CADJPY trade ideas
CAD/JPY Rising Channel Breakdown Looms Bears in Play !Rising Channel Formation
The price is trading within a rising channel, indicating a potential bullish continuation or a reversal depending on how the price reacts near the channel's boundaries.
The upper boundary of the channel acted as resistance, where a rejection occurred, leading to a short setup.
Golden Pocket Zone
Around the 108.660–108.491 level, a "Golden Pocket Zone" is marked, indicating an area of potential caution due to increased market indecision.
This zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels or historical pivot points.
Support Levels
A Good Trading Zone is identified between 107.248–106.780, which represents a potential support area for price reversal or consolidation.
Wicks Pivotal Point near 105.851–105.817 serves as a critical demand zone where significant buying interest might reemerge.
Short Position Setup
Entry Signal: A Sell signal was triggered near the channel's resistance line, supported by a failure to break higher. The price also exhibited a rejection at a critical resistance level within the Golden Pocket Zone.
Profit Levels
The Peak Profit 0.22% label indicates a modest gain so far, suggesting a potential continuation if the price breaks below the channel support.
A prior Peak Profit 2.96% was achieved on a similar short setup from a lower level, confirming the bearish potential within the structure.
Target Levels
First target: 107.248, aligning with the Good Trading Zone.
Second target: 106.780, which is the bottom of the Trading Zone.
Extended target: 105.851, Wicks Pivotal Point, for a more aggressive short.
Stop-Loss Placement
A stop-loss should be positioned above the Golden Pocket Zone (around 109.000) to protect against false breakouts or unexpected bullish momentum.
Technical Patterns and Indicators
Rejection Candlesticks
The price formed bearish rejection candles near the channel's upper boundary and the Golden Pocket Zone, indicating strong selling pressure.
Trendline Confluence
The lower boundary of the channel intersects with the 107.248 level, adding confluence for a possible bounce or further breakdown.
Momentum Analysis
The price appears to lose upward momentum after several failed attempts to make a higher high, suggesting sellers are gaining control.
This short position aligns with the current market structure, leveraging resistance levels, a rejection from the upper trendline, and bearish momentum. However, traders should exercise caution near the identified support zones and adjust stop-loss levels based on intraday volatility. A clear break below the Good Trading Zone could open the door to extended downside potential toward the Wicks Pivotal Point.
CADJPY: Time to Drop LowerCADJPY had been consolidating in a wide trading range for nearly a month before a significant news announcement caused the pair to turn bearish.
The price broke below a key support level on the daily chart, indicating a potential downward trend.
The next support level to watch for is at 107.15.
CADJPY: Bearish Continuation Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
It looks like CADJPY is returning to a bearish trend.
The price completed a consolidation within a bearish flag
and violated its support with a high momentum bearish candle yesterday.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling soon.
Next support - 107.15
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System gives a short signalPrice seems to be bearish. My system tells me to get short. When/if 1st target gets hit, i will then move my stops to breakeven and then it will be a risk free trade.. With a risk ratio of 1:3 i can be wrong more than 60% of my trades and still be profitable. I never risk more than 2% per trade.
CAD/JPY breaks trend lineAlong with other yen crosses, the CAD/JPY has been printing bearish price action this week amid rising expectations that the BoJ will tighten its belt next week.
The narrowing of yield differential between Japan and those of the rest of the world have helped to put some downward pressure on the al JPY pairs.
Having broken the 108.55-108.90 support area (shaded in red), this area may now turn into resistance upon re-test from below.
The next level of support is seen around 107.50/60 area, followed by the longer-term bullish trend line. Should this trend line also break down then we could see an accelerated move lower in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
CADJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.412.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 106.334 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY Rising Wedge Breakout and Targeting Support LevelCADJPY is currently trading at 108.300, with a target price set at 106.000, offering a potential gain of 200+ pips. The analysis is based on a support and resistance pattern, indicating the pair’s key price levels. A rising wedge breakout has already occurred, a bearish signal pointing to further downside potential. The price is now positioned below a major resistance level, confirming sellers' dominance in the market. With this setup, the pair is likely to continue its downward movement toward the main support level, which aligns with the target price. The bearish momentum is expected to persist as long as the resistance level holds strong. Traders should watch for any confirmation of increased selling pressure to solidify this trend. This setup highlights a favorable opportunity for bearish trades with a defined risk-reward ratio. The focus remains on the target support level as the next key price point.
CAD/JPY we reached a very strong resistance!Hi guys, I am going with CAD/JPY which I can observe has reached a very strong resistance level so far which it is having trouble breaching out. Additionally we got the news that the Canadian Prime Minister - Justin Trudeau has filed for resignation would bring some weakeness to the CAD
Entry: 109.600
Target: 108.600
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
CADJPY POISED FOR AN UPWARD (FORMING LIQUIDITY FIRST)Price is currently in a parallel channel looking at creating liquidity ($$$) which it might use to fuel its upward momentum by mopping it up my entry point.
Alternatively, it could break out from the channel to clear the already formed liquidity ($$$) below before a move up.
fingers crossed...
15-1 CADJPY:At the end of last year the price was heading towards 110.9 from 103.4. This pair is on the verge of a decline that we would like to enter. Our signal system shows the following signals: Score -12, a big downtrend that is coming from Cot Data 0 Retail sentiment -1, Seasonality -1. Trend reading -2. GDP -2, Manufacturing PMI 0, Services PMI -1, Retail Sales -2, Inflation -2, Employment Change 0, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates -2. We have a sell series from 108.725.
CADJPY: Market Sentiment & Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current CADJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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