Gold | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential | (April 2025)Gold (XAUUSD) | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential + Structure Watch | (April 27, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Gold is at a critical level where multiple scenarios could unfold. Money flow and structure suggest a higher probability for lower prices, but a move higher toward $3,477 remains possible too.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: Watching for liquidity sweep around $3,225
Stop Loss: Above recent structure highs if the sweep setup fails
TP1: Partial profit near $3,225 (liquidity grab area)
TP2: Further downside depending on momentum and structure after the sweep
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Money flow is exiting, and market structure leans toward lower prices for now.
✅ Heavy liquidity is resting around $3,225 — a sweep could trigger key reactions and partial exits.
✅ Still some possibility that Gold pushes higher toward $3,477 if market sentiment flips short-term bullish.
✅ Structure is not completely clean yet — waiting for a clearer setup before going heavy.
✅ Watch S&P 500 closely: a short-term correction there could help Gold move higher temporarily as a non-correlated asset.
❌ Risk if Gold breaks higher before sweeping $3,225, invalidating the current short-biased setup.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I will continue monitoring Gold’s structure closely and will update the idea if we get a clean sweep or confirmation for the next move.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
GOLDPETAL1! trade ideas
Gold Futures – Short-Term Technical Outlook as of April 23Gold surged to nearly $3,500, but multiple indicators now point to a potential top. A short-term correction or consolidation phase appears likely before any new highs.
Bearish Signals Across the Board:
RSI Divergence: RSI failed to confirm recent highs, showing bearish divergence.
Momentum Fading: MACD & momentum oscillators rolled over → rally exhaustion.
Volume Shift: Rising on down moves, drying up on rallies → classic distribution.
Bearish Candlesticks: Spinning tops + bearish engulfing patterns signal reversal risk.
Elliott Wave: Likely completed 5-wave impulse → next up: ABC correction?
Cycles: April top aligns with intermediate cycle peak → watch May for cycle low.
Seasonality: Historically weak May–June period approaching.
COT Data: Speculators still long, but commercials heavily short → caution warranted.
🎯 Trade Setups
Short-Term (1–5 Days)
🎯 Short Entry: ~$3,400
📉 Target: $3,270 → $3,215
🛑 Stop: Above $3,460
Medium-Term (1–4 Weeks)
📉 Short below $3,215 → Target $2,970
✅ Or go long on confirmed bounce at $3,150–$3,180
Long-Term (1–6 Months)
🟢 Bullish bias after correction completes
🛒 Buy zones: $2,960–$2,720
🎯 Targets: $3,540 → $3,900+
⛔ Stop: Below $2,700
🧭 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Cautiously Bearish (short-term) → Bullish (long-term)
Gold likely topped in April — expect weakness or sideways action before the next major leg higher. Be patient for a better buying opportunity later this spring/summer.
The Gold Rush is overA rejection off of 3508 level with an evening star or shooting star (depending on how you view candlestick patterns) and a close below other key Fibonacci and sup/res levels will likely cause a downtrend in the foreseeable future. Any closes below key levels should be viewed as bearish price action.
Gold: Will 3,260 Flip From Supply to Springboard?Micro Gold Futures — 30 min chart
BULLISH ABOVE 3,260 | BEARISH BELOW
🗺️ Structure in Focus
Macro bias (4 h/1 D): remains bearish — lower highs & lows since late‑April.
Intraday context: price climbing in a rising channel; buyers defend each channel low since 1 May.
Grey zone 3 255‑3 260:
• 61 %‑78 % Fib retrace of the last leg down
• Breakdown base now acting as supply
• Mid‑channel + intraday VWAP overhead
A decisive H1 close above 3 260 plus a bullish retest flips the bias long toward ≈ 3 280.
🧭 Trade Map
🔴 Base‑case short
• Trigger – bearish reaction inside / below 3 255‑60
• Targets – 3 230, then 3 210 (-27 % Fib extension)
• Invalidation – H1/H4 close > 3 260
🟢 Flip‑bull plan
• Trigger – H1 close above 3 260 and zone holds as support
• Target – 3 280 supply (channel top + prior S/R)
• Invalidation – H1 close back under 3 250
(Risk ≤ 1 % per idea; scale out at interim levels.)
📊 Narrative to Watch
Fed speakers & US data could jolt real yields and gold flow.
Asia session often sets the tone—watch Shanghai physical premium chatter.
Softening DXY gives the upside‑break thesis a tail‑wind.
What’s your play—fade the zone or ride the breakout? Smash the boost 🔥 and follow for live updates!
Not financial advice; just sharing my plan.
Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #Futures #PriceAction #Fib #TechnicalAnalysis
GOLDM ANALYSISTechnical view on Goldm(mcx).
Disclaimer: This does not construe to be an investment advice. Investments/trading are subject to market risks.
All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only.
The author accepts no liability for
any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being
used for actual investments.
Gold evaluation using Trend Fib extension...dual peaksAs you can see from the lower picture...I took two retrace peaks and traced the move with the fib tool and made the smaller one the solid line and the farther one the dashed line...
Kinda fits pretty neatly in those lines eh??
Not much more to say, make up what you think the move action will be, I just provide the lines...
And the numeration for those lines to be calculated is based off Pi and Fib percentages...so its not an actual default setting...can go into my other ideas where I actually give a table of all the numbers to enter in to achieve said result you see above and below...
Both Trend Fibs are with the reverse setting on...
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10 min
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1 day far
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This Trend is with the reverse setting off: weekly overview:
and the closer daily...notice that 2000 quad peak:
and yet closer view...see that bottom line under the sideways consolidation is like almost the same as previous...:
finally the 10 min close up:
everything but the two arrows is the same from above...so you get a nice overall price consolidation with these lines...