374). (+2)
✅ Possible Buy Setup on Momentum Shift - If price shows bullish rejection, a reversal is possible. (+1)
✅ Weekly Trendline Support Nearby - Long-term trendline acting as support. (+1)
🔹 Total Bullish Score: 4
📰 Sources:
Support & Reversal Patterns - RoboForex
📊 Sentiment & Market Factors
📉 Weak AUD Due to RBA Dovish Stance (- Bearish) - RBA hints at potential rate cuts. Source
📈 CAD Supported by Oil Prices (+ Bullish) - Rising oil prices strengthening CAD. Source
📉 Risk-Off Sentiment Weakening AUD (- Bearish) - Global economic concerns reducing demand for risk assets. Source
📌 Final Bias: Strong Bearish (Score: 6 vs 4)
AUDCAD at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:AUDCAD has reached a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a pullback if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance, we could see a move lower toward the 0.90200 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
AUDCAD Short Trade Analysis – Sell at 0.9068🔹 Entry: 0.9068
🔹 Trend: Bearish
🔹 Potential Pullback Levels: 0.9090 - 0.9100
🔹 Target: 0.9020 - 0.9000
🔹 SL: Above 0.9110
AUDCAD remains in a selling zone, and we are maintaining a short position from 0.9068. While short-term price action may push the pair toward 0.9090 - 0.9100, the overall trend favors sellers.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
✅ Moving Averages: Price is trading near key resistance levels with potential rejections.
✅ Structure: Lower highs and lower lows indicate bearish momentum.
✅ Key Resistance: 0.9090 - 0.9100
✅ Key Support: 0.9020 - 0.9000
As long as AUDCAD remains below 0.9110, the bearish outlook remains valid. A break below 0.9050 could accelerate the downside move.
📉 Sell on rallies, stay patient, and follow the trend!
#AUDCAD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SellSignal
AUD/CAD Trade Setup: Short at Key ResistanceAUD/CAD has reached a key resistance zone around 0.908 - 0.909, aligning with previous highs and the 200-day moving average. I’ve entered a short position, anticipating a potential rejection from this level.
🔹 Trade Setup:
🔻 Entry: Near 0.908 - 0.909 (Key Resistance)
🎯 Profit Target (Blue Zone): 0.903 - 0.902
🛑 Stop-Loss (Yellow Zone): Above 0.909
🔹 Market Outlook:
📊 Bearish Bias – Price has rejected this zone before, and I’m expecting sellers to step in again.
⚠️ Risk Management – If price breaks and holds above 0.909, the short trade will be invalidated.
Watching for bearish confirmation—will we see a rejection, or is AUD/CAD breaking out? Let me know your thoughts below! 👇
AUDCAD Sell Setup at 0.9045I'm looking to sell AUDCAD at 0.9045, targeting a move lower based on key technical confluences.
🔹 Key Reasons for Entry:
Resistance Zone: The price is testing a key resistance level around 0.9045, which has previously acted as a rejection point.
Moving Averages: Price is near the , aligning with strong resistance.
Trend Structure: AUDCAD is in a bearish structure on the timeframe, forming lower highs.
Fibonacci Confluence: 0.9045 aligns with the retracement level from the last swing.
📉 Trade Plan:
Sell Limit: 0.9045
Stop Loss:
Take Profit:
Risk-Reward Ratio:
If the price confirms rejection at this level, I expect further downside towards the .
Let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥
Feel free to adjust SL/TP levels based on your strategy. Would you like me to add any additional details?
AUDCAD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Potential bearish drop?AUD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9063
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.9098
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.9006
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDCAD BUY SCENARIOAUDCAD - Australian Dollar from 10.1.2025 start to get stronger than Canadian Dollar and the price make a bullish trend. Price hit the most recent supply zone and now we wait how the price will react the next days. If Australian Dollar continue strong is possible to see the price fall to trend line and then push to the next supply zones.
AUDCAD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.904.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.913 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanBased on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (0.90600) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.89900 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / Swing Low or High level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.92500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
╰┈➤AUD/CAD "Aussie vs Canadian" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Economic Indicators: Australia's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.2% in 2025, while Canada's GDP growth rate is expected to remain steady at 1.8%
Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its interest rates at 0.10% in 2025, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to raise interest rates to 1.50%
Trade Balance: Australia's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while Canada's trade balance is expected to remain in deficit
Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.5% in 2025, while Canada's inflation rate is expected to remain steady at 2.0%
╰┈➤Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including those exported by Australia and Canada
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities
Currency Flows: Currency flows are expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in currency exchange rates
╰┈➤COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 40%
Open Interest: 80,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 40,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 20,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 1.1 (indicating a neutral trend)
╰┈➤Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 50% bullish, 50% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is neutral, with a sentiment score of +5
╰┈➤Technical Analysis
Trend: The AUD/CAD pair is experiencing a neutral trend, with the market respecting the 20-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) as dynamic support.
╰┈➤Market Data Analysis
Order Book Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's order book is showing a neutral sentiment, with an equal number of buy and sell orders.
Liquidity Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's liquidity is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market participation.
Volatility Analysis: The AUD/CAD pair's volatility is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in market sentiment.
╰┈➤Positioning
Long Positions: 50% of total positions
Short Positions: 50% of total positions
Neutral Positions: 0% of total positions
Leverage: 1:1 (average)
╰┈➤Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.92000-0.93000.
Target: 0.93000 (primary target), 0.94000 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 0.95000 (potential swing high)
Stop Loss: 0.87000 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 500 pips vs potential loss of 250 pips)
╰┈➤Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for AUD/CAD is neutral, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected stability in commodity prices, neutral interest rate environment, and balanced market sentiment are all supporting the neutral trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
AUDCAD Set for Bearish Correction After Struggling to RiseAUDCAD Set for Bearish Correction After Struggling to Rise
The AUDCAD pair recently broke out from a bearish pattern, suggesting a potential downward movement. While further confirmation is needed to solidify this trend, the pair already appears poised for a continued decline.
A minor support zone is located near 0.9010. However, this area may not hold, and there is a strong possibility that the price could breach this support and target the lower levels of 0.8993 and 0.8960.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.