NASDAQ Buy idea๐ธ Structure Breakout โ Pullback โ Consolidation beneath resistance
๐ธ Support Zone Multiple rejections from 19,370โ19,385 demand zone
๐ธ Liquidity Stops likely resting above 19,420 โ potential fuel for breakout move
๐ธ Candle Behavior Strong rejection candles from demand zone + no bearish follow-through
๐ธ Momentum Price failing to make lower lows โ bullish pressure building
US100 trade ideas
NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend.
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Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890
We are watching this zone closely.
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Market Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 19890 โ Major support / Key level
โ 20050 โ Proven resistance
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 19950 โ ๐ฅ Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
โข 19980 โ Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
โข 19900 โ Equal lows
โข 19980 โ Equal highs
Can We Re Enter From The Same Place To Get Extra 500 Pips ?If we checked we will see that Nasdaq Gave us 300 pips , and that prove the support is very strong and we can re enter if the price hit the entry again and targeting extra 500 pips .so if the price go back to retest the same support we can add a new contract if we have a clear bullish Price action .
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19550
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 19450
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Market Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 19100 โ Major support / Key level
โ 19450 โ Proven resistance
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 19450 โ ๐ฅ Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
โข 19460 โ Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
โข 19100 โ Equal lows
โข 19500 โ Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move
Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone.
From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone.
Key levels:
Resistance: 19,371.9
Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920
Potential strategy:
Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370โ19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,189.77
1st Support: 18,580.75
1st Resistance: 20,258.77
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders,
In todayโs analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias.
Key Observations:
1. Retracement and Institutional Support:
Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely.
2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone:
Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order blockโa zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zoneโs validity as institutional support.
Trading Plan:
We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US100US100 has shown great strength after terrif news.
If we look at the bigger picture, recent bullish rally looks like a pull back. Currently it is heading towards very important region , 20500 which is also the 61% retracement level.
If the price close above 20500 then we can consider it a new bullish rally.
Possible reversal of this bullish wave...(LOG)Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 โ a significant potential drop.
While technical patterns arenโt guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline:
Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fedโs target. A โhigher for longerโ rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100.
Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers.
Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.โChina trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions.
Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters.
With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart patternโit may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here
If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ?
Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it !
Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics!
There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable.
6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it).
Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns.
As usual, please DYODD
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Time for Pullback
There is a high chance that US100 will retrace from the underlined
blue daily resistance.
I spotted a double top pattern on a 4h time frame after its test
and a nice bearish imbalance candle that was formed
during the NY session yesterday as confirmations.
Goal - 19590
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
US100 BREAKS DOUBLE BUTTOM NECKLINE! US100 successfully breaks a neckline of a double buttom like structure! We may continue to see a continuous movement in price to the upside. Next resistance level could be the area of 20,267 (pullback resistance)
A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price
Descending Triangle Formation with Bullish Breakout Potential The NASDAQ (US100) is currently forming a descending triangle pattern with a clear A-B-C-D-E wave structure, signaling price compression and consolidation.
๐ Key Insights:
The previous move was strongly bullish, increasing the probability of a continuation after consolidation.
A potential breakout above the descending trendline (blue resistance) could trigger a sharp upward move.
Target zones:
โ
First target: 20,060.6
โ
Second target: 20,573.9
Key support zone: 19,524.7 โ this area acted as a launchpad for the previous bullish impulse and confirms the base of the triangle.
๐ง Suggested Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume. Look for entries on a pullback toward the 19,811.1 zone โ ideally with a bullish continuation candle.
๐ Additional Context:
These types of consolidation patterns often lead to explosive moves. Patience and risk management will be crucial here.
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline.
๐ Likely scenario:
If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5.
Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance.
๐จ ๐บ CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive:
A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction.
A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond.
๐ข Key Zones:
๐ Demand: 20,025 โ 20,000
๐ Critical Resistance: 20,215
๐ Wave V Target: 20,254.5
๐ Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count.
๐ Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups.
Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
NAS100 โ Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure
The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
Technical Breakdown:
Major Supply Zone: 19,800 โ 19,850
Critical Support Level: 18,846
Demand Zone Target: 17,700 โ 18,000 (highlighted in orange)
Key Observations:
Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s
Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone
Bearish divergence may be developing โ a possible early reversal signal
Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias)
Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700
Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000
Stop Loss: Above 19,850
Macro Note:
Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility โ perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs.
Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view!
Like & follow for more clean chart breakdowns.
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
Short idea Us100, sweep of weekly resistancePrice is nearing the weekly resistance after extremely bullish price, expecting price to start stalling next week as it pushes in to the golden pocket zone where we'll see a move down and some higher lows lock in.
Ill be looking for a short entry on a low volume move up on the 5 minute time frame after we've taken the external liquidity above the weekly resistance level