HSI trade ideas
HKMA's Bold Move: HK$46.5 Billion Purchase Fuels HKD SurgeA spokesman for the HKMA announced that the Hong Kong dollar activated the linked exchange rate mechanism at HK$7.75 to US$1 during New York trading on Friday, 2 May 2025. The HKMA purchased US dollars and sold HK dollars, amounting to HK$46.539 billion. By Wednesday, 7 May 2025, the total balance of the banking system will rise to HK$91.309 billion.
The spokesperson noted that the recent strength of the Hong Kong dollar stems from increased demand related to stock investments, which bolsters the exchange rate. Additionally, the appreciation of several regional currencies against the US dollar has contributed to the Hong Kong dollar's strength. The last activation of the strong side redemption guarantee occurred on 28 October 2020.
Reuters reported that European equity funds attracted their largest weekly inflow in over a year, totalling $14.64 billion for the week ending 30 April. In contrast, U.S. funds experienced outflows for the third consecutive week due to ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs and their impact on global economic growth. Investments in Asian funds reached $6.68 billion.(source Reuters).
Although comparing the report time, they are reporting different fund flow; the inflow of money into Hong Kong is currently modest, at HK$46.539 billion (approximately $5.99 billion), it is comparable to the figures reported by Reuters for Asian funds.
In the Hong Kong property market, Sun Hung Kai Properties’ Sierra Sea project has sold all 318 flats in its first sales round last week and the second batch of 288 flats. In total, 606 flats were purchased over two weekends. Property agents report that 20 to 40 per cent of prospective buyers are from mainland China. Prices for these units range from HK$3.27 million to HK$8.99 million (US$422,000 to US$1.16 million), with a price per square foot between HK$9,992 and HK$13,533.(source: SCMP)
These cases indicate that money is flowing into Hong Kong, with the HKD strengthening to the strong side of 7.75. This influx will increase bank balances, suggesting that the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is unlikely to weaken in the coming weeks, despite the negative impact of US tariffs on business sentiment.
Technically, the HSI has potential for further gains, with targets set between 26,700 and 27,600. It remains within an upward channel, and cycle analysis indicates that this upward trend could continue until June.
Why is money flowing into Hong Kong? Is it due to the attractive price-to-earnings ratio, Chinese investors relocating funds from the US, or rumours about the government? These factors need to be validated in the future.
HK50 "HongKong" Index Market Bullish Robbery (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (21000.0) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 24200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"HK50" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "HK50" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (23100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (24200) Swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 22000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"HK50 / HongKong50" Indices Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Hang Seng Short: Completion of correctionAs I mentioned, I was wrong in the previous analysis. And this time, I would short again with the stop loss above where I put the end of E wave.
A double sell pattern on HK50 at price21000 to 21100
Why?
1) This pair is still in a downtrend both of H4 and D1
2) We can see the pair had a pattern earlier yesterday for a sell, now it is a type 2
3) There is another pattern forming for the sell off around the same area
We will observe for another 1 hour to get the best price to enter.
The target if everything falls again would be 1:10 Risk to reward.
Hang Seng Short: Completion of ABCAs shown in the chart, I've updated the wave counts. Find a place to sell and stop above C high.
HK50: Time to begin looking for buys from the bottomHello,
The Hong Kong 50 index seems to be forming a great pattern for investors to begin looking for buys at the bottom. The Hang Seng dropped to its lowest since the high reached in March 2025 as the Trump administration moved forward with sweeping tariffs on major trading partners, including a 104% levy on Chinese goods set to take effect today.
News of that Hong Kong may offer aid to firms affected by U.S. tariffs will help cushion markets from further falls. Discussions may be the catalyst for the next rise in the index and Hong Kong stocks.
From a technical perspective the index is trading in a sideways corrective pattern, and further falls will provide even better opportunities for buys. We see prices below 18,000 HKD as great entry areas for this index. The recent top of HKD 24,600 will be our medium-term target.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HSI Long: Potential Completion of Wave AThis is a short-term trading idea. I see that there is a chance that HSI has completed a 5-wave structure, even though wave 5 itself is a bit short. I'll go tactical long with stop below the low of the day.
Hang Seng Index Plunges by Around 13%Hang Seng Index Plunges by Around 13%
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) tumbled by over 13% as trading resumed after the weekend with a sharp bearish gap.
According to media reports, this marked the biggest single-day drop since the 1997 Asian financial crisis.
Hang Seng Index Chart
In our analysis of the upward trend on the Hang Seng (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) chart a month ago, we noted that:
→ investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence was still fuelling the rally;
→ however, the price appeared vulnerable to a correction.
We also highlighted that the outlook would largely depend on the fundamental backdrop, particularly the tariff standoff between China and the United States.
Since then, the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) has fallen by around 17%, following the announcement of harsher-than-expected tariffs by President Trump, with China responding in kind.
Despite the drop, Hang Seng is outperforming peers
Despite Monday’s dramatic decline, the Hang Seng is still outperforming several other markets. As shown in the chart above, it remains in positive territory for 2025, unlike:
→ the ASX 200 (Australia 200 on FXOpen);
→ the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen);
→ and other global indices, including those in Europe and Japan.
What lies ahead?
Market sentiment remains highly sensitive to tariff-related news. For instance, Bloomberg reported that a post on social media platform X claimed President Trump was considering a 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China), sparking hopes of a rebound.
Should Trump choose to soften the recently announced tariffs, this could act as a catalyst for a strong recovery across global equity markets.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
what's next after historic plunged? what's next after historic plunged?
HSI needs to claw its way back - resistance now takes the spotlight!
🚨🚨🚨
🔎🎯 Always ask before you open a position, what's your time frame!?
Follow this principle for your trade for entry and exit so you will not lost on that particular trade. Happy trading everyone! 💰
From previous posts:-
MACD - Deadcross formed 20/3/2025 on D Chart.
4H chart:
at point of writing ✍️: the Index uptrend mode is broken where we have been reviewing the movement of the Index.
For this week trade plan: Most likely short the index for days to few weeks until get confirmation of reversal back to uptrend.
For swing trade: Buy into support Sell at resistance.
Set your TP/SL & protect your capital.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
On 7Apr25 - special Monday, HSI dropped 13.22% ; 3021.51pts to close at 19828.30. The Index below its 20MA@22814 (currently); 50MA@22509 (currently)
This is the historic largest single day plunge since 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.
Historically, the HSI has experienced significant single-day drops during major financial crises. For instance, that was on October 28, 2008, amid the global financial crisis, the HSI fell by 12.7%, marking its biggest single-day percentage drop since 1997.
Well, human beings shape history. While it may not repeat the same way, but often returns in similar forms and familiar contexts. We are the innovative and creativity creatures on this earth, hence we are free to craft the stories eventually become history.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
currently the 20MA:22581; 50MA:22423
🚨 as of ✍️ :
🗝️ Resistance : 20632
Resistance Level : 20143 20266
Support Level : 18830 19450
🗝️ Support : 18751
W Chart:- HSI continues its Bullish mode with strong pullback! Recovery could expected to see in end Jun - early Jul'25.
17Mar2025 -
24Mar2025 -
7Apr2025 -
For current markets condition, the CHN & HKG can be volatile with the continuing noise from tariff.
🎯 Reminder: For long term (6-18 months) continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
Let's follow our own zentradingstrategy , continue to trade and zen with 📙 and 🍵 for profits.
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage trading and investment buddies.
mid term down trendHSI in mid term will decline. if 16550 support act again, new lag will emerge with 90% gain.
hong kong 50 shortshort to the end of April
under 20000.
i hope 19000 or even 18000.
but 19000-20000 is enough.
Hang Seng Index Long: Super Bull Case?I did a short video about how entire chart of Hang Seng Index can also be interpreted as a Super Bullish case for Hang Seng Index, and generally the entire Chinese and Hong Kong Market.
This was originally my primary count which I then replaced with a combination (W-X-Y-X-Z) when I thought the risk-reward favours the short side. Now, I've switched back and dare myself to put up this super bull case again.
Note how shallow I had placed the primary wave 2. If I am right, then wave 3 is going to literally rocket up.
QUICK SHORTSSell for the short range, price is bound to make a bottom on the level indicated for a reverse bull trend that will last multi-months. Trade safe
Hang Seng Short: Expecting Wave 2 of 3 and 3 of 3Hang Seng had been amazingly resilient on Friday, falling much lesser than the US indices. However, I believe it is just lagging by 1 impulse wave.
If you have seen my last few updates on the wave counts, you will know that I counted completion of wave 3 of 3 for the tech stocks and that Nasdaq itself is nearing the target completion of 5 waves of wave 3 (now on wave 4 of 3). Thus, to me, Hang Seng is lagging by 1 impulse wave.
Back to this analysis, for the last down wave on Friday, you will see that I've plotted a purple minute wave with the 5th wave further broken down into orange minuette waves. The orange minuette wave is only on it's 4th wave. However, I believe that we might not actually see a proper wave draw by price movement. I propose that the fifth wave will be unseen. How so?
Gap down on Monday opening (marking the end of minuette wave 5) and then a shallow retracement up that is likely to happen during the 1st hour of HK trading session to complete purple minute wave 2 before we see Hang Seng crashing for a wave 3. It might be similar to what happened to Nikkei on Friday's Japan trading hours.
Good luck!
HK50 HongKong Index ShortMore pro-active policies in China
More tariffs on Copper
This will put the asian indices more under pressure
3 apporaoches
and 3 different targets
My entries are aggressive and conservative
Where others use the stop zone,there I aggressively buy/sell into my targeted potential direction(cover more shorts in this case)
More details: Please take a look at the chart above
HSI testing resistance levels —will it break through or bounced?25/03/2025
🚨🚨🚨
HSI resistance is being tested for short-term!
Investors tend to take profit towards quarter end.
HSI:HSI
MACD - Deadcross formed 20/3/2025.Resistance 24750-24600 level.
4H chart: PEPPERSTONE:HK50
at point of writing ✍️: the Index uptrend mode is paused and moving out of bound from the uptrend channel.
MACD : moving below zero line - Bearish mode.
KDJ: below 30 level in the bearish zone. Hopefully the divergence cycle completing soon for a strong reversal.
BB - ranging at lower BB; mid-line:23986 (this is your 🗝️ level for your long/short TP/SL level)
Set your TP/SL and let the markets works.
For this week trade plan: Most likely short the index for days to few weeks until get confirmation of trendline back to uptrend channel. Buy into support Sell at resistance. Set your TP/SL.
🚨 as of ✍️ :
Support/Resistance Levels :
22979
23030
23242(23374)
23526
23997
24385
24586
24648
24945
🗝️🗝️🗝️Level: 23526-23620
HSI continues its Bullish mode.
W Chart:-
17Mar2025 -
24Mar2025 -
📰 another -ve news, but this might be distraction. 🚨
www.tradingview.com
Shares in Hong Kong slumped 487 points or 2.0% to 23,417 on Tuesday morning, reversing gains from the prior session amid concerns over U.S. recession risks and China’s deflation threat.
www.tradingview.com
** Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index declined 2.2%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index
HSTECH lost 3.5%.
For current markets condition, the CHN & HKG can be volatile with the continuing noise from tariff.
🎯 Reminder: For long term (6-18 months) continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵 for profits.
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage the trading buddies.
HK50 "HongKong50" CFD Index Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the HK50 "HongKong50" CFD Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (23000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (24000) swing Trade Basis Using the 2H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 21800 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
HK50 "HongKong50" CFD Index Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend to Bearish., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
HSI Short: Break of TrendlineIn my 18th March 2025 idea on Hang Seng Index, I said that an ending diagonal has formed for HSI and to prepare to short (linked in this idea). I also reiterate that it will be a sharp move down because that's what proceeds from an ending diagonal.
Hang Seng Index had falled almost 1400 points since then. So what now?
I believe that it is still a short because technically, it has broken a trendline. If you still have short position, you can adjust your stop loss just above the trendline. But if you have no position and is waiting to enter, my recommendation is to scale in your shorts, but definitely short it if and when price moves up to the trendline because support should turn into resistance.
Good luck!
Sell HK50 at 24800There is a pattern to sell this pair at the stop loss level (24800)
This level was resisted yesterday. It is the all time high and a counter trend.
Will look to exit as soon as it goes oversold and attempt to go long.
HSI Short: An update. Potential Ending DiagonalAs mentioned in the video, I still think that this is a short. If I am wrong, I also explain how I would set the stop loss. Remember that an ending diagonal will see a quick fall in the price when a breakdown happens.
Good luck!
