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Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1D 🏛 1. Current Market Structure 🚀 Gold reached a peak at $3,500 following Trump’s tariff announcement, triggering a sharp bullish reaction. 🔻 This move was followed by a strong correction, leading price back down to key structural support zones. 🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook 📉 This violent retracement allowed the market to revisit accumulation areas, including tested supply zones and bullish OTE levels. 🔎 Price seems to be stabilizing now, suggesting a potential directional move could emerge once structure confirms. 🔍 3. Key Technical Observations ⬜️ Supply Zone: A structural area of interest now acting as potential support. 🟦 Bullish OTE: Located lower, it serves as a final line of defense in case of further downside. 📐 Descending trendline is currently being tested — a breakout would confirm bullish momentum shift. 🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations 📉 Controlled pullback scenario: Price may revisit the supply zone, or even dip into the OTE, to consolidate before a bullish breakout. 📈 Confirmed bullish scenario: A clean break above the trendline and recent highs would validate a strong reversal and aim again for $3,500+. 🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts 📰 Geopolitical or economic updates linked to the US (tariffs, inflation). 📊 Institutional reaction to tested support zones. 💡 Volume confirmation on structural breakout. ✅ Conclusion 👉 After a sharp rejection from a geopolitical news-driven spike, gold is now retesting major support zones. 📍 Three key levels to watch: The Supply Zone The 50% retracement The Bullish OTE 🔎 Price action around these areas will determine whether this is just a pullback — or the start of a new bullish leg.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BenMcyInsights
XAUUSD UPDATE : FED INTEREST RATE DECISION hello & happy weekend everyone For coming week trade forecast. From the left side, the daily chart indicates that a breakout has occurred, and the current increase is a temporary pullback. If a rejection happens at the 0.236 daily retracement and the trendline on 1 hour chart successfully pushes the price downward, I see an opportunity to short towards the upcoming Fed interest rate decision. And I am very grateful for the support given, especially in some of the previous trades. I hope that my trade plan can help traders identify the direction to enter the market. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by mytw0cents
Gold pullback continues to see bulls In my first article today, I reminded everyone to be careful that gold will stand above the 3300 mark again. And I also told you to rely on 3255-50 to do more, looking at the upper 3280 and 3300 positions. Sure enough, after the opening of the European session, gold has made rapid progress, and the highest has reached above 3300 so far. I also notified the real-time students to enter the market and do more near 3255 during the Asian session, and directly gave the target position of 3300. At present, the target position of 3300 has been perfectly reached, and I also made a profit of more than 55 US dollars. From the current 4-hour chart: It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line. The only suppression position above is currently around 3350. The support below is currently located at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350. On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then just focus on 3275-85. As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market and go long. Continue to look at 3350 from above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Bullish or bearish? (Read description). As of May 7, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by a combination of geopolitical developments, economic indicators, and central bank policies.  ⸻ 📉 Recent Market Movements Gold prices recently declined by 1.3% to $3,383.88 per ounce, retreating after nearly a 3% rise the previous day. This drop comes amid growing optimism over U.S.-China trade negotiations, diminishing the appeal of safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, markets are focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision expected later in the day, with the central bank likely to hold interest rates steady while maintaining flexibility due to uncertainties from the trade war.  ⸻ 🔮 Outlook for XAU/USD Despite the recent pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. Goldman Sachs projects that gold will continue to outperform silver due to sustained central bank demand, which has structurally elevated the gold-silver price ratio. Currently, the ratio stands at approximately 102, up from 84.7 a year ago. Factors such as slowing Chinese solar production, high recession risks, and robust bullion purchases by central banks contribute to gold’s stronger performance. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook on gold, forecasting a base price of $3,700 per ounce by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026.  ⸻ 📊 Technical Analysis A key resistance level is observed at $2,660, with support around $2,600. A breach below this support could lead to further downside towards $2,500.   ⸻ ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor • Federal Reserve’s Policy Decisions: Anticipated rate cuts could influence gold’s appeal. • Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts may drive demand for safe-haven assets. ⸻ ✅ Conclusion While short-term fluctuations are expected, the long-term prospects for XAU/USD remain positive, supported by strong demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainties. Investors should monitor key economic indicators and central bank policies for potential impacts on gold prices.   ⸻
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Zayn_Muaath
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello, 🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025 📈 Current Price Snapshot Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500. 🧭 Technical Outlook 4H Major Support: $3,274.637 1D Floor Support: $3,265.328 1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203 1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445 "A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure." A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context. 💬 Macro Fundamentals Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand. "Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand." — Han Tan, Exinity Group 🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region. "Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand." — Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank Target: $3,500. The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Fibonacci Confluence Fuels Gold’s Next Rally: Wave (Y) InsightThis 4-hour chart of XAU/USD is showcasing a WXY corrective pattern, a classic double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) correction after a strong impulsive move Wave (W) has topped, marking the end of the first corrective leg. A deep correction into the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level occurred with wave (X), forming a potential higher low within the red demand zone. Now, wave (Y) is anticipated, which typically mirrors or slightly exceeds the length of wave (W) but in a more corrective format. Target 1: 3291.460 Target 2: 3371.282 Stop loss: 3224.711
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FeiKekings
Gold: Bearish Trend Continues as Prices Retreat from HighsIn the gold market today, there has been a certain rebound, which is stronger compared to before. However, after the price soars, it quickly falls back, further confirming the overall bearish tone. During the US trading session, we decisively placed a short order at the price of 3360, and subsequently, the market plummeted as expected. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in a bearish trend of pulling back from a high level. If there is a rebound in the future, we can still seize the opportunity to go short. Technically, the moving average of the one-hour level of gold has started to turn downward. During the US trading session, after gold soared, it immediately entered a mode of significant decline, and the trend highly coincides with expectations. Nevertheless, there are two possibilities for the subsequent market: if there is a substantial rebound in gold, then the market is likely to maintain a pattern of large-range fluctuations; but if the rebound fails to break through the level of 3320, it is sufficient to indicate that the bullish momentum is weak, and at that time, gold is very likely to completely enter a unilateral bearish trend. Therefore, in the subsequent US trading session, we should focus on the pressure-bearing situation when gold rebounds to the level of 3320. Once it is blocked here, we can place a short order at a high price and grasp the profit-making opportunity under the bearish trend. XAUUSD sell@3320-3325 tp:3300-3280 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VolatilityWise
XAUUSD - GOLD UPDATES - May 2nd - before NFP🪙 GOLDMINDSFX | MAY 2 XAUUSD IDEAS “Gold plays games. We play levels.” 🏛️ MACRO & POLITICAL CONTEXT Gold is stabilizing inside a retracement phase following April's all-time high (ATH 3500). After sweeping major liquidity below 3205, we’ve seen structure shift back to bullish on the lower timeframes. Today’s NFP may trigger sharp volatility, but we trade structure, not headlines. China remains closed for Labor Day until May 5—reduced Asia volume. Meanwhile, Q1 data shows central bank gold accumulation slowing, adding caution to global demand outlook. With recent lows defended and current price inside a decision zone, we wait for liquidity to declare direction—no predictions, only reactions. 🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW Confirmed CHoCH from 3205 BOS above 3233 Bullish FVGs developing HTF still bearish under 3333 📍Live Price: 3265 📌 TECHNICAL ZONES & CONFLUENCES 🔼 BUY ZONES 🟢 Buy Zone #1: 3233–3220 15M FVG + recent impulse rejection Entry on rejection or liquidity wick 🟢 Buy Zone #2: 3205–3190 CHoCH origin + 1H OB Golden pocket: 0.618–0.705 Ideal continuation setup 🟢 Buy Zone #3: 3172–3160 H4 OB + EQ + deep liquidity Final support before full structural flip 🔽 SELL ZONES 🔴 Sell Zone #1: 3284–3295 1H supply + FVG + BOS confluence Buy-side liquidity resting above 3280 🔴 Sell Zone #2: 3325–3333 Prior rejection base + liquidity shelf Best R:R trap zone 🔴 Sell Zone #3: 3366–3378 Final stop-hunt trap zone before reversal Use only with rejection / PA confirmation 🧠 STRATEGY NOTES SL adjusted to 100–150 pips according to entry zone Price is coiling under 3265 = decision time Liquidity is stacked above and below—wait for sweep and structure shift We’re not here to predict. We hunt zones and execute like killers. Confirmation before entry: BOS, CHoCH, wick traps, engulfing, rejection wicks. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
4
Gold fluctuates before Fed decisionFrom a technical perspective, the international gold price encountered strong resistance at the 3500 integer psychological barrier on a daily basis and then started a technical correction. However, the first two trading days of this week were closed with long positive candlesticks, forming a strong rebound pattern, basically recovering the previous retracement space, indicating that bullish momentum continued to accumulate. It is worth noting that the moving average system presents a bullish arrangement: the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are bonded together to form a golden cross pattern, the upward slope of the medium-term moving average group is steeper, and the resonance of technical indicators shows that the upward momentum is repaired. Technically, gold showed a violent shock trend during the Asian session, which is in line with the technical characteristics of the recent overnight consolidation, but we need to be alert to the possibility of a deep retracement after a continuous mild upward trend. This pattern may indicate that the bullish buying power is weakening. If the key pressure level of 3404 is not effectively broken during the day, the probability of a short-term top will increase significantly. At the strategic level, it is recommended that you avoid chasing highs and focus on the transmission effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the real interest rate curve and the US dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may continue to rebound technically; if the statement is hawkish, it is necessary to guard against the risk of a correction. The current upper pressure range focuses on the 3397-3407 area, and the lower support band is in the 3360-3350 range. It is recommended to take the buying on dips strategy as the main strategy, and cooperate with the rebound high point short selling operation as a risk hedge. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to go long in the 3366-3361 area for gold, with a stop loss at 3356 and a target of 3381-3411. 2. For gold, it is recommended to short in the 3415-3420 area, with a stop loss at 3427 and a target of 3355-3385.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MariaLee66
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly. After completing our bearish target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for a test at 3344 to complete our Bullish target and then a cross and lock will open the level above or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns. - This played out perfectly. We got the 3344 target hit, as analysed, followed with no cross and lock above 3344 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldturns just like we stated. 3306 Goldturn provided the support and bounce and if this levels holds, we will see a retest above or a further cross and lock below will open the lower Goldturns. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3344 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3367 POTENTIALLY 3390 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3458 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 POTENTIALLY 3503 BEARISH TARGETS 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 3285 - DONE 3259 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3233 3201 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3159 - 3112 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week The latest April non-farm payrolls report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has attracted much attention from the market. The report shows that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs that month, higher than the market expectation of 130,000, indicating that the U.S. labor market still shows strong resilience. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, in line with market expectations, while the previously released March data was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000. This data adjustment is an official routine operation. In terms of wages, the average hourly wage increased slightly lower than the market expectation of 0.2% month-on-month, and fell short of the expected 0.3%; however, the year-on-year growth rate remained at 3.8%, higher than the current inflation level, suggesting that real income is still showing an upward trend. After the release of the non-farm data, the market reacted quickly but the trend was divided. Spot gold fell about $9 to $3,250/ounce within a minute after the data was released, but then quickly rebounded to $3,255/ounce, with an intraday increase of 0.56%. In the short term, the two price levels of 3,260 and 3,265 have become the resistance levels of market attention. Overall, the unexpected performance of the non-farm payrolls in April has boosted the market's short-term confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. Risk assets may still have some room for growth in the short term, but in the medium and long term, downside risks are gradually accumulating. After the release of the non-farm payrolls, the price of gold fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. The impact of recent non-farm payrolls on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its volatility is even less than usual. The gold 1-hour moving average crosses the downward short position arrangement, and eventually continues to diverge downward. Gold is now under pressure to fall back at the 3270 line, so next week, around 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although gold has rebounded, the decline is not large. If gold is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will be a shock at most. Gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260 next week, with a stop loss at 3270 and a target of 3240 Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD: Gold Once Again Back To $3270 Region, What Next ? Gold has once again backed to the 3270 region and rejected it, currently trading at 3280$. The main question is whether gold will hold on to this level. If not, we could see a strong sell-off taking the price to 3130. This is because the sellers’ presence has increased, and the price has been volatile due to mixed news and economic data, further strengthening the bears’ position in the market. Despite this, we remain optimistic that gold will continue its bullish move upwards. There’s a strong reason for this: we may see all-out war happening in Asia, although this is purely speculative. For now, you may decide to continue monitoring the price or even take a swing buy, which could be risky. Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold. Wishing you good luck and safe trading! Thank you for your support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
24