GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📈 During the Asian session open, gold showed a strong bullish reaction, confirming a resumption of upward momentum.
📐 The breakout of the trendline and reclaim of prior levels indicate a clear exit from consolidation.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🚀 This bullish impulse could now push gold towards new all-time highs, with targets above $3,500.
🗓 On Wednesday, Jerome Powell will speak – a potential rate cut is on the table, which could weaken the dollar, but might also hurt gold short-term if markets anticipate a rebound in growth.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟩 FVG 1H & OTE: Recently tapped, offering short-term support.
🟦 FVG 4H: A broader liquidity zone that has now been broken through.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 A pullback to the 1H OTE may occur to grab liquidity before continuation.
📈 If Asian market flows remain strong, gold could continue its momentum towards $3,500 and beyond ahead of the FED speech.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: High-impact event.
💸 Interest rate decision: If a cut is confirmed, gold may temporarily retrace despite a bullish longer-term outlook.
🌍 Asian session flows: Still favorable to gold, with visible liquidity spikes at session open.
✅ Conclusion
👉 The bullish recovery is now technically confirmed, with a clean structure and strong reactions at key zones.
📍 Levels to watch:
OTE + FVG 1H
The $3,500 mark
Powell’s speech as a primary macro catalyst
🔎 For now, gold remains well-supported during Asian hours, reflecting continued investor interest in uncertain times.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTESThe chart you've shared shows a recent trade setup on the Gold Spot vs. US Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Entry Point: Around 3,364.090
Stop Loss: Approximately 3,373.217 (red zone)
Take Profit / Target: Around 3,332.672 (green zone)
Result: The trade reached the target successfully, as indicated by the “TARGET SUCCESSFUL” label.
This appears to be a short trade (sell position) given that the price moved down from entry to the target.
Would you like an analysis of the trade rationale or ideas for future setups based on this chart?
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere is a full professional breakdown of the attached XAU/USD 1H chart (Gold Spot) using Volume Profile, Gann levels, CVD + ADX structure.
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights
Value Area High (VAH): $3,364.00
Value Area Low (VAL): $3,314.00
Point of Control (POC):
Current session: $3,314.78
Previous key zone: $3,257.03
Volume Node Analysis:
High-Volume Nodes: Around $3,314 and $3,257 – shows strong institutional interest and base-building.
Low-Volume Gaps: Between $3,285–$3,305 – fast move zones, expect volatility on re-entry.
b) Liquidity Zones
Buy-side Liquidity (stops above): Near $3,364 and projected $3,400+
Sell-side Liquidity (stops below): $3,314 (POC), $3,257 (previous POC), $3,245
Absorption Zones: Heavy volume observed near $3,314 and $3,257
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows
Swing Low Support: $3,257 (confirmed with POC and structure)
Swing High Resistance: $3,364 (local high tested)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis
Trend Direction: Uptrend – confirmed by rising price action + volume support
ADX Strength: > 20 and DI+ > DI- → Confirmed Uptrend
CVD Confirmation: Strong uptrend alignment – CVD is rising with price → indicates strong demand
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels
Support:
$3,314 (POC – session)
$3,257 (Major POC)
$3,245 (historical volume cluster)
Resistance:
$3,364 (recent high / VAH)
$3,400 (psychological round number + potential stop cluster)
b) Gann-Based Levels
Recent Swing Low (Gann): $3,257
Recent Swing High (Gann): $3,364
Retracements from $3,364 High:
1/3: $3,328
1/2: $3,310
2/3: $3,292
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish Trend – Higher highs and higher lows with volume confirmation
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation at $3,314
Potential Bullish Flag/Wedge forming inside the channel
Retest possible near $3,314–$3,292 for continuation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry
Entry Zone: $3,314–$3,292 (retest of breakout and channel base)
Targets:
T1: $3,400
T2: $3,440–$3,480 (upper channel bound)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below $3,257
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry
Only valid on break and close below $3,257
Entry Zone: $3,257
Target: $3,220
Stop-Loss (SL): Above $3,292
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
Today’s gold price: go long on dipsToday’s gold price: go long on dips
The price of gold has risen sharply today, with the current price at 3320.
Obviously, the strong gains during the European and American sessions did not give the opportunity to go long at the bottom during the Asian session.
Remember the plunge in the Asian market before the May Day holiday?
When Asian markets open tomorrow (Tuesday), gold prices will inevitably fluctuate at high levels.
Gold prices have risen nearly 100 points again from last Friday to today.
It is not difficult to analyze it next.
It will be a high probability event for gold prices to rise to 3500 points next week.
And I think it is unlikely to bring a buffer opportunity to the Asian session, which will be another precise financial blockade.
Next, pay attention to 3300 points.
This week's gold price strategy continues to return to low-priced longs.
This week's target expectation: 3400-3500+
Main support levels:
3260
3280
3300
As long as the gold price runs above these support levels, the intraday trading idea is still mainly to buy on dips.
Even if the gold price does not rise significantly, there is a high probability that it will return to the shock pattern of the 3260-3360 range.
Operation strategy:
Pay attention to the support level in the 3280-3300 range and wait for the gold price to pull back and go long on dips.
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias
1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows
The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram.
This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation.
2. Oversold Market Conditions
Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion.
A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187.
3. Failed Breakdown Possibility
Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap.
If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap.
4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context
This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading.
If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement.
5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet
None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles.
Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be:
3,293 (Resistance)
Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
After taking a short position in gold briefly, continue to take From a fundamental perspective, the influence of US data is limited. The market's focus still remains on Trump's tariffs. Subsequently, it is on the geopolitical situations, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the ceasefire between Palestine and Israel, the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and so forth.
Analysis of the News Regarding Gold: Gold is rising in a fluctuating manner. Currently, it is trading at around $3,315.44 per ounce, with an increase of approximately 0.92%. This week will witness the interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve, which is expected to dominate the market trend of this week. Additionally, we need to continue paying attention to the relevant news of the international trade situation. After the employment data week, the market's focus has shifted to this week's Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting.
Judging from the 4-hour chart of gold, after a period of wide-ranging volatile consolidation within the price range of 3,270 to 3,350, the current price has moved to a lower volatile range. Although the two lines of the MACD indicator have issued a golden cross signal, the gold price has broken through the resistance level at 3,300. It is recommended to focus on the resistance effect of this level and pay attention to the effectiveness of the support provided by the MA10 moving average at the lower side.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3259-3270
TP:3303-3330
GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
Analysis and Layout of Gold at the Opening of the Market!The underlying logic behind the current price movements of gold has changed. Previously, the main factor driving the sharp increase and subsequent decline of gold prices around $3,500 was the tariff war. Currently, the situation has gradually shifted from tension to relaxation, and the latest news indicates that both sides are attempting to make contact in preparation for the next round of negotiations.
Attention should now be focused on the Federal Reserve. Previously, Trump asked the Fed to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the tariff war. Powell's resistance led to Trump considering replacing the Fed chair. The better - than - expected non - farm payrolls data on Friday implies that the Fed's interest rate cut will be postponed, which is bearish for the gold market. Therefore, gold prices are likely to decline further in the early next week.
On the other hand, since the global - largest gold ETF significantly reduced its positions after gold prices peaked at $3,500 on April 22nd, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly without any significant addition of positions. This, to some extent, suggests that gold prices may further decline.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
Hi, One good way to prepare publications and validate that every
Hi, One good way to prepare publications and validate that everything will be OK is to make a draft with a private script first. Contrary to public scripts, private scripts are not moderated and you can edit their title and description, so they can be used to test things. Once your private script's description and chart are the way you want them, you can copy the tagged description text in a new public script's description. When your public script is published, you can then delete the draft private script. That's how we work for our own publications.
By sending us a link to your private publication, you can have us vet it if you are unsure. While we will not be doing
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 2, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 2, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,256.19
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴3266.8–3272.7 – Major Intraday Supply Zone (expect potential rejection)
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3249–3252 – Minor Reaction Zone (watch for quick scalps)
🟢3242.7–3244.5 – Clean Rally Base Rally (intraday long setup zone)
🟢3227.73–3231.70 – Higher Probability Demand (stronger bounce expected)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Gold has tapped into the supply zone and pulled back. If it holds above 3249, we may see a reattempt toward 3266+. A strong bullish candle from any of the green zones could trigger a continuation rally.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If the price breaks below 3242, it could fall into deeper demand around 3231. Watch for bearish engulfing candles or BOS from supply for short setups.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Look for entry confirmations at 3242.7 or 3227 zones
✅Target highs near 3266 with partial exits along the way
✅Use clean SL placements below demand wicks for control
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #BreakOfStructure #ForexTrading #FXFOREVER #IntradayUpdate #GoldScalping
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market.
BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit.
The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end
If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution.
If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 Hourly chart GANN SQGOLD may have a possible S/H/S pattern, and neckline break was @ $ 3,290 area. This translates to a possible objective $ 3,030. The GANN SQ also shows potential for further weakness in the near-term.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,250-3,275 and take profit near $ 3,137 on first move down.
Gold's evening rebound continues to be bearishAffected by the initial jobless claims data, gold has rebounded and risen again to around 3220 after touching around 3203. As we mentioned in the previous trading idea, short selling is still our main trading method before there is a big data impact. For the time being, we will first look at the first-line resistance of 3240-3250. If it breaks through this resistance range, we will further look at the key resistance of 3260-3270. If it does not break, we will go short.
There is an obvious downhill trend in the weekly line, which is expected to form a continuous negative trend. Then we look to the 3210-3200 support level to remain unchanged, and may even continue to look to the early low support line of 3193.
SELL 3240-3250
TP 3210-3200
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD BUY ANALYSIS.Just like how i shared about the bearish move that we are now currently seeing on PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD , it is happening live at the moment. this post contains the zone where i think team team bullish will step in to defend gold. im also trading this setup as well with full confident. for further info, pls see the info of the video.
GOLD - at his final support, holds or not??#GOLD. market just reached at his final supporting area of the week and month that is around 3265-70 with a pervious week low of 3259
keep close the region because if market break that region then we can see a further drop towards downside next supporting areas.
good luck
trade wisely