XAUUSD 3265: Bull-Bear Lifeline! Next Week's Trend PredictionFrom a daily chart perspective, overnight, the price of gold rebounded after hitting the bottom and closed with a bullish candlestick 🌞. However, on the 1-hour chart, the moving averages of gold have formed a bearish crossover pattern and are arranged in a downward trend for bears 📉. Moreover, this pattern will eventually continue to diverge downward. Currently, the price of gold has been suppressed and pulled back near the level of 3265 ⚠️. It can be seen from this that the area around 3265 will still be a crucial turning point determining the bull-bear trend of the gold price next week ⚡. Join 👉
In the latter part of the night, although the price of gold rebounded to some extent, compared with the previous decline range, the rebound strength is indeed limited 📉↗️. Looking ahead to next week, if the gold price fails to break through the resistance near 3265, then the market will most likely only maintain a volatile pattern at best, and it is less likely for the bulls in the gold market to achieve a direct reversal in the short term 📊. Investors should focus on the resistance at 3265 above and the strong support at the key level of 3195 below 🔍.
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GOLD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
Gold Update – Complex Correction or Impulsive Reversal?
Price action has invalidated the prior Zigzag count. We are now tracking two scenarios:
White Path: The structure continues as a complex WXYXZ correction, with Wave Z still to come.
Yellow Path: A sharp rally may signal the start of a new impulsive Wave 1.
Key resistance is in play. Watch for reaction and divergence signs to validate either case.
Stay flexible and let the structure confirm the path.
Gold still has the potential to extend to 3420-3430.Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision;
Technical aspects:
Gold rose to 3397 and encountered resistance and fell back, and the bulls' momentum was insufficient. But I think the gold bulls are far more than that. Gold is bound to hit 3400, and even continue to the 3420-3430 area; since gold rebounded after hitting 3200, it has repeatedly built a solid bottom structure support below, and the oscillating rise has effectively supported the continued rebound of gold. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support structure also gradually moves up. The current short-term support is in the area around 3380-3370, and the second is in the area of 3365-3355.
Trading situation:
According to today's trading strategy: Go long on gold at 3350 in the morning and around 3375 in the afternoon. In order to lock in profits in time, manually close orders at 3366 and 3394 respectively. Today, the total profit in gold long transactions exceeded 360pips.
Trading strategy:
During the rising shock, there are profit opportunities for both long and short parties in some areas, but currently, overall, bulls have the advantage and are mainly long gold. Consider the opportunity to go long when gold falls back to the area around 3380-3370, TP: 3400.
Gold has rebounded in place, go high today firstAfter the gap at 3438 in the early trading, the market crashed and plunged. So far, the long target of 3440 has been achieved! China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Spot gold plunged more than 60 US dollars from 3438 US dollars in the early trading, and it should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the early high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise once it breaks through 3500, it will definitely break, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. At present, while paying attention to the Sino-US tariff talks, the global geopolitical situation should also be focused on: the focus is on the India-Pakistan conflict, the population of the two countries is close to 1.7 billion, and it will be terrible if the situation gets out of control; then the Russia-Ukraine stalemate, the US-Iran crisis, etc. are positive for spot gold, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision tomorrow morning also needs to be paid attention to. Today, China announced the spot gold reserve data. Long and short news hit the market in turn, and it is expected that there is a high probability of continued large sweeps within the day, and the overall trend is short within the day! The market fluctuates greatly and the rhythm is fast. There are opportunities for both long and short positions, and strict loss-taking operations! The first resistance above is the 3405 area, then the 3415-20 area and the early high of 3438 area, which can be used to short spot gold; the support below is 3350-55, then 3320-25
Has the road to gold adjustment begun?Gold has reached a high of around 3404, so this position can be used as an important pressure point. In this continuous upward trend, once there is a sharp decline, it is likely to be a signal that the short-term bulls have peaked. Then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure point is also the high point of the last wave of pullback near 3393, and the lower support is at 3360.
Trading idea: short near 3387, sl: 3400 tp: 3370
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone (30m Chart)Price has tapped into a strong demand zone around 3,218 – 3,233, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. After a sharp decline, buyers are stepping in, indicating possible upward momentum.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: Around 3,233
• Stop Loss: Below 3,218
• Take Profit: Targeting the 3,293 – 3,295 resistance zone
• R/R Ratio: Approximately 1:2+
Structure supports a bullish move after market broke downward momentum and found support. Expecting price to retrace toward previous structure highs or resistance.
Trade idea based on:
• Demand zone reaction
• Bullish price action confirmation
• Clean R/R setup
Always follow your own analysis and risk management.
Buy@3200With gold approaching the crucial 3,195 support mark, let's wait for the rebound.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Gold Bullish Crab PatternThe potential surge in gold prices is being closely monitored, particularly as buyers exhibit a notable interest around the significant Fibonacci golden level at a price point of $3220.
This level serves as a crucial indicator for market participants, suggesting that a breakout could lead to substantial upward momentum.
XAU/USD:Short-term range tradingThe international geopolitical situation has suddenly escalated, triggering market risk aversion and pushing up the price of gold. Today's interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve and Powell's speech will dominate the trend of the bullish and bearish sides. During the Asian trading session, the price of gold has fluctuated sharply. Be wary of a significant pullback after a moderate rise. If the key resistance level of $3400 cannot be broken, the probability of a short-term peak will increase greatly.
In terms of operation, avoid chasing high prices. Focus on the impact of the interest rate meeting on the real interest rate and the US dollar index. Buy on dips within the range of $3360-$3400 and sell at high levels to hedge risks.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
New York market XAUUSD trading opportunities.The 3400 position has been broken. Short-term bulls are still strong. The swing buying we executed all day today has made continuous profits. Such one-sided market conditions in trading have good profits. But the premise needs to be executed. This requires execution and courage.
Teacher Ludvig pointed out that the probability of reaching the target 3440 before tomorrow's London market is more than 90.36%. So this is a good buying opportunity for traders who don't know how to trade now.
The precise trading points are released in the Swing Trading Center. If you don't know what to trade now. Then you can refer to it.
Control trading risks according to the capital situation when trading.
There's still a little more left to sip from gold’s cup
Weekly Outlook on Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold has formed a classic cup pattern on the weekly timeframe, indicating a strong bullish continuation setup. If the pattern completes successfully, we could see a move toward the top of the channel, targeting the 4039 – 4100 zone.
The recent pullback to 3208 was a retest of the previously broken daily structure, acting as a healthy correction before the next potential leg up.
For those looking to enter this move, an ideal strategy would be to place a buy stop order above the last high, as a breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Important note: If the black trendline on the daily chart (which represents the current bullish structure) gets broken to the downside, the trade setup would become invalid and a reassessment would be required.
✅ The best approach is to wait for a clean breakout above the 3495 resistance, then look for a pullback entry on lower timeframes with proper risk management.
📉 In the longer term, we still expect a potential retracement all the way back to the 2199.661 level — so be aware of the bigger picture and adapt as the structure evolves.
XAU/USD... gold 1h chart pattern.Technical Analysis
1. Trend Overview:
Uptrend Momentum: The market is currently showing bullish strength. The price has broken above key resistance levels, confirming upward momentum.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: A structure of higher highs and lows supports the uptrend scenario.
2. Entry Point: 3313
This level may have been a breakout point or a retracement zone (e.g., 38.2% or 50% Fibonacci level) acting as a confirmation of bullish continuation.
If volume increased at this level, it adds confidence to the entry.
3. Target Point: 3500
The target suggests an upside potential of +183 pips, which is significant.
This level might align with a major resistance zone or a psychological round number.
4. Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3313 (entry), followed by 3280 and 3250.
Gold Rejection at Channel Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play"
🔍 Analysis Summary
Current Price: \~\$3,266
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): \~\$3,277 – price is slightly below this level
EMA 200 (Blue): \~\$3,180 – acts as a dynamic support
Trend Structure:
Previous Uptrend: Sharp bullish move within a rising wedge (now broken)
Current Pattern: Descending channel or flag-like consolidation after the strong bullish trend
Support Level: \~\$3,175–\$3,180 (highlighted zone with green arrows showing bounce)
Resistance Level (Target 1): \~\$3,277–\$3,300
Target Point: \~\$3,356
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price bounced off strong support (around EMA 200 + horizontal level).
If price breaks above the descending channel and retests resistance, it could aim for **Target 1 (\~3,300) and possibly reach **Target Point (\~3,356)**.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above descending channel resistance could lead to a retest of the support zone.
If support breaks, the next possible stop could be below the EMA 200, triggering deeper correction.
🧠 Trading Idea
Buy Entry: On confirmed breakout above descending channel.
Target 1: \~3,300
Target 2: \~3,356
Stop Loss: Below \~3,175 support
XAU/USD – Precision Bounce + Fade Strategy | May 5, 2025Gold remains in compression after last week’s decline. We're watching for a morning rebound from the $3,230–$3,235 support base, followed by rejection near $3,290.
This dual execution plan allows for intraday profit on a bounce and tactical re-entry for the larger structure fade.
Goodluck.
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
Gold shorts coming?
Gold broke through and fell sharply, hitting the lowest level of 3200, breaking the previous shock pattern.
Friday's non-agricultural data was unexpectedly negative, and the rebound was under pressure at the top and bottom conversion level of 3268. The daily line closed with a cross K, and the overall shock remained.
Driving logic changes, and the impact of the tariff war weakens
The tariff tension that pushed gold to 3500 in the early stage has gradually eased, and the market focus has shifted to the Fed's policy.
The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed, and the non-agricultural data is strong, which strengthens the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and gold is under pressure in the short term.
ETF positions continue to decrease. The world's largest gold ETF has continued to reduce its positions since it peaked on April 22, reflecting the bearish sentiment in the market.
Technical analysis
The daily structure, the cross K followed by three consecutive negatives, is usually a signal of continued decline. Combined with the bearish fundamentals, the probability of downward movement is relatively high.
The adjustment is not over yet, and attention should be paid to whether 3160 (61.8% golden ratio) can form support.
Short-term trend
The hourly chart rebound is weak, and the 100-day moving average continues to be under pressure, and the trend is still bearish.
Key positions and operation strategies
Pressure level: 3268-3275 (top and bottom conversion position), the extreme pullback does not break the 3280 watershed.
Support level: 3222-3224 (short-term support), break down to the 3200 mark, further target 3160.
Strategy:
Short at the beginning of the week based on the 3275-3268 pressure level, stop loss above 3280, target 3220-3200.
If it falls below 3200, follow up with short orders to 3160; if it stabilizes, observe the reversal signal.
Summary
Gold is dominated by shorts in the short term, and the operation is mainly rebound shorting, focusing on the Fed's policy expectations and the performance of the key support of 3160.
XAUUSD: 1/5 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3283, support below 3167
Four-line chart resistance 3283, support below 3200
One-hour chart resistance 3243, support below 3200
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of the 3250-65 area above, and continue to be bearish if it rebounds during the day. The support below is around the 3200 integer mark and 3167. The short-term long-short conversion position is in the 3260~3265 area. You can buy after it stabilizes.
Sell: 3283near SL: 3287
Sell: 3243near SL: 3248
Sell: 3200near SL: 3205
Will gold fall if the Fed remains on hold?In its latest resolution, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain interest rates unchanged, but it also warned of "increased risks of rising inflation and unemployment" in a rare move. This statement indicates that the Federal Reserve is facing the most complex policy choices in recent years: on the one hand, there is high inflationary pressure, on the other hand, there is a potentially deteriorating job market, and the Trump administration's tariff policy casts a shadow on the economic outlook. Will the interest rate cut that the market expects come as expected? How long can the Fed's "wait-and-see" strategy last? I think the next window for the Fed to cut interest rates will not appear until September or later. The Fed itself expects only two interest rate cuts this year, while the market expects three interest rate cuts.