Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250507Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250507
GOLD trade ideas
Gold fluctuates and tests new high again!Gold surged and then fell back, and the pattern needs to be sorted out; the stochastic indicator crosses at a high level, and runs downward, the indicator and the pattern resonate and adjust; the top and bottom conversion below, the support point of the sideways rise is in the range of 3380-3370; if it falls back and keeps going down, then the main trend is to pierce the trend and fall back to the range of 3390-3200; the range span is relatively large! In terms of short-term operation ideas, according to the suppression near 3440, the short-term correction is expected; the support position below is near 3290 and 3205; there are many short-term cards; deal with it according to the range;
Gold takes a big dive, what happens next?Breaking news, China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Gold plunged more than $60 from $3438 in the Asian session, and should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the Asian session high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise it will definitely break once it breaks through 3500, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. Gold started to retrace from 3438 in the Asian session. It is currently expected that the Asian session will stop falling at the support area of 3350. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the gold weekly line will form an evening star pattern. Once the evening star structure is formed, gold will most likely confirm that it has peaked in stages, and will experience a large-scale retracement in conjunction with the weekly top divergence! However, the daily trend is relatively repeated, so we still need to focus on the impact of news on the trend!
Gold began to smash the market in the Asian market, and the speed was too fast. Now the first wave of decline of 3360 is basically in place, and the next rebound focuses on the vicinity of 3400, which is the 61.8% position of the golden section of 3438-3360. Some news in the market dominates the long and short positions, and the trend is not like usual. Continuous rise or fall, most of the time, the news dominates the rise and fall in one day. So the performance of gold price is very eye-catching! Liquidity is high enough, and it started to adjust and fall today.
There is a reason why gold fell sharply by $60 in the Asian session. Technically, the price rushed up and approached 0.809, so with the opening of the Sino-US dialogue, risk aversion will also cool down. On the disk, the price rushed up and fell in the Asian session, and the price just returned to the 5-day moving average of the 720-minute chart, so there was a rebound, but the strength of the rebound was obviously weakening. The price was suppressed when it was on the five-minute line, so if the second wave of long orders is entered, it should be on the four-hour line. As for shorting, the price is back to the inside of the channel, so the rebound cannot be too high. If it is given to 3430 again, it will form a shock, so the corresponding pressure is here at 3397 and 3405. For today's market, it is destined to be not calm, and there will be huge fluctuations up and down. The key support below is 3352, followed by 3320. The current market sentiment is complicated, and geopolitical risks and long profit-taking coexist. In the short term, we need to be vigilant about the risk of technical correction.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3400-3405, and the lower short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3350-3300.
Golden strategy:
Range buying: 3345-3340, SL: 3335, TP: 3365-3375
Range selling: 3400-3405, SL: 3415, TP: 3385-3375
Key points:
First support: 3345, second support: 3340, third support: 3330
First resistance: 3400, second resistance: 3405, third resistance: 3415
Gold Market Opens with Imbalance Sweep at 3390sGold market opens the session by sweeping imbalance at 3390s, setting up momentum for a bullish hedge toward the 3450s zone. watch closely as price structure aligns with bullish sentiment. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOD BUY GREAT TUESDAY
Greetings traders this is my analysis on gold and its a long for buy
Technical analysis of gold
informatoin ; Head and Shoulders
this pattern is now even more clearly presented with.
Head_ a higher peak (higher high)
Left shoulder_a weaker atempt recover , which confirms the loss of bullish strength
Usually, such a pattern is followed by a corrective move downwards (which has already been partially see)
potential trend change zone
Highlighted support in zone
3345_3325 usd _very imortant for confirming the bullish scenario.
the shown ''bounce zone'' suggests a possible purchase if the price bounces from this area
predicted path expected
fall to support (around 3345_3325 USD
Conclusion and strategy
Scenario 1(main) buy zone between 3357 3335 if price action signal is seen (pin bar engulfing
TARGET 3500+
Stoploss: Bellow 3300 support
Scenario2 (riskier) : If price does not bounce from that zone possible further deepening towards 3250 3215
Dear Traders like comment let me know what do you think
XAUUSD Hi,
The Price was in an UPTREND before settling for consolidation, The moving Avarage is sloping downward, which indicates POTENTIAL REVERSAL.
We can only have a BULLISH CASE if the price breaks above the CONSOLIDATION RANGE with strong BULLISH CANDLESTICKS.
If the Candlestick Patterns show LONG RED BODIES it suggests STRONG SELLING PRESSURE , But if they begin forming HIGHER LOWS $ HIGHER HIGHS it will then be indicating BUYING PRESSURE.
Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels , We Identified KEY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS, where price might REVERSE or GAIN STRENGTH. The common Levels 38.2 % , 50 % and 61.8% .
if the price retraces to the 38.2% level and bounces , it suggests BULLISH CONTINUATION
if the price drops to the 61.8% level it's a stronger SUPPORT ZONE , indicating POTENTIAL BUY PRESSURE.
A break below 61.8% may signal FURTHER DOWNSIDE.
The pattern formation like DESCENDING CONTRACTING TRIANGLE, FALLING CHANNEL and FALLING WEDGES indicate SELL ENTRIES.
OVERALL we are still on Consolidation and expecting to hit $3292 and then Experience a MINOR MELTDOWN TO at least $3193 and only then we will decide on where the market is headed to.
Will be back with FURTHER UPDATES.
Gold sellIn my opinion, there is a lot of liquidity in gold at the bottom, and currently, by collecting liquidity at 42, a very good short trade can be made on its re-fall.
Trading Performance Review🎯 April 4 – May 3 | Trading Performance Review
Over the past 30 days, I executed 146 trades with a data-driven strategy focused on risk-adjusted returns and quantitative consistency.
🔍 Performance Metrics:
Total Trades: 146
Win Rate: 70.55%
Winning Trades: 103
Losing Trades: 43
Profitable Days: 22 / 30
No-Trade Days: 2
Winning vs Losing Trade Ratio:
✅ Winning Trades: 70.5%
❌ Losing Trades: 29.5%
Daily Outcome Distribution:
🟢 Profitable Days: 73.3%
🔴 Loss Days: 20%
⚪ No Trade: 6.7%
📈 This outcome reflects a strategy rooted in structured risk management, discipline, and probability-based execution — not impulsive decisions. Each trade was placed with purpose, not emotion.
With every data point, my trading edge sharpens. The goal remains the same: consistent performance through controlled risk and strategic action.
Progress is not measured by the number of trades, but by the quality of each decision.
The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate!
After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3260-3270
TP:3230-3240
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Gold weekly outlookUsing Fibs and regression trend channel, we should see a continuation to the downside with a possible buy in the fibs buy zone potentially rising towards the sell zone.
Latest gold price range: 3230-3270Latest gold price range: 3230-3270
Important news:
The non-farm payrolls data released on Friday was strong: the next rate cut by the Fed may have to wait until July at least.
If the employment data is strong again in the future, the timing of the rate cut may be further delayed.
After the release of the non-farm data last night, the gold price fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate.
At present, the gold price is under pressure at the 3270 line and has fallen back, so the area near 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears next week.
If the gold price is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will fluctuate at most, and the gold bulls will not reverse directly and easily for the time being.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the non-farm market has basically ended, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of the 3270 line, with a focus on 3300.
From a technical point of view, the gold daily line shows a bottoming rebound trend, and the price forms a short-term support in the 3230 line area.
Upper pressure: 3270-3300
Lower support: 3220-3230
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260-3270 next week, stop loss 3270, target: 3240-3230-3220.
2. Long gold near 3220-3230, stop loss 3210, target: 3240-3260. If it breaks through, continue to hold;
[ TimeLine ] Gold 5-6 May 2025📅 Today is Friday, May 2, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
May 5, 2025 (Monday) or
May 5 & 6, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has undergone a significant reversal of over 2000 pips, from its ATH of 3500 down to 3200
⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels
✅ I will personally be trading both signals as part of my research and ongoing strategy
⚠️ If you're risk-averse or uncertain, it’s okay to skip the May 5–6 signals
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the selected candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart)
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, including a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If SL is hit, cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x/C5zZyXar/
Gold Buy after NFPIt can be seen that gold when nfp has decreased but the buying power on gold is still strong, my prediction is that gold can still make an increase.
SL: 3230 (300 pips)
TP: 3290
Gold - Descending Channel in Daily TimeframeGold is trading in a descending channel, breakout from this channel will further determines price direction.
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
XAUUSD Gold Trade Setup – Buy & Sell Zones | 2H Chart AnalysisThis XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 2-hour chart analysis outlines a short-term swing trading plan using key supply and demand zones. Price has reacted from the Buy Zone (3197–3216) and is showing signs of bullish reversal. The target is the Sell Zone (3347–3363).
✅ Trade Plan:
🔽 Buy Entry:
Zone: 3,197 – 3,216 USD
Trigger: Bullish candle breakout above the falling trendline
Confirmation: Retest of breakout with bullish price action
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3,302 (mid-range level)
TP2: 3,347 (Sell Zone bottom)
TP3: 3,363 (Sell Zone top)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below 3,190 or latest swing low
🔼 Sell Setup (optional):
Zone: 3,347 – 3,363 USD
Look for bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top)
Target retrace back to 3,302 or 3,260 area
Gold tests resistance: Will the correction continue?Gold is currently retesting a former support level, which has now turned into a significant resistance zone.
I expect a continuation of the decline. It looks like the commodity market may face a broad-based pullback, partly due to the strengthening DXY.
I don’t see this correction as a trend reversal — rather, it’s a natural move after a strong rally.
So, if you're considering short positions, caution is advised.
I'm expecting the price to move toward the area of 3100-3125.
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3259.47 which is a pullback resistance aligning close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3170.07, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3343.42, an overlap resistance.
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Gold starts a unilateral decline?
📌 Gold information
U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in midday trading due to disappointing U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the crucial monthly employment report. This is likely to be the most important U.S. data point so far this year.
In other news, Dow Jones News Service reported: "Tariffs are beginning to bring pressure, prompting the Eastern giant to increase stimulus to support economic growth.
📊Comment analysis
For international gold, what you need to do now is to follow the market. Don't think about bottom fishing. You can do a short-term rebound during the day. When the market has clearly broken the structure, you should choose to believe in the technical side, rather than speculate on the next support. This will only be endless. At this stage, if you fail to bottom fishing, are you still ready to try again near the integer of 3200? This is not over yet. Even if it falls below 3200, the 3180 horizontal support will be immediately below.
This round of decline is about to completely give up the second rise in the front end, depending on 3180. This is why I just said that 3200 will immediately encounter a new support. The reason why many people choose to go long above 3240 is also because it is the first stage of the high platform of the front-end surge, and it is necessary to defend. Unfortunately, the defense is not successful now. In other words, if you want to go short next, you have to look at the continued decline. What are the characteristics of the continued decline? You certainly can't tolerate it having an excessive rebound, so don't think about any high-altitude trading strategy.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3230 points, and the profit target is around 3200 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold 4H – Big vs Little: The Conflict That Created ClarityJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Reclaim (Early March) — Entered just after price bounced from the 200 EMA. Both systems aligned: Big Brother reversal and Little Brother trend crossover. I trusted the signal and it ran clean.
⛔ False Top (Late March) — Big Brother printed a red arrow under resistance. Little Brother still looked bullish, but I paused. That caution kept me out of the trap.
✅ Re-entry Confirmation (Early April) — Green triangle fired again after a textbook pullback. Bullish volume returned, and Little Brother confirmed. I re-entered long.
⛔ True Top (Mid-April) — Volume faded. Big Brother gave a second red warning. I exited longs here — structure rolled over fast after that.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed (May 1–2) — The flush sealed it. Both systems aligned bearish. Structure broke. No more guessing — this trend has shifted.
This is how I trade with conviction. Tools don’t replace decisions — they sharpen them.
GoldXAUUSD
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Waves
- Break of Structure
- Descending Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Support Level
- Fibonacci Level - 50.0% / 61.80%
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesYesterday, catalyzed by the ADP and GDP data, gold rebounded. However, today the United States and Ukraine reached an agreement, and the Trump administration hinted at a possible reduction in tariffs on some trading partners. The market's expectation for the relaxation of the trade situation has increased, leading to a decline in the safe - haven demand for gold. Currently, the key support level has been broken. The support at 3,260 has turned into resistance, and the important technical support below is at 3,220. Above this level, a rebound can be expected. If 3,220 is broken, the strong support at 3,200 will be the next target. But before it is broken, it is advisable to go long. There will be important data such as the non - farm payrolls released on Thursday and Friday. Do not blindly chase the short - side.
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