USXUSD trade ideas
USD Week 3 of Gains - 23.6% Fibonacci RetracementThis week has been the third consecutive week of gains for DXY and this comes in stark contrast to the bearish trend that drove price in early-April trade. This week was of course a lift from the FOMC rate decision, and next week brings inflation back to center-stage with the Tuesday release of CPI.
In DXY, we've only seen a mere 23.6% retracement of the 2025 sell-off so this move is still very much in the early stages. We also can't rule out sellers taking another shot here, as the oversold RSI reading from a few weeks ago often doesn't mark the exact low - because trends can usually take some time before they actually turn.
What will probably weigh on the matter is EUR/USD and whether a larger pullback can show there, but for now, it's the 1.1200 handle that's led to a bounce for this week. In DXY, there's key support at 100.22, 100 and then 99.18 for bulls to defend into next week. And key resistance is around the 102.00 handle in DXY. - js
My Thoughts #004My thoughts are that the pair will buy...
The daily trend is very much bearish and with trend once it have made a new low(LL)
We need to see it printing a new High(LH)
Confirmation??
I see a Choch and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the new High(LH)
The pair might just sell
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Analysis of the DXY's Trend and Operational SuggestionsDuring today's US market trading session, from a technical analysis perspective, on the daily chart level, the stochastic indicator forms a death cross and diverges downward, which is undoubtedly a strong bearish signal. In terms of the K-line pattern, the current price continues to be under pressure from above, and the overall trend is weak. At the 4-hour level, the stochastic indicator also forms a death cross and points downward. The K-line presents a horizontal consolidation pattern in the shape of a straight line. This pattern usually indicates that the price is accumulating downward momentum, so it can be regarded as an important basis for bearish sentiment under pressure. By comprehensively considering the technical indicators of various cycles and the K-line pattern, the current market is clearly under the dominance of bears, and its weak characteristics are fully manifested.
The DXY encounters strong suppression at the mid-axis position of the daily chart, and the suppression effect is significant. Combining the current market environment and technical trends, it is expected that the DXY will continue its downward trend, and its subsequent performance remains pessimistic.
DXY
sell@99.700-99.500
tp:99-98.500
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EU SHORTS FOR TODAY___ Mount Olympus Capital says.I am looking for a short on the EURO. Price showing clear signs of bearish orderflow and structure with and signatures (accumulation manipulation and distribution).
Looking to target previous day and Asia session low!
LETS GET IT! and safe trading everyone.
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 100.036.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 100.899 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY (US Dollar Index) – Bullish Setup📊 DXY (US Dollar Index) – Bullish Setup from FVG & Trendline Confluence
Price tapped into a well-defined Fair Value Gap (FVG UP) aligning with bullish trendline support. I'm anticipating a small retracement toward the 99.88–99.81 area before continuation upward.
📍 Entry Zone: 99.88 – 99.81 (FVG + Trendline)
🛑 Stop Loss: 99.71
🎯 Target (TP): 100.32
📐 RR: Approx. 1:3
Confluences:
Bullish market structure
FVG filled & respected
Ascending trendline support
Liquidity taken below previous lows
🔔 Watching for bullish reaction after the minor pullback for confirmation.
DXY: Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Friday, the U.S. Dollar Index fell by 0.3% and closed at 100.338. If the U.S. Dollar Index drops below the support level of 100.20 - 100.40, it is likely to retreat to the 50-day moving average of 99.81. In terms of trading operations, one can try to open a short position with a small position near 100.40, and at the same time, pay attention to the U.S. economic data and the dynamics of trade policies.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.80-100.40
TP:99.50-90.00
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"DXY is building a textbook bullish flag — here’s exactly where For Traders (technical + confident)
DXY bulls gearing up for a double-leg rally”
1. Context & Market Structure:
After a sharp impulsive drop (green falling wedge), DXY has begun corrective accumulation in an ascending channel.
Current price 99.531 is consolidating inside a broadening bullish flag pattern.
Key Zones:
Major supply zone: 100.500 – 101.000 (highlighted yellow box)
Short-term resistance: 99.700
Short-term support: 98.8Projected Path (2 bullish legs):
First push (red path): Minor pullback → break to ~100.100
Second push (blue path): Consolidation → breakout towards 100.500–101.000 (target zone)
00–98.500
Bias:
Short-term bullish → Targeting supply zone around 100.5–101.0
Invalidation level: Clear break below 98.500 (would negate bullish setup)
>
Trade Idea:
Buy on dips within the ascending flag, targeting 100.100 and 100.500
Watch reaction near supply zone for possible reversal or continuation
US INDEX (DXY) TIME TO BUY !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this chart created a harmonic pattren and it crystal clear showing the levels till it hold above our design Stop Loss Trade War Talks and NFP results with slowing down the inflation shows us that $ will recover from this zone if not break SL make a proper research befor taking any trade we appriciate your cooments and support us Stay Tuned for more updates ...
Dollar Plunge To 97.921: Trump’s Tariff Tsunami Erodes DollarDollar Index fell to 97.921, its lowest since April 2025, as Trump’s aggressive tariffs on critical minerals and China trade retaliation spooked investors.
Analysts warn the dollar’s status as a reserve currency is under threat, with foreign holdings of U.S. assets declining sharply.
However in the short-term, dollar might see appreciation up into premium PD arrays, namely the weekly fair value gap outlined.
A Brief Summary of Trump's 100 Day and Effects on U.S. EconomyOverview
In the 2024 campaign, Donald Trump proposed an aggressive "America First" economic agenda. His key proposals centered around four pillars: tariffs and trade, tax policy, energy and environment, and regulatory changes . These proposals built upon his first-term policies but were more sweeping and intense.
Key Proposals
1. Tariffs & Trade
Universal import tariffs of 10–20% across all goods.
60% tariffs on Chinese imports , plus targeted tariffs on Mexico and Canada (linked to immigration and drug policy).
Threatened reciprocal tariffs and 100% tariffs on BRICS nations .
Proposed tariffs on U.S. companies that offshore production.
2. Taxes & Fiscal Policy
Make all 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent (individual, corporate, estate taxes).
Lower corporate tax rate to 20% or 15% for domestic production.
Expand tax credits for “ Made in America ” goods, SALT relief, caregiver and overtime pay.
Analysts estimate a $5–11 trillion reduction in federal revenue over a decade due to these cuts.
3. Energy & Environment
Rescind Biden-era climate regulations, including EPA emissions standards and clean-energy mandates.
Repeal unspent Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funds, ending subsidies for EVs, solar, wind, and batteries.
Open federal lands and waters for fossil fuel production, aiming to boost oil output by 3 million barrels/day .
4. Deregulation & Crypto
Slash regulations in energy, finance, and technology sectors.
Promote crypto: proposed a government Bitcoin reserve and replacing SEC leadership.
Vowed to cut federal bureaucracy and fast-track project permitting.
Projected Economic Impact (2024–2026)
GDP Growth
Analysts predict modestly slower growth under Trump.
High tariffs may reduce long-run GDP by 6% and wages by 5% , per Penn Wharton Budget Model.
Tariff effects are projected to outweigh gains from tax cuts and deregulation.
Employment
Slower GDP growth would moderate job gains.
Tariffs could hurt export industries and raise input costs.
Deregulation and tax incentives may support hiring in energy and construction.
Inflation
Most economists agree Trump’s tariffs would raise consumer prices.
Combined with deficit-financed tax cuts, inflation could rise 4–7 percentage points above baseline by 2026.
This would likely delay or reverse Fed rate cuts.
Interest Rates
Rising inflation would pressure the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer.
Bond markets have already priced in higher yields in response to Trump’s proposed tariffs.
Stock Market
Markets initially rallied on tax and deregulation hopes.
Bitcoin hit all-time highs; S&P 500 surged post-election.
However, trade war fears caused sell-offs in early 2025, especially in tech and consumer sectors.
Business & Consumer Sentiment
Business leaders expressed concern over trade uncertainty.
Consumer polls show widespread fear of rising prices.
CEO confidence rose post-election due to expected pro-business policies, despite tariff concerns.
Summary Outlook
GDP growth expected to slow below the ~ 2.8% pace of late 2024.
Inflation likely to climb above 3% , driven by tariffs and fiscal stimulus.
Interest rates may remain high due to inflationary pressures.
Markets may oscillate—rallying on tax cuts but reacting negatively to trade disruptions.
Overall effect is mixed: pro-growth tax cuts and deregulation may not fully offset the drag from trade and inflation risks.
Sources
Tax and Fiscal: Tax Foundation, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB)
Trade and Tariffs: Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Penn Wharton Budget Model
Energy and Environment: NPR, Thomson Reuters, Hoover Institution
Macroeconomic Impact: Hoover Institution, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Peterson Institute
Market Reaction: Reuters, ABC News, AP, Bloomberg
Sentiment Surveys: PwC, Conference Board, PBS, ABC/Washington Post
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, the DXY was quoted at 100.0471. Technically, the index is in a downward channel. Focus on the resistance level of 100.8500. If it breaks through this level, there is a good chance of an upward movement; otherwise, it may test the recent low point. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to mainly take short positions during rebounds. Trade with a small position size and also pay attention to the changes in economic data and the trade situation.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.5000-100.2000
TP:99.5000-99.0000
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DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you.
Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 101.267
Support: 96.00
💬 What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics.
DXY Chart Breakdown:
The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level
of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently
stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850.
Impact on Currency Pairs:
A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets:
• XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline
as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s
increased value.
• USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to
climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency.
Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies.
Effects on Major Indices:
The strengthening dollar has broader market implications:
• SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines.
• NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due
to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms
with global revenue.
However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects,
supporting both indices.
Conclusion:
The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs
downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face
headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role.
Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits.
Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Today, the 4-hour chart of the DXY shows a volatile downward trend, and it is currently testing the support area of 99.40 - 99.30. Overall, it remains in a downtrend. Pay attention to the resistance near 100.00 above and the support near 99.00 below. Wait for a rebound and then go short.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.00-99.80
TP:99.00-98.80
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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