USCGC trade ideas
15-minute gold time frame analysis
To start the market structure, the 15-minute market is currently bearish, but to start an upward movement, it can be expected to reach the order block 3259-3263 and then continue towards the support area 3220-3210 and from this area it will rise towards the liquidity of the dynamic line of the 1 and 4-hour time frames. If the initial market rise closes above 3264, any lower market pullback is considered an upward trend.
Potential HSNot confirmed yet but I'm jumping in anyways. I bought some puts of GLD for May 23 strike 304. My SL triggers if the price breaks up the resistance shown and closes above in the daily timeframe. Might be some turbulence, bulls will try to push the price higher. too much noise in the political arena, but Gold is overbought and needs a healthy correction.
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Count: Preparing for Final ImpulseXAU/USD appears to be in a textbook 5-wave impulsive structure on the 4H chart, with the market now completing Wave 4 as a classic ABC corrective flat/pennant.
The impulsive move from the Wave 2 low has formed clear internal substructures, with Wave 3 exhibiting extended price action, consistent with Elliott Wave guidelines.
Currently, price is consolidating in a contracting pattern labeled Wave 4 (A-B-C), which looks to be near completion. Based on wave symmetry and Fibonacci projections, a strong upside move is anticipated once Wave 4 concludes, leading into the final Wave 5 rally.
Entry Zone: 3286.875
Target: 3367.440– 3410.210
Stop Loss: Below 3260.190.
4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)This is a 4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) showing a technical analysis setup:
1. Current Price:
Sell: 3,238.70
Buy: 3,239.00
2. Marked Levels:
There's a red shaded area labeled "ENTRY ZONE" between 3,272.81 and 3,273.79.
This zone likely acts as a resistance or pullback area where a sell entry is being considered.
3. Market Structure:
Price previously moved up strongly (bullish), but now it’s forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend.
A projected path is drawn showing that price might go back up into the entry zone and then drop further — with a potential target near 3,009.75.
4. Bias:
The overall bias shown in the chart is bearish.
It suggests a sell opportunity in the entry zone, expecting price to fall after a short-term pullback.
If you want, I can help you build a full trade plan (entry, stop loss, and take profit) based on this chart too. Just let me know!
Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD) – Potential Bullish Breakout SetupGold shows a consolidation pattern forming within a symmetrical triangle. Price action is currently testing the lower support of this triangle. A potential bullish breakout is anticipated if price bounces from the minor demand zone and breaks above the triangle resistance. The upper resistance target lies near the $3320 level. Key support levels are highlighted at $3280 and $3260 Watch for confirmation signals near the breakout zone for potential long entries.
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) May 2025 Outlook: Dollar Dynamics and Directional Bias
Optimism about potential tariff reductions and trade agreements has reduced safe-haven demand for gold, pressuring prices to two-week lows near $3,200-3204
A finalized deal could further strengthen the US Dollar (DXY), exacerbating gold’s decline.
US Dollar Strength:
The DXY has rallied on trade relief and mixed Fed rate expectations, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
Interest Rate Differential: While futures price in Fed cuts starting June (four total in 2025), the dollar’s near-term resilience limits gold’s upside.
Technical Breakdown:
Gold broke below a multi-week symmetrical triangle, signaling a bearish wave which will be targeting $3,100–$3,000
Immediate resistance sits at $3,3287–$3,2780; a break above this zone is needed to invalidate the bearish structure.this level represent a broken demand floor and calls for retest.
US Jobs Data (May 2): Weak Non-Farm Payrolls (<130K) could revive rate-cut bets, supporting gold. Strong data (>150K) may extend dollar gains.
Fed Policy (May 7 Meeting): No rate changes expected, but hints of June cuts could trigger volatility.
May Directional Bias
Factor Impact on Gold (XAU/USD)
Trade Deal Progress Bearish (dollar strength, risk-on sentiment)
DXY Rally Bearish (inverse correlation reasserted)
Weak US Data Bullish (safe-haven flows, rate-cut speculation)
Geopolitical Shock Bullish (flight to safety)
Gold faces downside pressure in May, targeting $3,100-3000 driven by dollar strength and fading safe-haven demand. A close below $3,200 would confirm the bearish trend.
Upside Risks:
Escalation in Middle East tensions or renewed US-China tariff threats.
Disappointing US economic data (e.g., jobs, CPI) reviving aggressive Fed cut bets
Conclusion
The dollar’s strength and trade optimism dominate gold’s near-term trajectory, favoring a bearish bias in May. However, gold remains a critical hedge against unexpected geopolitical shocks or dovish Fed pivots. Traders should monitor the May 2 NFP report and Fed rhetoric for directional cues.
Gold - $3,500 All-Time High! When Will The New Highs Form?It's been a good run throughout 2025 with little to no drawdown week in, week out. Only 3 bearish weekly closures in 2025 but i believe we wil be seeing a few more of them as the Dollar Index is starting to pivot.
On a lookout for low hanging fruit PD arrays; 1st point of interest is $3,260 with the overall draw to $3,193 - $3,167 being the stretch target
Gold at $3,260: Buy the Fourth Dip?Gold prices have stabilized today after experiencing an earlier decline that represents the fourth dip down to the $3260 level over the past few sessions. The repeated defense of this support level could indicate strong buyer interest at these prices.
Recent reports suggest an easing of trade tensions which might be weakening demand for gold. But have tensions really eased to any great extent? Commerce Sectary Howard Lutnick announced yesterday the U.S. is close to 1 trade agreement with 1 mystery trade partner (rumored to be India? But why not brag about that if true) isn't the kind of progress that consoles me.
But is it time to buy?
The consistent support at $3,260 coupled with a potential move above $3,375 could provide the technical confirmation needed for renewed confidence in this kind of trade.
Gold Eiffel Tower The GOLD GTFO is still in play.
What saved Gold was the stopping for the market crash when Trumnpchenko manipulated the markets. Had the crash continued Gold would have crashed with it. As it is the last safe haven for money to pile into and people just give up and sell everything in sight.
If you were an early buyer of gold and sold above $3,000 then you have a nice 50% gain.
Take your money and RUN! All the way to the bank! Don't be a dick for a tick. If you are then you will ride it all the way back down.
When will it top no one can know. But what pros do is take their money and RUN! So be a pro! ;)
Click like follow subscribe!
Gold plummeted as expected. Operation strategy?In my last analysis, Quaid predicted that gold was at risk of falling and breaking.
Quaid promptly told everyone that they could short trade at 3310-3320.
At present, the market situation is basically consistent with Quaid's expectations. As of now, gold has fallen to a low point near 3215. And it has been maintained for some time.
Quaid speculates that gold will continue to maintain a bearish trend and continue to retreat.
Quaid data analysis:
From the hourly chart, gold is currently following a wave trend, and the highest point of 3352 is the starting point of wave A. The high point of wave b is at 3320. If the current 3220 is the beginning of the low point of wave C, then be careful of its continued decline.
Trading strategy:
In terms of the next operation, Quaid suggests waiting for short trading near 3225.
If gold falls below 3210 again, then the bottom can directly look towards the 3190-3200 range.
Quaid warned everyone not to think that the trading range is very large; because the trading markets in some Asian countries are closed, any terrible thing could happen. It is recommended that everyone take profits in time.
Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones — Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan – Liquidity Games Reloaded 🎮💥
Gold’s Not Done — Next Move is Loading… You In? ⚔️🧨
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision – GoldMindsFX Flow 🔥✨
🧠 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380–3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive — still trapped inside the larger structure.
Today’s USD Events (High Impact):
🗣️ Trump Speech
🟦 ADP Non-Farm Employment
🟧 Advance GDP q/q
🟨 Employment Cost Index
🟧 Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility — especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
🧭 Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230–3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts — structure still undecided.
📌 Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
🔺 Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372–3376 → Trap Sell OB (M15–H1)
→ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380–3390 → High-Volume Liquidity Pool
→ Major decision zone if price extends upside
🟩 Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284–3288 → Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
→ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233–3237 → Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
→ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
👀 Eyes On Today:
3317–3325 → Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350–3372.
3284 → First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233–3237.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
It’s a news-driven day. Your job isn’t to predict — it’s to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers don’t rush. We let liquidity come to us.
💬 Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage — but today might be the breakout tease. Don’t chase, don’t guess — just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. 🎯
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know — are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias 💬👇
📢 If this helped map your zones, hit that ❤️, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments — are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Let’s trade smart, not loud. 🚀💛
Daily breakout wait for confirmation Straight forward setup. We’re looking to enter only after seeing confirmation.
Sop
1)mark the zone
2)wait for price to come into zone
3)wait for confirmation
4)entry
Here we see daily rally base rally. And fibo 50%. Price is already in the zone. We wait for a m30 double breakout as a confirmation. Once it has formed up, we can place a buy limit or we can enter in the confirmation zone.
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Technical Highlights:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection.
- Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Projected Move:
The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance.
If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone.
Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate!
After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3260-3270
TP:3230-3240
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Gold Will Fall DownXAU/USD Analysis (4H)
Observations:
- Current price nearing a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone
Trade Idea:
- Expecting a downward push from the FVG zone
- Sell opportunity in Gold
Target:
- 3150
This setup suggests a potential sell signal, with the FVG zone acting as a resistance level. Let's see how the market reacts.
FLAG AND POOL PATTERN - XAUUSDXAUUSD
📊 Price Summary:
Low: 2951
High: 3498
Current Price (as of 3 May 2025): 3240
Pattern Identified: Flag and Pole, with potential breakout
Possible Pullback: To around 3175 before breakout
🧠 Technical Analysis View:
The flag and pole is a bullish continuation pattern, especially when the prior trend (the "pole") is steep and strong — which it is in this case (2951 → 3498).
A pullback to 3175 would represent a healthy retracement (~50% of the flag range), allowing the market to reset before a potential breakout.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support zone: 3175 – 3200 (watch for rejection or consolidation here)
Resistance (breakout zone): ~3255–3275 (if broken with volume, confirms breakout)
Target after breakout:
Measured move projection = Height of pole (~547 pts) → 3498 + 547 ≈ ~4045 (longer-term target if clean breakout)
Conservative target: 3350–3450 area
⚠️ Risks:
If 3175 breaks down with volume, pattern might fail — watch next support near 3120–3100.
Gold often reacts to macroeconomic events, USD strength, and interest rates, so keep fundamentals in mind.
Gold 4H – Big vs Little: The Conflict That Created ClarityJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Reclaim (Early March) — Entered just after price bounced from the 200 EMA. Both systems aligned: Big Brother reversal and Little Brother trend crossover. I trusted the signal and it ran clean.
⛔ False Top (Late March) — Big Brother printed a red arrow under resistance. Little Brother still looked bullish, but I paused. That caution kept me out of the trap.
✅ Re-entry Confirmation (Early April) — Green triangle fired again after a textbook pullback. Bullish volume returned, and Little Brother confirmed. I re-entered long.
⛔ True Top (Mid-April) — Volume faded. Big Brother gave a second red warning. I exited longs here — structure rolled over fast after that.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed (May 1–2) — The flush sealed it. Both systems aligned bearish. Structure broke. No more guessing — this trend has shifted.
This is how I trade with conviction. Tools don’t replace decisions — they sharpen them.
GOLD BUY ANALYSIS.Just like how i shared about the bearish move that we are now currently seeing on PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD , it is happening live at the moment. this post contains the zone where i think team team bullish will step in to defend gold. im also trading this setup as well with full confident. for further info, pls see the info of the video.
Buy@3200With gold approaching the crucial 3,195 support mark, let's wait for the rebound.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
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