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NDQ100 trade ideas

NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025 Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize. this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes. this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
FX:NAS100Long
by vbaichand10
Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone. From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone. Key levels: Resistance: 19,371.9 Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920 Potential strategy: Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370–19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias. Key Observations: 1. Retracement and Institutional Support: Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely. 2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone: Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order block—a zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zone’s validity as institutional support. Trading Plan: We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside. Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 19,189.77 1st Support: 18,580.75 1st Resistance: 20,258.77 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
Are You Ready For Nasdaq Next Flight ? 500 Pips Waiting For Us !Here is my opinion on Nasdaq , i think we have a very good closure and we can say we will go up for sometime in the next few days , so i`m waiting the price to go back to my support area ( Lower One ) that already broken , and then we can enter a buy trade and targeting 500 pips . also if the price touch the higher place and give me a good bullish price action , we can enter a buy trade with small lot size and if the price go to the lower one we can add one more contract .
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
Is a reversal about to happen?Hello, traders Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle. If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below). If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H). Trend remains down. Entry 19300 TP 18300 below Target 14k.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JuliaKathleen
NAS100 - Stock Market Waiting for a New Stimulus?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index continues to move upwards towards the specified supply zone, one can look for further Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, financial markets experienced a brief sigh of relief as U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to ease tensions by signaling a limited retreat in the tariff war with China, sparking hopes for reduced friction. However, this optimism quickly faded once it became clear that Trump’s retreat was neither substantial nor impactful. From Beijing’s perspective, the trade war has transcended economic concerns, becoming an issue of national pride and sovereignty. As a result, China, the world’s second-largest economy, is not retreating as easily as Trump anticipated. This stance has evolved into a significant challenge for the White House. U.S. officials indicated that tariffs of 145% could be reduced within two to three weeks if an agreement is reached. Nonetheless, according to Chinese authorities, negotiations have yet to even begin, raising doubts about Trump’s negotiation tactics. Additionally, other concessions, such as reducing tariffs on American automakers, remain uncertain, and Trump has even threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian car imports. This environment not only fails to clarify U.S. trade policy but also deepens uncertainty for domestic businesses. Although the White House claims it is monitoring markets closely and Trump is eager to strike deals with key partners, these assurances have not alleviated concerns about the future of the U.S. economy. In the upcoming week, critical economic data could either intensify or ease current worries. On Tuesday, the Consumer Confidence Index for April and the JOLTS job openings data for March will be released. The highlight, however, will be the preliminary estimate of GDP growth, scheduled for Wednesday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.2% annualized contraction in the U.S. economy for Q1 2025. Meanwhile, a Reuters survey of economists projects a modest 0.4% growth rate, a significant slowdown from Q4’s 2.4% growth. Accompanying these reports, the ADP private-sector employment data and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be published. The core PCE for March is expected to show a monthly increase of 0.1% and an annual rise of 2.5%, down from 2.8% previously. Personal spending is anticipated to maintain its 0.4% monthly growth, reflecting resilient household expenditures. Additionally, on Wednesday, the Chicago PMI and pending home sales figures will be released. Thursday will bring the Challenger layoffs data for April, but market focus will be on the ISM manufacturing PMI, expected to drop from 49 to 47.9. The week’s main event will be Friday’s release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Forecasts suggest job growth will slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3%.If NFP and PCE data come in weaker than expected, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in June could intensify, although the likelihood of a cut in May will remain low. Such data would likely be bearish for the U.S. dollar but could support equity markets if recession fears do not dominate sentiment. Some Federal Reserve officials have suggested that if economic conditions deteriorate significantly, rate cuts could start as early as June. Currently, the Fed has maintained high rates to combat inflation but may lower them to support growth and prevent a sharp rise in unemployment if necessary. Trump’s trade wars pose a dual risk of increasing inflation while hurting employment, complicating the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. Presently, the Fed is in a “wait-and-see” mode, but several officials indicated last week that cuts could begin if economic data worsens. Beth Hammack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, told CNBC on Thursday that the Fed might lower rates starting in June if signs of economic weakening due to Trump’s sporadic tariffs appear. Christopher Waller, a Fed Board member, stated on Bloomberg TV that he could foresee rate cuts if the labor market collapses but does not expect such a scenario before July. On Thursday, Waller remarked, “It would not be surprising to see an increase in layoffs and a higher unemployment rate, especially if major tariffs return. I would expect faster rate cuts once signs of severe labor market deterioration emerge.” These comments highlight the Fed’s current dilemma as it awaits clearer evidence of significant economic fallout from Trump’s trade wars. The Federal Reserve’s mandate is to maintain low inflation and unemployment levels. Its primary tool, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs across the economy. The Fed can stimulate growth by lowering rates or curb inflation by raising them. Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs present the risk of simultaneously driving up inflation while damaging employment, forcing the Fed to prioritize which challenge to address first.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity Within Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, On NAS100USD, the current market structure is clearly bullish. To capitalize on this momentum, we aim to align our intraday opportunities with the prevailing trend. At present, price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG), presenting a potential high-probability zone for a bullish reaction. Upon receiving confirmation, this setup offers a favorable opportunity to enter long positions, with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool situated above. Key Focus: Structure: Bullish Entry Zone: Fair Value Gap (retracement) Target: Overhead liquidity pool As always, ensure confirmation before executing any trades, and remain disciplined in managing your risk. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders! As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week. Key Observations: 1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity: The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance. 2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity: Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone. Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium. 3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps: With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling. Trading Strategy: Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones. Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NASdaq_ Bullish trendline check and breakoutToday the Nasdaq made a Bullish trendline check and breakout to the up-side. Looks to be a sustainable rally. Also the Ichimoku is breaking out on the daily. If you have hedge positions this the potential BULL rally you might need to manage those position through. Seems we are lining up for good news, Bullish narrative: Ukraine mineral deal, May 06-07 interest rate cut, trade deals with India, Japan, Italy Australia, Mexico, Russian Ukraine peace deal. after that who knows
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by wolffarchitecture
2
Breakout or Rejection at Key ResistanceSupport and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 19,856.6 is a key level where the price has recently been rejected. Support: 19,146.4 is a major support, with an intermediate level at 19,516.0 acting as a pivot point. Trend and Structure: The price has broken a descending trendline (white dotted line), suggesting a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Currently, the price is consolidating between 19,516.0 and 19,856.6, indicating indecision. Indicators: EMA 200 (Daily): The price is below the EMA 200 (19,856.0), indicating that the long-term trend remains bearish until the price sustains above this level. Fibonacci: The 138% / 50% Fibonacci retracement level (18,950.0) has acted as support in the recent past. Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks and holds above 19,516.0 with volume, it could target the resistance at 19,856.6. A confirmed break above 19,856.6 (with a close above the EMA 200) could signal bullish momentum toward 20,000 or higher. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 19,516.0 and breaks lower, the next key support is at 19,146.4. A drop below 19,146.4 could push the price toward 18,950.0 (Fibonacci level). Recommendation: Long Entry: Wait for a confirmed break above 19,516.0 with a strong close and volume. Target: 19,856.6. Stop-loss below 19,400.0. Short Entry: If the price rejects 19,516.0, consider a short with a target at 19,146.4. Stop-loss above 19,600.0. Monitor volume and price action near the EMA 200 for trend confirmation. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Adjust based on your strategy and risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
Bullish bounce?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 18,908.67 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 18,461.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 20,200.53 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by VantageMarkets