USCGC trade ideas
XAUUSD Bounce to daily resistance?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The volatile decline in gold is in line with expectations!Technical analysis of gold: After rising and falling, gold has a large downward space, from 3438 to the current 3360, up and down close to 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there is a high probability of a wave of adjustment space, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small, and it is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and goes directly below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it does not break, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3397-3400, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, and look at the 3300 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3300-3305, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks;
Gold rises strongly and bulls restart!The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to cross upward to form a golden cross, and the bulls have begun to exert their strength. After breaking through the 3300 line yesterday, for today's market, the opening of the morning session directly pulled up more than 40 US dollars. The bulls are strong and powerful. Now we are definitely not going to short, just follow the trend. The point of concern below is the low point of 3350. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it is impossible to fall below the 3350 line again, so we are looking for opportunities to go long above 3350 in the morning! The market is changing rapidly. Since the current gold bulls are more powerful, then continue to go long. After all, it is a callback in the bullish upward trend. It will be more repetitive when reflected on the short-term chart. The volatility base is large, and the operation should try to stick to the time point after the European session. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to go long on callbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term resistance of 3415-3420, and the short-term focus on the lower short-term support of 3330-3350.
GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides.
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1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone
The highlighted upper green zone marks:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse.
- Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation.
This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity.
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2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone
The lower blue zone serves as:
- FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support.
- Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests.
This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower.
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3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides
The market structure hints at:
- Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance.
- Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs.
- Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation.
This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions.
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4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area
Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone:
- Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion.
- Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance.
Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality.
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5. Summary:
- Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias
- Lower FVG Support → Long Bias
- Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity
This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
Gold's Zigzag Retreat: Shorts' Comeback LoomsOn Friday, gold rebounded slightly and regained the $3,330 mark during the North American trading session. However, it showed an overall volatile trend throughout the week and closed near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $3,325.54. The market interpreted the US-UK trade agreement as an "empty-shell agreement". Coupled with Trump's tariff remarks ahead of the upcoming high-level talks among major economies over the weekend, the risk aversion sentiment has risen again, providing support for the gold price.
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Judging from the current market structure, during the upward trend that started from $3,200, gold has not experienced an obvious central consolidation and has accumulated strong retracement momentum. Combining with the small-scale trend, the current adjustment is more likely to unfold in the form of a falling zigzag pattern or a rectangular consolidation pattern rather than a strong breakout, as the weekly resistance level has not been effectively digested and there has been no new positive driving force in the market.
Next week, we need to be cautious about blindly chasing long positions and especially give up the illusion of "breaking through the previous high". In the short term, the probability of a retracement is much higher than that of a continuous unilateral upward movement.
XAUUSD
sell@3330-3340
tp:3300-3280
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Will the price of gold rise or fall?From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and it is possible to rise or fall now. In the short cycle, first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it is not broken, you can continue to be bullish, with the upper target at 3400, and then look at 3430 if the strength is strong.
XAU/USD..1h chart patttern..**Gold (XAU/USD) trade plan** based on My levels, optimized for risk/reward:
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### **Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Setup**
**✅ Key Level:** **3300** (Resistance turned Support)
**🎯 Buy Zone:** **3340** (Pullback entry after breakout confirmation)
**🔥 Target:** **3500** (+1600 pts | **1:3+ R/R** if SL at 3280)
**🛑 Stop Loss:** **3280** (Below breakout level + buffer)
#### **Why This Works?**
1. **Breakout Retest:** Price broke **3300 resistance**, now acting as support.
2. **Higher Highs/Lows:** Uptrend intact (bullish structure).
3. **Target Logic:** Measured move from recent swing low projects to **3500**.
#### **Entry Triggers (Choose One):**
- **Aggressive:** Buy near **3340** with tight SL (3280).
- **Conservative:** Wait for **bullish reversal candle** (e.g., hammer, engulfing) at 3300-3340.
#### **Risk Management:**
- **Never risk >1-2% per trade.**
- **Move SL to breakeven** at **3380** (after +400 pts).
#### **Invalidation:**
- Close below **3280** (false breakout → cancel trade).
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**Optional Confluence:**
- Check **RSI (30-50)** for oversold bounce.
- Watch **USD weakness** (Fed dovishness, CPI data).
Let me know if you want tweaks (e.g., shorter-term scalp targets). 🚀
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week, after completing both our Bullish and Bearish target yesterday, we then finished off with our retracement range gaps.
We also stated that we will look for a cross and lock below this level to open the swing range or failure to lock, will see support and bounce on this level.
This played out perfectly with no lock confirming the rejection and then the bounce allowing us to buy the dip. We are now seeing the level retested again and respecting it perfectly for another bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The exclusive bearish view on gold is in line with expectations!Gold's 1-hour moving average high also began to turn around, and the bulls were hit. If the rebound pressure is 3350, it is short. At present, gold has fallen below yesterday's 3350 rising platform, so it will fall back and pay attention to the vicinity of 3303! There is nothing to hesitate. The rebound of 3350 is an opportunity to increase positions and short, and the target is near 3305! Since the bullish volume of the gold market has been released, the bulls need to be repaired in the short term to rise further. Gold will go short in the afternoon. On the whole, it is recommended to rebound and short as the main operation strategy for gold in the short term, and to go long as the callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3360 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3305 support.
XAU.usd watch $3407/18: Key Resistance and end of "Wave B" ?Part of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see below).
Per the last plot, we bounced exactly where hoped.
We may well be at "Wave B" end point near $3400.
This is bears best and last chance to get a lower low.
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Last Plot that caught our bounces EXACTLY
Previous Plot called the last Dip Entry EXACTLY
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I will post updates on this Idea as price action progresses.
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Please follow and like, for more EXACT plots to use in your trading.
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Gold price plummets, gold analysis and layout!Focus on two positions: the first position is the upper 3360 line of pressure, the low point breaks the support and turns into pressure, and the top and bottom conversion position rebounds and touches it, so it is still bearish. The second position is 3305, which is the second starting point of the strong rise in the previous two days. According to the drop of 100 US dollars from 3415, it is at 3315. The drop exceeds 100 US dollars, and there is basically no problem in rebounding. Therefore, we can expect a rebound around the 3305-3310 area below. The probability of falling below 3300 is not high, and it is easy to come up even if it goes down.
Gold falls under pressureAlthough gold surged in the morning, it continued to fall in the afternoon and fell to 3320. Currently, gold rebounded moderately, but it is still under pressure after the sharp drop. The adjusted golden section line position, the 0.5 position of this wave of decline is the 3320-3318 area. The price bounced when it was touched for the first time. Going down, we need to pay attention to the 0.618 position 3288 area, which is close to the four-hour lower track 3284 area. The two together become the support area. The excess range is the double-line lower track 3270 on the hourly chart. Tonight, it is still a rebound to short, and pay attention to the 3370-74 line resistance situation above.
Gold fluctuates and tests new high again!Gold surged and then fell back, and the pattern needs to be sorted out; the stochastic indicator crosses at a high level, and runs downward, the indicator and the pattern resonate and adjust; the top and bottom conversion below, the support point of the sideways rise is in the range of 3380-3370; if it falls back and keeps going down, then the main trend is to pierce the trend and fall back to the range of 3390-3200; the range span is relatively large! In terms of short-term operation ideas, according to the suppression near 3440, the short-term correction is expected; the support position below is near 3290 and 3205; there are many short-term cards; deal with it according to the range;
Gold’s Got Its Groove Back: Morning Star Lights the Way to $3500Gold delivered a powerful signal pointing to a resumption of the bullish trend, completing a morning star pattern that saw it break out of the falling wedge it had been trading over the past fortnight. It would have been nice to catch the initial move, but all is not lost after the price broke above $3367 on Tuesday.
The price has run hard, so I’m reluctant to chase the move. But if we see a pullback and bounce from $3367, it would generate a bullish setup where longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. The obvious trade target would be the record high of $3500 set in April.
If the price were to reverse below $3367 and stay there, the setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
GOLD recovers to initial target, confirmation point continuesOANDA:XAUUSD surged in the first half of trading on Monday (May 5), briefly surpassing the $3,270/ounce mark and marking a daily gain of more than $30. as uncertainty over U.S. tariffs spurred safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in June is also boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Bloomberg reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films, which is not a huge deal, but it does escalate the trade war. "I am authorizing the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately begin proceedings to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign-made films imported into the United States," Trump wrote on his Truth Social social media platform. "We want our movies made in the USA again!"
Gold prices have risen nearly 25% this year, hitting a record high above $3,500 an ounce in April, but have retreated in recent weeks. Bloomberg notes that factors driving gold’s recent rally include safe-haven buying fueled by Trump’s destructive trade and geopolitical policies, as well as speculative demand from China and buying by global central banks.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on May 5: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 63.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 35.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1.1%.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still bullish as the price action remains above the important support EMA21. At the same time, the price channel that is noted as the main long-term trend channel remains stable.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of weakness as it falls to approach the 50 level, which is noted as the closest support in terms of momentum.
Going forward, if gold rebounds above $3,245, it could rebound to the short-term target of $3,267, more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, and then the full price point of $3,300.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, its long-term trend remains bullish, but the risk of a deeper correction is when the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level is broken below, once this level is broken below gold is at risk of further selling to $3,163 in the short term. This also means that technically gold is in an ideal support area for bullish expectations, long positions should be protected below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the coming period, gold has technical conditions that favor a bullish recovery, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,245 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,267 – 3,270 – 3,292USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3302⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3310
→Take Profit 1 3296
↨
→Take Profit 2 3290
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3173 - 3175⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3169
→Take Profit 1 3181
↨
→Take Profit 2 3187
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
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Could India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks trigger gold's declinNews
From May 5th to 9th, trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts have driven the gold market to rise 📈. The spot gold price has once broken through 3,438. As the bullish momentum has waned, investors have taken profits at high levels, and the weekly increase has narrowed to about 3.1%. Trump's remarks on tariffs, uncertainties in trade negotiations, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the military standoff between India and Pakistan have stimulated the demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up the gold price 💹. Technical indicators show that the short-term correction pressure has increased, and the market may enter a phase of volatile consolidation 🤔.
Gold Trend
At the beginning of this week, influenced by the safe-haven property of gold, its price has increased. However, this tariff news has less of an impact on the gold price than before, and the upward trend has stopped at 3,439. After the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate policy unchanged, the gold price has declined for two consecutive days 📉, and yesterday's closing price was above 3,300.
Looking ahead, with the ceasefire of the conflict between India and Pakistan and the advancement of the China-US talks, the gold price is likely to drop significantly next week ⬇️. The ceasefire between India and Pakistan has alleviated the geopolitical tensions, weakening the driving force for gold to rise as a safe-haven asset. If the China-US talks achieve positive results, the market's risk appetite will increase, and investors are likely to shift their funds from gold to risky assets such as stocks. In the past, when there has been progress in trade negotiations, the gold price has dropped significantly. Overall, there is an obvious downward trend for the gold price next week 😟.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330
🚀 TP 3280 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD: Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations and does not go beyond the scope of the widespread market anticipation before.
In terms of gold, the price of $3,350 serves as a crucial dividing line at present. If the gold price can successfully stop falling and stabilize near this price level, forming an effective support, it indicates that the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward market trend in the future is expected to continue. Conversely, once this price level is broken, the bearish sentiment in the market will rapidly heat up, and the price is likely to further decline, seeking a new support level below $3,320.
The geopolitical situation continues to deteriorate. The most intense military conflict in nearly a decade has broken out between India and Pakistan, and the civil war in Sudan is also escalating. These conflicts not only pose a serious threat to the regional and global peace and stability but will also have a significant impact on the commodity market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the safe-haven attribute of gold will be further stimulated, and its price is expected to receive strong support. At the same time, the war may lead to uncertainties in energy supply, thus driving up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3390-3400
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Hanzo | Gold 15 min 3315 – Next is bearish Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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💯 Main Focus: Bearish Reversal at 3317
We are watching this zone closely. Expecting Reversal
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3265
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3318
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3325 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3272 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3325 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3328 – Equal highs