Analysis of gold for next weekThis week, the price range of gold was $200. It finally closed as a positive candlestick with an upper shadow, and the length of the shadow was comparable to that of the real body. This indicates that the bulls and bears were evenly matched. Overall, it showed a pattern of wide-range oscillation. In the short term, it maintained an oscillation at a high level, adopting a corrective method of exchanging time for space, which is favorable for the bulls. The fundamental factors supporting the bulls have not changed at present, so it can't be said that there is a trend reversal. Since it has risen a lot, it just needs a new round of accumulation of upward momentum, and there will be an oscillating process. This is in terms of the long-term cycle. There will be news over the weekend, which is bound to impact the market next week. The price of gold will temporarily continue to fluctuate violently, and it is expected that this will be the norm throughout May. As time goes by, the 10-week moving average (MA10) will gradually move upward, and this position should be closely watched in the later stage. In the past, the biggest pullbacks all relied on this support to move upward, and whenever there is a significant downward adjustment, it is an opportunity to go long.
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USCGC trade ideas
Gold Breaks Wedge, 3270–3280 Now Key Pivot for RecoveryGold's recent retreat has slowed, forming a descending wedge pattern that has now been broken. This is a constructive setup for a potential upward reaction after falling $300 from the $3,500 high. The 3,270–3,280 zone is now the short-term pivot point. If this level breaks as well, the upward move may finally begin.
Potential targets include the 38.2% retracement level at 3,316 and the main resistance zone at 3,355–3,370.
There is too much news supporting the increase in gold prices.🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices extended their rebound for a second straight day on Tuesday, driven by seemingly unstoppable buying interest amid growing pessimism surrounding the U.S. dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
➡️ Despite renewed optimism that the United States may reach trade agreements with some partners this week, President Donald Trump's unpredictable trade policies continue to create market uncertainty, supporting gold's recovery after previous losses.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Trade and geopolitical headlines dominate, and speculation of interest rate cuts ahead of the Fed meeting and comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. There is too much news to support gold's bullish momentum at this time.
➡️Analysis based on important support and resistance levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3221- 3223
❌SL: 3217 | ✅TP: 3227 - 3332 – 3337
👉Sell Gold 3402 - 3404 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3408 | ✅TP: 3298 - 3294 – 3290
👉Sell Gold 3417- 3420
❌SL: 3424 | ✅TP: 3414 - 3410 – 3405
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/6/2025As mentioned yesterday, a break above 3270 will signal the end of correction. Indeed after breaking the resistance, gold has gone up all the way to 3330. Right now there is a strong resistance at 3350. I will trade its breaking of structure or retest from 3270.
This is my strategy for today:
1. if 3350 is broken, upon retest, buy towards 3400 or even 3450.
2. Buy from 3270, 1st target 3350, 2nd target 3400
XAUUSD1. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
(May 7) The Fed will announce the May FOMC interest rate decision and press conference. The market generally expects the interest rate to remain unchanged, but Powell's speech will be the key. The April non-farm payroll data was stronger than expected (an increase of 177,000 people), coupled with the Fed's concerns about inflation, Powell may continue his hawkish stance and emphasize "anti-inflation priority". If he releases a signal of "delayed interest rate cuts", it may suppress gold bullish sentiment; on the contrary, if it implies concerns about economic slowdown, gold may be supported. In addition, several Fed officials will go to Iceland to participate in an economic meeting on Friday, and we need to pay attention to their statements on monetary policy.
2. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
Sino-US trade frictions continue to escalate, with the US imposing tariffs on China as high as 245% and hitting China's re-export trade. However, the US has recently released a signal of easing, with companies such as Walmart resuming orders from China and bearing tariff costs, showing that US companies have limited tolerance for high tariffs. China requires the US to cancel unilateral tariffs as a prerequisite for negotiations, and the prospects for negotiations remain unclear. In addition, the situation between India and Pakistan is tense again, and the rising geopolitical risks may boost demand for gold as a safe haven.
3. Market sentiment and capital flows
Domestic gold ETF holdings surged by 23.47 tons in the first quarter, indicating that institutional investors are optimistic about gold in the long term. However, Nomura Securities warned that gold may face a technical correction due to abnormal capital flows (GLD funds in and out) and overheated technical indicators (gold prices deviated from the 200-day moving average by 25%). In addition, COMEX gold speculative net long positions hit a 14-month low, and market sentiment was cautious.
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD)
This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas.
🔍 Key Components:
🟣 Sell Zones
Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark.
These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low.
🟢 Buy Zones
Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur.
🔵 CHOCH - 4H
Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
🔸 Key Price Levels
$3,120: Historical support/resistance.
$2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone.
📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves)
🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario)
Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand.
From there, a major sell-off is anticipated.
🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation)
Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions.
Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend.
🧠 Market Sentiment
This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of:
Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting.
Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart shows a short (sell) trading setup for gold (XAU/USD), marked with a "SELL ZONE" at approximately 3,330 and a take-profit target labeled "TADGET SUCCESSFUL" around 3,281. The red area indicates the stop-loss zone above the sell entry, while the green area shows the profit zone.
Also, a small note: there's a typo—"TADGET" should be corrected to "TARGET".
Would you like help analyzing the trade or improving the chart presentation?
XAUUSD: 8/5 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3410, support level 3310
1-hour chart resistance level 3380, support level 3310
30-minute chart resistance level 3350, support level 3320.
Trump said that he would hold a "large press conference" at 10 a.m. Eastern Time tomorrow, and may sign a trade agreement with the UK. Therefore, the news affected the gold price.
Russia implemented a ceasefire from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11 local time. The temporary ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and the repeated situation in the Middle East may support the gold price in stages due to the risk aversion demand.
Recently, affected by the news, the daily operation range of gold is very large. Today, we will first look at the 3320-3360 range of fluctuations in the short term. If it breaks through, follow the trend and strictly stop loss!
Buy: 3323 SL: 3318
Sell: 3355 SL: 3360
More free analysis daily sharing
Powell's speech determines the trend.Tonight, Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, will speak again. Whether he will confront Trump head - on is something worth looking forward to. However, it is certain that the Federal Reserve will not raise or cut interest rates today. It will keep the current interest rate. Whether there will be a rate cut in June depends on what Powell says. Therefore, there is great uncertainty about the fluctuation of the gold price tonight. No one can guess whether Powell will be hawkish or dovish now. But I think that regardless of his stance, the medium - and long - term trend of the gold price is optimistic. If he really makes remarks unfavorable to gold, which lead to a temporary slump in the gold price, it may instead be an opportunity for those who haven't bought or are on the sidelines to buy at a low price. So don't pay too much attention to Powell's speech. Moreover, this old man is likely to give a very tactful speech. I think he is very likely to neither offend Trump nor sacrifice the independence of the Federal Reserve. So his speech is likely to be very tactful. Therefore, regarding the fluctuation of the gold price, we need to see his attitude in the speech. Judging from the current performance of the gold price, it has actually shown a standard four - wave adjustment in 5 minutes. When will this four - wave adjustment end? It is likely to be a volatile adjustment during the day today, lasting until the European session or even tonight. After tonight, if the adjustment ends and the support level is clear, then the fifth wave is likely to start. Of course, if Powell's speech at 2:30 a.m. is also favorable to gold, the fifth wave will be even more promising. So we can wait and see what kind of stance Powell will take in front of the world.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
XAUUSD - Entered Massive Supply Zone! Will It Dump or Break OutGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading at $3,429, testing a major supply zone on the 15-minute chart. Price has rallied over +2.84% today and is now facing a key resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs.
Key Technical Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): $3,420 - $3,440
Price is now reacting to this heavy-volume resistance area. Watch for rejection or breakout confirmation.
Mid-Level Support: $3,344
Strong structure level where previous consolidations and rejections occurred.
Demand Zone (Support): $3,223 - $3,227
Price bounced from here with a strong bullish impulse. This is our major demand base.
What to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from supply zone could send price back toward $3,344, then $3,227.
Bullish Breakout: Clean break and retest above $3,440 opens the door to new highs.
Confirmation Tools:
LuxAlgo's Supply & Demand Visible Range shows clear institutional activity in these zones.
Look for candlestick confirmation, volume spikes, or divergence signals for entries.
My Plan:
Watching closely for short setups near $3,440 unless we get a confirmed breakout. If rejected, I’ll target the $3,344 and $3,227 zones.
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What do you think? Will gold break out or get rejected hard again?
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XAUUSDWe have two scenarios in the analysis: either a rise in the form of a trend, a staircase, or a deep correction and taking the buy zone. We wait for the deep correction of the market and taking the buy zone. However, if it rises in the form of a staircase, we will renew the entry, but in the event of any entry, geopolitical situations end the analysis and we analyze another analysis or another renewal.
GOLD WILL GROW FURTHER|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend so we are bullish
Biased and the price already
Made a bullish rebound from
The horizontal support
Around 3360$ so we will
Be expecting Gold to
To go further up
LONG🚀
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