VIX for a blowout Another VIX post which have been received well in the past.
SPX is due for a huge correction and I think this will begin today, alongside all other major indices.
We see a Cup & Handle formation in the making and I believe that this is soon to be confirmed.
It is also resting on a historical trend line as well as various other resistance related metrics.
Target is very conservative with a lot of room to go past the highs in August. Re asses as this moves.
VIX trade ideas
Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 06/11/2024Market Flips to Risk-on Mode. Game on?
The market has transitioned to a risk-on mode, with investors showing renewed confidence as they seek higher returns in growth-oriented assets.
This shift is evident in the strong upward movement of the S&P 500 (SPX), signaling optimism about economic resilience and corporate earnings potential. A decline in the VIX (Volatility Index), often seen as the “fear gauge,” further reinforces this sentiment, as lower VIX levels indicate reduced market anxiety and volatility expectations.
A Word of Caution
While a risk-on mode presents growth opportunities, it can also increase susceptibility to sudden reversals. Economic and geopolitical conditions remain complex, and any unexpected negative news—such as disappointing economic data, an adverse geopolitical development, or a hawkish shift in central bank policy—could quickly shift sentiment back to risk-off. Investors should maintain a balanced approach, using risk management strategies like setting stop-loss orders or diversifying their portfolios to mitigate potential losses if the market sentiment changes abruptly. In a volatile world, even a risk-on rally can be short-lived.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
S&P500 vs VIX vs Copper/Gold Ratio. The rally continues.On this chart you can see the Volatility Index against the S&P500 and the Copper/Gold ratio.
We bring this chart to you in order to show you why we think the long term trend on the stock market will be bullish for 2025.
As you can see, VIX had an odd spike in August, when the stock market corrected to some degree.
Since the 2008 crisis, we have had similar spikes on VIX only another two times March 2020 (COVID) and September 2011.
Alls those times, the Copper/Gold ratio bottomed after a long term decline and started to rise.
This rise started also a rally on the S&P500.
Since the market was unphazed in August, we have strong reason to believe that it will extend its gains in 2025 too.
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VIX volatility index fills the gap, what now?#vix the volatility index has filled the gap shown on the chart as red box. Also TVC:VIX index has broken down the bull flag. But, the question is: "A fake down?"
If vix had did this as a fake movement (and only gap filling dump), then a great volatility awaits all markets, just soon.
VIX vs SPX - Melt up incoming followed by mega fallVIX is at 20 now. It'll go down to 15 and shoot up to 28,30 and go back down to 22. That might be spring/summer 2025. That will be the top in markets. Sell everything.
IMO, VIX will shoot up to 60 by mid 2026. Meaning big market crash.
Early 2027 might end up being a great time to jump back markets.
$VIX I Want to Get HighLast time we posted about the TVC:VIX we Enabled Holy Sh*T Mode. Shortly there after the TVC:VIX broke above 66 in no time.
The TVC:VIX is a very easy counter indicator to the market to read. When CCI the CCI breaks out on any time frame from the 2 hour up, there is almost always guaranteed to be a market downturn in the near future.
Even though TVC:VIX futures were disconnected from the TVC:VIX a few years ago, the indicator while strange, acts the same.
The Monthly, Quarterly and Yearly AMEX:VIS have been flashing major warning signs as the CCI teases a Major Technical breakout above the Zero momentum line. All Three are flashing above this line yet again.
The higher the chart CCI breakout on the TVC:VIX , the larger and swifter the pullback becomes.
Keep your eyes peeled, or get peeled.
VIX Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for VIX.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21.94.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 20.13.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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