XAUUSD m15 SellHello everyone, a sell trade opportunity may be considered for gold on the M15 chart. It is advisable to set your trade with a 1:1.50 risk-reward ratio.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Next Move PossibleAs of April 29, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market remains highly volatile, influenced by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and central bank policies. Hereโs an overview of the current outlook and potential next moves for gold prices:
๐ Current Market Overview
โข Record Highs: Gold prices recently reached a record high of nearly $3,500 per ounce, driven by concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions, inflation, and geopolitical instability. ๏ฟผ
โข Recent Pullback: Following the peak, gold experienced a slight retreat, trading around $3,350 per ounce. This pullback is attributed to easing trade tensions and reassurances from U.S. President Trump regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. ๏ฟผ
๐ฎ Forecast and Key Levels
โข Short-Term Support Levels: Analysts have identified key support levels at $3,145, $2,955, and $2,790, based on historical highs and Fibonacci retracement levels. ๏ฟผ
โข Resistance and Profit-Taking: The $3,500 region is seen as a potential profit-taking point if gold mounts a recovery. ๏ฟผ
โข Long-Term Outlook: JP Morgan forecasts that gold prices will surpass $4,000 per ounce by Q2 2026, driven by heightened recession risks amid escalating U.S. tariffs and a prolonged U.S.-China trade conflict. Goldman Sachs also revised its 2025 year-end gold price forecast to $3,700/oz, noting that in extreme scenarios, gold could approach $4,500/oz. ๏ฟผ
โ ๏ธ Risks and Considerations
โข Potential Decline: Morningstar analyst Jon Mills predicts a 38% decline in gold prices over the next five years, potentially falling to $1,820 per ounce, due to increased gold production and waning interest from central banks and investors. ๏ฟผ
โข Market Volatility: Goldโs status as a safe-haven asset makes it susceptible to sharp price swings in response to economic data releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments.
For more updates follow my profile and share your thoughts.
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Count: Preparing for Final ImpulseXAU/USD appears to be in a textbook 5-wave impulsive structure on the 4H chart, with the market now completing Wave 4 as a classic ABC corrective flat/pennant.
The impulsive move from the Wave 2 low has formed clear internal substructures, with Wave 3 exhibiting extended price action, consistent with Elliott Wave guidelines.
Currently, price is consolidating in a contracting pattern labeled Wave 4 (A-B-C), which looks to be near completion. Based on wave symmetry and Fibonacci projections, a strong upside move is anticipated once Wave 4 concludes, leading into the final Wave 5 rally.
Entry Zone: 3286.875
Target: 3367.440โ 3410.210
Stop Loss: Below 3260.190.
Will Gold Reject This Important Resistance?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a selling opportunity around 3,355 zone, Gold is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,355 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
Gold: a bit of relaxationInvestors are perceiving that the US-China trade war tensions are easing, in which sense, the price of gold lost some of the value as of the end of the previous week. The gold lost some 2%, and was last traded at the level of $3.318. It should be also considered that during the several few weeks, the price of gold was continuously reaching new all time highest levels, in which sense, some profit-taking also impacted the modest drop in the price.
The RSI dropped from the overbought market side to the level of 61, where it is closing the week. The moving averages of 50 and 200 days still continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend, unchanged for the past several months.
Analysts are noting that currently there are no significant selling orders, in which sense, this might be treated as the short term gold reversal. As the US-China trade war is easing, some investors are pulling out their funds from gold, as a safe-haven asset, in order to invest them into more risky assets, like equities. The price of gold is still moving in an uncharted territory, in which sense, the technical analysis might provide not-so-accurate predictions. The relaxation in the price of gold might continue, however, any negative news regarding trade tariffs will certainly impact the jump in its price, during this period of time. The uncertainty in markets is still high and should not be underestimated.
GOLD โ A false breakdown of support will lead to growthFX:XAUUSD is trading within the range of 3370-3270. Since the opening of the session, the price has lost its potential for further decline. There is no news on Friday, so after retesting the liquidity and support zone of 3283-3270, the price is likely to return to growth.
Gold stabilizes near $3,350, but growth is held back by the dollar
On Friday, gold held its ground after recovering, but further growth is limited by the strengthening dollar and hopes for progress in the tariff war negotiations...
Optimism about corporate earnings in the US and easing recession fears are supporting demand for the dollar. However, ongoing uncertainty in US-China relations is keeping interest in gold alive.
Markets are waiting for new signals from the White House and the Fed, which will determine the further movement of gold prices towards the end of the week.
Focus on supporting the trading range. A false breakdown of 3283-3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
Resistance levels: 3314, 3342, 3370
Support levels: 3283, 3270, 3244
There is no news today, except for the unpredictable Trump and the general situation with the tariff war. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, after a neutral week, gold remained within the range, and the market is likely to keep the metal within the flat on Friday. Accordingly, I expect a rebound from support and growth to the intermediate resistance lines indicated above.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Actionable Gold insights: 28-APRIL-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Gold insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Gold: A Complex Outlook After Reacting Near 3,500Gold: A Complex Outlook After Reacting Near 3,500
In today's video, I discussed potential price movements for gold in the coming days. While the overall trend remains bullish, uncertainty is still present.
Be cautiousโgoldโs direction is not fully clear yet, despite the strong upward momentum. Key price levels and market reactions will help shape the next moves.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
โค๏ธPS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading dayโค๏ธ
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285.
Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas completed, as analysed.
This is our 4h chart update that started with the open Bullish target and then all the way to the top into our final target with a few pips short and then followed with a perfect rejection on our final Goldturn.
The price dropped into each lower Goldturns for support and gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces like we always state. The final drop went and completed the open bearish target at 3282, completing this chart idea top to bottom.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503 - DONE (FELL SHORT BY A FEW PIPS)
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
Gold trend picks directionGold fell by 230 USD in a row on the daily line. Currently, 3500 is under short-term pressure. Today, we will focus on the continuity of the decline. It directly rushed from 3288 to 3310 in 5 minutes after opening. Yesterday, it hit the lowest point of 3258 above the 0.5 division of 2956-3500. This position is temporarily supported and rebounded, but whether the adjustment is over is still uncertain. It depends on the intraday closing pattern. If today's closing can stand above the MA5 daily moving average resistance of 3358 again, then there will be signs of the end of the downward adjustment, and the next day must be accompanied by a positive line. Pull up; on the contrary, if it closes below the 5-day MA, then there is a high probability that the 10-day moving average position will continue to decline, and then the 50-division position 3228 is further down, which happens to be the starting point of the big positive on April 16. This is likely to be the end point of this round of adjustment, or there will not be much room to go down, because from the standard wave pattern, it cannot fall below the first wave high, which is 3167, which is also the current middle track; therefore, either 3228 will stabilize on dips, or somewhere in the 3228-3167 area will stabilize, and then finally return to the bullish trend and pull up
The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and has become a key counter-pressure point. As long as it does not stand above it again, it will maintain a downward correction. After breaking 3292 below, the 66-day moving average of 3260 will be the loser or loser; the 1-hour K-line is under pressure from ma10 and ma5 and continues to fall. After yesterday's consolidation and pull-up, the K-line has now re-run above ma10, and the macd has formed a golden cross below the zero axis. This wave of 200 US dollars of rapid decline has almost corrected most of it. If it continues downward for another wave, or with the help of bottom divergence, it will slowly brew a short-term bottom; today's gold rebound focuses on the resistance below 3367, below the extreme middle track of 3380, and it is still bearish if it cannot withstand the pressure. If the strong support of 3260 or 3245-28 is stable, we will start to consider bottom-fishing.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Gold playing ball again early session hitting the level we wanted for the long and then rejecting the hot spot for the short into the lower levels. As it's Friday, we did take it a little easier on gold, hitting 2 targets, and then 6 across other pairs giving us another sensible end to the week.
Now, we've competed the bias level targets up and down, we have support below at the 3280-75 level and resistance at 3306-10 which could be the region they want to target for the close. It's also the level to watch, unless broken we can see further downside, but we'll visit that on Sundays KOG Report.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3345โ
, 3347โ
, 3355โ
and 3367โ
in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310โ
, 3306โ
, 3296, 3286โ
and 3380โ
in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Price in Key Compression Zone: Awaiting BreakoutThe 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) shows a clear symmetrical triangle formation, where the price has been compressing between a descending resistance zone (red) and a horizontal support zone (green). Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Support Zone (~3040โ3080 USD):
This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level.
Resistance Trendline (~3310โ3320 USD):
The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far.
EMA Indicators:
50 EMA (black line): Currently acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (blue line): Price is hovering around it, indicating indecision.
Projected Breakout Scenarios:
Upside Breakout:
If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480โ3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels.
Downside Breakout:
If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080โ3040 USD.
Current Bias:
The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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XAUUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
๐ฏ Non Commercials reduced their longs exposure by more then 50K. Its seem to me like the momentum is slowing down and pullback will be healthy here
๐Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
๐ Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
๐ Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
โ David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter โ๏ธ
Gold and Chart Patterns Iโm dropping this XAU/USD M30 insight because my systemโs a damn executioner, and you need to see how I hunt the market. This chart is a textbook of bearish patternsโfirst a bearish three drives showing smart money exhausting buyers with three weakening upward pushes, then a head and shoulders with the neckline break confirming the reversal, and now a bearish shark forming to seal the deal, all playing out within my descending trendlines. Smart moneyโs been in control from the start, distributing at the peaks, grabbing liquidity, and dumping price to hunt stop-losses below key levels. Supply and demand zones are my edgeโsupply at the right shoulder of the head and shoulders where sellers stacked orders before the break, demand near the lower trendline where buyers might step in, my target for this bearish move. My checklist operations are a predatorโs playbook. I start with harmonic patterns, hunting XABCD structures like the bearish shark Iโm seeing now, signaling smart moneyโs reversal zones. I confirm market structure, looking for breaks of structure to show trend shiftsโhere, the neckline break confirms bearish continuation. I identify order blocks, those consolidation zones where smart money stacks orders, like the bearish order block at the right shoulder where sellers distributed. Volume profile is keyโI check for high volume nodes where price stalls, like the neckline where sellers defended, and low volume nodes that act as magnets, like gaps below the neckline. Top-down analysis keeps me sharpโfour-hour timeframe sets the bearish trend, one-hour confirms the break, thirty-minute narrows the setup, fifteen-minute is my strike zone, waiting for a neckline retest. I use Heikin Ashi for confirmationโred candles mean sell, waiting for red on the fifteen-minute at the retest. Fibonacci levels mark my targetsโI focus on key extensions to set exits, like targeting the lower trendline of the channel. Gann theory adds confluenceโI look for angles or retracements to align with my setups, like a Gann angle pointing to the lower trendline. MACD and RSI measure momentumโMACDโs bearish crossover and negative histogram confirm the downtrend, RSI below fifty with bearish divergence at the right shoulder seals it. Risk management is my lawโI risk small to win big, stop-loss above the right shoulder, take-profit at the lower trendline, aiming for a high reward ratio. I monitor news and liquidity trapsโfake spikes above the neckline are smart moneyโs tricks, so I stay sharp. I wait for confirmationโevery piece aligns, or I walk, then I document to keep my edge razor-sharp. Iโm rating this system a ten out of tenโharmonic patterns, Smart Money Concepts, volume profile, top-down analysis, and now MACD and RSI for momentum make it untouchable. Iโve fine-tuned this over six months, backtesting until itโs a weapon. I need two of you to join me at Academiaโletโs hunt together.DYOR
Shieldsmine Diaries
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Continuation Within Descending ChannelThis chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) trading within a clear descending channel. Price recently broke below a key support level, signaling bearish momentum. A potential retest of the broken support (now resistance) is expected before further downside continuation. The chart outlines two bearish targets: the first around 3,193 and the second near 3,100. If the retest fails and sellers step in, the downtrend is likely to continue toward those targets.
Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones โ Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan โ Liquidity Games Reloaded ๐ฎ๐ฅ
Goldโs Not Done โ Next Move is Loadingโฆ You In? โ๏ธ๐งจ
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision โ GoldMindsFX Flow ๐ฅโจ
๐ง Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380โ3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive โ still trapped inside the larger structure.
Todayโs USD Events (High Impact):
๐ฃ๏ธ Trump Speech
๐ฆ ADP Non-Farm Employment
๐ง Advance GDP q/q
๐จ Employment Cost Index
๐ง Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility โ especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
๐งญ Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230โ3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15โH1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts โ structure still undecided.
๐ Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
๐บ Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372โ3376 โ Trap Sell OB (M15โH1)
โ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380โ3390 โ High-Volume Liquidity Pool
โ Major decision zone if price extends upside
๐ฉ Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284โ3288 โ Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
โ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233โ3237 โ Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
โ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
๐ Eyes On Today:
3317โ3325 โ Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350โ3372.
3284 โ First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233โ3237.
๐ฅ Trading Focus Tip:
Itโs a news-driven day. Your job isnโt to predict โ itโs to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers donโt rush. We let liquidity come to us.
๐ฌ Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage โ but today might be the breakout tease. Donโt chase, donโt guess โ just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. ๐ฏ
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know โ are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias ๐ฌ๐
๐ข If this helped map your zones, hit that โค๏ธ, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments โ are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Letโs trade smart, not loud. ๐๐
Breakout Watch: Triangle Apex Test Near $3,300Gold is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle on the 30-min chart, with price testing both the descending resistance and the ascending support trendline. This compression near the Fib 0.618โ0.5 zone ($3,289โ$3,226) suggests an imminent move.
Key levels:
Resistance: $3,300 (breakout trigger), $3,340, $3,380 (Fib 0.786)
Support: $3,260 (trendline), $3,226 (Fib 0.5), $3,162 (Fib 0.382)
RSI is rising off oversold (47), and volume is low โ typical pre-breakout behavior.
A confirmed breakout above $3,300 could accelerate bullish momentum toward ATH levels. Breakdown below $3,226 invalidates the structure.
Watching for volatility surge within next 24 hours.
XUAUSD SETUP: Long position I'm looking forward for the market to grab Liquidity below the Low Of The Week .After the market grabs the liquidity below , I'm anticipating a long position to break the high of the previous week.
Next Gold Support at $3,226 - Major Breakout Incoming?!๐ง GoldThesis
Gold is coiling into a textbook symmetrical triangle โ right on the 0.5 Fib retracement level (~$3,226) from its $3,496 top. Price action is compressing fast, and a major breakout looks imminent within days. The RSI is hovering in the low 30s, signaling that the downside may be reaching exhaustion.
๐ Technical Breakdown
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle forming, squeezing toward apex (end of April).
Fib Levels:
0.618 = $3,289 (rejection confirmed)
0.5 = $3,226 (current support zone)
0.382 = $3,162 (next support if breakdown confirms)
Volume: Decreasing โ classic compression before expansion.
RSI (14): 33 โ near oversold territory. Could be setting up a bullish divergence if price sweeps lows.
Volatility: Dangerously quiet... for now.
๐ฉ Bullish Case
If price holds $3,226 and breaks triangle resistance around ~$3,300, we could see fast movement to retest $3,380 (Fib 0.786) and eventually $3,496 ATH.
RSI reversal + volume surge = likely breakout trigger.
๐ฅ Bearish Case
Failure to hold $3,226 or $3,162 sends price to $3,083 (Fib 0.236) or lower.
Bear trap possible near ~$3,150 if liquidity is swept.
๐จ My Plan
Waiting for triangle resolution.
Long above $3,300 breakout retest with SL below $3,226.
Short below $3,162 confirmation with tight invalidation.
โ๏ธ Final Word
The triangle is almost full โ this is the calm before the storm. Whether gold rallies back to ATH or dumps to shakeout late longs depends on how this coil resolves. Get ready, the move will be violent.
xauSupport and press the rocket to cheer me up
Observe the ten percent loss limit
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