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Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures

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MES1! trade ideas

The S&P Mini11 21 24 I spent a lot of time looking at bigger time frames on the S&P because they can show you very good reversal setups and they're clean. you can also find very good ABCD patterns that that you can miss on the lower timeframes. I would like to show you the detailson a four-hour chart and how you can stay out of trouble when this Market actually expanded which completely changes the way you should look at the market especially when you're trying to find trade location.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ScottBogatin
1
2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Bullish bias still. The reversal was nasty and we had a very strong close. We are in a nested expanding triangle and if bears are strong, market won’t get above 5950. If bulls do, we go 5980 and the bear trend line next. I lean bullish. Measured move up from today gets us close to the ath and it’s the third try bears tried to close below the 50% retracement and failed. Good chance today was bears giving up and we melt again to a new ath. If we drop below 5900 again, I am probably wrong and bears taking over again. comment : Nasty reversal and a good close by the bulls. Can expect follow through tomorrow above 5950 up tom 5980 and test the bear trend line. Above that we print a new ath. Best for bears would be to keep this below 5950 and then they have a chance of testing down to 5900 again. I have a heavy bullish bias going into tomorrow as long as market does not drop below 5900 much again current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 5900 - 6100 bull case: Bulls want to test the bear trend line around 5980 and go above 6000 again. They do need to break above 5950 first, which could be resistance due to the expanding triangle pattern but I doubt it. They kept the market 3 days in a row above the 50% retracement and I don’t think bears are strong enough to try a fourth time tomorrow. Measured move up from today’s reversal leads to around 6036. Invalidation is below 5900. bear case: Bears had an amazing sell off but bulls bought it big time. Technically this could be seen as a bear flag, but bears would have to keep the market below 5950 for that. That’s their first target and then getting below 5900 again. Since we are seeing big time buying below 5900 and the selling was mainly due to news, I don’t think bears are favored. Invalidation is above 5950. short term: Bullish. Probably more squeezing late bears tomorrow and I still do have unreasonable insane targets above 6100 that could be hit over the next days-weeks. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5855. Market printed a perfect inverted head & shoulders on the 1m tf, huge bull bars on a big volume increase. 3 almost too good to by true reasons to take the trade.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
S&P Mini11.19.24 the S&P is expanding to the point where it looks like it's going to be more tradable. a significant changes happened today. if I tried to scalp the market today I could have made money but it wouldn't have been much money because the market really didn't show the expansion until the last couple bars of the day and if I had used extensions to judge when to initiate a trade I wouldn't have gotten the signals based on the way the market was Trading. today I did a 40-minute video but I didn't have auditory. I don't have time to do another 40 minute video so I am posting this chart which will look different each day that I don't look at the market and I don't want to lose this chart because I will show you how the markets expand even further as I expect they will and how that will help me make a trade it's not only more reliable but more profitable. there's always guess work when you try to find an optimal trade location but if the Market's expanding is much easier by far to take a trade and also trade for bigger Rewards and that is what I think is happening here.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ScottBogatin
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #4 - ES ShortNice move for ES this morning up off the bottom end of the range. Now it's all the way back to the top. I expect a rejection here, but if it breaks at least I'll know it's time to exit shorts. Next upside target would be 5955. If it works out, downside target will be 5900 first and then we'll see if it can break any lower. Lots of things lining up to make this a great trade long or short. NQ is nearly the same chart not surprisingly. VX at critical support and the bottom end of its range too. I expect a move from here, liking the short side for now but that could change.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by AdvancedPlays