A Clear Bearish Structure (READ CAPTION)1. Overall Trend: The chart shows a clear bearish structure for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Price is making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting strong downward momentum.
2. Key Zones:
• Support Area (Blue Zone around 2321): Price is reacting to this level with a potential bounce forming an ‘M’ structure (double bottom). This could indicate a short-term support or potential reversal area.
• Resistance Area (Pink Zone): Marked as a critical zone. The note “IF GOLD BREAKS THIS AREA WE CAN CLOSE OUR BEARISH TRADES” implies this is a key invalidation level for bearish bias.
• Target Point (Below 3190): Indicates a bearish target if price breaks the support and continues downward.
3. Trade Setup:
• It looks like a continuation short trade is being considered with the expectation that price will break the support zone.
• Good risk management is shown with a clear stop-loss area (above the pink zone) and target level.
4. Additional Thoughts:
• Watch how price reacts at the support zone. If it shows bullish momentum or fails to break strongly, the setup might become invalid.
• Confirmation with a bearish candlestick pattern at the support break could add confluence.
USCGC trade ideas
Gold Bullish Crab PatternThe potential surge in gold prices is being closely monitored, particularly as buyers exhibit a notable interest around the significant Fibonacci golden level at a price point of $3220.
This level serves as a crucial indicator for market participants, suggesting that a breakout could lead to substantial upward momentum.
GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️locked inside range trading
▪️3275/3365 usd active range
▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over
▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over
▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD
▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Wait for a breakout
▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
XAUUSD Sharp Decline : - Gold experienced a significant drop , reaching a low point around 1st May , looks like it's working on a recovery phase after bottoming out , there is significant bullish momentum play on today's chart.
However the current price is approaching a KEY RESISTANCE @ $3265-68.
KEY ZONES
Go for BUY ORDERS if PRICE breaks $3268.60 and shows strong BULLISH MOMENTUM.
MACD Analysis - is showing strong a BULLISH CROSSOVER with increasing HISTOGRAM BARS, which suggests strong Upward Movement.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern seen indicating POSSIBLE REVERSAL .
A bullish triangle is as well idnetified from the chart indicating UPWARD MOMENTUM.
OVERALL we are BULLISH TODAY, but keep in mind that we still have the CONSOLIDATION PHASE in play.
GOLD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅GOLD is going down now
After a breakout a retest
A and a pullback from the
Key horizontal level
Of 3280$ so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD DAILY UPDATE MAY 1ST 2025Chart Is very clear in numbers ,
Expected to continue correcting to the level of 3160 3170, from there must jump to a very high levels, but except real breaking 3160 with confirmation candles on 4 hours timeframe, will take us to more correction down to 3040 max. not really expected but nothing impossible in market.
good luck for all traders.
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
May 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Intraday sentiment remains bearish. The main strategy is to short on resistance retests.
If you're planning to go long, only do so at clear key levels with favorable risk-reward setups.
Protect capital: use Stop Losses, respect your trade plan, and cut quickly if it invalidates.
Key Levels to Watch:
3260: Resistance
3250: Midpoint / psychological resistance
3245: Key intraday resistance
3233: Support
3210–3220: Volume cluster support
3200–3202: Intraday support zone
3187–3193: Final bullish defense zone
3175: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3232.
→ Watch 3230, then 3227, 3221, and 3214 as potential targets.
For Longs:
Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3235.
→ Watch 3240 first, then 3242, 3250, and 3260 for extension targets.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
GOLD - reached at resistance zone ? What's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly bounced back from our supporting area as we discussed in our last idea.
Now market just reached at his r distance region.
From 3262 to 3269-70
Keep close the area and if market holds that in that case we can expect a drop from here.
Good luck
Trade wisely
DeGRAM | GOLD Broke the Rising Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Break below the rising channel and $3 290 support; failed retest inside the $3 320-3 260 supply creates a descending structure—targets sit at $3 200, then $3 000.
● 4-hour RSI bearish divergence and a sequence of lower highs confirm momentum has flipped to the downside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar Index rebounds (+0.27 %) on auto-tariff-relief headlines, boosting risk appetite and trimming haven demand.
● Yahoo Finance reports gold sliding as a stronger USD and tariff reprieve trigger profit-taking.
✨ Summary
Channel break + USD strength favour a short XAU/USD view: objectives $3 200 → $3 000; invalidation above $3 360.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
XAU.usd watch the 22's: 3,322 then 3,222 likely targets for dip Gold may have topped, unless bulls can hold $3,322.95
Looking for minimum first Target zone $3258.64-3259.57
After a bounce we may see another leg down to $3222.15
It topped "for good" then we will quickly hit major support $3062.69-3082.58
.
Previous Analysis that caught the last Bounce at $2,964 EXACTLY:
===================================================================
move below 3273-3270 zone and wait for reaction from US NF news🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices are holding modest gains heading into the European session, though bullish conviction remains lacking, and the metal continues to trade below the key $3,265–$3,2703 support-turned-resistance zone. Meanwhile, the US dollar has come under some selling pressure, snapping a three-day winning streak after hitting a three-week high.
➡️ A mix of factors is discouraging traders from making aggressive bullish bets, thereby capping further upside in the precious metal. Investors remain hopeful for easing trade tensions between the United States and China—the world’s two largest economies. This optimism supports a broader risk-on sentiment, which in turn undermines demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The 3265–3273 zone is a strong resistance zone for gold. A break above this zone would mean the end of the short-term downtrend and vice versa. Therefore, buyers and sellers will be aggressive to secure this zone. Today's US NF news will be a strong driving force for gold prices before the tariff information appears and covers the market.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3202- 3205
❌SL: 3198 | ✅TP: 3210 - 3215 – 3220
👉Sell Gold 3270 - 3272
❌SL: 3276 | ✅TP: 3266 - 3261 – 3255
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAUUSDThis 4-hour chart of Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) presents a bearish outlook based on the following technical analysis:
Key Highlights:
EMA Indicators:
EMA(9) is shown in blue and EMA(21) in orange.
Price is trading below both EMAs, suggesting bearish momentum.
Trendline & Price Action:
A descending trendline is respected with multiple rejections.
Price failed to break above this trendline, signaling continued downward pressure.
Fibonacci Retracements:
Key fib levels from the previous swing high to low:
0.382 at ~$3,271.91
0.5 at ~$3,260.83
0.618 at ~$3,250.13
Price is hovering between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, which often act as reversal zones.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Daily Resistance: Around $3,290.20
Daily Support: Around $3,222.94
Multiple lower demand zones are marked:
$3,201.96 (minor)
$3,124.01 (1.618 fib extension)
$2,997.87 (2.618 fib extension)
$2,969.96 (major daily demand)
Projected Move:
The blue arrows suggest a break below $3,201.96 could lead to a drop toward:
$3,124.01 (1.618 extension), then
A potential pullback before resuming bearish trend
Ultimately targeting ~$2,997.87 and $2,969.96 (major demand)
Summary:
The chart suggests a short bias unless price breaks convincingly above $3,271–$3,290. The next bearish targets are $3,124 and $2,997, supported by the trendline, EMA resistance, and fib extensions.
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING)
remember this idea before, way early to short right?
Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or
lower.
See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart.
This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot.
Guys this idea is on my self only.
This is not a financial advice.
See you again next week.
The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works?
This is only my view.
sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades.
Follow for more.
Key pressure point of gold price on Monday: 3275Key pressure point of gold price on Monday: 3275
1: Falling below 3275, overall bearish + shock range (3220-3260)
2: Gold price still has room to fall, technical aspect: 3220-3200-3170-3100
3: Gold price may enter a wide range of shocks, shock range: 3200-3360
Therefore, our strategy is:
1: When the gold price breaks through the 3200 mark, we go long on gold at the lowest price, and the stop loss is set near 3200
2: When the gold price falls below the 3275 mark, we go short on gold at the highest price, and the stop loss is set near 3280
3: Once the gold price stands firm at the 3275 mark and continues to break through the 3275 mark, you can consider chasing the rise, and the stop loss is set near 3260.
4: Once the gold price breaks through the 3200 mark of 3275 and continues to run below 3200, you can consider chasing the decline and set the stop loss near 3200.
Then, considering the 1.2 strategy comprehensively, it is the most reliable strategy at present.
Let's review the current fundamentals:
What has Trump been busy with in the past 24 hours?
1. Plan to cancel Harvard University's tax exemption status
2. Call for tax cuts
3. Canadian Prime Minister will go to the United States to meet with Trump next week
4. Announce the 2026 budget
5. Try to squeeze the revenue of pharmaceutical companies to pay for tax cuts
6. Put pressure on Mexico
7. Release an AI-synthesized "Pope Photo"
Conclusion: Brave people enjoy the world first