NasdaqIt came to major OB
Also we have a huge impulsive move, that’s why I expect the pullback
After pullback we can continue our movement to upwards
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Trade Update Based on NASDAQ PredictionsThis is an update on my trade idea that I posted a few hours ago for NASDAQ. Made over $6,912 on all positions!
Current Analysis for NASDAQ I'm currently looking for short term sells for price to make a correction and fill the inefficiency. After that is completed, I'll be looking for Long term buys targeting the 19,233.9 level and afterwards I'll be targeting -27.0 percent level on the fibs.
TECH STOCKS ON SCHEDULE TO RALLYWith the Tariff shocks well behind us, tech companies are looking extremely cheap at current prices. Price sustaining a close above 16,994.8 further confirms this
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18700
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
Correction and Before a Push The US 100 shows an ascending triangle pattern that has not yet reached its projected high.
Context of the Ascending Triangle:
The price has formed an ascending triangle with an ascending support line (lower blue line) from point 1 to point 2.
Horizontal resistance is at 18,842.3 (point 3), and the price has not broken this level in a sustained manner or reached 18,979.0, as incorrectly indicated earlier.
Currently, the price is at 18,861.3, but for this scenario, we will assume it is retracing from a level close to resistance without having reached 18,979.0.
Correction to 18,670:
The price could retrace toward the key support at 18,671.7 (near point 2), which coincides with the triangle's ascending trend line.
This level has previously been solid support, making it a likely point for a rebound.
Rebound to 18,980:
From 18,670, the price could initiate an upward movement toward 18,980, a level projected as a target after breaking the triangle's resistance at 18,842.3.
This target is calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
Volume:
Volume shows a peak in previous upward movements, but has decreased in the current pullback, which is typical in a correction.
An increase in volume near 18,670 could confirm the entry of buyers for the rebound.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Buy at 18,670 after confirming a rebound (e.g., a bullish candle with increasing volume).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below 18,600 to protect against a bearish breakout.
Take Profit: Target 18,980.
Risk: If the price falls below 18,600, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, targeting lower levels such as 18,500.
TradingView Idea:
US 100 (15M) - Correction to 18,670 before rising to 18,980.
Direction: Bullish after correction.
Entry: 18,670 (after confirming a rebound).
Stop Loss: 18,600.
Take Profit: 18,980.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 3:1.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest U.S. futures rose and the dollar strengthened after Donald Trump eased concerns that had been weighing on markets. He stated he has no plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite ongoing frustrations over interest rates. While this helped calm nerves, Bloomberg's John Authers cautions against viewing it as a major shift in sentiment.
Trump also struck a more conciliatory tone on China, saying he intends to be “very nice” in trade talks and suggested tariffs could be lowered if a deal is reached—indicating a possible softening of his approach toward Beijing.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19195
Resistance Level 2: 19600
Resistance Level 3: 20080
Support Level 1: 17820
Support Level 2: 17330
Support Level 3: 16700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Understanding the Crab's Potential Ascent Before the DescentCurrent market analysis suggests a potential temporary surge in the Nasdaq index, colloquially referred to as a "crab walk," possibly reaching a level of 20.4 before a significant correction.
While this upward movement may present short-term opportunities, it is crucial to recognize its potential transience.
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Break at 19715
We are watching this zone closely.
———
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20100 – Proven resistance
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed.
Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close.
By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action.
Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22
Point of Control (POC):
Recent POC: 19,979.52
Prior POC: 19,845.22
High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium.
Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high)
Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection)
Absorption Zones:
Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle).
Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias
ADX Strength:
ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend.
DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure.
CVD Confirmation:
Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,845.22 (POC + VAL)
19,800 (swing low and absorption)
Resistance:
19,979.52 (POC)
20,000 (psychological + rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing High: 20,000
Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845
Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000):
1/2: 19,922
1/3: 19,896
2/3: 19,969
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish
Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown.
b) Notable Patterns:
Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000.
Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC.
Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance):
Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest)
Targets:
T1: 20,100
T2: 20,300
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure)
Target:
T1: 19,700
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
NAS100USD: Institutional Support Fuels Bullish MomentumGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that institutional order flow remains bullish, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias.
Key Observations:
Institutional Support Zones:
Price has recently retraced into a significant institutional support area—a large mitigation block, where smart money typically mitigates previous sell orders and initiates new buy orders. This zone is further reinforced by the presence of a reclaimed order block, signaling an area where prior institutional buying occurred and may now be re-engaged.
Confluence of Bullish Arrays:
The alignment of the mitigation block, reclaimed order block, and an adjacent breaker block provides strong confluence. While price is currently showing signs of rejection at this zone, it is important to exercise patience and wait for confirmation before entering, especially given the size of the mitigation block.
Trading Strategy:
Upon confirmation, we will look to initiate long positions from these institutional support levels, targeting liquidity pools resting in premium pricing zones where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined and let the market confirm your narrative.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NQ: Prior to the FEDAs expected, NQ is consolidating.
Tomorrow is a big day in terms of looking forward. What should we expect from the FED?
1- FED Mandate is: Employment and Inflation
2- FED has always said: FED policy is data related.
The latest data on both Employment and Inflation were not sufficiently bad to rationalize the rate cuts and feed Trump's pressure.
Hence, I think the FED won't give any hint tomorrow about the rate cut on June. This will disappoint market and a Sell-off of stocks and equities will be massive. The start of Wave 3.
The other scenario will send stocks and equities up in a zigzag move: Down then up.
Gold as a lead indicator has resumed up its direction. This might be a sign of what is coming for equities.
Have a good evening/night!
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook.
One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240.
That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
NAS - SLOWLY enter the long positionTeam, NAS time to buy slowly
We been waiting for the last two day
as we expect market will drop before RATE announcement
this is a good entry but buy slowly
if it drop to second box, double up.. the volume
Trade with confident.
NQ: Consolidation phaseWhile market is waiting for a clear hint from the FED or a concluded deals on tariffs, NQ has entered in a consolidation phase.
NAS100 1-8RR LONG Trade ideia.NAS100 1-8RR LONG Trade ideia. Once we see the brake of structure in 5min we can buy and hold for 1-8RR. Still the same setup I shared ealier.
Supply and demandA rally base drop... Market rally up and created a zone and drop breaking the previous structure creating a near perfect setup which has a zone that has not been tested and is aligned with higher time frame so market will drop when it gets to that zone
My NQ Long Idea 5/5/2025Been a while but I haven't been posting ideas because I have been scalping and doing smaller time frame trades. I think we have NQ at a nice price level where we might see a bull run soon with the market sentiment slowly "thawing" on the idea of "risk-off" sentiment to "risk-on" sentiment and environment with more uncertainties clearing out of the market scenes.
We have US trying to negotiate deals with many countries including China which is very challenging and we can never know if it will be achieved or not. However, from an economic point of view we can agree that the US economy is in the Neutral-bullish. We have a very bullish price action in the past week or so. We also have healthy economic numbers but it is still unclear until Wednesday.
On Wednesday the FED will speak on this matter and give us some clarity on whether it is a Risk-on or Risk-off environment. Anything will happen but I can see the "Gap" getting filled on FED day due to the SPIKE that will be delivered to us.
Currently Edgefinder tool is giving us 8 for NQ with only the GDP and sPMI scores in the negative. However the net score is bullish and on the positive.
I think 1 of those two ideas will be played out sooner or later anything can happen but from a technical view I would like to see the price reaching the 50% FIB and then take off from there.
It is subjective though and everything in trading is subjective including what I do and say.
NAS100 and the analysis that has reached a conclusion and has noToday I was reviewing my previous analyses when I came across this chart on NAS100 and after months of waiting, it had come to fruition.
It's a bit late to publish now, but I will gradually increase the number of symbols and arrange the time so that the results are available to everyone on time!!
Good luck!
MJ.REZAEI
NAS100 Rejected at Key Supply Zone | Pullback in Play?The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tapped into a strong supply zone around 20,000 – 20,100 and is showing signs of rejection. Price is currently at 20,007, down -0.45%, and struggling to hold above the demand turned resistance.
Chart Highlights:
Supply Zone: 20,000 – 20,100 (visible rejection area).
Key Support Levels:
19,852 – immediate structure level.
18,846 – breakout origin, potential demand zone.
17,673 – major volume and demand cluster (orange zone).
Bearish Bias:
If price loses 19,852, we could see a drop toward 18,846.
Failure there opens the path for a deeper correction to 17,673, where buyers are likely to step in.
Bullish Trigger:
A clean break and close above 20,100 would flip the script and suggest continuation of the bullish rally.
Volatility Warning:
Upcoming U.S. economic data could cause sharp moves (see calendar icon on chart). Be cautious and reactive.
Trade Setup: Watch for short opportunities below 19,852 with stops above supply and targets near the marked supports.
---
Is NAS100 gearing up for a dip or breaking out soon? Drop your forecast in the comments!
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #IndicesTrading #USMarket #ForexSignals #SmartMoney
