USXUSD trade ideas
DXY Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 100.428.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 102.304.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Do Not Be Fooled TVC:DXY is not truly weak. Over the past 2 months the only thing mainstream Fin Media has been talking about is how Dollar value is plummeting and while I do not debate the merits o that I do take contention with the idea that this means the DXY Will KEEP going down significantly from here. From a pure TA perspective DXY is simply in a consolidation phase with a high level volatility which did not begin with the recent drop in March. I began watching DXy like a HAWK in November 2024 and for anyone who has not, the extreme volatility began then with DXY going on a rally from Nov 24 to feb 25. The move from Mach until now has been simply another leg of vol extension. This is important to realize because the volatility now points to higher levels of it eventually returning and when that happens I predict it will take the form of an explosive impulse to the upside based on the long term inverse head and shoulders pattern coupled with the near textbook bull flag pattern
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis weekโs trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!๐๐๐
This week, the DXY was quoted at 100.0471. Technically, the index is in a downward channel. Focus on the resistance level of 100.8500. If it breaks through this level, there is a good chance of an upward movement; otherwise, it may test the recent low point. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to mainly take short positions during rebounds. Trade with a small position size and also pay attention to the changes in economic data and the trade situation.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.5000-100.2000
TP:99.5000-99.0000
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
๐ ๐ ๐ Obtain signals๐๐๐
DXY Expected to Decline TomorrowDXY is expected to decline tomorrow, with potential for a maximum rise to the 101 resistance area accompanied by upper shadow formation.
A rising wedge pattern has formed, with stochastic in the overbought region, and there's a possibility of rejection at the dynamic resistance level.
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 100.036.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 100.899 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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A Brief Summary of Trump's 100 Day and Effects on U.S. EconomyOverview
In the 2024 campaign, Donald Trump proposed an aggressive "America First" economic agenda. His key proposals centered around four pillars: tariffs and trade, tax policy, energy and environment, and regulatory changes . These proposals built upon his first-term policies but were more sweeping and intense.
Key Proposals
1. Tariffs & Trade
Universal import tariffs of 10โ20% across all goods.
60% tariffs on Chinese imports , plus targeted tariffs on Mexico and Canada (linked to immigration and drug policy).
Threatened reciprocal tariffs and 100% tariffs on BRICS nations .
Proposed tariffs on U.S. companies that offshore production.
2. Taxes & Fiscal Policy
Make all 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent (individual, corporate, estate taxes).
Lower corporate tax rate to 20% or 15% for domestic production.
Expand tax credits for โ Made in America โ goods, SALT relief, caregiver and overtime pay.
Analysts estimate a $5โ11 trillion reduction in federal revenue over a decade due to these cuts.
3. Energy & Environment
Rescind Biden-era climate regulations, including EPA emissions standards and clean-energy mandates.
Repeal unspent Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funds, ending subsidies for EVs, solar, wind, and batteries.
Open federal lands and waters for fossil fuel production, aiming to boost oil output by 3 million barrels/day .
4. Deregulation & Crypto
Slash regulations in energy, finance, and technology sectors.
Promote crypto: proposed a government Bitcoin reserve and replacing SEC leadership.
Vowed to cut federal bureaucracy and fast-track project permitting.
Projected Economic Impact (2024โ2026)
GDP Growth
Analysts predict modestly slower growth under Trump.
High tariffs may reduce long-run GDP by 6% and wages by 5% , per Penn Wharton Budget Model.
Tariff effects are projected to outweigh gains from tax cuts and deregulation.
Employment
Slower GDP growth would moderate job gains.
Tariffs could hurt export industries and raise input costs.
Deregulation and tax incentives may support hiring in energy and construction.
Inflation
Most economists agree Trumpโs tariffs would raise consumer prices.
Combined with deficit-financed tax cuts, inflation could rise 4โ7 percentage points above baseline by 2026.
This would likely delay or reverse Fed rate cuts.
Interest Rates
Rising inflation would pressure the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer.
Bond markets have already priced in higher yields in response to Trumpโs proposed tariffs.
Stock Market
Markets initially rallied on tax and deregulation hopes.
Bitcoin hit all-time highs; S&P 500 surged post-election.
However, trade war fears caused sell-offs in early 2025, especially in tech and consumer sectors.
Business & Consumer Sentiment
Business leaders expressed concern over trade uncertainty.
Consumer polls show widespread fear of rising prices.
CEO confidence rose post-election due to expected pro-business policies, despite tariff concerns.
Summary Outlook
GDP growth expected to slow below the ~ 2.8% pace of late 2024.
Inflation likely to climb above 3% , driven by tariffs and fiscal stimulus.
Interest rates may remain high due to inflationary pressures.
Markets may oscillateโrallying on tax cuts but reacting negatively to trade disruptions.
Overall effect is mixed: pro-growth tax cuts and deregulation may not fully offset the drag from trade and inflation risks.
Sources
Tax and Fiscal: Tax Foundation, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB)
Trade and Tariffs: Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Penn Wharton Budget Model
Energy and Environment: NPR, Thomson Reuters, Hoover Institution
Macroeconomic Impact: Hoover Institution, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Peterson Institute
Market Reaction: Reuters, ABC News, AP, Bloomberg
Sentiment Surveys: PwC, Conference Board, PBS, ABC/Washington Post
DXY:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This weekโs trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Recently, the economic data of the United States has shown mixed performance. The non-farm payrolls added in April were higher than expected, but the data for March was revised downward, and the number of initial jobless claims also exceeded expectations. Overall, the U.S. Dollar Index still has a trend of fluctuating. Pay attention to the resistance level of 100.3742 above and the support level of 99.2702 below. In terms of trading operations, it is mainly advisable to take short positions on rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.3000-100.0000
TP:59.5000-59.0000
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
๐ ๐ ๐ Obtain signals๐๐๐
Bearish forecast for DXYWith regards my previous forecast, we have a strong reaction from Weekly and daily premium arrays.
On the weekly TF, we have IOFED of the SIBI and BSL above previous 2 weeks' highs was taken.
Tf: time frame
IOFED: Institutional Order Flow Express Entry Drill
SIBI: Sellside Imbalance, Buyside Inefficiency.
BSL: Buy side liquidity
DXY Bearish Forecast for Quarter 2, 20251. Technical analysis
The idea is based in ICT's PO3; AMD pattern.
We have a rally above the open price of May 2025, to take out BSL above the highs.
It also aligns with Daily tf premium arrays to short from.
The lowest hanging fruit being the relative equal lows at equilibrium of the dealing range.
2. Fundamental analysis
Investor's confidence in the Dollar is low due to POTUS' tariffs.
ICT: Inner Circle Trader
PO3: Power of 3
AMD: Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution
BSL: Buy side liquidity
tf: Timeframe
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps strengthening
These last days and the index
Has almost reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 100.500
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish pullback and
A local move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDX,DXYUSDX price is near the important support zone 98.23-97.75. If the price cannot break through the 97.75 level, it is expected that in the short term there is a chance that the price will rebound.
**Very Risky Trade
๐ฅTrading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck ๐
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Dxy bullish idea for next week - MMBMThis is a bullish possibility for DXY price action for next week.
Monthly:
- Price took a swing low confluent with a bearish breaker in discount and closed above the level;
Weekly:
- Price Took a swing below monthly swing with a bullish reaction. If this week closes with above previous weeks high, it confirms a bullish weekly swing;
Daily:
- Monday printed the likelly low of the week
- A daily fair value gap is open allow with a volume imballance around monday open signalling bullish price action - a retrace to these levels would be a good buying opportunity.
4h:
- there is a market maker buy model in play.
- as of now, price already printed an intermidiate term low signalling that low risk buy myght have happened.
News forecast:
- I expect NFP to either retrace price to daily fvg or daily volume imbalance and leave a bullish reaction.
- FOMC next week might bring the volatility to complete the mmbm
Thank you for reading
Bearish Crab Pattern Will Start from 100.7The dollar index has retreated from 100.7, a movement potentially correlated with a bearish crab pattern observed in market analysis.
Further observation is warranted to confirm the validity and predictive power of this pattern in forecasting future dollar index fluctuations.
"DXY Dollar Index" Market Bullish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the "DXY Dollar Index" Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (100.400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
๐I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss ๐: "๐ Yo, listen up! ๐ฃ๏ธ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout ๐. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to ๐, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like ๐คช - just don't say I didn't warn you โ ๏ธ. You're playin' with fire ๐ฅ, and it's your risk, not mine ๐."
๐ Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (99.000) Day/swing trade basis.
๐ SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 102.300
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธ"DXY Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .โโโ
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐บ
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ๐๏ธ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ