RTY1! trade ideas
Russell 2000 and 50DMA: The Mix for Explosive MovesWith fresh data on US GDP and inflation arriving over the next two days, Russell 2000 futures look interesting as they close in on the key 50DMA.
The index is testing minor resistance at 2312.8 in thin Asian trade, with the 50DMA not far above at 2323.5. The focus on the latter comes from its tendency to spark explosive moves once the price either breaks or bounces from it.
Over this week and last, bulls have repeatedly probed the level only to be thwarted by bears, painting a picture of a stalemate that may be eventually be resolved in a similar manner. The string of doji candles since only reinforces this view.
If we see a sustained break above the 50DMA, longs could be established above it with a stop either below it or at 2312.8 for protection. 2386.6—which has acted as both support and resistance previously—is one potential target. A break above that would put a retest of record highs on the table.
Alternatively, another rejection at the 50DMA would be a strong signal that a bearish bias may be warranted.
Mixed signals are emerging from momentum indicators, with MACD pushing higher while RSI (14) sits in a minor downtrend, though it’s threatening to shift higher.
Upcoming economic data screens as important for small-cap US stocks given their cyclical characteristics and reliance on capital markets for funding.
Good luck
DS
RTY Daily_BULLISH_+2,175 TicksThe RTY daily time frame is in an up channel. The
market is near the bottom of the channel. If support
holds, it is expected the market to push bullish towards
the top of the channel price point 2483.8 about +2,175
ticks above. As long as the market stays above the bottom
of the channel. It will be a good idea to turn to the one
hour time frame and to look for long ideas in the buy zone.
Rut forming cup and handle?So, Rut closed a nice cup, and might enter a consolidation period to form the handle.
anyhow, with the handle or not, its approaching strong resistance around 2450.
a break will be a nice move up with a possible target of around 3200 (which is 30% up).
Has anyone said Donald like the smbs? (:
Elliott Wave View on Russell 2000 (RTY) Calling to Resume HIgherShort Term Elliott Wave view on Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests rally from 8.5.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 2311.4 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 2198.51 like the 1 hour chart below shows. The Index then extends higher in wave 3 with internal subdivision as an impulse. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 2240 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 2203.3. Rally in wave ((iii)) higher ended at 2424.5 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 2386.5. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 2455.6 which completed wave 3 in higher degree.
Wave 4 pullback is in progress with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave (i) ended at 2425.9 and wave (ii) rally ended at 2449.7. Wave (iii) lower ended at 2396.3 and wave (iv) rally ended at 2413.8. Final leg wave (v) ended at 2391.4 which completed wave ((a)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((b)) ended at 2435.6. Expect wave ((c)) lower to end at 2330 – 2370 area to complete wave 4 in higher degree. From there, the Index can then see further upside or rally in 3 waves at least.
Russell 2000 On verge of breakoutof a continuation inverse head & shoulders
these projections are IMHO likely to be the final nail in the coffin for this massive bull run
one of the complaints from Analysts is the lack of breath in the market
well when the russell reaches these projections
these analysts will likely claim victory and say see NOW we have a real bull market
which is when you should be seeking shelter as when the last bears are bullish it means there is no one left to convince.
And after 16 years from the 2009 bottom would be a fitting end to the secular bull
With a Trump victory likely ..
The Dems will in all likelihood prefer to leave him a big mess to clean up than a booming economy.
Russell 2000 Rejects Demand Zone: Is It Time for Bullish Season?The Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for small-cap stocks, is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after testing a previous demand area. While many retail traders are still positioned for further downside, current market conditions suggest a possible contrarian opportunity for a long position.
Demand Area Rejection and Retail Sentiment
The Russell 2000 has recently encountered a strong demand zone that has historically acted as a reliable support area. The index's initial rejection from this level indicates potential buying interest, which could pave the way for an upward move. However, retail traders remain predominantly bearish, anticipating a continuation of the downtrend. This positioning often suggests that the majority expects more selling pressure, which could lead to a squeeze in the event of a reversal.
Why the Long Setup?
Contrarian Approach: When the majority of retail traders lean toward one side of the market, it often creates an opportunity to take a contrarian stance. With retail sentiment heavily skewed towards further downside, a long setup becomes increasingly appealing.
Historical Seasonality: Historical data over the past decade suggests a pattern of upward price movement for the Russell 2000 during this time of the year. The index has experienced notable gains in the fourth quarter in nine of the last ten years. This seasonal trend aligns well with the current technical setup, providing further confidence in a potential bullish move.
The Technical Picture
From a technical perspective, the Russell 2000 has shown resilience at the current demand zone, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. For a confirmed long setup, traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing or hammer formation, on the lower timeframes or even the daily chart. This would provide confirmation that the reversal is underway.
Let’s see how the index performs over the next few sessions. Keep an eye on key levels, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!