DXY - soon to the longWe are currently withdrawing liquidity that has accumulated over a couple of years and will go to close the gaps at the top
USXUSD trade ideas
DXY - Monthly - ShortWe have reached the FVG Monthly, which we have been striving for more than two years.
Dollar under pressure, is the bear trend gonna end soon?President Trump's aggressive tariff implementations, particularly on electronics and critical imports, have introduced volatility into U.S. markets. These measures have led to decreased investor confidence and capital outflows from U.S. assets, contributing to the dollar's weakness.
There's growing concern among global investors about the reliability of U.S. economic policies. A Bank of America survey indicated record pessimism towards U.S. assets, with over 60% of fund managers anticipating further depreciation of the dollar.
The Trump administration's economic approach, informally dubbed the "Mar-a-Lago Accord," aims to deliberately weaken the dollar to boost U.S. exports and reduce trade deficits. While this strategy seeks to make American goods more competitive, it risks destabilizing global financial markets and undermining the dollar's reserve currency status.
Differences in monetary policies between the U.S. and other major economies have widened. While the Federal Reserve has been cautious with rate cuts, other central banks, like the European Central Bank, have been more aggressive, making their currencies more attractive to investors.
In all these Chaos can dollar bounce back?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 99.23—down about 1.5% over the past week and roughly 4% lower so far in April, its worst monthly performance since mid‑2022
That 99.0–99.5 zone lines up with both the April swing lows and the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart—classic territory where “oversold” signals often lead to a rebound.
The 14‑day RSI is hovering near 30, the canonical “oversold” threshold where prior rallies have begun
Markets now price in three rate cuts by year‑end, a sharp turn from December’s hawkish Fed rhetoric. If the Fed leans dovish in the May minutes, yield differentials could narrow—supporting a dollar bounce
Heightened trade‑war uncertainty (tariffs on critical minerals, spiking gold) often drives investors back into dollars as a haven—another buffer at current lows.
Technically the chart is still bullish on daily and certainly near the support zone, both scenario are in play for now, if it continues to drop sharply towards 96 then it may totally reverse back to 107.
Considering Dollar bottom is near we can plan a swing trade with a huge potential, with awesome risk and reward.
Good luck trade safe.
DOLLAR INDEXThe Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance in April 2025 is characterized by a cautious, data-dependent approach amid mixed economic signals and heightened uncertainty, particularly due to the impact of tariffs and trade tensions.
Key Points on the Fed’s Monetary Policy This Month
Interest Rates: The Fed has maintained the federal funds target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, holding steady without changes in April. The Committee is carefully assessing incoming data before considering any adjustments to rates.
Balance Sheet Reduction: Starting in April, the Fed slowed the pace of its balance sheet runoff by reducing the monthly cap on Treasury securities redemptions from $25 billion to $5 billion, while maintaining the cap on agency debt and mortgage-backed securities at $35 billion. This move smooths the transition from abundant reserves but does not signal a change in the overall policy stance.
Economic Outlook and Risks:
The economy continues to expand modestly with a solid labor market, but inflation remains somewhat elevated above the 2% target.
The Fed acknowledges increased uncertainty due to tariffs, which may simultaneously slow growth and push inflation higher, creating a challenging policy environment. Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the potential conflict between the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability in this context.
The Fed is prepared to adjust policy as appropriate, depending on how economic data evolve, but currently prefers to "stand pat" and await clearer signals on the economy’s response to tariffs and other factors.
Inflation and Employment: Inflation is gradually declining but remains above target. The labor market is solid but expected to soften somewhat due to slower growth and tariff effects, with unemployment forecasted to rise modestly over the next year.
Forward Guidance: The Fed’s communication emphasizes patience and data dependency, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for May 6-7, where further policy decisions will be evaluated based on new economic information.
Summary
Aspect Current Fed Stance (April 2025)
Federal Funds Rate Held steady at 4.25%–4.50%
Balance Sheet Reduction Slowed Treasury runoff to $5B/month
Inflation Elevated but gradually declining
Labor Market Solid but expected to soften
Tariff Impact Significant uncertainty; potential stagflation risk
Policy Outlook Patient, data-dependent; no immediate rate changes
Next FOMC Meeting May 6-7, 2025
In essence, the Fed is maintaining a modestly restrictive monetary policy stance this month, balancing between controlling inflation and supporting employment amid trade-related uncertainties. It is closely monitoring economic data before making further moves, signaling readiness to adjust policy if risks to growth or inflation intensify.
DXY AMD ANALYSIS AMD concepts per ict
CISD on the monthly level
Weekly imbalance respected
Displacement
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal
April 20 Analysis
Monday created the weeks low which was then taken on Wednesday.
Price created the high on Tuesday.
Thursday Price in a deep discount from previous day and taking sell side liquidity. Price takes minor buy side and rebalances previous days inefficient delivered price, price closes in a consolidation in a discount.
*Last weeks highlight Price took key lows from July 2023 and rebalanced a BISI from April 2022.
April 20 week ahead
Bias is bear
I would not be surprised if price stays in a tight trading range this week. Price is in a deep discount. I could see Price seek higher prices in the beginning of the week. My longer term idea is for Price to take the noted key equal lows and rebalance 4 hour FVG before I suspect for the DXY will seasonal shift to seeking higher prices.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (103.300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (101.700) Day / Scalping trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💸💵DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DXYDollar needs more correction before downside.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
NEW WORLD ORDER BLUEPRINT : THE GRAND DESIGN I have said everything in prior posts
but this analysis dates to ray dalios hegemony video
looks like this is the time
so dxy will rebound in value good news will spur the economic tank willthen crash trump vs powell you cant rig the economy couple this with the bad after taste of tariffs negative sentiment from the world no one coming to sretch their hand out then boom
ni hao wo jiao Lao Ban Muji, wo ai bin qili
ai, shuo, follow
zaijian
USDX in danger ! Usdx or Dxy or Us dollars index in dangrous position .. it needs to reverse soon.
Im not sure what is the impact of further decline but seriously it will be harmfull . !
I forcast the positive vision .. otherwise ....!!!!!!
DXY Analysis - MORE DOWNSIDEHere is my analysis on the DXY (US Dollar Index).
Basically, I'm expecting lower prices. Now i'm just waiting for more information on the daily and sub-daily chart to guide me in the right direction.
- R2F Trading
Dollar Index - Further Capitulation On the Horizon?It's like a gaping wound that refuses to heal, spewing blood everywhere!
Dollar index has been falling like a ton of bricks from the beginning of this year with little to no signs of retracing back into equilibrium and the question to ask yourself is.... will the 90-day ban restore dollar index above the 100 mark?
Or will be continue to see risk on scenarios?
DXY update.
WEEKLY TREND IS SUPER BEARISH.
1D swing , and 1D fractals both structures are bearish.
in 2h tf -> price gave 1st fakeout then took out liquidity, and later it gave
fractals shift .
So to conclude:
I'm BULLISH in XXX / USD pairs and vice versa.
Dxy monthly analysis The dollar will fall to unprecedented levels due to several stupid policies, in addition to the US debt disaster. This is a medium- and long-term analysis using Elliott Waves, in addition to expected liquidity zones. Finally, I would like to ask: Is this the end of the dollar with China's increasing rise, or is this the beginning of preparations and selling by the major players in preparation for World War III, which will occur in 2027 or perhaps sooner?
I've Cracked the BULLISH Code in Dollar IndexDollar Index is setup for longs based on COT and other fundamental underlying conditions.
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 99.390 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 99.627 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY zoomed outBear Flag with price target breaking larger bear flag. Could this actually mark the dollar top for a long time?
Not financial advice
DXYElement: Details
Trend: Bearish on Daily
Bias Zone: Resistance at 100.160 (Monday high)
COT Timing: Tuesday close used for sentiment anchor
1H Pattern: M-Pattern confirming rejection
Target: 99.200 (Monday low - key support)
Outcome: Target hit on Wednesday
Altseason and a Weak Dollar — Will History Repeat in 2025?The altseason of 2017 started at the same time as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) began to fall. This likely helped bring more money into the crypto market. In 2020–2021, a similar thing happened: the falling dollar was followed by a strong rise in altcoins. But that time, altseason started closer to the end of the dollar’s decline.
A weaker dollar makes risky assets like crypto more attractive. In April 2020, the total crypto market cap was around $218 billion. Today, it’s about $2.63 trillion — around 12 times bigger.
However, to start a new altseason now, the market may need a lot more cheap money than in 2020. I’m not sure if the 2025 altseason can be as strong as in the past.
Now it seems that the only way to repeat that success is if a big part of the capital moves from Bitcoin into altcoins. This would need a sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance. But this brings new questions. After the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, the ownership structure has changed. Many people now own Bitcoin through investment funds, not directly. These funds may not be very excited to invest in altcoins.
What do you think about it? Share your opinion in the comments.
USD index bearish trendThe analyst expects the correction to end when the USDX reaches a value of 101.800. This is the predicted target for the end of the "C" wave of the correction. Once the index hits 101.800 (according to this analysis), the correction is expected to be complete, and the USDX may then resume its previous (likely upward) trend.
In short: The USDX is expected to fall to 101.800 to finish a temporary price dip (correction) that's shaped like an ABC pattern.
DXY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 99.408.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 101.388 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXYBased on 6 consecutive bearish Commitment of Traders (COT) the US Dollar Index (DXY) is exhibiting a sustained bearish momentum, potentially indicating a decline in the US dollar's value relative to other major currencies.
