MNQ1! trade ideas
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025
📈19130 19280
📉18670 18520
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-04-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I always refuse to interpret more into trading ranges than necessary. We have nested triangles. Just wait for the breakout. I have a bad feeling for bears, since today’s bad news could not push markets down, always a bad sign for bears.
current market cycle: bear trend valid until bear trend line broken but trading range a bit more likely right now. At least on lower time frames.
key levels: 16000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls need higher highs above 19000 to test 19250 and then the huge buy climax at 19384. If they get it, that means the bear trend line is broken and the bear trend is over and we will likely see a short squeeze for the ages. Huge day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 18740.
bear case: Bears have to defend the bear trend line or they can just give up until we see 20000 or higher. Lower lows below 18600 would be a decent start tomorrow and next target then is 18750. Below is the elevator down to 18000 or lower. I would like a weekly close below 18000 very. much.
short term: Neutral 18900 - 19000. Invalidation prices for both sides are clear. Be patient and wait for the big breakout.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 overshot it by 1000 points. Now my bearish bias is gone and I will wait how this unfolds. Big uncertainty for this year but I think this selling is overdone and big bois are buying with both hands below 17000.
trade of the day: Shorting 19000 was good multiple times.
NQ Short (04-15-25)NAZ rejected at the Diablo, again. No Pass go Short and a passing of KL is a Long. 19,400 is the zone to watch, should the Overnight Magic Traders get the NAZ that high. If O/N can't do it I highly doubt the Reg Session will as it usually sells off. NAZ on the edge of the channel and has not done much since the 20 minute 2,000 point pop from Uncle Bunker.
NDX Update below
NQ: 171st trading session - recapWas definitely more into the market today than usual, which is really good.
I feel like I can get the bag with this. In theory it is really the simplest way to make money:
I got my strategy, follow it and execute your plan. I don't really know why I doubt myself and the plan I wrote down, it's perfect. Take your trades, get the funded account, and execute your plan on picture perfect setups. It is pretty simple, yeah. Lock in.
NQ Range (04-14-25)Will stay with Range and the Friday for Monday. The chart below is the NDX, red line is Diablo with yellow arrow, white arrow is Danger Zone. The move away from the DZ was a 20 minute 2,000 point move. One of the best U Turns in recent 5-10 years and well manufactured, to boot. Look at all Mega Cap Tech stocks, you can see they (major indexes also) are under a similar Trend Line. When the NAZ gets pinned between a Diablo TL & DZ, or U Turn needed support level, the games/tricks come out (like we are seeing now). Passing the TL (Diablo) up usually will take off like a rocket or snail lift for weeks (but will not drop). No pass and rejection will retest the DZ and look for anything to hold it (like a Friday- Monday sideways to Long). Under the DZ and we just keep dropping. Highly doubt the significant drop takes place as we are approaching "Buy in May and Go Away". Unless the old "Sell in May and Go Away" decides to return.
NDX
From down $300-400 to only -$30Today I took some L's early on and was down $300-400 I made it back with some plays that were decent but not A+ and I ended the day down $-30. I decided to stop trading for the rest of the day to save my mental capacity and preserve capital I missed an A+ Setup not long after but overall I am happy with that
NQ: 170th trading session - recapYurr, I'm back actually trading again. Last week was so bad because price action was SO UGLY AHHHHHH. It's still not ideal, especially on the higher timeframes, sh*t looks like a heart rate monitor.
But yk, I gotta start trading someday again yk.
Might aswell be now.
nasdaq rallies to 32kgood morning,
i don’t usually post publicly, especially not about the stock market, but today feels like the right moment. i wanted to share my updated outlook for the nasdaq over the next year or so.
this was originally a member-only idea i shared back in september. you can check out the original post here:
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the whole idea was based on a leading diagonal pattern, followed by a sharp wave 2 that resets sentiment and shakes out early optimism. this kind of move tends to scare most people out before the real run begins. from there, the setup calls for a parabolic wave 3 that carries us all the way to the grand cycle wave 5 target, around 32k (chart attached)
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the reason behind this move is actually pretty straightforward... a short squeeze into the end of the cycle, a weakening dollar, falling interest rates, looser tariff policy, and everyone’s favorite fuel: quantitative easing. while rates haven’t fallen yet and tariff policies are still tight, major shifts are on the horizon. i believe those shifts will trigger a parabolic rally.
and there’s one more catalyst behind this push, the ai boom. i believe artificial general intelligence will be cracked before the year is over, and the market is already beginning to price that in, starting now.
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Nasdaq Technical Analysis. What Makes Nasdaq a Trader’s Favorite📊 Nasdaq Technical Analysis – Week 15, 2025
This week’s Nasdaq structure suggests a high probability of sideways movement between 19,500 and 18,700,
despite recent macro-driven volatility.
Key headlines include: – U.S. tariff adjustments & China’s 125% retaliation
– March CPI hitting the lowest level since early 2021
– Bond market instability and capital outflows
From a technical perspective:
🔹 volatility on the weekly is overheated — suggesting reduced volatility ahead
🔹 Fibonacci 0.618 near 20,084 may act as short-term resistance
🔹 Ideal long zone sits between 18,600 and 18,700, with invalidation below 18,500
(by 12H closure)
🔹 Ideal long zone sits between 18,000 and 18,300, with invalidation below 17,900
(Just a touch of 17,900 might invalidate this idea)
This analysis includes trendline setups held since 2023, confirming the value of clean charting.
A full structure review from Yearly to 4H charts is included.
No news-based guesswork. Just structured, chart-driven insight.
📌 If this chart aligns with your bias, feel free to save, comment, or follow.