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Nasdaq 100 under pressureAfter the Nasdaq 100 fell by more than 3% in the week ending Friday 21 November, the index may extend those losses in the coming days. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 has been trading in a downtrend. Momentum has weakened, as indicated by the relative strength index (RSI), which formed a bearish divergence from mid-September when it began making a series of lower highs while the Nasdaq 100 itself made higher highs. Currently, the RSI is around 43, indicating that the Nasdaq 100 is not yet oversold and may have further downside potential. However, after trading along its lower Bollinger Band last week, the Nasdaq 100 yesterday recovered some of its recent losses and rose above that lower band. The index broke above resistance at 24,500 early on Monday and went on to pierce the 10-day exponential moving average near 24,700 as it climbed to 24,870 by Monday’s close. Whether this proves to be a temporary rebound remains to be seen, but for now the next significant resistance level is around the trendline near 25,000, followed by the 20-day moving average near 25,250. Despite yesterday’s bounce, there has been considerable technical damage to the Nasdaq that needs to be repaired if the index is to make further gains. In the near term, the prevailing trend is likely to remain bearish. A break below 24,000 could set the stage for a decline towards 22,700. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:NDAQ100
by CMC Markets
NAS100 (Buy)All trades and analyses presented here are based on the **Smart Money Concept (SMC)**. These analyses reflect only my personal perspective on market structure and price behavior, with charts clearly illustrating the details. The main purpose of sharing this content is strictly for **educational purposes** and to exchange personal experiences in trading. ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This content does not constitute financial advice, investment signals, or any guarantee of profitability. Financial markets inherently involve risk, and losses are possible. Each individual is fully responsible for their own trading decisions and outcomes. It is strongly recommended to consult with licensed financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
FX:NAS100Long
by Farzad4x
1
NAS100 at Crossroads: Bulls Eye 25K Breakout or Pullback Trap?Spot Price: 24,875 | Session: London-NY Overlap | 09:43 UTC+4 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔎 Market Structure Overview Price action on NAS100 reveals a consolidation phase following last week's bullish momentum. The index is currently hovering near a critical demand zone, with buyers defending the 24,800 handle aggressively. On the higher timeframes, the trend remains intact, but shorter intervals suggest a potential retracement before continuation. 📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 5M & 15M: Minor bearish divergence forming on RSI as price prints higher highs while momentum weakens. Watch for a pullback toward 24,820 for scalp entries. 30M: Price respecting the ascending trendline from Friday's lows. A breach below 24,790 invalidates this structure. 1H: Ichimoku Cloud providing solid support – Tenkan crossing above Kijun signals short-term bullish bias. 4H: Bollinger Bands tightening, hinting at an imminent volatility expansion. VWAP anchored at 24,850 acting as intraday pivot. 🧠 Technical Confluence Zones Key Resistance: 24,950 – 25,020 (psychological barrier + prior swing high) Key Support: 24,780 – 24,720 (demand cluster + 50 SMA on 1H) ⚡ Pattern Recognition A potential ascending triangle is developing on the 30M chart, with horizontal resistance near 24,920 and rising lows. A decisive breakout above this ceiling could trigger acceleration toward 25,050. Conversely, failure at resistance may initiate a corrective wave toward the 24,700 region. 📐 Wyckoff & Elliott Perspective Current price action resembles Phase C of accumulation under Wyckoff methodology – a spring or shakeout below 24,800 would confirm smart money absorption before markup. From an Elliott standpoint, we appear to be completing wave (iv) of a larger impulse sequence, with wave (v) extension targeting 25,100+. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 Trade Setup – Intraday Long Entry Zone: 24,820 – 24,850 (on pullback to demand) Stop Loss: 24,740 (below structure invalidation) Take Profit 1: 24,950 (initial resistance) Take Profit 2: 25,020 (extended target) Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 🎯 Alternative Setup – Short Scalp (Counter-Trend) Entry: 24,940 – 24,960 (rejection at resistance) Stop Loss: 25,010 Take Profit: 24,850 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ Risk Note: Monitor US economic calendar for potential catalysts. Thin pre-holiday liquidity could amplify volatility – adjust position sizing accordingly. Trade wisely. Protect capital first. 💼
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
NAS100 Future | The Bullish Liquidity RuTrading isn't about chasing green candles; it's about anticipating where the "smart money" needs to go to fill their orders. On this NAS100 1H chart, we are stalking a potential Bullish Model #1 setup by waiting for price to revisit the discount zone. Here is the CRT (Candle Range Theory) breakdown of the projected path: 1. The Trap: Turtle Soup at CRTL 🐢 The chart projects a drop below the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 24,664. This is the classic "Turtle Soup" mechanic. The Logic: As the book states, "Turtle Soup is when the market tricks traders by briefly breaking through a level, then reversing". The Goal: Smart money needs to "run stops... below old lows" to accumulate a long position. We want to see price stab this low to trap late sellers. 2. The Confluence: Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🧲 Notice that the sweep of the lows aligns perfectly with a Bullish FVG (the grey box). Why it matters: "When Model #1 appears with an FVG... it becomes even more powerful". This gap acts as a magnet to pull price down before the real expansion begins. 3. The Objective: CRTH 🎯 If the trap is set and price reclaims the level (confirming the reversal), the draw on liquidity becomes the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,307. The Cycle: Market moves from range to manipulation (Turtle Soup) to trend. The target is simply the opposing side of the range. 🧠 Trader's Mindset: "Patience is your greatest trading asset". Right now, the chart suggests we are in the waiting phase. Do not try to catch the falling knife. Wait for the sweep of the CRTL, look for the strong reaction (Model #1 confirmation), and then execute. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Candle Range Theory concepts for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Next Step: Set an alert at 24,720. Are you watching for the sweep or buying the dip early? Let me know your plan below! 👇
VANTAGE:NAS100FTLong
by MrYounity
NASDAQ Analysis – Accumulating at Resistance With Bullish CorrelThe Nasdaq is currently accumulating right beneath a key resistance zone, showing strength despite last week’s volatility. A positive factor heading into today’s session is Bitcoin’s strong weekend recovery — a move that often correlates with green momentum in equity markets, especially tech. If the Nasdaq manages to break this resistance with conviction, price could push toward the 25,000 trendline during the week, as we are still roughly 2.5% below that level. The ideal scenario would be: A strong breakout, A clean retest of the broken resistance acting as new support, and A controlled long-position continuation toward 25,000. As long as accumulation holds and risk sentiment stays positive, the bias remains bullish — waiting for confirmation and a structured entry.
FX:NAS100Long
by Dan-Goldfx
NASDAQ Analysis – Recovery Expected After an Overextended DropYesterday’s sharp Nasdaq drop was surprising, especially considering Nvidia’s exceptional earnings, renewed confidence that we’re not in a bubble, and the strong labor data from NFP. Under normal conditions, the market would likely have reacted with a 2%+ rally. However, investors are now pricing in the idea that the Fed will not cut rates in December, which created fear-driven selling and an exaggerated move to the downside. Today, I would like to see a relief recovery, as the index has started to form a double-bottom pattern, a typical structure before liquidity grabs to the upside. If confirmed, price could push back up to take out recent highs. Historically, after large impulsive drops, the stock market tends to open in green, as investors take advantage of discounted prices. If momentum shifts, the Nasdaq could quickly reclaim lost ground.
FX:NAS100Long
by Dan-Goldfx
2
NAS100 – Strong Order Block Explained | High-Volume Breakout & CA Strong Bearish Order Block formed on NAS100 after a powerful bearish Marubozu breakout candle, showing clear displacement and confirming aggressive institutional selling pressure. 1. Large Breakout Candle (Marubozu) A strong bearish candle broke through previous structure with real displacement. This is the first sign of a valid Order Block — a move driven by actual institutional flow, not just a liquidity sweep. 2. Clean Imbalance (IMB) Created Right after the breakout, price left behind a clean Imbalance. This IMB highlights urgency and confirms that big players were actively pushing the market. 3. Price Returned to the Strong Order Block After the breakout, price slowly retraced back to the origin of the move — the Strong Order Block. Once price tapped the OB, it reacted sharply and immediately moved lower, showing that institutional sellers were defending this level. 4. Volume Confirmation Volume during the breakout was significantly higher than average. This reinforces that the move was driven by institutional order flow, not retail traders. 🔑 Key Takeaways This setup is a textbook Strong Bearish Order Block, meeting all core criteria: Clear displacement Clean Imbalance formation Strong volume confirmation Price returning to the OB and reacting decisively A high-probability bearish setup built on structure, volume, and institutional footprints.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by VNShark-OB
1
NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'. Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000. Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026? --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
USNAS100: Key Breakdown Levels Ahead — 24150 Next?USNAS100 | Technical Overview The Nasdaq index continues to show weakness below 24460, keeping bearish pressure dominant in the short and medium term. Technical Outlook As long as the price remains below the pivot line at 24460, the bearish momentum is expected to continue toward 24150. A break below 24150 opens the door for a deeper move toward 23930. If the market closes a 4H candle below 23930, this will confirm a stronger bearish trend targeting 23700. On the other hand, bullish momentum will only be activated if the price closes a 1H or 4H candle above 24760, which would signal a reversal toward higher levels. Key Levels Pivot Line: 24460 Support: 24150 · 23930 · 23700 Resistance: 24580 · 24760 · 25200
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi