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6S1! trade ideas

Why Has the USD Been Falling?Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that? The Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s. U.S. Treasury Futures & Options Ticker: 6E Minimum fluctuation: 0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME:6S1!Short
by konhow
Dollar Decline Against All Major CurrenciesThe Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s. More recently, however, the Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that? Why have the USD/CHF and USD/SGD strengthened against the US Dollar over the past few decades? One reason is that both countries have managed their money supply with discipline. For example, as of end-2024, Switzerland’s net federal debt stood at 141 billion Swiss franc, their debt to GDP ratio at 17.2%. In contrast, the United States has expanded its national debt at an alarming rate. Some might point out that Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio is even higher—around 230%. That is why the Japanese Yen has also been in decline for decades. Why does printing more money through QE and increasing the money supply weaken a currency? Just imagine in a close economy with 10 people and 1 central bank. If the central bank printed $100 and distributed equally to the 10, each of them will receive $10 to buy 10 available cheesecakes. But now the central bank decided to print $1,000 and each person will have $100 to buy 10 available cheesecakes. The global economy is not a close, but an open system. When the US and other major economies printed massive amounts of money, they didn’t just inflate their own economies—they exported inflation worldwide. This contributes to rising cost of living not all around the world. In my view, Gold is also a currency pair against the US at the start of 1971. The moment dollar unpeg itself from gold, gold appreciates. With each QE, we can see how the currencies have diluted with gold and inflation appreciating over these years. Why different currencies have started to appreciate against the USD since January this year? We can see all the currencies have either reached its bottomed in January and started moving higher or it formed a reversal pattern like the Aussie dollar and the Dollar Yuan, in this case with this inverted hammer, it is indicating Dollar Yuan to reverse downward, meaning dollar coming off and yuan to appreciate. January was President Trump inauguration and February was when he rolled out tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China, and the market do not like that and has been selling the USD against the rest of the currencies? If US has printed the so much money, but why other than Swiss franc and Singapore Dollar, many other currencies have been depreciating against dollars over the past decades? I’d like to hear your thoughts on this. Euro FX Futures & Options Ticker: 6E Minimum fluctuation: 0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME:6S1!Short
by konhow
Swiss Franc Futures Decline Amid Weaker US Dollar:Market InsightThe CHF Swiss Franc futures pair experienced a decline to approximately 1.308 during the early European trading session on Monday. This weakening can be primarily attributed to the broad softness of the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure lately. After an initial reversal at the pivotal level of 108.000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to recover some ground, indicating a volatile session ahead for currency traders. Today's market attention is squarely focused on a series of significant economic events that could influence currency valuations. Notably, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech that many analysts anticipate will provide insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Given the current economic climate in Europe, her comments are likely to be closely scrutinized by market participants looking for hints on interest rate adjustments and other monetary policy considerations. Additionally, the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today is another critical data point that traders are monitoring. The PMI serves as a vital barometer for the health of the manufacturing sector, and its results can significantly sway market sentiment. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could lend support to the USD, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's cautious stance in recent months. A resilient manufacturing sector may fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, thus supporting the US dollar. As the market digests these developments, a bearish sentiment appears to be forming for the CHF futures pair. The combination of a weaker Swiss Franc and the possibility of a stable or strengthening US Dollar suggests that traders may be looking to position themselves for a further decline in the CHF/USD relationship. In the current environment of uncertainty and varied economic signals, currency traders must remain vigilant, ready to adapt to rapid changes that could arise from today's pivotal events. In summary, the interplay between the Swiss Franc and the US Dollar is accentuated by current macroeconomic factors, including central bank communications and key economic releases. With a bearish setup on the horizon and investors keenly anticipating these market-moving events, today's trading session promises to be both challenging and potentially rewarding for those engaged in forex trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about CHF Futures in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6S1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY USD vs EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHf JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 11-15th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF and JPY. The USD is strong and showing no signs of weakness. But price is at the highs, so there is potential for a pullback to start at any time. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 8-12th: FX PAIRS UPDATES!We are updating the Weekly Forecasts for FX Pairs I posted last Saturday. Click the link below to check out the video in case you missed it. Was the analysis accurate? Did we reach our targets? Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST June 8-12th Part 2: FX PairsThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast. In this video, we will cover: USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
2
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: UPDATES! DXY, EUR, GBP....Welcome to another Weekly Forex Forecast Update video. In this video, we will cover the forecasts given in the Weekly Forecast, and allow you to gauge the accuracy of the analysis. USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, NZD, CHF Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you! May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHFWelcome to another Weekly Forex Forecast. In this video, we will cover: USD Index EUR GBP AUD CAD NZD CHF Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you! May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
Swiss Franc Long IdeaA potential Long opportunity in Swiss Franc. The "Swissie" has tended to make a seasonal bottom in May and is currently bouncing of support (demand) on the weekly chart. The 4H chart then appears to show a potential accumulation schematic. The breakout above the range aligns with our bullish, seasonal bias as mentioned above. We are monitoring to initiate a long position if price pulls back into the range below 1.106. This would be a test of the schematic. If price trades below the Spring at 1.090, the idea is invalidated.
CME:6S1!Long
by DaXing
CHF - Futures - 14/5/20241. CHF - Swiss Franc COT Report: 58,283 net positions as of 04/30/24 - Yearly high Fundamentals: Swiss Central Bank Rates: 1.50% Positive CPI Report for CHF (Forecast 0.1%, Actual 0.3%) Negative USD Non-Farm Employment Change (Forecast 238k, Actual 175k) Summary: Recent downtrend following the Swiss Bank's interest rate reduction from 1.75% to 1.50%. Signs of potential CHF strengthening post Non-Farm Payroll week. Previous is the as the same trade but this is an update, We have entered long after last nights Core PPI news
CME_MINI:MSF1!Long
by insanemalin
Swiss Franc Long 4/19/24Last night, the Swiss Franc surged by over 100 basis points in response to an Israeli airstrike on Iran, causing ripples across the market. Despite the widespread apprehension, the Franc stood firm as a trusted safe-haven asset. Now, as risk appetite returns, we witness the market bouncing back. Over the past 24 hours, the Swiss Franc has demonstrated a consistent uptrend during both risk-averse and risk-on conditions. Moreover, it presently holds the distinction of being the most heavily crowded short trade globally. Should prices persist in their ascent, a significant number of short positions may be compelled to unwind, amplifying the Franc's ascent further.
CME:6S1!Long
by HashxCapital