Aspen ($JSEAPN) Accumulation Before UptrendAspen has shown strength against a resistance. The share appears to be in an accumulation phase before moving higher. What we will be watching out for:
1. Price to find a bottom with RSI nearing oversold
2. Price to form a swing low on the daily time frame which is an entry confirmation
3. Price to go above 10 MA on a weekly time frame
Stop-loss: Anytime price goes below 30 September low (R130.25) will be a signal to stand back & watch where price action wants to go.
APN trade ideas
Potential SHORT on ASPENJSE:APN has been threatening a reversal for over a month with the crossing downwards of the MACD, followed by the stochastic about 10 days ago. Now the 3 and 15 EMA's have finally crossed downwards triggering a short signal. If the trade gets taken, we will aim for a target around the 154 level.
#APN Aspen Pharmacare looking constructive on the weeklies #jseScanned a couple of stocks on the JSE and it was tough to find many decent setups although Aspen is one that stood out for me on the LONG side.
3 reasons I think this setup is constructive and likely goes higher to at least R200
(1) Weekly price action has been making consecutive higher lows since bottoming out in August 2019. (showing relative strength in comparison to the market which has been moving lower.
(2) We are trading above both the 200 week moving average as well as the yearly Pivot.
(3) Divergency on RSI where RSI shows higher lows even though price made an equal low on the last move down.
I think one can buy this at current levels (approx R146.00), using a stop loss as a weekly close below 132 and a target of approximately R200. From a risk standpoint that's a risk of R14 for a target of potentially R54 which is quite decent.
Let's see how we go over the next couple of weeks
Aspen (APN): Potential Short EntryThe JSE being in an ambiguous phase of cycles, Aspen can be a good proposition to balance out the long positions. The short position is informed on the following:
1. Price went lower than 29 August (pink arrow)
2. The upper trendline is acting as a resistance now confirmed with 3 touches
A swing high confirmation is a good entry point with expectation to close the short position closer to the lower trendline, ideally should reach that point at the end of October.
A weekly close above the upper trendline is the stop-loss
APNAspen Pharmacare APN 15052c - Ultra Short Term 'Trading' View.
Possibility of a minor retracement to it's 8 21 range, say ~14530c to 14640c.
1. Failing to hold it's prior session highs (exhaustive candle structure)
2. Trading close to 2x std dev, over 21 days
3. Retreating from declining overhead resistance.
4. 7-day RSI was at 85, now rolling over.
Aspen upcoming earningsJSE:APN mini rally following a positive trading statement quickly fizzled. Aspen JSE:APN reporters that EPS will be between 32% - 37%. Audited results are coming this week, the numbers are expected to remain the same. The share is trading below key levels, the stock will need great numbers to push the price up, a promising setup is the price trading above R160/share. Otherwise, the downtrend in the stock will continue, especially if the price drops to R136/share.
APN: another leg higher?A price action above 14600 supports a bullish trend direction.
Crossing below this level will negate the positive stance.
Further trend support above 15100.
Consolidation between 14900 and 15500. Crossing above 15500 might target 16400.
Crossing below 14900 might be the first sign of weakness.
ASPEN - Analysis- Aspen has closed above the down sloping 50 day moving average for the first time since March ...
- While price holds above R140.85 we could likely to go test R171 level which will be a key level for the bulls to break to turn the tide on the downtrend
- Below R140.85 , a bear flag will be in play with a continuation of the down trend
-- MANAGE YOUR RISK - -
Disclaimer: All ideas are my opinion and should not be taken as financial advice.
APNASPEN PHARMACARE (APN, 15772c) | As a medium term trade idea, my last sell as on 29 September 2021, the most recent peak while as a tactical trade, I recommended it as a short/sell last week. I looking at it as a buy/long as the price trades at three confluence levels: (1) trend line extending back to Aug 2019 & March 2020 (2) the April 2021 breakout level & (3) the lower boundary of the channel extending back to the peak of 29 September 2021. I don’t know how the market will open but I am looking at 15720 to HOLD as a pivot. Stop: 14830c. Target: 16800c to 17000c. These are provisional levels.